New algorithm estimates eigenspace with faulty nodes, matching performance of existing methods.
problem Estimating eigenspace in distributed systems with node failures.
method Develops an eigenspace estimation algorithm for distributed environments with arbitrary node failures.
result Matches performance of existing non-robust estimator up to an additive error.
Diverging Flows detects extrapolations in flow models, ensuring reliable predictions.
problem Flow models extrapolate into invalid data, leading to silent failures.
method Structurally enforce inefficient transport for off-manifold inputs.
result Effective detection of extrapolations without compromising predictive fidelity or inference latency.
Feedback alignment methods need to be evaluated for accuracy and gradient cosine similarity.
problem Evaluating feedback alignment methods
method Proposed diagnostic evaluation protocol
result Identified silent failures in standard reporting pair
This paper maps the insurability of AI risks across various insurance products.
problem Emerging AI risks and their implications for insurance coverage.
method Coding 55 AI threat classes against 26 insurance products using public carrier materials and threat catalogs.
result Identification of a four-tier insurability frontier: affirmatively insured, silent-AI exposures, actively excluded, and unstructured perils.
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a workhorse of probabilistic modeling and inference, but are difficult to debug, and are prone to silent failure if implemented naively. We outline several strategies for testing the correctness of MCMC algorithms. Specifically, we advocate writing code in a modular way, w…
The study proposes a framework to accept OOD data based on competence scores.
problem Silent failures in Domain Generalization where models reject OOD data without proper justification.
method A learning to reject framework using proxy incompetence scores to predict trustworthiness.
result Increasing incompetence scores are predictive of reduced accuracy, but not always favorable for accuracy/rejection trade-off.
Machine learning models fail due to concept and data drift during pandemic.
problem Machine learning models trained before the pandemic are unreliable during the pandemic.
method Detect and diagnose concept and data drift in models.
result Model resilience and robustness are crucial for future predictions.
Study uses machine learning and survival analysis to predict CKD progression.
problem Early detection and management of CKD to reduce ESRD risk.
method Combines machine learning and classical statistical models to identify novel CKD progression predictors.
result Deep learning models outperform other methods in predicting CKD progression.
In this paper we explore continuous silent speech recognition using electroencephalography (EEG) signals. We implemented a connectionist temporal classification (CTC) automatic speech recognition (ASR) model to translate EEG signals recorded in parallel while subjects were reading English sentences in their mind withou…
Silent abandonment reduces contact center efficiency by 5%-15%.
problem Measuring customer abandonment and patience in text-based contact centers is challenging due to uncertainty.
method Developed methodologies to identify silent-abandonment customers and estimate customer patience using text analysis and queueing models.
result Silent abandonment accounts for 30%-67% of customer abandonments and reduces system efficiency by 5%-15%.
Neural networks can learn kernel machines with a data-dependent kernel.
problem Can neural networks in the rich feature learning regime learn a kernel machine?
method Demonstrated silent alignment effect in neural networks, showing they can learn a kernel machine with a data-dependent kernel.
result Neural networks in the rich feature learning regime can learn a kernel machine with a data-dependent kernel due to silent alignment.
Lipreading has a lot of potential applications such as in the domain of surveillance and video conferencing. Despite this, most of the work in building lipreading systems has been limited to classifying silent videos into classes representing text phrases. However, there are multiple problems associated with making lip…
The wave trace of certain convex domains can be smooth near some points in the length spectrum.
problem Understanding the relationship between the wave trace and the length spectrum of convex domains.
method Constructing silent periodic billiard orbits with the same length but different Maslov indices, using a microlocal parametrix for wave invariants.
result The wave trace can be smooth near some points in the length spectrum, showing potential limitations for inverse spectral problems.
The increasing popularity of cell phones has made them the most personal and ubiquitous communication devices nowadays. Typically, the ringing notifications of mobile phones are used to inform the users about the incoming calls. However, the notifications of inappropriate incoming calls sometimes cause interruptions no…
Develops geometric framework for analyzing big bang singularities without symmetry assumptions.
problem Analyzing big bang singularities without symmetry constraints.
method Geometric framework combined with Einstein's equations.
result Partial improvements of assumptions on expansion normalised Weingarten map and convergence of K. Deep learning maps tongue movements to speech sounds for voiceless individuals.
problem Developing silent speech interfaces for individuals without a larynx.
method Hybrid spatio-temporal 3D convolutions and feature shuffling for formant estimation and tracking from ultrasound tongue images.
result Best model achieves R-squared of 99.96% for vowel formant regression.
