Social learning can make financial markets inefficient, but individual learning can fix this.
problem Inefficiencies in financial markets due to social learning.
method Study of the Minority Game model with social and individual learning mechanisms.
result Individual learning can rescue a population from the inefficiencies caused by social learning.
Study online and offline social interactions using game theory.
problem Effects of online social networking on offline interactions and collective well-being.
method Evolutionary game theory approach to model socialization strategies.
result Self-protective behaviors can lead to non-socially optimal outcomes.
A deep learning strategy improves recommendation accuracy by leveraging trust and distrust relationships.
problem Data scarcity and cold-start problem in recommender systems.
method Social deep pairwise learning with a ranking loss function and social negative sampling.
result The proposed model achieves an 11.49% improvement over state-of-the-art methods.
When banks choose similar investment strategies the financial system becomes vulnerable to common shocks. We model a simple financial system in which banks decide about their investment strategy based on a private belief about the state of the world and a social belief formed from observing the actions of peers. Observ…
Optimized trading strategies from social media sentiment data.
problem Creating profitable trading strategies from financial sentiment analysis.
method Evolutionary optimization applied to sentiment data.
result Numerical results show optimal trading strategies for DJIA stocks.
Study fairness in vaccine allocation in social networks.
problem Fairness implications of vaccine allocation strategies in social networks.
method Defined precision disease control problem, used ML Fairness Gym to simulate and analyze.
result Different treatment strategies distribute disease burden differently across subgroups.
In this paper we focus on the beneficial role of random strategies in social sciences by means of simple mathematical and computational models. We briefly review recent results obtained by two of us in previous contributions for the case of the Peter principle and the efficiency of a Parliament. Then, we develop a new …
Social networks may manipulate users without regulatory oversight.
problem Manipulation of users by sophisticated curator algorithms.
method Analysis of machine learning and reinforcement learning techniques.
result Curator algorithms can learn and implement manipulative strategies.
Algorithmic trading strategy for Bitcoin using social media sentiment.
problem Inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale financial data.
method Integrating various data sources including economic and social signals to design trading strategies.
result Social media sentiment signals (polarization, valence) precede Bitcoin price increases.
StratLearner learns strategies to prevent misinformation in social networks.
problem Learning strategies to protect against misinformation in social networks without knowing the diffusion model.
method Structured prediction framework using random features and large margin method.
result Our method produces near-optimal protectors without diffusion model information and outperforms other methods.
Crowdsourcing and active learning reduce manual annotation in social media event classification.
problem Manual annotation is time-consuming and resource-intensive in social media event classification.
method Crowdsourcing pipeline combined with active learning strategies.
result Active learning strategies help reduce the number of tweets needed for classification.
New approach simulates reputation dynamics using information compression.
problem Malicious communication strategies in reputation networks.
method Uses information compression techniques to simulate social phenomena.
result Emergent phenomena like echo chambers and deception are observed.
China integrates ESG into corporate strategy for sustainable growth.
problem Corporate focus on short-term financial metrics.
method Deep integration of ESG principles into corporate culture and strategy.
result Companies are expected to fulfill social responsibilities and create long-term value.
Proposes a multi-modal attention network for better stock price prediction.
problem Predicting future stock movements using historical records and social media.
method Extracts semantic information from social media, estimates credibility, and integrates with numeric features.
result Significantly improved prediction accuracy and trading profits compared to previous methods.
NAS model improves social recommendation accuracy using neural attention.
problem Capturing and weighing friends' preferences in social recommendation systems.
method Proposes a Neural Attention mechanism (NAS) for Social collaborative filtering.
result NAS model outperforms state-of-the-art methods in publicly available datasets.
Study optimizes CT and microinsurance for efficient social protection in low-income countries.
problem Efficient targeting of cash transfers to reduce social protection costs in low-income countries.
method Modelled household capital dynamics using piecewise-deterministic Markov process, derived HJB equation for optimal injection, used dynamic programming.
result Optimal level of capital injection above poverty threshold for cost-effective social protection.
