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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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164328491655 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for spatial field prediction

E-LMC improves spatial field prediction accuracy by linearizing complex fields.

problem Predicting complex spatial fields with high accuracy and efficiency.
method Introducing an invertible neural network to linearize nonlinear spatial fields, enabling the use of LMC for nonlinear problems.
result Maximum improvement of about 40% over original LMC, outperforming other models.

CNNs predict spatial fields from sparse data.

problem Predicting complete spatial fields from limited observations.
method Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) trained on a single partially observed field.
result CNNs can flexibly capture local spatial patterns without explicit covariance modeling.

Proposes bivariate DeepKriging for efficient wind field prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting large-scale bivariate wind fields with high spatial variability and heterogeneity.
method Spatially dependent deep neural network (DNN) with embedding layer using spatial radial basis functions.
result Outperforms traditional cokriging predictors and reduces computation time.

Spatial Adapter adds structured spatial representation to frozen predictors.

problem Efficiently adding spatial structure to pre-trained models.
method Structured spatial decomposition and closed-form covariance for residual fields.
result Adapter improves spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification.

DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.

problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

New method preserves GCM spatial dependencies for better climate projections.

problem Systemic biases in GCM output and loss of spatial/temporal dependencies.
method SPECD approach using Vecchia approximation and semi-parametric quantile regression.
result SPECD preserves key marginal and joint distribution properties of precipitation and temperature.

CAST package aids in spatial prediction models using machine learning.

problem Challenges in applying machine learning for spatial data.
method Developed cross-validation strategies, spatial feature selection, and area of applicability assessment methods.
result Supports more reliable spatial predictions through CAST package.

A2-SBNN models spatial data with copulas for non-Gaussian dependencies.

problem Capturing complex spatial relationships and extreme dependencies in non-Gaussian data.
method Embedding A2 copula into a Bayesian neural network, trained with Wasserstein loss and moment matching.
result A2-SBNN consistently delivers high accuracy across various dependency strengths.

Hybrid model integrates GATv2 and geostatistics for better spatial prediction and uncertainty.

problem Accurate spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification in epidemiology and risk analysis.
method Integrates Graph Attention Network (GATv2) with model-based geostatistics (MBG) to capture relational and spatial dependencies.
result Hybrid model improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to standalone models.

A cubing strategy identifies stable hyperparameter regions for uncertainty quantification in spatial deep learning.

problem Uncertainty quantification in spatial deep learning models.
method Cubing-based diagnostic framework to recursively partition hyperparameter space and evaluate regions using scoring rules.
result Our approach produces competitive or superior predictive intervals compared to a statistical baseline model.

A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.

problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.

Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) are probabilistic graphical models widely used in spatial statistics and related fields to model dependencies over spatial structures. We establish a formal connection between GMRFs and convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Common GMRFs are special cases of a generative model where…

2020-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Flow prediction (e.g., crowd flow, traffic flow) with features of spatial-temporal is increasingly investigated in AI research field. It is very challenging due to the complicated spatial dependencies between different locations and dynamic temporal dependencies among different time intervals. Although measurements of …

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Spatial blind source separation simplifies multivariate spatial prediction.

problem Predicting multivariate measurements at unobserved locations with spatial dependencies.
method Spatial blind source separation as a pre-processing tool compared to Cokriging and neural networks.
result Spatial blind source separation simplifies spatial prediction by avoiding cross-dependencies.

Neural networks speed up covariance estimation in spatial Gaussian processes.

problem Efficiently estimating covariance parameters in spatial Gaussian processes.
method Training neural networks to approximate maximum likelihood estimates.
result Neural network estimates are as accurate as ML methods but much faster.

An accurate assessment of the risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for populations, authorities and the banking/insurance/reinsurance industry. Koch (2017) introduced a notion of spatial risk measure and a corresponding set of axioms which are well suited to analyze the risk due to events having …

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.

problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.

Image-to-image networks speed up SAR model parameter estimation.

problem Computational infeasibility of MLE for large, non-stationary spatial fields.
method Used image-to-image networks to estimate SAR model parameters.
result Image-to-image networks enable faster and more accurate parameter estimation.

STICC clusters geographic objects considering both spatial contiguity and attributes.

problem Discovering repeated geographic patterns with spatial contiguity.
method Spatial Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering (STICC) method.
result STICC significantly outperforms baseline methods in adjusted rand index and macro-F1 score.

Physics-informed neural networks improve pathloss prediction accuracy.

problem Improving pathloss prediction accuracy in wireless communications.
method Physics-informed neural networks incorporating physical dependencies and measured values.
result Physics-informed neural networks achieve better generalization and prediction quality with fewer layers and parameters.

Proposes LSCP for spatial data uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty quantification in spatial statistics, especially for complex and heterogeneous datasets.
method Localized quantile regression for spatial conformal prediction.
result LSCP provides more accurate and consistent prediction intervals.

GeoConformal predicts spatial uncertainty without relying on specific models.

problem Measuring uncertainty in spatial predictions to enhance model credibility.
method GeoConformal Prediction integrates geographical weighting into conformal prediction.
result GeoConformal achieves higher coverage rates in uncertainty assessment compared to Bootstrap methods.

DeepKriging uses DNNs to predict spatial data with improved accuracy and scalability.

problem Predicting spatial processes with non-linear and non-Gaussian data.
method Adds an embedding layer of spatial coordinates with basis functions to DNNs.
result DeepKriging provides non-linear predictions with smaller approximation errors and is scalable for large datasets.

Paper develops a method to predict spatial point processes with guarantees.

problem Predicting the number of events in space with uncertainty.
method Regularized method to learn spatial models with out-of-sample guarantees.
result Method provides valid prediction intervals even when model is misspecified.

The study optimizes sampling in complex systems with probabilistic response distributions.

problem Calibrating and optimizing complex systems with probabilistic response distributions.
method Non-parametric Bayesian approach to modeling spatial fields of probability distributions, introducing adaptive sampling strategies.
result Adaptive sampling strategies improve system evaluations by guiding focus towards key features.

PIP-Net predicts pedestrian crossing intentions with up to 4-second lead.

problem Accurate pedestrian intention prediction for autonomous vehicles in real-world scenarios.
method Recurrent and temporal attention-based model using kinematic and spatial features.
result PIP-Net predicts pedestrian crossing intentions up to 4 seconds in advance.

A new model predicts financial volatility across firms using spatial correlations.

problem Predicting financial volatility across firms in a network.
method Heterogeneous spatiotemporal GARCH model with local likelihood estimation.
result The model captures spatial spillovers and contagion effects in financial networks.

Successfully predicting gentrification could have many social and commercial applications; however, real estate sales are difficult to predict because they belong to a chaotic system comprised of intrinsic and extrinsic characteristics, perceived value, and market speculation. Using New York City real estate as our sub…

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