Proposes a method to forecast spatial-temporal data with limited training data.
problem Forecasting with nodes having no temporal training data.
method Temporal data augmentation and spatial graph topology learning.
result Improves forecasting performance on nodes without training data.
Proposes a non-autoregressive Transformer for time series forecasting.
problem Autoregressive errors and spatial-temporal dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Introduces a Non-Autoregressive Transformer with a learned temporal influence map.
result Demonstrates state-of-the-art performance on time series forecasting datasets.
STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.
problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.
kNN-MTS improves MTS forecasting by using nearest neighbor retrieval over a large dataset.
problem Limited ability of current MTS forecasting methods to identify similar patterns and handle sparsely distributed correlations.
method kNN-MTS framework using nearest neighbor retrieval over a large datastore of cached series, with representations from MTS model for similarity search.
result Significant improvement in forecasting performance on real-world datasets.
Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.
problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.
Hybrid model predicts flow and pressure in water systems.
problem Predicting flow and pressure in water distribution systems with complex spatial-temporal correlations.
method Hybrid dual-stage spatial-temporal attention-based recurrent neural networks (hDS-RNN).
result Our model outperformed 9 baseline models in flow and pressure series prediction.
Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the spatial-temporal correlation features and interdependence of multivariate air quality rel…
PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.
problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.
Multi-step passenger demand forecasting is a crucial task in on-demand vehicle sharing services. However, predicting passenger demand over multiple time horizons is generally challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic spatial-temporal dependencies. In this work, we propose to model multi-step citywide passenger deman…
Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. Datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different dom…
MIP framework improves urban flow prediction by adapting to distribution shifts.
problem Distribution shifts in urban flow data make prediction models unreliable.
method Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt learning with learnable memory bank.
result MIP ensures robust predictions by focusing on invariant features.
GACAN combines multi-granularity time series for traffic forecasting.
problem High dynamics and complex spatial-temporal dependency of road networks in traffic forecasting.
method Graph Attention-Convolution-Attention Networks (GACAN) with Att-Conv-Att (ACA) block.
result GACAN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.
A deep learning model for traffic forecasting in telecommunication networks.
problem Complex spatial-temporal dependency in traffic forecasting.
method Spatio-Temporal Hybrid Graph Convolutional Network (STHGCN) combining GRUs and hybrid-GCN.
result The proposed model outperforms classical and state-of-the-art methods.
Model forecasts global stock market volatility using dynamic graphs and all trading days.
problem Enhance forecasting accuracy and practical utility in global stock market volatility.
method Spatial-temporal graph neural network architecture to capture volatility spillover effect.
result Forecasting performance surpasses baseline models in all scenarios.
Improved traffic forecasting model handles missing data.
problem Short-term traffic forecasting with missing values.
method Proposed SBU-LSTM architecture with bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM.
result Superior performance in accuracy and robustness for network-wide traffic prediction.
New method uses neural networks to forecast spatial-temporal data.
problem Probabilistic forecasting of spatio-temporal data with causal structure.
method MMAF-guided learning with ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks.
result Forecasting remains calibrated across multiple time horizons.
ProGen improves spatiotemporal forecasting with SDEs and diffusion models.
problem Complex spatial and temporal dependencies in spatiotemporal data.
method ProGen uses Stochastic Differential Equations and diffusion-based generative models.
result ProGen outperforms state-of-the-art models on traffic datasets.
This paper analyzes privacy-preserving methods for collaborative forecasting.
problem Data owners' reluctance to share data due to competitive and privacy concerns.
method Examines three groups of privacy-preserving methods: data transformation, secure multi-party computations, and decomposition methods.
result State-of-the-art techniques have limitations in preserving data privacy, such as trade-offs between privacy and forecasting accuracy.
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep learning models have become more common, RNNs have been used to forecast increasingl…
CESAR improves wind speed and power forecasting for high-resolution simulations.
problem Accurate high-resolution wind forecasting for efficient power grid management.
method A spatio-temporal neural network model using deep convolutional autoencoder and echo state network.
result CESAR provides up to 17% improvement in wind speed and power forecasting compared to best alternatives.
LightGBM outperforms other models in predicting pH values in Georgia, USA.
problem Accurate water quality prediction for effective resource management and pollution mitigation.
method Five distinct predictive models (linear regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, MLP neural network) were assessed for pH value forecasting in Georgia, USA.
result LightGBM achieved the highest average precision in predicting pH values.
As a crucial component in intelligent transportation systems, traffic flow prediction has recently attracted widespread research interest in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) with the increasing availability of massive traffic mobility data. Its key challenge lies in how to integrate diverse factors (such as te…
Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…
AGCRN forecasts traffic using adaptive graph and recurrent learning.
problem Forecasting traffic dynamics with complex spatial and temporal correlations.
method Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (AGCRN) with Node Adaptive Parameter Learning (NAPL) and Data Adaptive Graph Generation (DAGG).
result AGCRN outperforms state-of-the-art models without pre-defined graphs.
condLSTM-Q predicts COVID-19 deaths at county level with quantile forecasts.
problem Predicting COVID-19 mortality at fine geographical scales.
method Conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with quantile output.
result Fine-scale quantile predictions inform about death toll distribution.
