A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A new approach is presented to describe the change in the statistics of the log return distribution of financial data as a function of the timescale. To this purpose a measure is introduced, which quantifies the distance of a considered distribution to a reference distribution. The existence of a small timescale regime…
Sharp stability of Alexandrov's theorem for C1 domains in the small-excess regime
problem Stability of Alexandrov's theorem for C1 domains in the small-excess regime
method Combines a BV version of Fuglede's spectral-gap argument, a star-shaped rearrangement for sets of finite perimeter, quantitative estimates for the part of the boundary contained in the tentacles, and a polyhedral approximation argument for the non-graphical region
result Sharp stability estimate in a genuinely non-parametric regime
The intraday pattern, long memory, and multifractal nature of the intertrade durations, which are defined as the waiting times between two consecutive transactions, are investigated based upon the limit order book data and order flows of 23 liquid Chinese stocks listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003. An inverse…
Log-normal continuous random cascades form a class of multifractal processes that has already been successfully used in various fields. Several statistical issues related to this model are studied. We first make a quick but extensive review of their main properties and show that most of these properties can be analytic…
We find the wealth distribution for an economic agent in the financial market, in analogy with standard derivation of generaliz Boltzman (Tsallis) factor in statistical mechanics. In this respect, Tsallis entropic index separates two different regimes, the large and small size market. The Pareto like wealth distributio…
A model of open economics composed of producers and speculators is investigated by numerical simulations. The capital flows from the environment to the producers and from them to the speculators. The price fluctuations are suppressed by the speculators. When the aggressivity of the speculators grows, there is a transit…
In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models in regimes where the maturity is small, but large compared to the mean-reversion time of the stochastic volatility factor. The problem falls in the class of averaging/homogenization problems for nonlinear HJB-type equations where the "fast variable" lives in a noncom…
The study identifies conditions under which algorithmic stability explains generalization in interpolating learning systems.
problem Understanding when algorithmic stability explains generalization in interpolating learning systems.
method Modeling training as a function-space trajectory and measuring sensitivity to single-sample perturbations.
result There exist interpolating regimes with small risk where contractive sensitivity cannot hold, showing that stability is not a universal explanation.
We train a network to generate mappings between training sets and classification policies (a 'classifier generator') by conditioning on the entire training set via an attentional mechanism. The network is directly optimized for test set performance on an training set of related tasks, which is then transferred to unsee…
We study fractional stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function σ of a continuous Gaussian process B. Forde and Zhang established a large deviation principle for the log-price process in such a model under the assumptions that the function σ is globally…
We consider call option prices in diffusion models close to expiry, in an asymptotic regime ("moderately out of the money") that interpolates between the well-studied cases of at-the-money options and out-of-the-money fixed-strike options. First and higher order small-time moderate deviation estimates of call prices an…
We investigate the problem of optimal dividend distribution for a company in the presence of regime shifts. We consider a company whose cumulative net revenues evolve as a Brownian motion with positive drift that is modulated by a finite state Markov chain, and model the discount rate as a deterministic function of the…
We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model which is a popular stochastic volatility model that is widely used in financial practice. Our time discretization is a variant of the Euler-Maruyama scheme. We study its asymptotic properties in the limit of a large number of time steps under a certai…
Deep neural networks have had an enormous impact on image analysis. State-of-the-art training methods, based on weight decay and DropOut, result in impressive performance when a very large training set is available. However, they tend to have large problems overfitting to small data sets. Indeed, the available regulari…
The vision for precision medicine is to use individual patient characteristics to inform a personalized treatment plan that leads to the best healthcare possible for each patient. Mobile technologies have an important role to play in this vision as they offer a means to monitor a patient's health status in real-time an…
We derive a small-time expansion for out-of-the-money call options under an exponential Levy model, using the small-time expansion for the distribution function given in Figueroa-Lopez & Houdre (2009), combined with a change of numéraire via the Esscher transform. In particular, we quantify find that the effect of a no…
We consider a stochastic volatility model which captures relevant stylized facts of financial series, including the multi-scaling of moments. The volatility evolves according to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with super-linear mean reversion. Using large deviations techniques, we determine the asymptotic sh…
In this paper we introduce Feature Gradients, a gradient-based search algorithm for feature selection. Our approach extends a recent result on the estimation of learnability in the sublinear data regime by showing that the calculation can be performed iteratively (i.e., in mini-batches) and in linear time and space wit…