We propose a new class of models specifically tailored for spatio-temporal data analysis. To this end, we generalize the spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances, i.e. SARAR(1,1), by exploiting the recent advancements in Score Driven (SD) models typically used in time series eco…
Bayesian spatial predictive synthesis improves spatial data predictions.
problem Model misspecification and heterogeneity in spatial data.
method Bayesian ensemble methodology capturing spatially-varying model uncertainty and performance heterogeneity.
result Synthesized predictions outperform standard methods in accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Proposes a deep neural network approach for image response regression.
problem Associations between medical images and covariates.
method Spatially varying coefficient models with deep neural networks.
result Explicitly accounts for spatial smoothness and subject heterogeneity.
BKTR models spatiotemporal data with scalable tensor regression.
problem High computational cost in applying STVC to large-scale spatiotemporal data.
method Summarize STVC coefficients in a tensor, reformulate as low-rank tensor regression, incorporate GP priors for local dependencies.
result BKTR efficiently models large spatiotemporal datasets with reduced parameters and local dependencies.
New framework discovers PDEs from sparse, noisy data.
problem Discovering PDEs from sparse and noisy data.
method Combines neural network, genetic algorithm, and adaptive methods.
result Robust to sparse and noisy data, discovers parametric PDEs.
Proposes a Varying-Coefficient MoE model for analyzing dynamic data.
problem Inadequate constant coefficients in MoE models for dynamic settings.
method Varying-Coefficient Mixture of Experts (VCMoE) model with varying coefficients in gating and expert models.
result Established identifiability and consistency of the VCMoE model.
GeoShapley uses game theory to measure spatial effects in ML models.
problem Measuring the impact of location on machine learning model predictions.
method Extends Shapley value framework to quantify spatial effects in various ML models.
result Validated GeoShapley values against known processes and demonstrated utility in house price modeling.
The paper develops a new model to evaluate policies in complex temporal/spatial experiments.
problem Evaluating the impact of policies in experiments with temporal and spatial dependencies.
method Temporal/spatio-temporal Varying Coefficient Decision Process (VCDP) model, decomposing ATE into DE and IE.
result Effective estimation and inference of DE and IE with rigorous statistical analysis.
Machine learning models perform better with location coordinates alone, not Moran Eigenvectors.
problem Improving machine learning models for spatial data.
method Examined Moran Eigenvectors as additional spatial features in machine learning models using synthetic datasets.
result Machine learning models using only location coordinates achieve better accuracies than eigenvector-based approaches.
Bayesian method discovers PDEs with variable coefficients robustly.
problem Discovering PDEs from noisy data is challenging.
method Bayesian sparse learning with tBGL-SS and Gibbs sampler.
result Method enhances robustness and model selection criteria.
We study learning problems in which the conditional distribution of the output given the input varies as a function of additional task variables. In varying-coefficient models with Gaussian process priors, a Gaussian process generates the functional relationship between the task variables and the parameters of this con…
A new tree-based model for varying coefficients using CGBM.
problem Modeling varying coefficients with high dimensionality and complex interactions.
method Tree-based varying coefficient model with CGBM for varying coefficients, dimension-wise early stopping, and feature importance scores.
result The model produces comparable out-of-sample loss to neural networks, demonstrating effectiveness.
Derives continuum model from discrete ε-graphs with connectivity functional.
problem Modeling diffusion in networks with varying connectivity.
method Energy-based continuum limit derivation, neural-network reconstruction of connectivity.
result Error between discrete and continuum energies is O(ε), valid even with fluctuations. A new model predicts spatially varying inland flooding from time-varying inputs.
problem Ignoring time series and spatial correlations in flood models leads to inaccurate predictions.
method Introduced a multioutput Gaussian process model with separable kernels for functional inputs and spatial locations.
result The model provides accurate predictions of spatially varying inland flooding with minimal computational time.
Bayesian data sketching speeds up inference for large functional data.
problem Slow posterior computations in Bayesian varying coefficient models for large data.
method Compress functional response and predictor matrix using random linear transformation.
result Fully model-based Bayesian inference on compressed data.
FaStR improves scalability for time-aware RS with varying coefficients.
problem Limited applicability of structured regression models to large-scale data with categorical effects and many interactions.
method Combines structured additive regression and factorization approaches in a neural network-based model implementation.
result FaStR scales better and performs competitively with other time-aware RS in prediction performance.
