arXiv research

In this paper we investigate the small time heat kernel asymptotics on the cut locus on a class of surfaces of revolution, which are the simplest 2-dimensional Riemannian manifolds different from the sphere with non trivial cut-conjugate locus. We determine the degeneracy of the exponential map near a cut-conjugate poi…

We consider the class of self-similar Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and compute the small-time (near-maturity) asymptotics for the corresponding asset price density, the call and put pricing functions, and the implied volatilities. Unlike the well-known model-free behavior for extreme-strike asymptotics, small…

Researchers calculate entropy of heat kernel on manifolds for very small times.

In this paper we study the small time asymptotics for the heat kernel on a sub-Riemannian manifold, using a perturbative approach. We then explicitly compute, in the case of a 3D contact structure, the first two coefficients of the small time asymptotics expansion of the heat kernel on the diagonal, expressing them in …

The paper solves heat kernel asymptotics on non-degenerate CR manifolds.

Improved option pricing for SABR model using Gauss-Hermite quadrature.

We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model which is a popular stochastic volatility model that is widely used in financial practice. Our time discretization is a variant of the Euler-Maruyama scheme. We study its asymptotic properties in the limit of a large number of time steps under a certai…

Small bubbles sliding on a boundary maintain half-spherical shape.

New theorem shows curvature concentration depends linearly on volume ratio.

We compute the small time asymptotic of the fundamental solution of Hörmander's type hypoelliptic operators with drift, at a stationary point, $x_0$, of the drift field. We show that the order of the asymptotic depends on the controllability of an associated control problem and of its approximating system. If the contr…

We study the small time asymptotics of the gradient and Hessian of the logarithm of the heat kernel at the cut locus, giving, in principle, complete expansions for both quantities. We relate the leading terms of the expansions to the structure of the cut locus, especially to conjugacy, and we provide a probabilistic in…

We prove a perturbative result concerning the uniqueness of Kerr-Newman family of black holes: given an asymptotically flat space-time with bifurcate horizons, if it agrees with a non-extremal Kerr-Newman space-time asymptotically flat at infinity and it is sufficiently close to the Kerr-Newman family, then the space-t…

We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale. This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We show that if $S$ has a continuous part, the leading term is of order $\sqrt{T}$ in time $…

Motivated by marginals-mimicking results for Itô processes via SDEs and by their applications to volatility modeling in finance, we discuss the weak convergence of the law of a hypoelliptic diffusions conditioned to belong to a target affine subspace at final time, namely $\mathcal{L}(Z_t|Y_t = y)$ if $X_{\cdot}=(Y_\cd…

We consider the problem of optimizing the expected logarithmic utility of the value of a portfolio in a binomial model with proportional transaction costs with a long time horizon. By duality methods, we can find expressions for the boundaries of the no-trade-region and the asymptotic optimal growth rate, which can be …

Study on heat content for domains with fractal boundaries.

We consider the heat equation associated with a class of hypoelliptic operators of Kolmogorov-Fokker-Planck type in dimension two. We explicitly compute the first meaningful coefficient of the small time asymptotic expansion of the heat kernel on the diagonal, and we interpret it in terms of curvature-like invariants o…

Two major financial market complexities are transaction costs and uncertain volatility, and we analyze their joint impact on the problem of portfolio optimization. When volatility is constant, the transaction costs optimal investment problem has a long history, especially in the use of asymptotic approximations when th…

We study the heat trace for both the drifting Laplacian as well as Schrödinger operators on compact Riemannian manifolds. In the case of a finite regularity potential or weight function, we prove the existence of a partial (six term) asymptotic expansion of the heat trace for small times as well as a suitable remainder…

We derive asymptotic expansions for option data to detect infinite variation volatility.

We compute a sharp small-time estimate for the price of a basket call under a bi-variate SABR model with both $β$ parameters equal to $1$ and three correlation parameters, which extends the work of Bayer,Friz&Laurence [BFL14] for the multivariate Black-Scholes flat vol model. The result follows from the heat kernel on …

Asymptotic expansions for call prices and implied volatilities in exponential Lévy models.

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a Lévy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are given in the form of a first-order term and a precise computable error bound. As an …

The paper analyzes heat kernel asymptotics for real powers of Laplacians on manifolds.

