Efficient online kernel CUSUM detects changes quickly and accurately.
arXiv research
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We derive a small-time expansion for out-of-the-money call options under an exponential Levy model, using the small-time expansion for the distribution function given in Figueroa-Lopez & Houdre (2009), combined with a change of numéraire via the Esscher transform. In particular, we quantify find that the effect of a no…
Study identifies change points in piecewise constant reward functions with fixed exploration budget.
Image classifiers are sensitive to small changes, affecting most images in a class.
Minor changes in the exposition and small corrections on the previous version.
Geometric pruning rules improve change point detection in multiple time series.
New method detects changes in high-dimensional data from small samples.
We investigate online convex optimization in changing environments, and choose the adaptive regret as the performance measure. The goal is to achieve a small regret over every interval so that the comparator is allowed to change over time. Different from previous works that only utilize the convexity condition, this pa…
Study examines how slight model changes affect multi-period optimization outcomes.
The paper proves a biharmonic hypersurface in a hemisphere must be a small sphere.
New iterative method solves Yamabe problem on small domains.
We develop a monitoring procedure to detect changes in a large approximate factor model. Letting be the number of common factors, we base our statistics on the fact that the -th eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix is bounded under the null of no change, whereas it becomes spiked under cha…
Reduces change detection to estimation using confidence sequences.
Proposes indifference pricing to estimate weak information value.
The Renormalisation Group (RG) provides a framework in which it is possible to assess whether a deep-learning network is sensitive to small changes in the input data and hence prone to error, or susceptible to adversarial attack. Distinct classification outputs are associated with different RG fixed points and sensitiv…
Online change-point detection (OCPD) is important for application in various areas such as finance, biology, and the Internet of Things (IoT). However, OCPD faces major challenges due to high-dimensionality, and it is still rarely studied in literature. In this paper, we propose a novel, online, graph-based, change-poi…
Study shows IRM framework can be unstable with small changes, leading to worse generalization.
Novel graph-spanning algorithm detects changes in high-dimensional data.
One significant challenge to scaling entity resolution algorithms to massive datasets is understanding how performance changes after moving beyond the realm of small, manually labeled reference datasets. Unlike traditional machine learning tasks, when an entity resolution algorithm performs well on small hold-out datas…
New algorithm detects changes in high-dimensional data with mean and variance.
In this study we examine the evolution of price, volume, and the bid-ask spread after extreme 15 minute intraday price changes on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find that due to strong behavioral trading there is an overreaction. Furthermore we find that volatility which increases sharply at the event decays according to …
Study reveals trade dynamics in dry bulk shipping networks, highlighting their randomness and periodic changes.
The change in Holographic entanglement entropy (HEE) for small fluctuations about pure anti De Sitter (AdS) is obtained by a perturbative expansion of the area functional in terms of the change in the bulk metric and the embedded extremal surface. However, it is known that change in the embedding appears in second orde…
The paper explores how word embeddings affect the stability of downstream NLP models.
We present a new and easy-to-implement sequential sampling method for CGMY processes with either finite or infinite variation, exploiting the time change representation of the CGMY model and a decomposition of its time change. We find that the time change can be decomposed into two independent components. While the fir…
This paper explores tradeoffs between invariance and sensitivity in adversarial examples.
Study on blow-up behavior of sign-changing solutions for Yamabe equation.
New algorithms detect and react to multiple change points in online learning.
Many problems on signal processing reduce to nonparametric function estimation. We propose a new methodology, piecewise convex fitting (PCF), and give a two-stage adaptive estimate. In the first stage, the number and location of the change points is estimated using strong smoothing. In the second stage, a constrained s…
Graphs can be fooled by small edge changes, but this work protects them.
Develops efficient method for updating models with small data changes.
Study on insurance risk management and sustainable development.
To recover a sparse signal from an underdetermined system, we often solve a constrained L1-norm minimization problem. In many cases, the signal sparsity and the recovery performance can be further improved by replacing the L1 norm with a "weighted" L1 norm. Without any prior information about nonzero elements of the si…
We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible with uncorrelated random price changes. We then identify the principal components o…
Despite remarkable successes, Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is not robust to hyperparameterization, implementation details, or small environment changes (Henderson et al. 2017, Zhang et al. 2018). Overcoming such sensitivity is key to making DRL applicable to real world problems. In this paper, we identify sensitiv…
CBN improves batch normalization for small mini-batch sizes.
Cross-validation pitfalls in change-point regression are addressed with new approaches.
Evaluates change point detection algorithms on real-world data.
Motivation: Proteins are known to undergo conformational changes in the course of their functions. The changes in conformation are often attributable to a small fraction of residues within the protein. Therefore identification of these variable regions is important for an understanding of protein function. Results: We …
The common wisdom argues that, in general, large trades cause large price changes, while small trades cause small price changes. However, for extremely large price changes, the trade size and news play a minor role, while the liquidity (especially price gaps on the limit order book) is a more influencing factor. Hence,…
Defense against small image patches using occlusions.
A new approach is presented to describe the change in the statistics of the log return distribution of financial data as a function of the timescale. To this purpose a measure is introduced, which quantifies the distance of a considered distribution to a reference distribution. The existence of a small timescale regime…
Detect changes in noisy dynamical systems using empirical approximations and finite-sample bounds.
We demonstrate that graphs embedded on surfaces are a powerful and practical tool to generate, characterize and simulate networks with a broad range of properties. Remarkably, the study of topologically embedded graphs is non-restrictive because any network can be embedded on a surface with sufficiently high genus. The…
An investor with constant relative risk aversion and an infinite planning horizon trades a risky and a safe asset with constant investment opportunities, in the presence of small transaction costs and a binding exogenous portfolio constraint. We explicitly derive the optimal trading policy, its welfare, and implied tra…
Although deep learning has shown great success in recent years, researchers have discovered a critical flaw where small, imperceptible changes in the input to the system can drastically change the output classification. These attacks are exploitable in nearly all of the existing deep learning classification frameworks.…
Training neural networks involves finding minima of a high-dimensional non-convex loss function. Knowledge of the structure of this energy landscape is sparse. Relaxing from linear interpolations, we construct continuous paths between minima of recent neural network architectures on CIFAR10 and CIFAR100. Surprisingly, …
Few-shot domain adaptation improves autoencoder performance in changing wireless channels.