Paper proposes a method to model health outcomes using varying-coefficients and KNN-based LASSO.
problem Modeling health outcomes like BMI and cholesterol levels with varying age effects.
method Varying-coefficients regional quantile regression via KNN fused LASSO, with ADMM algorithm.
result Efficacy in capturing complex age-dependent associations between health outcomes and risk factors.
BKP R package models spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.
problem Modeling spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.
method Beta Kernel Process (BKP) combining localized kernel-weighted likelihoods with conjugate beta priors.
result Closed-form posterior inference without requiring latent variables or intensive MCMC sampling.
We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we develop a localized spatio-temporal covariance model of the process that can capture s…
Spatially-aware model improves earthquake hazard assessment accuracy.
problem Misrepresentation of seismic effects across diverse landscapes.
method Causal Bayesian network with Gaussian Processes and normalizing flows.
result Achieves up to 35.2% AUC improvement over existing methods.
GWRBoost improves GWR for better spatial relationship quantification.
problem Underfitting in GWR for complex data and lack of explainable quantification.
method Geographically weighted gradient boosting model using localized additive model and gradient boosting optimization.
result Significant improvement in RMSE and AICc compared to classic GWR.
Adaptive transfer learning model for varying mechanisms across domains.
problem Improving inference in a target domain by leveraging related source domains with varying mechanisms.
method Semi-parametric domain-varying coefficient model (DVCM) for structured transfer learning.
result Minimax rate-optimal adaptive transfer learning estimator with provable negative transfer safeguards.
PDMP samplers improve Bayesian PDE coefficient inference.
problem Efficient Bayesian inference in non-linear inverse problems with expensive likelihoods.
method Piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) with surrogate-assisted thinning.
result PDMP samplers achieve higher accuracy and efficiency than traditional methods.
New method for estimating spatial associations with discrete data, even under model misspecification.
problem Estimating associations between covariates and discrete responses with spatial variability and nonrandom sampling.
method Proposes a novel approach to handle spatially varying noise, provides a proof of consistency, and uses a delta method argument.
result Empirically shows reliable confidence intervals compared to standard methods, even with model misspecification.
New method calibrates asynchronous, error-prone covariates for longitudinal data.
problem Estimation biases and slow convergence in analyzing time-varying covariates with measurement error.
method Functional calibration approach based on functional principal component analysis.
result Asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimators for time-invariant coefficients; optimal convergence rate for time-varying coefficients.
Study analyzes GDP growth of CEE countries using time-varying coefficients.
problem Understanding GDP growth patterns of CEE countries post-integration.
method Panel regression with time-varying coefficients.
result Private debt plays a crucial role in economic growth.
Efficiently infers gene regulatory networks from spatial data.
problem Inferring spatially-varying gene regulatory networks.
method Proposed an efficient optimization problem for SV-GMRFs.
result Solves large-scale SV-GMRF problems in minutes.
New method relaxes spatial invariance in locally connected layers, improving accuracy.
problem Improving classification accuracy with locally connected layers.
method Designing a low-rank locally connected layer with varying spatially varying combining weights.
result Relaxing spatial invariance improves classification accuracy over convolution and locally connected layers.
Neural GARCH models financial time series with time-varying coefficients.
problem Modeling conditional heteroskedasticity in financial time series.
method Neural network adaptation of GARCH and BEKK models with time-varying coefficients parameterized by a recurrent neural network.
result Neural Students t model consistently outperforms other models on financial time series.
Algorithm selects variables and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.
problem Estimating variable subsets and bandwidths for geographically weighted regression.
method Mathematical programming-based approach integrating variable selection and bandwidth estimation.
result Proposed algorithm provides stable spatially varying patterns with competitive explanatory power.
Credit risk analysis improved with a joint model for spatial and temporal effects.
problem Predicting borrower's time-to-event with spatial and temporal covariates.
method Spatio-Temporal Joint Model (STJM) using Bayesian hierarchical approach and INLA.
result Spatial effects improve joint model performance, but spatio-temporal interactions have less impact.