A new method corrects bias in machine learning for trading by filtering out non-executable prices.
problem Contaminated data from price limits causes misleading performance metrics in trading models.
method Mask-first design with tradability filters, GPU optimization, and penalized losses.
result The system achieves Sharpe ratios of 1.63 on real data, significantly outperforming existing methods.
Online monitor detects classifier drift and adapts predictions.
problem Silent degradation of classifier accuracy under distributional shift.
method Sliding-window KS statistic with calibrated alarm thresholds.
result 86.6% valid detection across various shift conditions.
Economics tool predicts failure times in reliability systems.
problem Predicting optimal failure times in weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems with heterogeneous component failure.
method Using rational expectations to analyze and predict failure times in reliability systems with heterogeneous component failure.
result Different measures are optimal for predicting system failure depending on component failure distributions.
Unified model predicts multi-mode failure with multi-sensor data.
problem Independent failure mode and RUL prediction ignores inherent relationship.
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with Cox model, Gaussian process, and multinomial distributions.
result Robust uncertainty quantification and accurate prediction of multi-mode failure.
PAGER detects failures in deep regression models using a new framework.
problem Detecting failures in deep regression models.
method PAGER uses a combination of epistemic uncertainty and manifold non-conformity scores.
result PAGER accurately characterizes and detects failures in deep regressors.
Risk Advisor predicts and mitigates ML deployment failures.
problem Predicting and mitigating test-time failure risks of ML systems.
method Post-hoc meta-learner for estimating failure risks and uncertainties.
result Reliably predicts deployment-time failure risks across various ML models.
CalNF models rare failures with limited data, improving safety in autonomous systems.
problem Challenges in modeling and debugging rare safety-critical failures due to limited data.
method CalNF, a self-regularized framework for posterior learning from limited data.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on data-limited failure modeling and inverse problems.
Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) is an emerging engineering discipline which is concerned with the analysis and prediction of equipment health and performance. One of the key challenges in PHM is to accurately predict impending failures in the equipment. In recent years, solutions for failure prediction have evo…
This work improves safety validation of autonomous vehicles by finding interpretable failures.
problem Finding interpretable failures of autonomous systems in simulation.
method Signal temporal logic expressions optimized for high likelihood and human interpretability.
result Our methodology finds more interpretable failures with higher likelihood compared to baseline approaches.
Framework predicts remaining useful life of DSH subsystems under unknown failure modes.
problem Predicting remaining useful life of DSH subsystems with unknown failure modes.
method Unsupervised framework using mixture of Gaussian regressions and Expectation-Maximization algorithm.
result Improved prediction accuracy and interpretability of RUL.
The paper calculates the likelihood of a financial market failure involving multiple major banks.
problem Estimating the probability of a market failure involving multiple globally important banks.
method Multivariate Cox process across G-SIBs, deriving various theorems on market failure probabilities.
result The probability of a market failure increases with the number of G-SIBs and is inevitable if there are too many.
Paper proposes a method to predict disk failures using multi-layer domain adaptive learning.
problem Traditional machine learning models struggle to predict disk failures due to limited data.
method Multi-layer domain adaptive learning with source and target domains.
result The proposed method improves failure prediction accuracy on disk data with few failure samples.
We aim to predict and explain service failures in supply-chain networks, more precisely among last-mile pickup and delivery services to customers. We analyze a dataset of 500,000 services using (1) supervised classification with Random Forests, and (2) Association Rules. Our classifier reaches an average sensitivity of…
GE finds failures in autonomous systems without domain heuristics.
problem Finding failures in autonomous systems without domain-specific heuristics.
method Adaptive stress testing using go-explore (GE) algorithm.
result GE finds failures in scenarios other RL techniques cannot solve.
Method distinguishes between failures and domain shifts in industrial data streams.
problem Confusing domain shifts with failures in industrial data.
method Modified Page-Hinkley changepoint detector and supervised domain-adaptation-based anomaly detection.
result Allows differentiation between failures and domain shifts.
System predicts respiratory failure up to 8 hours early.
problem Early detection of respiratory failure in ICU patients.
method Machine learning on ICU patient monitoring data.
result System outperforms traditional clinical decision-making.
