New algorithm predicts piecewise regular functions online.
problem Online prediction of piecewise regular functions.
method Modified sleeping experts aggregation algorithm.
result Oracle risk bounds for all local regions.
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48 results for “sleeping experts aggregation”
Sleep staging is a crucial task for diagnosing sleep disorders. It is tedious and complex as it can take a trained expert several hours to annotate just one patient's polysomnogram (PSG) from a single night. Although deep learning models have demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in automating sleep staging, interp…
Polysomnography (PSG) is the gold standard for diagnosing sleep obstructive apnea (OSA). It allows monitoring of breathing events throughout the night. The detection of these events is usually done by trained sleep experts. However, this task is tedious, highly time-consuming and subject to important inter-scorer varia…
We study a variant of decision-theoretic online learning in which the set of experts that are available to Learner can shrink over time. This is a restricted version of the well-studied sleeping experts problem, itself a generalization of the fundamental game of prediction with expert advice. Similar to many works in t…
MetaCURL tackles non-stationary MDPs with optimal dynamic regret.
problem Online learning in non-stationary Markov decision processes.
method MetaCURL uses a meta-algorithm with multiple black-box algorithms and a sleeping expert framework.
result Achieves optimal dynamic regret without prior knowledge of MDP changes.
Neural networks are becoming more and more popular for the analysis of physiological time-series. The most successful deep learning systems in this domain combine convolutional and recurrent layers to extract useful features to model temporal relations. Unfortunately, these recurrent models are difficult to tune and op…
Near-optimal per-action regret bounds for sleeping bandits are derived.
problem Optimizing performance in sleeping bandits where arms and losses are chosen by an adversary.
method Directly minimizing per-action regret using generalized versions of EXP3, EXP3-IX, and FTRL with Tsallis entropy.
result Near-optimal bounds of order and are obtained.
RED detects sleep EEG events using deep neural networks, outperforming previous methods.
problem Manual detection of sleep EEG events is time-consuming and variable.
method Deep Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) with convolutional and recurrent components.
result RED outperforms state-of-the-art methods in sleep spindle and K-complex detection.
Efficient algorithms for online learning with changing action sets, achieving no-approximate-regret guarantees.
problem Online learning with sleeping experts/bandits, where only a subset of actions are available each time.
method Developed computationally efficient algorithms providing no-approximate-regret guarantees for the general problem and better approximation ratios for special cases.
result Achieved no-approximate-regret guarantees for the general sleeping expert/bandit problems and better approximation ratios for specific cases.
Background: Electroencephalography (EEG) monitors brain activity during sleep and is used to identify sleep disorders. In sleep medicine, clinicians interpret raw EEG signals in so-called sleep stages, which are assigned by experts to every 30s window of signal. For diagnosis, they also rely on shorter prototypical mic…
New deep learning method validated across multiple sleep staging databases.
problem Improving automatic sleep scoring accuracy across different datasets.
method Ensemble of local models using deep learning for automatic sleep staging.
result Good general performance compared to human experts and state-of-the-art methods.
Electroencephalography (EEG) during sleep is used by clinicians to evaluate various neurological disorders. In sleep medicine, it is relevant to detect macro-events (> 10s) such as sleep stages, and micro-events (<2s) such as spindles and K-complexes. Annotations of such events require a trained sleep expert, a time co…
Deep learning detects microsleep episodes in EEG data.
problem Automatic detection of microsleep episodes (MSEs) in EEG data.
method Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and LSTM networks were implemented to analyze MWT data.
result Deep learning algorithms showed good performance close to human experts in detecting MSEs.
Sleep stage classification constitutes an important preliminary exam in the diagnosis of sleep disorders. It is traditionally performed by a sleep expert who assigns to each 30s of signal a sleep stage, based on the visual inspection of signals such as electroencephalograms (EEG), electrooculograms (EOG), electrocardio…
We used convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for automatic sleep stage scoring based on single-channel electroencephalography (EEG) to learn task-specific filters for classification without using prior domain knowledge. We used an openly available dataset from 20 healthy young adults for evaluation and applied 20-fold …
RobustSleepNet automates sleep stage classification for any PSG montage.
problem Manual sleep staging is tedious and expensive; automatic methods are limited by PSG montage and demographic differences.
method RobustSleepNet is a deep learning model that handles arbitrary PSG montages and is robust to demographic changes.
result RobustSleepNet achieves 97% F1 score on unseen data, outperforming specific training datasets by 2%.
