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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for social cost

Subsidized insurance reduces poverty by providing social benefits and lowering government costs.

problem Reducing poverty through effective social protection mechanisms.
method Modeling household capital dynamics under four insurance frameworks (uninsured, insured, insured with subsidies, insured with flexible premiums) to assess poverty reduction and governmental costs.
result Subsidized insurance schemes provide maximum social benefits while reducing governmental costs, effectively reducing poverty.

New framework for online influencer selection considering cost constraints.

problem Real-world social advertising budget limitations and cost variability of influencers.
method Introduces a budgeted framework for online influence maximization using an algorithm with semi-bandit feedback.
result Improves the state of the art regret bound for cardinality constraint setting.

Study optimizes CT and microinsurance for efficient social protection in low-income countries.

problem Efficient targeting of cash transfers to reduce social protection costs in low-income countries.
method Modelled household capital dynamics using piecewise-deterministic Markov process, derived HJB equation for optimal injection, used dynamic programming.
result Optimal level of capital injection above poverty threshold for cost-effective social protection.

Study compares two market clearing methods for European power markets.

problem Optimizing market clearing for European power markets considering cost and social welfare.
method Introduces Cost Minimization and Social Welfare Maximization models, and four algorithms to solve the CM model.
result Cost Minimization reduces market power and decreases total procurement cost.

Consequential decision-making typically incentivizes individuals to behave strategically, tailoring their behavior to the specifics of the decision rule. A long line of work has therefore sought to counteract strategic behavior by designing more conservative decision boundaries in an effort to increase robustness to th…

2018-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New analysis shows rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to catastrophic risk.

problem Rational actors will deploy AGI despite negative social value due to shared catastrophic risk.
method Continuous-time preemption game with shared catastrophic externalities, showing suicide region and welfare distortion.
result The suicide region widens as catastrophic risk grows, and two mechanisms can close it.

Spatially-sparse predictors are good models for brain decoding: they give accurate predictions and their weight maps are interpretable as they focus on a small number of regions. However, the state of the art, based on total variation or graph-net, is computationally costly. Here we introduce sparsity in the local neig…

2016-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Since the events of the Arab Spring, there has been increased interest in using social media to anticipate social unrest. While efforts have been made toward automated unrest prediction, we focus on filtering the vast volume of tweets to identify tweets relevant to unrest, which can be provided to downstream users for …

2017-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Social media are nowadays one of the main news sources for millions of people around the globe due to their low cost, easy access and rapid dissemination. This however comes at the cost of dubious trustworthiness and significant risk of exposure to 'fake news', intentionally written to mislead the readers. Automaticall…

2019-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study allocates resources to strategic agents while balancing cost and incentives.

problem Dynamic allocation of reusable resources to strategic agents with private valuations under long-term cost constraints.
method Incentive-aware framework combining epoch-based lazy updates and randomized exploration rounds.
result Achieves ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) social welfare regret, satisfies all cost constraints, and ensures incentive alignment.

Germany's tax admin costs likely exceed 20% of total revenue, requiring system improvement.

problem High tax administrative costs in Germany and other jurisdictions.
method Statistical data, surveys, and a novel approach to measure total administrative cost as a percentage of total tax revenue.
result Germany's 2021 tax administrative costs likely exceeded 20% of total tax revenue.

We study the inverse optimal control problem in social sciences: we aim at learning a user's true cost function from the observed temporal behavior. In contrast to traditional phenomenological works that aim to learn a generative model to fit the behavioral data, we propose a novel variational principle and treat user …

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

When consequential decisions are informed by algorithmic input, individuals may feel compelled to alter their behavior in order to gain a system's approval. Models of agent responsiveness, termed "strategic manipulation," analyze the interaction between a learner and agents in a world where all agents are equally able …

2018-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

BERT improved for propaganda detection with imbalanced, dissimilar data.

problem BERT struggles with dissimilar imbalanced datasets in propaganda detection.
method Cost-sensitive BERT with dissimilarity measure for imbalanced, dissimilar datasets.
result Achieved second-highest score on sentence-level propaganda classification.

Defines an implied CO2-price to cover climate change costs, finding it significantly higher than the SCC.

problem The social cost of carbon (SCC) does not fully cover climate change costs.
method Defines an implied CO2-price as a 'polluter pays principle' and calculates its value using a DICE model.
result The cost-implied CO2 price is around 500/tCO2,comparedto50/tCO2, compared to 50/tCO2 for SCC.

Fine-tuned open-source LLMs match or exceed closed-source models in social science research.

problem Limited scalability and high costs of large LLMs in social science research.
method Fine-tuning open-source models for specific tasks, exploring training set size effects, proposing hybrid workflow.
result Small, fine-tuned open-source LLMs achieve equal or superior performance to commercial alternatives.

New methods solve graph sparsity optimization problems faster.

problem Complex graph sparsity optimization problems in disease outbreak monitoring and social network analysis.
method Stochastic variance-reduced gradient-based methods GraphSVRG-IHT and GraphSCSG-IHT.
result Our methods achieve linear convergence speed.

Statistical test evaluates if personalizing interventions is cost-effective.

problem Balancing the benefits of personalizing interventions with their potential costs.
method Developed a statistical hypothesis test to assess the performance of personalized interventions.
result The test shows that personalized interventions can outperform standard approaches under certain conditions.

Bitcoin price prediction models fail to outperform a simple 'today's price' baseline, especially at longer horizons.

problem Lack of robust models that consistently outperform a naive price predictor at various horizons.
method Surveyed peer-reviewed papers, categorized by evaluation methodology, contrasted with social media discourse, and proposed methodological standards.
result No peer-reviewed study has shown robust superiority over the naive baseline across multiple market regimes at short-to-medium horizons.

Study finds Aave token network has core-periphery structure, with high decentralization predicting better returns.

problem Understanding the actual decentralization in DeFi token transactions on the Ethereum blockchain.
method Applied social network analysis to measure decentralization in Aave token transactions.
result A more decentralized Aave token network predicts higher returns and lower volatility.

The well-known theorem of Dybvig, Ingersoll and Ross shows that the long zero-coupon rate can never fall. This result, which, although undoubtedly correct, has been regarded by many as surprising, stems from the implicit assumption that the long-term discount function has an exponential tail. We revisit the problem in …

2013-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Fair k-means algorithm ensures equitable costs for different groups.

problem K-means clustering can result in biased outcomes for subgroups of data.
method Presented a fair k-means objective and algorithm (Fair-Lloyd) to choose cluster centers that provide equitable costs for different groups.
result Fair-Lloyd algorithm ensures all groups have equal costs in the output k-clustering, with negligible increase in running time.

The aim of this paper is to develop a general framework for training neural networks (NNs) in a distributed environment, where training data is partitioned over a set of agents that communicate with each other through a sparse, possibly time-varying, connectivity pattern. In such distributed scenario, the training prob…

2016-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

PHASE dataset simulates complex social interactions in physical environments.

problem Lack of datasets for evaluating physically grounded perception of complex social interactions.
method Created PHASE dataset of 2D animations with procedural generation and physics engine.
result SIMPLE model outperforms neural networks in recognizing complex social interactions.

New algorithm reduces high-dimensional data processing costs and achieves true sparsity.

problem High computational costs and difficulty in achieving true sparsity in distributed inference.
method Two-stage distributed best subset selection with oracle property.
result Correctly finds true sparsity pattern and achieves the oracle property.

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces of human behavior offer a great potential to drive trading strategies. We contrib…

2015-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