SigMA uses signatures and attention to estimate parameters in fBm-driven SDEs.
problem Estimating parameters in SDEs driven by fBm is challenging due to non-Markovian and semimartingale issues.
method SigMA integrates path signatures with multi-head self-attention, using convolutional and MLP layers.
result SigMA outperforms other methods in accuracy, robustness, and model compactness.
Transformer model improves asset allocation by unifying forecasting and optimization.
problem Separation of forecasting and optimization leads to suboptimal portfolios.
method Signature Informed Transformer using path signatures and specialized attention.
result Direct minimization of Conditional Value at Risk improves performance.
Rough Transformers improve time series modeling with lower costs and better performance.
problem Inefficient modeling of irregularly sampled time series data.
method Signature patching for continuous-time representations, reducing computational costs.
result Rough Transformers outperform vanilla Transformers and Neural ODE models.
Kodaira fibrations are surfaces of general type with a non-isotrivial fibration, which are differentiable fibre bundles. They are known to have positive signature divisible by 4. Examples are known only with signature 16 and more. We review approaches to construct examples of low signature which admit two independent…
New imputation strategies improve signature models for irregular time series.
problem Applying signature models to irregular time series requires continuous path construction.
method Characterized imputation as a problem, evaluated various strategies, proposed GP-PoM.
result Gaussian process adapters improve predictive performance and robustness.
We consider the problem of modeling cardiovascular responses to physical activity and sleep changes captured by wearable sensors in free living conditions. We use an attentional convolutional neural network to learn parsimonious signatures of individual cardiovascular response from data recorded at the minute level res…
Paper uses algebraic signatures to identify probabilistic structures in empirical data.
problem Identifying probabilistic structure from observed binomials in empirical probability tensors.
method Treating vanishing binomials as algebraic signatures, matching signatures to identify models without parameter estimation.
result The method successfully identified rank-one structures in real language data, revealing interpretable sets of words.
Transformer models show distinct spectral fingerprints under voice changes.
problem Detecting architectural biases in transformer models.
method Spectral analysis of attention-induced token graphs.
result Clear architectural signatures in model fingerprints correlate with language-specific behavior.
Rough Transformers improve efficiency for medical time-series data.
problem Efficiently modeling irregularly sampled, long-range time-series data.
method Introducing Rough Transformers, a Transformer variant with continuous-time representations and multi-view signature attention.
result Rough Transformers outperform vanilla Transformers while using less computational resources.
Paper generates synthetic radar signatures for motion classification.
problem Lack of large training datasets for radar-based human activity recognition.
method Adversarial learning for synthetic data generation, kinematic sifting for consistency.
result 93% overall accuracy achieved on diverse aspect angles.
We call attention against what seems to a widely held misconception according to which large crashes are the largest events of distributions of price variations with fat tails. We demonstrate on the Dow Jones Industrial index that with high probability the three largest crashes in this century are outliers. This result…
SigGPDE scales sparse Gaussian processes for sequential data.
problem Predicting and quantifying uncertainty in sequential data.
method Sparse variational inference framework for Gaussian Processes, leveraging GP signature kernel gradients as PDE solutions.
result Significant computational gains and state-of-the-art performance on large sequential datasets.
Nowadays, multivariate time series data are increasingly collected in various real world systems, e.g., power plants, wearable devices, etc. Anomaly detection and diagnosis in multivariate time series refer to identifying abnormal status in certain time steps and pinpointing the root causes. Building such a system, how…
Language models fail to process hallucinated responses, and this study diagnoses the failure.
problem Language models fail to process hallucinated responses, leading to over-concentration or diffuse attention.
method The study uses forced scoring of benchmark-labeled responses to compute attention shapes and analyze the symmetric component of the degree-normalized attention operator.
result The study proves that every transpose-invariant spectral diagnostic of the attention operator is orientation-blind and bounds the sensitivity of any Lipschitz diagnostic by the asymmetry coefficient \(G\).
The paper revisits expected signatures in semimartingale models, providing new formulae and simplifying complexity.
problem Computing expected signatures in semimartingale models.
method Revisits and provides new formulae for computing expected signatures in a general semimartingale setting.
result Log-transform of expected signatures simplifies complexity, leading to signature cumulants.