New research shows strategic classification harms individuals and society.
problem Strategic behavior in decision-making leads to unfair outcomes.
method Introducing a social burden metric, the study quantifies the negative externalities of strategic classification.
result Any increase in institutional utility leads to a corresponding increase in social burden.
Aims to optimize influence spread in social networks using bandit algorithms.
problem Maximizing influence spread in unknown social networks.
method Combines Thompson Sampling and Epsilon Greedy algorithms with automatic ensemble learning.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of automatic ensemble learning for combinatorial bandit problems.
Robot learns from multiple teachers to efficiently achieve various motor skill outcomes.
problem Efficiently learning motor skills from multiple teachers and strategies.
method Hierarchical active decisions based on empirical evaluation of learning progress.
result Significantly more efficient learning and coherent strategy selection.
Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.
problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.
New ESGM scores include a 'Missing' pillar to account for unpublished ESG data.
problem Unpublished ESG data affects the reliability of ESG scores.
method Formulated a new 'Missing' pillar and introduced ESGM scores.
result ESGM scores improve risk assessment and avoid exclusion of assets.
A new method uses CML to speed up social signal annotation.
problem Manual annotation of social signals in large multi-modal corpora is time-consuming and exhausting.
method CML techniques to predict local parts first, followed by a session-independent classification model.
result The method has the potential to significantly reduce human labelling efforts.
System detects controversial events on social media and impacts markets.
problem Lack of systematic data on company social consciousness and sustainability.
method Uses Twitter data to identify and validate controversial events.
result Validated controversial events impact market volatility.
Study tackles hate speech against journalists on social media.
problem Hate speech against journalists on social media remains prevalent despite efforts.
method Defined journalist-specific hate speech, annotated tweets, trained deep learning models, and proposed an ensemble model.
result Proposed ensemble model outperforms individual models in detecting journalist-targeted hate speech.
Algorithm combines ESG ratings with pairs trading for sustainable investing.
problem Lack of socially responsible investment solutions.
method Integrates ESG data with pairs trading strategy using technical indicators.
result Model generates positive returns while adhering to ESG principles.
This paper evaluates methods for predicting credit risk in social lending, especially for imbalanced data.
problem Predicting credit risk in imbalanced social lending environments.
method Empirical comparison of various classifier-resampling techniques, focusing on random forest and random under-sampling.
result Combining random forest and random under-sampling may be an effective strategy for predicting credit risk in social lending.
Study uses AI to analyze emojis for predicting cryptocurrency market trends.
problem Predicting cryptocurrency market trends using social media sentiment.
method Fine-tuned transformer-based BERT model for multimodal sentiment analysis of emojis.
result Emoji sentiment analysis outperforms text-only sentiment analysis in predicting market trends.
New study finds targeting based on treatment effects outperforms risk-based targeting in social interventions.
problem Lack of accurate treatment effect estimates for machine learning-based targeting in social domains.
method Empirical assessment of targeting strategies using data from 5 real-world RCTs in various domains.
result Treatment effect-based targeting outperforms risk-based targeting, even with biased estimates.
The paper explores fair machine learning policies for balancing competing objectives in noisy data.
problem Balancing competing objectives in noisy data.
method Analyzes a class of policies that trace an empirical Pareto frontier based on learned scores.
result Characterizes optimal strategies and bounds Pareto errors due to score inaccuracies.
The study proposes that people prioritize status maximization over simple profit maximization in social interactions.
problem The gap between competitive and altruistic human tendencies in social interactions.
method Agent-based model of repeated dictator games in a social network, considering living costs and infractions.
result Individual strategies in the game vary from selfish to selfless, influenced by model parameters.
Sentiment analysis from news and social media predicts forex market movements.
problem Forecasting forex market movements using sentiment analysis.
method Lexicon-based analysis and Naive Bayes machine learning.
result Sentiment analysis is effective in predicting forex market movements.
Optimizes when to post to maximize visibility in social networks.
problem Maximizing post visibility in online social networks.
method Temporal point processes model and convex optimization framework.
result Developed a method to find optimal posting times with provable guarantees.
