A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Geometric Brownian motion simulates stock prices for Brazilian small caps index.
Study shows survivorship bias inflates returns in India's small-cap index.
Study examines Indian equity mutual funds' investment style and risk-shifting.
This study improves mid-cap equity performance with a data-driven, market-neutral approach.
We find that when measured in terms of dollar-turnover, and once -neutralised and Low-Vol neutralised, the Size Effect is alive and well. With a long term t-stat of , the "Cold-Minus-Hot" (CMH) anomaly is certainly not less significant than other well-known factors such as Value or Quality. As compared to marke…
Researchers have used many different methods to detect the possibility of long-term dependence (long memory) in stock market returns, but evidence is in general mixed. In this paper, three different tests, (namely Rescaled Range (R/S), its modified form, and the semi-parametric method (GPH)), in addition to a new appro…
The MAXFLAT low-pass filter improves factor adjustment for better portfolio performance in China's stock market.
In this paper, we analyze Twitter signals as a medium for user sentiment to predict the price fluctuations of a small-cap alternative cryptocurrency called \emph{ZClassic}. We extracted tweets on an hourly basis for a period of 3.5 weeks, classifying each tweet as positive, neutral, or negative. We then compiled these …
Study reveals how investor flows impact stock prices, especially during herding episodes.
A new method uses GATs to optimise portfolios of mid-cap firms, outperforming traditional methods.
This article develops the theory of risk budgeting portfolios, when we would like to impose weight constraints. It appears that the mathematical problem is more complex than the traditional risk budgeting problem. The formulation of the optimization program is particularly critical in order to determine the right risk …
The study extends SPT to account for real-world transaction costs, improving portfolio performance.
Study reveals opacity in insider sales, leading to inefficiencies in capital allocation.
Composite development indicators used in policy making often subjectively aggregate a restricted set of indicators. We show, using dimensionality reduction techniques, including Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and for the first time information filtering and hierarchical clustering, that these composite indicators m…
Optimal text-based indices track VIX and inflation.
Indices of vector fields and 1-forms studied for singular varieties and actions.
We analyzed cross-correlations between price fluctuations of global financial indices (20 daily stock indices over the world) and local indices (daily indices of 200 companies in the Korean stock market) by using random matrix theory (RMT). We compared eigenvalues and components of the largest and the second largest ei…
This study examined how the correlation and network structure of 30 global indices and 145 local Korean indices belonging to the KOSPI 200 have changed during the 13-year period, 2000-2012. The correlations among the indices were calculated. The results showed that although the average correlations of the global indice…
Financial market created for wellbeing indices to mitigate socioeconomic risks.
We study the dynamic interactions and structural changes in global financial indices in the years 1998-2012. We apply a principal component analysis (PCA) to cross-correlation coefficients of the stock indices. We calculate the correlations between principal components (PCs) and each asset, known as PC coefficients. A …
Financial markets worldwide do not have the same working hours. As a consequence, the study of correlation or causality between financial market indices becomes dependent on wether we should consider in computations of correlation matrices all indices in the same day or lagged indices. The answer this article proposes …
The paper shows how reducible complexes affect local indicability.
New Monte Carlo method outperforms existing strategy for estimating Sobol' indices.
Invariants for virtual and twisted links using affine indices.
Investigates local indicability of groups with circle homology presentations.
We apply RMT, Network and MF-DFA methods to investigate correlation, network and multifractal properties of 20 global financial indices. We compare results before and during the financial crisis of 2008 respectively. We find that the network method gives more useful information about the formation of clusters as compar…
Novel approach detects early warning indicators in complex systems.
A non-parametric method for ranking stock indices according to their mutual causal influences is presented. Under the assumption that indices reflect the underlying economy of a country, such a ranking indicates which countries exert the most economic influence in an examined subset of the global economy. The proposed …
In unsupervised machine learning, agreement between partitions is commonly assessed with so-called external validity indices. Researchers tend to use and report indices that quantify agreement between two partitions for all clusters simultaneously. Commonly used examples are the Rand index and the adjusted Rand index. …
New algorithm forecasts health indicators for better equipment lifespan prediction.
New indices for determining cluster compactness and separability.
Study fragility in global financial indices using network analysis.
We define analytic indices which involve the eta form and the analytic torsion form. We show that these indices are independent of the geometric choices made in their definitions, and hence are topological in nature.
Study shows HFT improves market liquidity indicators.
This research simplifies computation of feature attribution methods under certain conditions.
The paper introduces a new financial market for environmental indices to attract investors.
This research finds three meta-indicators for university rankings.
In this paper we present a theoretical framework for studying coherent acceptability indices in a dynamic setup. We study dynamic coherent acceptability indices and dynamic coherent risk measures, and we establish a duality between them. We derive a representation theorem for dynamic coherent risk measures in terms of …
The study analyzes performance indices for class-imbalanced data and identifies conditions they must meet.
We propose a new indicator for technical analysis. The indicator emphasizes maximums and minimums in price series with inherent smoothing and has a potential to be useful in both mechanical trading rules and chart pattern analysis.
We give a formula to calculate the indices of special (non-totally geodesic) minimal orbits of Hermann actions. Also, we give examples of such minimal orbits of Hermann actions and calculate their indices by using the formula.
New parities defined on virtual knots linked to crossing indices.
Improved MACD trading strategies with other indicators for better performance.
Generalizes Collins' theorem to products of locally indicable groups.
Study finds traditional technical indicators underperform in high-frequency trading, suggesting risk management over prediction.
This paper provides a unified framework, which allows, in particular, to study the structure of dynamic monetary risk measures and dynamic acceptability indices. The main mathematical tool, which we use here, and which allows us to significantly generalize existing results is the theory of -modules. In the first p…
Gittins indices provide an optimal solution to the classical multi-armed bandit problem. An obstacle to their use has been the common perception that their computation is very difficult. This paper demonstrates an accessible general methodology for the calculating Gittins indices for the multi-armed bandit with a detai…
Study shows diverse data sources improve cryptocurrency forecasting models.