Defines knot signature invariant using G-signature theorem.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on knot theory.
method Uses G-signature theorem to define knot invariant.
result Defines an invariant for strongly invertible knots.
Graph signal processing detects hallucinations in large language models.
problem Detecting factual reasoning from hallucinations in large language models.
method Modeling transformer layers as dynamic graphs, using spectral analysis to define diagnostics.
result Spectral signatures can distinguish different types of hallucinations and achieve high accuracy.
Deep signature/log-signature FBSDE algorithm improves accuracy and training time.
problem Solving FBSDEs with state and path dependent features.
method Incorporates deep signature/log-signature transformation into RNN model.
result Improves accuracy and training time compared to existing methods.
A well-known property of the signature of closed oriented 4n-dimensional manifolds is Novikov additivity, which states that if a manifold is split into two manifolds with boundary along an oriented smooth hypersurface, then the signature of the original manifold equals the sum of the signatures of the resulting manifol…
Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots follows a reduction formula.
problem Determining the maximum Levine-Tristram signature for torus knots.
method Proved a reduction formula analogous to Gordon-Litherland-Murasugi's classical signature result.
result Maximum Levine-Tristram signature of torus knots satisfies a reduction formula.
New findings on mesh group-planes validate Signature-inverse Theorem under specific conditions.
problem Invalidity of existing inverse theorems for mesh group-planes.
method Classification of three and five point meshes, analysis of joint invariant signatures.
result Valid conditions for the Signature-inverse Theorem in mesh group-planes.
Introduces flat discrete signatures for financial data analysis.
problem Representing financial data for machine learning without continuous transformation.
method Introduced flat discrete signatures and discrete signatures, generalizing flat discrete signatures.
result Flat discrete signatures can represent quadratic variation relevant in finance.
This is a sequel to the paper "The signature package on Witt spaces, I. Index classes" by the same authors. In the first part we investigated, via a parametrix construction, the regularity properties of the signature operator on a stratified Witt pseudomanifold, proving, in particular, that one can define a K-homology …
We define the Analytical signature, the Hodge signature and the de Rham signature for a foliated manifold with boundary with foliation transverse to the boundary. We show that all these signatures coincide and a Hirzebruch formula is valid.
New methods price American options in rough volatility models.
problem Pricing American options under rough volatility.
method Integrating deep-signature and signature-kernel learning into optimal stopping problem solutions.
result Performance comparison in rough Heston and rough Bergomi models.
The paper examines the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data.
problem Consistency of Lasso regression in signature analysis of time series data.
method The paper studies the consistency of Lasso regression applied to signature analysis of time series data, both theoretically and numerically.
result The Lasso regression is consistent both asymptotically and in finite sample for certain types of time series and processes.
Study signatures of torus links and their cores using Neumann's equivariant signatures and Hirzebruch's formula.
problem Computing signatures of torus links and their cores.
method Use Neumann's equivariant signatures and rewrite Hirzebruch's formula for torus links (without cores) in terms of integral points in a parallelogram.
result Rewritten Hirzebruch's formula for torus links with cores using integral points in a parallelogram.
This paper extends the C*-signature to non-Witt spaces using noncommutative geometric methods.
problem Extending the signature to non-Witt spaces with noncommutative geometric methods.
method Noncommutative geometric methods, combinatorial framework, and comparison with analytical signature.
result Constructing the C*-signature on non-Witt spaces.
Paper generalizes path signature using fractional calculus for improved machine learning.
problem Improving path signature for machine learning applications.
method Introduces two new signatures inspired by fractional calculus and machine learning considerations.
result Significant accuracy improvements in handwritten digit recognition.
We present a novel method for extracting cancer signatures by applying statistical risk models (http://ssrn.com/abstract=2732453) from quantitative finance to cancer genome data. Using 1389 whole genome sequenced samples from 14 cancers, we identify an "overall" mode of somatic mutational noise. We give a prescription …
pySigLib speeds up signature-based computations on CPUs and GPUs.
problem Efficient signature-based computations on large datasets and long sequences.
method Optimised Python library for CPU and GPU, novel differentiation scheme.
result Accurate gradients at a fraction of the runtime of existing libraries.