Paper tackles online task allocation in multi-attribute social sensing.
problem Optimized task allocation in dynamic, multi-attribute social sensing.
method Quality-Cost-Aware Online Task Allocation (QCO-TA) scheme using online reinforcement learning.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in sensing accuracy and cost.
Indirect competition emerged from the complex organization of human societies, and knowledge of the existing network topology may aid in developing effective strategies for success. Here, we propose an agent-based model of competition with systems co-existing in a `small-world' social network. We show that within the r…
Algorithm ensures fair information spread in social networks with community structure.
problem Disparities in information coverage between communities in social networks.
method Fits a model to the social network, uses community structure, and determines optimal seed allocations for fair coverage.
result Empirical accuracy demonstrated on simulated and real networks.
The well-known Ising model used in statistical physics was adapted to a social dynamics context to simulate the adoption of a technological innovation. The model explicitly combines (a) an individual's perception of the advantages of an innovation and (b) social influence from members of the decision-maker's social net…
This paper studies two important signal processing aspects of equilibrium behavior in non-cooperative games arising in social networks, namely, reinforcement learning and detection of equilibrium play. The first part of the paper presents a reinforcement learning (adaptive filtering) algorithm that facilitates learning…
RLINK uses deep reinforcement learning to improve user identity linkage across social networks.
problem Recognizing the same user across different social networks.
method Converts user identity linkage into a sequence decision problem and uses deep reinforcement learning to optimize the linkage strategy.
result Achieves better performance than state-of-the-art methods in experiments on various datasets.
System detects social interactions in crowds using mobile phone sensors.
problem Detecting social interactions in crowded settings.
method Multi-modal mobile sensing (BLE, accelerometer, gyroscope) and machine learning.
result 77.8% precision and 86.5% recall for predicting social interactions.
PreBit predicts Bitcoin price movements using social media and financial data.
problem Predicting extreme price movements of Bitcoin due to its volatility and speculative trading.
method Hybrid model combining FinBERT embeddings of Twitter content with candlestick data and technical indicators.
result The hybrid model can predict significant market movements with a profitable trading strategy.
SIGNet creates embeddings for signed networks respecting social balance.
problem Lack of methods to embed signed networks considering edge polarities.
method SIGNet uses a targeted node sampling strategy to model social balance in signed networks.
result SIGNet outperforms existing methods on real-world signed network datasets.
New method learns distribution shifts caused by predictive models in social computing.
problem Learning distribution shifts due to predictive models in social computing.
method Reverse causal model with microfoundation for agents' actions.
result Effective in minimizing performative prediction risk.
Geometric deep learning detects fake news on social media.
problem Detecting fake news on social media due to lack of context understanding.
method Propagation-based geometric deep learning model.
result Highly accurate fake news detection (92.7% ROC AUC).
Optimizes lockdown strategies to balance economic activities and virus spread.
problem Balancing economic activities and virus spread during lockdowns.
method Modeling the pandemic as SEIR, applying Granovetter threshold model for social distancing, and using NSGA-II optimization.
result Optimal lockdown policies for ten weeks to minimize infections and economic impact.
The understanding of complex social or economic systems is an important scientific challenge. Here we present a comprehensive study of the Spanish Stock Exchange showing that most financial firms trading in that market are characterized by a resulting strategy and can be classified in groups of firms with different spe…
This study shows how social insects and machine learning methods share a common mathematical framework.
problem Understanding how decentralized systems achieve optimal decision-making.
method Developed a rigorous mathematical framework to show isomorphism between ant colonies and ensemble machine learning.
result Demonstrated that ant colony decision-making and random forest learning implement identical variance reduction strategies through decorrelation of identical units.
We optimize discounts to maximize influence spread in social networks.
problem Maximizing influence spread in social networks with fractional discounts.
method Developed an efficient (1-1/e)-approximation algorithm for NP-hard problem.
result Achieved an approximation of 1-1/e for influence maximization.
Model detects insurance fraud using social network analysis.
problem Fraudulent insurance claims by exaggeration or intentional damage.
method Network construction linking claims and parties, BiRank algorithm for fraud score computation, feature extraction from network and claims, supervised model building.
result Network features improve fraud detection performance.