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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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17335066 · Feb 202019922001200920172026
48 results for social surveys

Bayesian approach learns causal concepts from diverse social surveys.

problem Inferring causal concepts from heterogeneous data with sparse changes.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model with sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Model infers meaningful causal concepts and plausible relations.

Unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity and uplift modeling methods.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects and uplift modeling.
method Unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity and uplift modeling approaches.
result Unified notations for comparing methods and applications in personalized marketing, medicine, and social studies.

Investors prioritize ESG in crypto-assets, showing higher exposure than traditional assets.

problem Understanding ESG preferences in crypto-assets and their investment behavior.
method A representative household finance survey in Austria to examine ESG preferences and crypto-investment exposure.
result ESG-conscious investors have higher exposure to crypto-assets compared to traditional asset classes.

Spatial machine learning improves poverty targeting in Indonesia.

problem Conventional PMT methods have high exclusion and inclusion errors due to spatial dependencies and regional heterogeneity.
method Integrates spatial contiguity matrices into SML models to identify and compare poverty clusters.
result SML reduces exclusion errors from 28% to 20% compared to standard machine learning models.

This work surveys algorithmic recourse, aiming to clarify definitions and solutions.

problem Providing explanations and recommendations to individuals affected by automated decisions.
method Literature review and unified definitions, formulations, and solutions.
result Unified definitions and solutions for algorithmic recourse.

Graphs arise naturally in many real-world applications including social networks, recommender systems, ontologies, biology, and computational finance. Traditionally, machine learning models for graphs have been mostly designed for static graphs. However, many applications involve evolving graphs. This introduces import…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves active statistical inference by reducing noise.

problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimates in active sampling lead to noisy results.
method Robust sampling strategies that interpolate between uniform and active sampling based on uncertainty scores.
result The robust sampling ensures that the estimator is never worse than uniform sampling and usually outperforms active inference.

The paper tackles robust classification trees for distribution shifts, improving accuracy in public health and social work.

problem Learning robust classification trees for high-stakes settings with distribution shifts.
method Mixed-integer robust optimization technology to reformulate as a two-stage linear robust optimization problem.
result Increase of up to 12.48% in worst-case accuracy and 4.85% in average-case accuracy.

The increasing accessibility of data provides substantial opportunities for understanding user behaviors. Unearthing anomalies in user behaviors is of particular importance as it helps signal harmful incidents such as network intrusions, terrorist activities, and financial frauds. Many visual analytics methods have bee…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

In general, anomaly detection is the problem of distinguishing between normal data samples with well defined patterns or signatures and those that do not conform to the expected profiles. Financial transactions, customer reviews, social media posts are all characterized by relational information. In these networks, fra…

2019-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Social network analysis is an important problem in data mining. A fundamental step for analyzing social networks is to encode network data into low-dimensional representations, i.e., network embeddings, so that the network topology structure and other attribute information can be effectively preserved. Network represen…

2019-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey data imputation methods impact feature selection and importance assessment.

problem Impact of different imputation methods on feature selection and importance assessment in survey data.
method Investigated eight imputation methods (listwise deletion, MICE, missRanger, mixGBoost) and three learners (Random Forest, XGBoost, linear model) in a simulation study.
result Different imputation methods yield varying feature selection and importance assessments.

In recent years, we have been faced with a series of natural disasters causing a tremendous amount of financial, environmental, and human losses. The unpredictable nature of natural disasters' behavior makes it hard to have a comprehensive situational awareness (SA) to support disaster management. Using opinion surveys…

2019-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning algorithms for prediction are increasingly being used in critical decisions affecting human lives. Various fairness formalizations, with no firm consensus yet, are employed to prevent such algorithms from systematically discriminating against people based on certain attributes protected by law. The aim…

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum mechanics models human perception and decision-making, offering a new approach to understanding social dynamics.

problem Understanding the complex interactions between individuals and groups in social networks.
method Developed a simple computational code based on quantum mechanics principles to model human perception and decision-making.
result Quantum-inspired models can help explain differences in individual and group behavior.

