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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for signature method

We present a novel method for extracting cancer signatures by applying statistical risk models (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2732453) from quantitative finance to cancer genome data. Using 1389 whole genome sequenced samples from 14 cancers, we identify an "overall" mode of somatic mutational noise. We give a prescription …

2016-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The study explains why signature methods work in commodity futures term structure classification.

problem Lack of interpretability in signature methods for term structure classification.
method Introducing signature perturbations to explain the success of signature-based classification.
result The volatility of the convenience yield is the major discriminant for commodity markets classification.

This paper extends the C*-signature to non-Witt spaces using noncommutative geometric methods.

problem Extending the signature to non-Witt spaces with noncommutative geometric methods.
method Noncommutative geometric methods, combinatorial framework, and comparison with analytical signature.
result Constructing the C*-signature on non-Witt spaces.

We provide an introduction to the signature method, focusing on its theoretical properties and machine learning applications. Our presentation is divided into two parts. In the first part, we present the definition and fundamental properties of the signature of a path. The signature is a sequence of numbers associated …

2016-03-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Empirical study shows Randomized Signature Methods improve portfolio optimization in financial markets.

problem Drift estimation in non-linear, non-parametric financial markets is challenging.
method Applied Randomized Signature Methods for non-linear, non-parametric drift estimation in multi-variate financial markets.
result Randomized Signature Methods provide features on the same scale and improve portfolio optimization in real-world settings.

Motivation : Molecular signatures for diagnosis or prognosis estimated from large-scale gene expression data often lack robustness and stability, rendering their biological interpretation challenging. Increasing the signature's interpretability and stability across perturbations of a given dataset and, if possible, acr…

2010-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel time series forecasting method using sliding window signatures.

problem Challenges in forecasting nonlinear and delayed time series data.
method Ridge regression with signature features calculated on sliding windows.
result Signature features effectively encode temporal and nonlinear dependencies, leading to accurate forecasts.

Unified and simplified signature method for multivariate time series.

problem Challenging application of signature method due to its flexibility.
method Generalised signature method unifying various techniques.
result Competitive performance against benchmarks for multivariate time series classification.

Generative model for TPPs using signatures and distributional discrepancies.

problem Limitations of signature methods for TPPs and lack of global sequence-level loss in neural models.
method Introduce interarrival embedding to lift jump paths to continuous paths of bounded variation, enabling signature methods for discrete event sequences. Develop sigTPP, a signature-based generative model trained on path-level loss.
result sigTPP achieves the best average rank across multiple metrics and outperforms or is within a standard error of the strongest baseline in 64% of dataset-metric pairs.

New methods for volatility modeling using rough paths and signatures.

problem Calibrating implied volatility surfaces in various stochastic models.
method Analytical approximations and signature-based models based on rough path theory.
result Signature-based models achieve comparable accuracy to analytical expansions and can capture more complex dynamics.

New method uses randomised signatures for generating financial time series data.

problem Generating synthetic financial time series data accurately.
method Introduced a Wasserstein-type distance based on discrete-time randomised signatures.
result Demonstrated universal approximation for randomised signatures on continuous functions.

Expected signatures map data streams to lower dimensions, improving ML performance.

problem Leveraging model-free embeddings for domain-agnostic machine learning.
method Expected signatures map data streams to lower dimensions, with convergence results bridging empirical and theoretical estimators.
result A modified expected signature estimator with lower mean squared error for martingale processes.

New criteria ensure uniqueness of curve signatures, robust to metric variations.

problem Ensuring uniqueness of curve signatures in differential geometry.
method Introducing new methods through differential equations and higher order derivatives.
result New criteria for curve signature uniqueness in general settings.

New method uses path signatures for efficient likelihood estimation in time-series data.

problem Intractable likelihood functions in complex dynamic models.
method Kernel classifier based on path signatures for sequential data.
result Path signatures yield highly performant classifiers, even with low sample numbers.

The paper revisits expected signatures in semimartingale models, providing new formulae and simplifying complexity.

problem Computing expected signatures in semimartingale models.
method Revisits and provides new formulae for computing expected signatures in a general semimartingale setting.
result Log-transform of expected signatures simplifies complexity, leading to signature cumulants.

The area of Handwritten Signature Verification has been broadly researched in the last decades, but remains an open research problem. The objective of signature verification systems is to discriminate if a given signature is genuine (produced by the claimed individual), or a forgery (produced by an impostor). This has …

2015-07-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses probabilistic independence to discover disease signatures from medical records.

problem Insufficiently precise diagnosis of clinical disease leading to treatment failures.
method Unsupervised machine learning using probabilistic independence to disentangle disease patterns.
result Inferred 2000 clinical disease signatures from medical records, improving cancer prediction.

Path signatures adapted for Lie groups improve action recognition in computer vision.

problem Improving action recognition in computer vision with geometric constraints.
method Lifting path signatures to Lie groups and proving universality and characteristic property.
result Path signatures on Lie groups provide comparable performance to shallow learning approaches in action recognition.

The study identifies volatility models from path geometry using signature-based methods.

problem Identifying different stochastic volatility models from observed data.
method Mapping volatility trajectories into a feature space via truncated path signatures and applying a gradient boosting classifier.
result The method achieves high classification accuracy across various volatility dynamics and parameter settings.

A well-known property of the signature of closed oriented 4n-dimensional manifolds is Novikov additivity, which states that if a manifold is split into two manifolds with boundary along an oriented smooth hypersurface, then the signature of the original manifold equals the sum of the signatures of the resulting manifol…

2009-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for portfolio optimization using signature signatures to incorporate path-dependencies.

problem Traditional portfolio optimization models struggle with path-dependencies and exogenous signals.
method Signature Trading framework using rough path signatures to represent trading strategies.
result Efficient incorporation of exogenous signals and drawdown control in optimal strategies.

New findings on mesh group-planes validate Signature-inverse Theorem under specific conditions.

problem Invalidity of existing inverse theorems for mesh group-planes.
method Classification of three and five point meshes, analysis of joint invariant signatures.
result Valid conditions for the Signature-inverse Theorem in mesh group-planes.

Introduces flat discrete signatures for financial data analysis.

problem Representing financial data for machine learning without continuous transformation.
method Introduced flat discrete signatures and discrete signatures, generalizing flat discrete signatures.
result Flat discrete signatures can represent quadratic variation relevant in finance.

This is a sequel to the paper "The signature package on Witt spaces, I. Index classes" by the same authors. In the first part we investigated, via a parametrix construction, the regularity properties of the signature operator on a stratified Witt pseudomanifold, proving, in particular, that one can define a K-homology …

2009-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Signature Isolation Forest removes constraints from FIF by using rough path theory's signature transform.

problem Challenges in FIF's linear inner product and dictionary choices leading to unreliable results.
method Introduces Signature Isolation Forest using rough path theory's signature transform to remove linearity constraints.
result Demonstrates relevance of methods through numerical experiments and real-world applications.

The paper examines the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data.

problem Consistency of Lasso regression in signature analysis of time series data.
method The paper studies the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data, both theoretically and numerically.
result The Lasso regression is consistent both asymptotically and in finite sample for certain types of time series and processes.