Unified approach to aggregating models and preferences.
problem Consistent aggregation of models and preferences.
method Formal definition and weighted averaging of models and preferences.
result All rational aggregation rules are weighted averages of highest-ranked models/experts.
Study tackles non-stationary bandit convex optimization with new algorithms.
problem Minimizing regret in non-stationary environments with various measures of non-stationarity.
method Proposed Tilted Exponentially Weighted Average with Sleeping Experts (TEWA-SE) for strongly convex losses and clipped Exploration by Optimization (cExO) for general convex losses.
result Proved minimax-optimality of TEWA-SE for strongly convex losses and introduced cExO for general convex losses.
We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts into a subjective accurate forecast. We assume that experts are Bayesian; namely…
BOA improves financial forecasting by combining expert models.
problem Challenges in choosing between multiple machine learning models for financial forecasting.
method Online aggregation of expert models using Bernstein Online Aggregation (BOA) procedure.
result BOA leads to better portfolio performance, higher Sharpe Ratio, and lower shortfall.
Correctly identifying sleep stages is important in diagnosing and treating sleep disorders. This work proposes a joint classification-and-prediction framework based on CNNs for automatic sleep staging, and, subsequently, introduces a simple yet efficient CNN architecture to power the framework. Given a single input epo…
In order to improve forecasts, a decisionmaker often combines probabilities given by various sources, such as human experts and machine learning classifiers. When few training data are available, aggregation can be improved by incorporating prior knowledge about the event being forecasted and about salient properties o…
In this article, we aim at improving the prediction of expert aggregation by using the underlying properties of the models that provide expert predictions. We restrict ourselves to the case where expert predictions come from Kalman recursions, fitting state-space models. By using exponential weights, we construct diffe…
New method aggregates Gaussian experts by detecting conditional independence violations.
problem Aggregation of dependent Gaussian experts leads to sub-optimal solutions.
method Uses Gaussian graphical model to detect and correct conditional independence violations.
result Improves aggregation of Gaussian experts, outperforming SOTA DGP approaches.
In this work, a dense recurrent convolutional neural network (DRCNN) was constructed to detect sleep disorders including arousal, apnea and hypopnea using Polysomnography (PSG) measurement channels provided in the 2018 Physionet challenge database. Our model structure is composed of multiple dense convolutional units (…
A method to select important experts for Gaussian processes to balance computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification.
problem Balancing computational efficiency and uncertainty quantification in Gaussian processes for big data.
method Using graphical models to select important experts and aggregate their predictions while ensuring uncertainty quantification.
result Substantially reduces computational cost of aggregating dependent experts while ensuring calibrated uncertainty quantification.
A deep learning model, named IITNet, is proposed to learn intra- and inter-epoch temporal contexts from raw single-channel EEG for automatic sleep scoring. To classify the sleep stage from half-minute EEG, called an epoch, sleep experts investigate sleep-related events and consider the transition rules between the foun…
Deep neural networks improve sleep stage classification across diverse datasets.
problem Manual sleep scoring is subjective and lacks reliability; automatic systems generalize poorly.
method Developed a deep neural network using 15,684 polysomnography studies from five cohorts.
result Classification accuracy improved with more training data and multiple data sources.
A simple algorithm improves model generalization in expert advice settings.
problem Improving model generalization in expert advice settings.
method A naive aggregation algorithm for point estimations of high-dimensional nonlinear functions.
result Conditions for optimal parameter estimates through sequential mixing distribution strategies.
Sharp bounds found on expert error in binary advice aggregation.
problem Aggregating binary advice from conditionally independent experts.
method Sharp upper and lower bounds on optimal error probability in asymmetric case.
result Sharp bounds recover and sharpen known results in symmetric case.
A new framework uses deep RL to aggregate expert advice for better portfolio management.
problem Improving portfolio management through expert advice and deep reinforcement learning.
method Convolutional networks for signal aggregation and historical price data, Proximal Policy Optimization algorithm.
result Our framework can achieve 90% of the best expert's profit on average.