Traffic forecasting is of great importance to transportation management and public safety, and very challenging due to the complicated spatial-temporal dependency and essential uncertainty brought about by the road network and traffic conditions. Latest studies mainly focus on modeling the spatial dependency by utilizi…
Real-time crime forecasting is important. However, accurate prediction of when and where the next crime will happen is difficult. No known physical model provides a reasonable approximation to such a complex system. Historical crime data are sparse in both space and time and the signal of interests is weak. In this wor…
Diffusion Transformer captures spatial-temporal dependencies in sequential data.
problem Capturing rich spatial and temporal dependencies in sequential data.
method Established theoretical guarantees for diffusion transformers learning Gaussian process data.
result Spatial-temporal dependencies are captured within attention layers of diffusion transformers.
Spatial-temporal prediction is a fundamental problem for constructing smart city, which is useful for tasks such as traffic control, taxi dispatching, and environmental policy making. Due to data collection mechanism, it is common to see data collection with unbalanced spatial distributions. For example, some cities ma…
Proposes a GNN for multivariate time-series prediction with filtering.
problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in complex systems data.
method Integrates a spatial-temporal GNN with a matrix filtering module to generate filtered graphs.
result Proposed model outperforms baseline approaches in multivariate time-series prediction.
New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.
problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.
New training algorithm enhances SNNs for temporal signal processing.
problem Lack of robust training algorithms for large-scale SNNs.
method Formulated SNN as IIR filters, proposed training algorithm for optimal synapse filter kernels and weights.
result Model and training algorithm outperform state-of-the-art approaches in accuracy.
STCA discovers dynamic functional brain networks using spatial-temporal convolution and attention.
problem Lack of dynamic exploration of functional brain networks.
method Spatial-Temporal Convolutional Attention (STCA) model.
result STCA can discover dynamic functional brain networks in a novel way.
Spatial time series forecasting problems arise in a broad range of applications, such as environmental and transportation problems. These problems are challenging because of the existence of specific spatial, short-term and long-term patterns, and the curse of dimensionality. In this paper, we propose a deep neural net…
Understanding and accurately predicting within-field spatial variability of crop yield play a key role in site-specific management of crop inputs such as irrigation water and fertilizer for optimized crop production. However, such a task is challenged by the complex interaction between crop growth and environmental and…
Hybrid model improves COVID-19 case forecasting accuracy.
problem Limited data and simplistic models for accurate prediction.
method Combining SEIR and RNN on a graph structure with local and edge features.
result Improves prediction accuracy on state-level COVID-19 data.
A new method detects financial fraud using graph transformers.
problem Detecting fraudulent transactions in financial data.
method Spatial-Temporal-Aware Graph Transformer (STA-GT) integrating GNNs and transformers.
result STA-GT outperforms general GNN models on financial fraud detection.
Mobile and ubiquitous sensing of urban air quality has received increased attention as an economically and operationally viable means to survey atmospheric environment with high spatial-temporal resolution. This paper proposes a machine learning based mobile air pollution sensing framework, called Deep-MAPS, and demons…
Taxi demand prediction is an important building block to enabling intelligent transportation systems in a smart city. An accurate prediction model can help the city pre-allocate resources to meet travel demand and to reduce empty taxis on streets which waste energy and worsen the traffic congestion. With the increasing…
Proposes KStar Diffuser for kinematics-aware bimanual robotic manipulation.
problem Challenges in applying imitation learning to bimanual robotic tasks.
method Integrates physical robot structure into action prediction using a dynamic spatial-temporal graph and differentiable kinematics.
result Effective generation of kinematics-aware actions in both simulation and real-world environments.
The recognition of sign language is a challenging task with an important role in society to facilitate the communication of deaf persons. We propose a new approach of Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network to sign language recognition based on the human skeletal movements. The method uses graphs to capture the si…
Proposes a new model to predict travel demand with zero-inflated and long-tail characteristics.
problem Sparse and long-tailed travel demand data with many zeros.
method Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Graph Neural Network (STTD) using Tweedie distribution.
result STTD provides accurate predictions and precise confidence intervals.
Deep learning model predicts traffic flows across entire network for multiple steps ahead.
problem Accurately forecasting future traffic flows across all network links.
method Spatial-Temporal Sequence to Sequence (STSeq2Seq) model combining seq2seq and graph convolution.
result STSeq2Seq achieves state-of-the-art performance in traffic forecasting.
Dynamic model captures spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal volatility effects.
problem Analyzing volatility in spatial and temporal networks.
method Dynamic spatiotemporal and network ARCH model with common factors, Bayesian estimation.
result Model captures strong spatial/network interactions and spillover effects.
Spatial-temporal graph modeling is an important task to analyze the spatial relations and temporal trends of components in a system. Existing approaches mostly capture the spatial dependency on a fixed graph structure, assuming that the underlying relation between entities is pre-determined. However, the explicit graph…
New BNN method reduces training time and model size.
problem Overconfident predictions in deep learning models.
method Designing STF-BNN for efficient scaling of BNNs.
result Significantly reduces training time and model size compared to vanilla BNNs.
Flow prediction (e.g., crowd flow, traffic flow) with features of spatial-temporal is increasingly investigated in AI research field. It is very challenging due to the complicated spatial dependencies between different locations and dynamic temporal dependencies among different time intervals. Although measurements of …
The tremendous growth of positioning technologies and GPS enabled devices has produced huge volumes of tracking data during the recent years. This source of information constitutes a rich input for data analytics processes, either offline (e.g. cluster analysis, hot motion discovery) or online (e.g. short-term forecast…