Efficiently computes sparse signature coefficients using kernels.
problem Lack of efficient methods for sparse signature coefficients.
method Signature kernels and PDE-based methods.
result Sparse groups of signature coefficients can be isolated effectively.
New method calculates signatures of biquotients.
problem Signature calculation for homogeneous spaces.
method Generalization of Hirzebruch's computation to biquotients.
result Signature of biquotients computed for equal rank cases.
Paper introduces branched signature model for efficient computation and data-driven applications.
problem Efficient computation and data-driven modeling of branched rough paths.
method Develops a universal approximation theorem and constructs an extension map to realize branched signatures.
result Explicit construction of branched signatures via an extension map for efficient computation.
Link signature limit depends on linking matrix under specific polynomial condition.
problem Limits of Tristam-Levine signature function under precise polynomial conditions.
method Analysis of Alexander polynomial and linking matrix.
result Limit of Tristam-Levine signature at 1 determined by linking matrix under specific polynomial condition.
Path signatures improve hedging of exotic derivatives in non-Markovian models.
problem Hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
method Investigates path signatures in deep and shallow learning contexts, comparing neural networks and regression approaches.
result Path signatures outperform LSTM in most cases and yield more accurate results in hedging.
Develops a new family of signature-changing models on metric manifolds.
problem Signature changes in metric manifolds.
method One-parameter family of Lorentz-Riemann models, local expressions around change.
result Generalizes existing signature-changing models.
We prove that the signature of an even, symmetric form on a finite rank integral lattice, has signature divisible by 8, provided its associated linking form vanishes in the Witt group of linking forms. Our result generalizes the well know fact that an even, unimodular form has signature divisible by 8. We give applicat…
Paper confirms Kashaev's signature conjecture for links.
problem Proving Kashaev's conjecture about link invariants.
method Using Seifert surface definition and diagrammatic approach.
result Established Kashaev's conjecture, providing a new formula for Alexander polynomial.
The paper defines signatures for Witt spaces with boundary and proves their equality.
problem Defining and proving signatures for Witt spaces with boundary.
method Introducing de Rham and Hodge signatures, extending index theory, and using von Neumann algebras.
result Equality of de Rham and Hodge signatures on Witt spaces with boundary.
In this note, we lay the groundwork for a new approach to the problem of group-signature classification of group actions on closed Riemann surfaces. This new approach first focuses on analyzing the low level arithmetic conditions on signatures before invoking the more complicated group theory. We provide the complete f…
Study finds infinitely many surface bundle types with zero signature.
problem Characterizing homeomorphism types of surface bundles with specific signatures.
method Analyzing atoroidal surface bundles over surfaces.
result Infinitely many homeomorphism types of atoroidal surface bundles over surfaces with signature zero.
A new graph signature invariant to graph automorphisms.
problem Graph symmetry and feature generation.
method Power spectrum signature derived from squared graph Fourier transform.
result Power spectrum signature is stable under graph perturbations.
The study explains why signature methods work in commodity futures term structure classification.
problem Lack of interpretability in signature methods for term structure classification.
method Introducing signature perturbations to explain the success of signature-based classification.
result The volatility of the convenience yield is the major discriminant for commodity markets classification.
Study on signatures of positive braids with bounds derived.
problem Understanding signatures of positive braids and their invariants.
method Derived lower bounds for Levine-Tristram signatures, and upper and lower bounds on signature ratios.
result Established bounds on signatures of positive braids, uniformly valid across monoids.
For a normal covering over a closed oriented topological manifold we give a proof of the L2-signature theorem with twisted coefficients, using Lipschitz structures and the Lipschitz signature operator introduced by Teleman. We also prove that the L-theory isomorphism conjecture as well as the C^*_max-version of the Bau…
New findings on non-congruent curves with identical signatures.
problem Identifying congruence of non-degenerate curves with non-simple signatures.
method Associated directed graphs to signatures and used paths to reflect global and local symmetries.
result Non-congruent, non-degenerate curves can have identical signatures.
We define and study the signature, A-hat genus and higher signatures of the quotient space of an S1-action on a closed oriented manifold. We give applications to questions of positive scalar curvature and to an Equivariant Novikov Conjecture.