This article provides the first survey of computational models of emotion in reinforcement learning (RL) agents. The survey focuses on agent/robot emotions, and mostly ignores human user emotions. Emotions are recognized as functional in decision-making by influencing motivation and action selection. Therefore, computa…

2017-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph kernels have attracted a lot of attention during the last decade, and have evolved into a rapidly developing branch of learning on structured data. During the past 20 years, the considerable research activity that occurred in the field resulted in the development of dozens of graph kernels, each focusing on speci…

2019-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This survey clarifies dynamic network terminology and reviews GNN models for dynamic networks.

problem Ambiguity in dynamic network terminology and lack of GNN models for dynamic networks.
method Established consistent terminology and notation for dynamic networks, reviewed GNN models.
result Comprehensive survey of dynamic graph neural network models.

With the widespread use of information technologies, information networks are becoming increasingly popular to capture complex relationships across various disciplines, such as social networks, citation networks, telecommunication networks, and biological networks. Analyzing these networks sheds light on different aspe…

2017-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study highlights fairness issues in travel behavior prediction models.

problem Ethical challenges in travel behavior analysis using machine learning.
method Operationalized computational fairness by equality of opportunity; compared DNN and DCM; introduced absolute correlation regularization.
result Both DNN and DCM predict disparities across social groups, with DNN outperforming DCM in prediction disparities.

Fuzzy Forests reduces feature space in high-dimensional survey data.

problem High-dimensional and highly correlated datasets in social science.
method Fuzzy Forests algorithm, a variant of Random Forests.
result Partisan polarization was the strongest factor in the 2020 presidential election.

New estimator improves statistical validity of synthetic data integration.

problem Combining synthetic data generated by large language models with real data for valid inference.
method Generalized method of moments estimator with theoretical guarantees.
result Improves estimates of target parameter through interactions between synthetic and real data.

Bitcoin price prediction models fail to outperform a simple 'today's price' baseline, especially at longer horizons.

problem Lack of robust models that consistently outperform a naive price predictor at various horizons.
method Surveyed peer-reviewed papers, categorized by evaluation methodology, contrasted with social media discourse, and proposed methodological standards.
result No peer-reviewed study has shown robust superiority over the naive baseline across multiple market regimes at short-to-medium horizons.

Innovation is among the key factors driving a country's economic and social growth. But what are the factors that make a country innovative? How do they differ across different parts of the world and different stages of development? In this work done in collaboration with the World Economic Forum (WEF), we analyze the …

2016-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The random dot product graph (RDPG) is an independent-edge random graph that is analytically tractable and, simultaneously, either encompasses or can successfully approximate a wide range of random graphs, from relatively simple stochastic block models to complex latent position graphs. In this survey paper, we describ…

2017-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

cMCA uses contrastive learning to identify latent subgroups in political party data.

problem Identifying latent subgroups within political party data.
method Contrastive learning applied to multiple correspondence analysis (MCA).
result cMCA identifies latent subgroups not seen by traditional methods.

Real-world networks usually have community structure, that is, nodes are grouped into densely connected communities. Community detection is one of the most popular and best-studied research topics in network science and has attracted attention in many different fields, including computer science, statistics, social sci…

2018-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Relational data representations have become an increasingly important topic due to the recent proliferation of network datasets (e.g., social, biological, information networks) and a corresponding increase in the application of statistical relational learning (SRL) algorithms to these domains. In this article, we exami…

2012-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Germany's tax admin costs likely exceed 20% of total revenue, requiring system improvement.

problem High tax administrative costs in Germany and other jurisdictions.
method Statistical data, surveys, and a novel approach to measure total administrative cost as a percentage of total tax revenue.
result Germany's 2021 tax administrative costs likely exceeded 20% of total tax revenue.

Study explores factors influencing saving behavior among Dhaka employees.

problem Factors influencing saving behavior among Dhaka employees.
method Quantitative approach with cross-sectional survey design, structured questionnaire, descriptive statistics, reliability analysis, regression analysis.
result Only financial management practices had a significant positive relationship with saving behavior.

Blood glucose value prediction is an important task in diabetes management. While it is reported that glucose concentration is sensitive to social context such as mood, physical activity, stress, diet, alongside the influence of diabetes pathologies, we need more research on data and methodologies to incorporate and ev…

2019-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce Thurstonian Boltzmann Machines (TBM), a unified architecture that can naturally incorporate a wide range of data inputs at the same time. Our motivation rests in the Thurstonian view that many discrete data types can be considered as being generated from a subset of underlying latent continuous variables, …

2014-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