We present a novel method for extracting cancer signatures by applying statistical risk models (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2732453) from quantitative finance to cancer genome data. Using 1389 whole genome sequenced samples from 14 cancers, we identify an "overall" mode of somatic mutational noise. We give a prescription …
The study explains why signature methods work in commodity futures term structure classification.
problem Lack of interpretability in signature methods for term structure classification.
method Introducing signature perturbations to explain the success of signature-based classification.
result The volatility of the convenience yield is the major discriminant for commodity markets classification.
This paper extends the C*-signature to non-Witt spaces using noncommutative geometric methods.
problem Extending the signature to non-Witt spaces with noncommutative geometric methods.
method Noncommutative geometric methods, combinatorial framework, and comparison with analytical signature.
result Constructing the C*-signature on non-Witt spaces.
We provide an introduction to the signature method, focusing on its theoretical properties and machine learning applications. Our presentation is divided into two parts. In the first part, we present the definition and fundamental properties of the signature of a path. The signature is a sequence of numbers associated …
New method calculates signatures of biquotients.
problem Signature calculation for homogeneous spaces.
method Generalization of Hirzebruch's computation to biquotients.
result Signature of biquotients computed for equal rank cases.
Efficiently computes sparse signature coefficients using kernels.
problem Lack of efficient methods for sparse signature coefficients.
method Signature kernels and PDE-based methods.
result Sparse groups of signature coefficients can be isolated effectively.
Two signature-based methods solve optimal stopping in non-Markovian frameworks.
problem Optimal stopping in non-Markovian frameworks, particularly pricing American options.
method Primal and dual formulations using linear functionals of rough path signatures.
result Both primal and dual methods converge and provide numerical examples.
Empirical study shows Randomized Signature Methods improve portfolio optimization in financial markets.
problem Drift estimation in non-linear, non-parametric financial markets is challenging.
method Applied Randomized Signature Methods for non-linear, non-parametric drift estimation in multi-variate financial markets.
result Randomized Signature Methods provide features on the same scale and improve portfolio optimization in real-world settings.
Deep signature/log-signature FBSDE algorithm improves accuracy and training time.
problem Solving FBSDEs with state and path dependent features.
method Incorporates deep signature/log-signature transformation into RNN model.
result Improves accuracy and training time compared to existing methods.
New methods price American options in rough volatility models.
problem Pricing American options under rough volatility.
method Integrating deep-signature and signature-kernel learning into optimal stopping problem solutions.
result Performance comparison in rough Heston and rough Bergomi models.
Motivation : Molecular signatures for diagnosis or prognosis estimated from large-scale gene expression data often lack robustness and stability, rendering their biological interpretation challenging. Increasing the signature's interpretability and stability across perturbations of a given dataset and, if possible, acr…
Novel time series forecasting method using sliding window signatures.
problem Challenges in forecasting nonlinear and delayed time series data.
method Ridge regression with signature features calculated on sliding windows.
result Signature features effectively encode temporal and nonlinear dependencies, leading to accurate forecasts.
pySigLib speeds up signature-based computations on CPUs and GPUs.
problem Efficient signature-based computations on large datasets and long sequences.
method Optimised Python library for CPU and GPU, novel differentiation scheme.
result Accurate gradients at a fraction of the runtime of existing libraries.
Unified and simplified signature method for multivariate time series.
problem Challenging application of signature method due to its flexibility.
method Generalised signature method unifying various techniques.
result Competitive performance against benchmarks for multivariate time series classification.
This paper presents a novel deep learning based method for automatic malware signature generation and classification. The method uses a deep belief network (DBN), implemented with a deep stack of denoising autoencoders, generating an invariant compact representation of the malware behavior. While conventional signature…
Generative model for TPPs using signatures and distributional discrepancies.
problem Limitations of signature methods for TPPs and lack of global sequence-level loss in neural models.
method Introduce interarrival embedding to lift jump paths to continuous paths of bounded variation, enabling signature methods for discrete event sequences. Develop sigTPP, a signature-based generative model trained on path-level loss.
result sigTPP achieves the best average rank across multiple metrics and outperforms or is within a standard error of the strongest baseline in 64% of dataset-metric pairs.
