A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper tackles multi-label ranking with uncertain probabilities.
Study efficient interactive learning for structured outputs with reliable computation.
The paper tackles skeptical binary inferences in multi-label problems with sets of probabilities.
We propose a semiparametric approach, named nonparanormal skeptic, for estimating high dimensional undirected graphical models. In terms of modeling, we consider the nonparanormal family proposed by Liu et al (2009). In terms of estimation, we exploit nonparametric rank-based correlation coefficient estimators includin…
We derive some results on contrarian and one-sided strategies by Skeptic for the fair-coin game in the framework of the game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk \cite{sv}. In particular, concerning the rate of convergence of the strong law of large numbers (SLLN), we prove that Skeptic can force that the convergen…
We study capital process behavior in the fair-coin game and biased-coin games in the framework of the game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk (2001). We show that if Skeptic uses a Bayesian strategy with a beta prior, the capital process is lucidly expressed in terms of the past average of Reality's moves. From t…
Algorithm identifies correct hypothesis from alternatives in bandit problems.
A new method for precise user targeting in advertising using hyperbolic manifold learning.
In this paper, we propose a semiparametric approach, named nonparanormal skeptic, for efficiently and robustly estimating high dimensional undirected graphical models. To achieve modeling flexibility, we consider Gaussian Copula graphical models (or the nonparanormal) as proposed by Liu et al. (2009). To achieve estima…
Recently deep neural networks have been successfully used for various classification tasks, especially for problems with massive perfectly labeled training data. However, it is often costly to have large-scale credible labels in real-world applications. One solution is to make supervised learning robust with imperfectl…
'Ergodicity economics' is criticized as pseudoscience.
Breiman's paper sparked debate on the future of statistics and machine learning.
Social networks offer a ready channel for fake and misleading news to spread and exert influence. This paper examines the performance of different reputation algorithms when applied to a large and statistically significant portion of the news that are spread via Twitter. Our main result is that simple crowdsourcing-bas…
The inference of the causal relationship between a pair of observed variables is a fundamental problem in science, and most existing approaches are based on one single causal model. In practice, however, observations are often collected from multiple sources with heterogeneous causal models due to certain uncontrollabl…
Image and video-capturing technologies have permeated our every-day life. Such technologies can continuously monitor individuals' expressions in real-life settings, affording us new insights into their emotional states and transitions, thus paving the way to novel well-being and healthcare applications. Yet, due to the…
In light of the power problems of statistical tests and undisciplined use of alpha-based statistics to compare models, this paper proposes a unified set of distance-based performance metrics, derived as the square root of the sum of squared alphas and squared standard errors. The Bayesian investor views model performan…
In this expository paper we illustrate the generality of game theoretic probability protocols of Shafer and Vovk (2001) in finite-horizon discrete games. By restricting ourselves to finite-horizon discrete games, we can explicitly describe how discrete distributions with finite support and the discrete pricing formulas…
The emergence of robust optimization has been driven primarily by the necessity to address the demerits of the Markowitz model. There has been a noteworthy debate regarding consideration of robust approaches as superior or at par with the Markowitz model, in terms of portfolio performance. In order to address this skep…
Studies of wealth inequality often assume that an observed wealth distribution reflects a system in equilibrium. This constraint is rarely tested empirically. We introduce a simple model that allows equilibrium but does not assume it. To geometric Brownian motion (GBM) we add reallocation: all individuals contribute in…
Scaling laws govern predictive uncertainties in deep learning models.
The aim of this paper is to get an overview of the online buyer profile, and also some key aspects in the way the online shopping is conducted. In this project we conducted a quantitative research, consisting of a questionnaire based survey. For data processing and interpretation we used SPSS statistical software and E…
In this paper, we try to uncover the second-order essence of several first-order optimization methods. For Nesterov Accelerated Gradient, we rigorously prove that the algorithm makes use of the difference between past and current gradients, thus approximates the Hessian and accelerates the training. For adaptive method…
The use of equilibrium models in economics springs from the desire for parsimonious models of economic phenomena that take human reasoning into account. This approach has been the cornerstone of modern economic theory. We explain why this is so, extolling the virtues of equilibrium theory; then we present a critique an…
This study explains how adversarial interaction creates non-homogeneous patterns using a pseudo-Reaction-Diffusion model.
Generative model connects physical properties to latent vectors for solar magnetic patches.
The paper examines how insurers manage risks and liquidity in a dynamic market.
Corporate governance struggles to curb fraud in a globalized economy.
Experiment shows cognitive biases impact human-AI collaboration, highlighting the need for diverse evaluator samples.
Meta-learning adapts models for unseen tasks across AI, robotics, and NLP.
Meta-learning improves neural networks by adapting learning algorithms.
Survey explores how transfer learning improves deep reinforcement learning.
Study Whittle index learning algorithms for restless bandits with constant stepsizes.
Poisson learning doesn't solve graph semi-supervised learning issues.
New unsupervised learning technique learns independent kernels for better machine learning tasks.
Meta-learning helps models learn quickly from few samples.
New self-imitation learning method improves performance in continuous control tasks.
Deep reinforcement learning finds optimal learning policies for adaptive systems.
Unified framework explains all types of learning, including brain.
Cyclical learning rates improve DRL performance without manual tuning.
Study batch reinforcement learning methods for personalized medical treatments.
A new meta-meta classification method tackles few-shot learning tasks.
The paper proposes a learning algorithm that improves adaptability and generalization.
A common strategy in modern learning systems is to learn a representation that is useful for many tasks, a.k.a. representation learning. We study this strategy in the imitation learning setting for Markov decision processes (MDPs) where multiple experts' trajectories are available. We formulate representation learning …
This paper surveys meta-learning, online, and continual learning.
Relational logistic regression (RLR) is a representation of conditional probability in terms of weighted formulae for modelling multi-relational data. In this paper, we develop a learning algorithm for RLR models. Learning an RLR model from data consists of two steps: 1- learning the set of formulae to be used in the m…
Contrastive learning works well with redundant data views.
Paper analyzes iterative learning for concept classes and learns half-spaces.
This paper introduces Dex, a reinforcement learning environment toolkit specialized for training and evaluation of continual learning methods as well as general reinforcement learning problems. We also present the novel continual learning method of incremental learning, where a challenging environment is solved using o…