Proposes a model for time-varying regression coefficients.
problem Uncertainty in forecasting due to changing correlations over time.
method Adopting state space literature, models how regression coefficients change over time.
result Accurate estimates for continuous outcomes but fails for binary outcomes.
New model helps identify suspect footwear from crime scene prints.
problem Identifying a suspect's footwear from crime scene prints among thousands of similar shoes.
method Developed a hierarchical Bayesian model with spatially varying coefficients.
result Improved accuracy and reliability in forensic shoe print analysis.
A new model predicts financial volatility across firms using spatial correlations.
problem Predicting financial volatility across firms in a network.
method Heterogeneous spatiotemporal GARCH model with local likelihood estimation.
result The model captures spatial spillovers and contagion effects in financial networks.
Density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) is a data clustering algorithm which has the high-performance rate for dataset where clusters have the constant density of data points. One of the significant attributes of this algorithm is noise cancellation. However, DBSCAN demonstrates reduced per…
Develops a new multivariate regression model for complex outcomes.
problem Flexible, heterogeneous, and residual-dependent multivariate regression problems.
method MultiVCBART framework with Graphical Horseshoe priors.
result Empirically outperforms existing models on sparse, high-dimensional datasets.
Incorporating human domain knowledge for breast tumor diagnosis is challenging, since shape, boundary, curvature, intensity, or other common medical priors vary significantly across patients and cannot be employed. This work proposes a new approach for integrating visual saliency into a deep learning model for breast t…
A new method for solving complex inverse problems using deep learning.
problem Estimating complex spatially-varying parameters in high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems.
method A variational inference method with a deep generative prior to approximate the posterior distribution.
result The method improves estimation accuracy and efficiency for solving high-dimensional inverse problems.
The paper develops a new model for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing.
problem Estimating spatial interactions in high-dimensional asset pricing.
method Integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis using generalized shrinkage Yule-Walker (SYW) estimation.
result Established asymptotic properties for high-dimensional spatial arbitrage pricing models.
Simplifies NL models by approximating them as LPV systems and identifying NL subterms.
problem Complex NL models are hard to interpret and impractical.
method Linear approximation around operating points, sparse estimation in RKHS, LPV model reduction.
result Identifies NL subterms and their input spaces in sparse additive NL models.
New model solves complex SDEs with high-dimensional spatial and stochastic spaces.
problem Solving SDEs with high-dimensional spatial and stochastic spaces.
method Physics-informed deep generative model (sPI-GeM) combining PI-BasisNet and PI-GeM.
result Scalable solution for high-dimensional SDE problems.
New theorem shows every integer can be represented by knot summation.
problem Understanding the summation of knot coefficients.
method Analyzing spatial complete graphs and Hamiltonian knots.
result Every integer can be represented by knot summation.
Proposes flexible spatial models for better understanding spatial heterogeneity.
problem Poor characterisation of spatial heterogeneity in conventional models.
method Spatial Bayesian Neural Networks (SBNNs) incorporating a spatial embedding layer and possibly spatially-varying parameters.
result SBNNs better match the finite-dimensional distribution of target spatial processes.
Recent research in economic theory attempts to study optimal economic growth and spatial location of economic activity in a unified framework. So far, the key result of this literature - asymptotic convergence, even in the absence of decreasing returns to capital - relies on specific assumptions about the objective of …
Ada-LISTA adapts neural solvers for varying models.
problem Adapting neural solvers for varying models.
method Ada-LISTA receives pairs of signals and dictionaries, learns a universal architecture, and solves sparse coding in linear rate.
result Ada-LISTA solves sparse coding in linear rate for varying models.
Online algorithm identifies PDEs from noisy data snapshots.
problem Identifying PDEs from sequential solution snapshots.
method Combines weak-form discretization with online proximal gradient descent.
result Efficiently identifies and tracks systems with time-varying coefficients.
New method speeds up sparse Gaussian processes for large datasets.
problem Efficiently modeling large datasets with many inducing variables.
method Projecting a GP onto B-spline basis functions for sparse linear algebra.
result Efficiently models fast-varying spatial phenomena with tens of thousands of inducing variables.
Contextualized ML learns context-dependent effects using deep learning.
problem Learning heterogeneous and context-dependent effects in data.
method Applying deep learning to the meta-relationship between contextual information and context-specific parametric models.
result Unified framework for cluster analysis and cohort modeling.