New methods for volatility modeling using rough paths and signatures.
problem Calibrating implied volatility surfaces in various stochastic models.
method Analytical approximations and signature-based models based on rough path theory.
result Signature-based models achieve comparable accuracy to analytical expansions and can capture more complex dynamics.
Scalable machine learning with path signatures for time series and graphs.
problem Challenges in real-world time series and graph data.
method Combines rough path theory with probabilistic, deep, and kernel methods.
result Scalable models for time series and graph data.
Signatures provide a succinct description of certain features of paths in a reparametrization invariant way. We propose a method for classifying shapes based on signatures, and compare it to current approaches based on the SRV transform and dynamic programming.
Kernel for Lévy rough paths derived from PDE system.
problem Computing similarity measures for Lévy rough paths.
method Developed a PDE system for the expected signature of inhomogeneous Lévy processes.
result Gaussian martingales' expected signature kernel satisfies a Goursat PDE.
New method solves optimal stopping problems using rough path signatures.
problem Optimal stopping problems in finance and other fields.
method Using rough path signatures and deep neural networks.
result Solves optimal stopping problems efficiently under minimal assumptions.
New method uses randomised signatures for generating financial time series data.
problem Generating synthetic financial time series data accurately.
method Introduced a Wasserstein-type distance based on discrete-time randomised signatures.
result Demonstrated universal approximation for randomised signatures on continuous functions.
Expected signatures map data streams to lower dimensions, improving ML performance.
problem Leveraging model-free embeddings for domain-agnostic machine learning.
method Expected signatures map data streams to lower dimensions, with convergence results bridging empirical and theoretical estimators.
result A modified expected signature estimator with lower mean squared error for martingale processes.
Estimates path-valued data using signature metrics and local kernels.
problem Nonparametric regression and classification for path-valued data.
method Combines signature transform and local kernel regression.
result Establishes convergence bounds and demonstrates competitive accuracy.
New criteria ensure uniqueness of curve signatures, robust to metric variations.
problem Ensuring uniqueness of curve signatures in differential geometry.
method Introducing new methods through differential equations and higher order derivatives.
result New criteria for curve signature uniqueness in general settings.
New method uses path signatures for efficient likelihood estimation in time-series data.
problem Intractable likelihood functions in complex dynamic models.
method Kernel classifier based on path signatures for sequential data.
result Path signatures yield highly performant classifiers, even with low sample numbers.
The paper introduces surface signatures for irregular surfaces and rough surfaces.
problem Characterizing and integrating highly irregular paths and surfaces.
method Introducing surface signatures and proving extension theorems.
result Surface signatures are universal for surface holonomy and rough surfaces.
The paper revisits expected signatures in semimartingale models, providing new formulae and simplifying complexity.
problem Computing expected signatures in semimartingale models.
method Revisits and provides new formulae for computing expected signatures in a general semimartingale setting.
result Log-transform of expected signatures simplifies complexity, leading to signature cumulants.
The area of Handwritten Signature Verification has been broadly researched in the last decades, but remains an open research problem. The objective of signature verification systems is to discriminate if a given signature is genuine (produced by the claimed individual), or a forgery (produced by an impostor). This has …
New method uses probabilistic independence to discover disease signatures from medical records.
problem Insufficiently precise diagnosis of clinical disease leading to treatment failures.
method Unsupervised machine learning using probabilistic independence to disentangle disease patterns.
result Inferred 2000 clinical disease signatures from medical records, improving cancer prediction.
Signature uniquely identifies piecewise linear surfaces up to thin homotopy.
problem Characterizing piecewise linear surfaces up to equivalence.
method Crossed module of piecewise linear surfaces and signature homomorphism.
result Signature uniquely characterizes surfaces up to translation and thin homotopy.