We study the utility indifference price of a European option in the context of small transaction costs. Considering the general setup allowing consumption and a general utility function at final time T, we obtain an asymptotic expansion of the utility indifference price as a function of the asymptotic expansions of the…

Instantaneous volatility of logarithmic return in the lognormal fractional SABR model is driven by the exponentiation of a correlated fractional Brownian motion. Due to the mixed nature of driving Brownian and fractional Brownian motions, probability density for such a model is less studied in the literature. We show i…

Motivated by the foliation by stable spheres with constant mean curvature constructed by Huisken-Yau, Metzger proved that every initial data set can be foliated by spheres with constant expansion (CE) if the manifold is asymptotically equal to the standard [t=0]-timeslice of the Schwarzschild solution. In this paper, w…

This paper studies the properties of discrete time stochastic optimal control problems associated with portfolio selection. We investigate if optimal continuous time strategies can be used effectively for a discrete time market after a straightforward discretization. We found that Merton's strategy approximates the per…

A small-time Edgeworth expansion of the density of an asset price is given under a general stochastic volatility model, from which asymptotic expansions of put option prices and at-the-money implied volatilities follow. A limit theorem for at-the-money implied volatility skew and curvature is also given as a corollary.…

We study the dynamics of the normal implied volatility in a local volatility model, using a small-time expansion in powers of maturity T. At leading order in this expansion, the asymptotics of the normal implied volatility is similar, up to a different definition of the moneyness, to that of the log-normal volatility. …

In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models in regimes where the maturity is small, but large compared to the mean-reversion time of the stochastic volatility factor. The problem falls in the class of averaging/homogenization problems for nonlinear HJB-type equations where the "fast variable" lives in a noncom…

Study spectral properties of sub-Riemannian Laplacians, proving quantum ergodicity and heat kernel asymptotics.

Connectedness of small clusters in Riemannian and Finsler manifolds proven.

We consider the problem of portfolio optimization in a simple incomplete market and under a general utility function. By working with the associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman partial differential equation (HJB PDE), we obtain a closed-form formula for a trading strategy which approximates the optimal trading strategy whe…

We prove here a general closed-form expansion formula for forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in a large class of models, including the Heston stochastic volatility and time-changed exponential Lévy models. This expansion applies to both small and large maturities and is based solely on the p…

CAT(0) spaces with small volume growth are homeomorphic to Euclidean space.

We investigate the general structure of optimal investment and consumption with small proportional transaction costs. For a safe asset and a risky asset with general continuous dynamics, traded with random and time-varying but small transaction costs, we derive simple formal asymptotics for the optimal policy and welfa…

The paper proves the stability of a flow in Schwarzschild space.

We provide a thorough analysis of the path-dependent volatility model introduced by Guyon \cite{G17}, proving existence and uniqueness of a strong solution, characterising its behaviour at boundary points, providing asymptotic closed-form option prices as well as deriving small-time behaviour estimates.

Dynamic hedging of an European option under a general local volatility model with small linear transaction costs is studied. A continuous control version of Leland's strategy that asymptotically replicates the payoff is constructed. An associated central limit theorem of hedging error is proved. The asymptotic error va…

Analyzes Lévy flights on manifolds for finding small targets.

Study leading-order asymptotics for VIX option prices in Bergomi models.

We introduce and study new spectral invariant of two elliptic partial differential operators of Laplace and Dirac type on compact smooth manifolds without boundary that depends on both the eigenvalues and the eigensections of the operators, which is a equal to the regularized number of created particles from the vacuum…

Study small-time CLTs for stochastic Volterra equations with various kernels.

This study presents new analytic approximations of the stochastic-alpha-beta-rho (SABR) model. Unlike existing studies that focus on the equivalent Black-Scholes (BS) volatility, we instead derive the equivalent constant-elasticity-of-variance (CEV) volatility. Our approach effectively reduces the approximation error i…

Gradient-based temporal difference (GTD) algorithms are widely used in off-policy learning scenarios. Among them, the two time-scale TD with gradient correction (TDC) algorithm has been shown to have superior performance. In contrast to previous studies that characterized the non-asymptotic convergence rate of TDC only…

We provide an asymptotic expansion of the value function of a multidimensional utility maximization problem from consumption with small non-linear price impact. In our model cross-impacts between assets are allowed. In the limit for small price impact, we determine the asymptotic expansion of the value function around …

This paper deals with the notion of a large financial market and the concepts of asymptotic arbitrage and strong asymptotic arbitrage (both of the first kind), introduced by Yu.M. Kabanov and D.O. Kramkov. We show that the arbitrage properties of a large market are completely determined by the asymptotic behavior of th…