New method avoids failures in physics-constrained systems using active learning.
problem Handling fatal failures in systems governed by physics constraints.
method Develops a novel active learning method that considers implicit physics constraints.
result Achieves zero-failure in composite fuselage assembly process without explicit failure regions.
This paper addresses the problem of evaluating learning systems in safety critical domains such as autonomous driving, where failures can have catastrophic consequences. We focus on two problems: searching for scenarios when learned agents fail and assessing their probability of failure. The standard method for agent e…
DeepSIP predicts network failures' impact using CNN from syslog and traffic data.
problem Predicting service impact from network failures.
method Temporal multimodal CNN for predicting time to recovery and traffic loss.
result DeepSIP reduced prediction error by approximately 50%.
In the last two years, more than 200 papers have been written on how machine learning (ML) systems can fail because of adversarial attacks on the algorithms and data; this number balloons if we were to incorporate papers covering non-adversarial failure modes. The spate of papers has made it difficult for ML practition…
Two BO methods improve reliability optimization for rare failures.
problem Maximizing reliability of designs subject to random perturbations.
method Bayesian optimization with Thompson sampling and knowledge gradient.
result Proposed methods outperform existing techniques in extreme failure probability scenarios.
New method finds failures in high-fidelity simulators with fewer steps.
problem Finding failures in high-fidelity simulators is expensive and impractical.
method Adaptive stress testing with backward algorithm adaptation from low-fidelity to high-fidelity.
result Significantly fewer high-fidelity simulation steps needed to find failures.
Entropy-based GP adaptive design improves failure probability estimation.
problem Limited accuracy in failure probability estimation due to model evaluation costs.
method Entropy-based Gaussian process (GP) adaptive design combined with multifidelity importance sampling (MFIS).
result More accurate failure probability estimates and higher confidence.
Brain uses synaptic failure to sample from posterior distributions.
problem Bayesian inference in the brain's probabilistic computations.
method Adapting synaptic failure to sample posterior predictive distributions.
result Synaptic failure enables sampling of complete posterior predictive distributions.
Study constructs balanced datasets for seismic failure prediction.
problem Imbalanced datasets limit machine learning performance in seismic failure prediction.
method Framework with three steps: GMF identification, probability density estimation, and sample transformation.
result Framework improves machine learning performance in seismic failure mode prediction.
Proposes a deep neural network for early disk drive failure prediction.
problem Early prediction of disk drive failure using multivariate time series sensor data.
method Enriched features derived from sensor data through transformations, combined with ensemble learning and deep neural network architecture.
result Significantly improved classification accuracy in predicting disk drive failure.
Improves FI-PINNs by combining re-sampling and subset simulation for better failure probability estimation.
problem Estimating failure probability in physics-informed neural networks (PINNs).
method Adaptive sampling with re-sampling and subset simulation, using cosine-annealing for uniform to adaptive transition.
result Significant improvement in estimating failure probability and generating new training points in the failure region.
A new algorithm learns from failures to optimize under constraints efficiently.
problem Optimizing under unknown constraints with limited failure tolerance.
method Excursion search controls risk as a function of a failure budget.
result The algorithm achieves lower regret and uses failures budget more efficiently.
Determining possible failure scenarios is a critical step in the evaluation of autonomous vehicle systems. Real-world vehicle testing is commonly employed for autonomous vehicle validation, but the costs and time requirements are high. Consequently, simulation-driven methods such as Adaptive Stress Testing (AST) have b…
New approach uses dynamic programming to efficiently discover failures in autonomous vehicle simulations.
problem Efficiently discovering rare failure events in autonomous vehicle simulations.
method Approximate dynamic programming and scene decomposition to estimate failure distribution.
result Increased number of failures discovered compared to baseline approaches.
Adaptive PINNs improve accuracy by adding points where solutions are uncertain.
problem Inadequate sampling in PINNs leads to inaccurate solutions, especially near singularities.
method FI-PINNs use failure probability to dynamically add points, improving numerical accuracy.
result FI-PINNs achieve better accuracy through adaptive sampling, as proven by rigorous error bounds.
Bayesian inference models failure distributions in autonomous systems.
problem Estimating the distribution of failures in complex systems.
method Bayesian inference using system dynamics rollouts and gradient computation.
result Improves sample efficiency and parameter space coverage in autonomous systems.