Methods for learning feature representations for Offline Handwritten Signature Verification have been successfully proposed in recent literature, using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks to learn representations from signature pixels. Such methods reported large performance improvements compared to handcrafted feature …
Path signatures adapted for Lie groups improve action recognition in computer vision.
problem Improving action recognition in computer vision with geometric constraints.
method Lifting path signatures to Lie groups and proving universality and characteristic property.
result Path signatures on Lie groups provide comparable performance to shallow learning approaches in action recognition.
Detects anomalies in stock and crypto data with high accuracy.
problem Identifying rare or unexpected events in time series data.
method Uses signature or randomized signature methods for anomaly detection.
result Achieves F1 scores up to 88% in identifying pump and dump attempts.
The study identifies volatility models from path geometry using signature-based methods.
problem Identifying different stochastic volatility models from observed data.
method Mapping volatility trajectories into a feature space via truncated path signatures and applying a gradient boosting classifier.
result The method achieves high classification accuracy across various volatility dynamics and parameter settings.
Defines knot signature invariant using G-signature theorem.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on knot theory.
method Uses G-signature theorem to define knot invariant.
result Defines an invariant for strongly invertible knots.
Framework uses optimal transport to quantify model risk in stochastic path laws.
problem Model risk in stochastic path laws.
method Signature-induced optimal transport framework.
result Explicit robust bounds and budget-aware sparse surrogate method.
A well-known property of the signature of closed oriented 4n-dimensional manifolds is Novikov additivity, which states that if a manifold is split into two manifolds with boundary along an oriented smooth hypersurface, then the signature of the original manifold equals the sum of the signatures of the resulting manifol…
Signature portfolios approximate optimal wealth in non-Markovian markets.
problem Approximating optimal wealth in non-Markovian markets.
method Linear path-functional portfolios based on signatures of market weights.
result Signature portfolios can uniformly approximate any continuous portfolio function.
A new method for portfolio optimization using signature signatures to incorporate path-dependencies.
problem Traditional portfolio optimization models struggle with path-dependencies and exogenous signals.
method Signature Trading framework using rough path signatures to represent trading strategies.
result Efficient incorporation of exogenous signals and drawdown control in optimal strategies.
Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots follows a reduction formula.
problem Determining the maximum Levine-Tristram signature for torus knots.
method Proved a reduction formula analogous to Gordon-Litherland-Murasugi's classical signature result.
result Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots satisfies a reduction formula.
New findings on mesh group-planes validate Signature-inverse Theorem under specific conditions.
problem Invalidity of existing inverse theorems for mesh group-planes.
method Classification of three and five point meshes, analysis of joint invariant signatures.
result Valid conditions for the Signature-inverse Theorem in mesh group-planes.
We estimate prices of exotic options in a discrete-time model-free setting when the trader has access to market prices of a rich enough class of exotic and vanilla options. This is achieved by estimating an unobservable quantity called "implied expected signature" from such market prices, which are used to price other …
Introduces flat discrete signatures for financial data analysis.
problem Representing financial data for machine learning without continuous transformation.
method Introduced flat discrete signatures and discrete signatures, generalizing flat discrete signatures.
result Flat discrete signatures can represent quadratic variation relevant in finance.
This is a sequel to the paper "The signature package on Witt spaces, I. Index classes" by the same authors. In the first part we investigated, via a parametrix construction, the regularity properties of the signature operator on a stratified Witt pseudomanifold, proving, in particular, that one can define a K-homology …
We define the Analytical signature, the Hodge signature and the de Rham signature for a foliated manifold with boundary with foliation transverse to the boundary. We show that all these signatures coincide and a Hirzebruch formula is valid.
Signature Isolation Forest removes constraints from FIF by using rough path theory's signature transform.
problem Challenges in FIF's linear inner product and dictionary choices leading to unreliable results.
method Introduces Signature Isolation Forest using rough path theory's signature transform to remove linearity constraints.
result Demonstrates relevance of methods through numerical experiments and real-world applications.
The paper examines the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data.
problem Consistency of Lasso regression in signature analysis of time series data.
method The paper studies the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data, both theoretically and numerically.
result The Lasso regression is consistent both asymptotically and in finite sample for certain types of time series and processes.