We study methods for improving fairness to subgroups in settings with overlapping populations and sequential predictions. Classical notions of fairness focus on the balance of some property across different populations. However, in many applications the goal of the different groups is not to be predicted equally but ra…
Sleep plays a vital role in human health, both mental and physical. Sleep disorders like sleep apnea are increasing in prevalence, with the rapid increase in factors like obesity. Sleep apnea is most commonly treated with Continuous Positive Air Pressure (CPAP) therapy. Presently, however, there is no mechanism to moni…
We develop the setting of sequential prediction based on shifting experts and on a "smooth" version of the method of specialized experts. To aggregate experts predictions, we use the AdaHedge algorithm, which is a version of the Hedge algorithm with adaptive learning rate, and extend it by the meta-algorithm Fixed Shar…
Deep learning detects sleep state fluctuations in neonates from single EEG channel.
problem Monitoring sleep state fluctuations in neonatal intensive care units.
method Deep learning-based algorithm trained on 53 EEG recordings, validated on 30 polysomnography recordings.
result High accuracy (90%) in detecting quiet sleep states from single EEG channel, generalizing well to external dataset.
A key challenge in online learning is that classical algorithms can be slow to adapt to changing environments. Recent studies have proposed "meta" algorithms that convert any online learning algorithm to one that is adaptive to changing environments, where the adaptivity is analyzed in a quantity called the strongly-ad…
Evidence suggests Rapid-Eye-Movement (REM) Sleep Behaviour Disorder (RBD) is an early predictor of Parkinson's disease. This study proposes a fully-automated framework for RBD detection consisting of automated sleep staging followed by RBD identification. Analysis was assessed using a limited polysomnography montage fr…
A deep neural network detects sleep events in polysomnograms with high accuracy.
problem Manual scoring of sleep events in clinical analysis is inconsistent and time-consuming.
method A single deep neural network architecture trained on 1653 recordings for joint detection of arousals, leg movements, and sleep disordered breathing.
result Joint detection of sleep events yields higher accuracy compared to separate models, and correlates well with manual annotations.
A new method for faster prediction in distributed Gaussian processes.
problem Inefficient aggregation of distributed Gaussian processes with correlations.
method Proposes a novel approach for aggregated prediction in distributed GPs that incorporates correlations among experts.
result Results in more stable predictions in less time compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Optimal transport aggregation combines distributed MoE models efficiently.
problem Combining local MoE models trained on distributed datasets.
method Optimal transport for minimizing divergence between local and global estimators, with MM algorithm for optimization.
result Aggregated estimator achieves performance comparable to centralized training but with reduced computation time.
Solves the Sleeping Beauty problem as a 'thirder' using the Kelly Criterion.
problem Solving the Sleeping Beauty problem with imperfect recall.
method Using the Kelly Criterion under multiplicative dynamics to maximize wealth growth rate.
result Sleeping Beauty maximizes expected growth rate as a 'thirder' and is impervious to Dutch books.
New method forecasts time series with changing variances.
problem Real-world processes with changing variances cannot be captured by classical models.
method State-space model with Markov switching variances, using online learning and expert aggregation.
result Proposed method outperforms traditional expert aggregation and is robust to misspecification.
Much attention has been given to automatic sleep staging algorithms in past years, but the detection of discrete events in sleep studies is also crucial for precise characterization of sleep patterns and possible diagnosis of sleep disorders. We propose here a deep learning model for automatic detection and annotation …
Background: Despite recent significant progress in the development of automatic sleep staging methods, building a good model still remains a big challenge for sleep studies with a small cohort due to the data-variability and data-inefficiency issues. This work presents a deep transfer learning approach to overcome thes…
Electroencephalography (EEG) is a method to record the electrical signals in the brain. Recognizing the EEG patterns in the sleeping brain gives insights into the understanding of sleeping disorders. The dataset under consideration contains EEG data points associated with various physiological conditions. This study at…
Supervised machine learning applications in the health domain often face the problem of insufficient training datasets. The quantity of labelled data is small due to privacy concerns and the cost of data acquisition and labelling by a medical expert. Furthermore, it is quite common that collected data are unbalanced an…
Sleep studies are important for diagnosing sleep disorders such as insomnia, narcolepsy or sleep apnea. They rely on manual scoring of sleep stages from raw polisomnography signals, which is a tedious visual task requiring the workload of highly trained professionals. Consequently, research efforts to purse for an auto…
Simple machine learning models outperform deep learning for sleep scoring.
problem Limited applicability and lack of interpretability of deep learning solutions for sleep scoring.
method Revisited sleep stage classification using classical machine learning, including preprocessing, feature extraction, and simple machine learning models.
result Competitive performance achieved with conventional machine learning models on public datasets.