In this note, we lay the groundwork for a new approach to the problem of group-signature classification of group actions on closed Riemann surfaces. This new approach first focuses on analyzing the low level arithmetic conditions on signatures before invoking the more complicated group theory. We provide the complete f…
Novel signature approach for pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
problem Pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
method Signature approach, mean-quadratic variation criterion, non-standard infinite-dimensional Riccati equations, time-augmented signature, non-Markovian stochastic control problem.
result Effective hedging strategies in frictional markets with low-truncated signature approximations.
Signatures provide a succinct description of certain features of paths in a reparametrization invariant way. We propose a method for classifying shapes based on signatures, and compare it to current approaches based on the SRV transform and dynamic programming.
New methods price American options in rough volatility models.
problem Pricing American options under rough volatility.
method Integrating deep-signature and signature-kernel learning into optimal stopping problem solutions.
result Performance comparison in rough Heston and rough Bergomi models.
A novel signature method improves sequential data prediction accuracy.
problem Improving prediction accuracy for sequential and temporal data.
method Signature method based on rough path theory, with a specific embedding called lead-lag.
result Lead-lag embedding consistently outperforms other embeddings across various datasets and algorithms.
Normal distribution found for 2-bridge knots signatures.
problem Distribution of signatures for 2-bridge knots.
method Calculated average signature, introduced s(c,σ), used limit theorem. result Distribution of signatures approaches normal as knot complexity increases.
Path signatures improve hedging of exotic derivatives in non-Markovian models.
problem Hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
method Investigates path signatures in deep and shallow learning contexts, comparing neural networks and regression approaches.
result Path signatures outperform LSTM in most cases and yield more accurate results in hedging.
New methods for volatility modeling using rough paths and signatures.
problem Calibrating implied volatility surfaces in various stochastic models.
method Analytical approximations and signature-based models based on rough path theory.
result Signature-based models achieve comparable accuracy to analytical expansions and can capture more complex dynamics.
New formulas estimate link signatures near 1.
problem Estimating link signatures close to 1.
method Two approaches: 3D and 4D, using generalized Seifert surfaces and a new extension to the torus.
result New estimates on Levine-Tristram signature near 1.
Efficiently computes sparse signature coefficients using kernels.
problem Lack of efficient methods for sparse signature coefficients.
method Signature kernels and PDE-based methods.
result Sparse groups of signature coefficients can be isolated effectively.
The signature is an infinite graded sequence of statistics known to characterise a stream of data up to a negligible equivalence class. It is a transform which has previously been treated as a fixed feature transformation, on top of which a model may be built. We propose a novel approach which combines the advantages o…
Universal approximation for rough paths and Lévy processes.
problem Approximating continuous functionals of càdlàg paths.
method Linear functionals of time-extended signatures.
result Universal approximation theorem for continuous functionals of càdlàg paths.
A new VWAP execution method using transformer and signature features.
problem Asset-specific model training and complex temporal dependencies.
method Combining transformer-based design with path signatures for capturing geometric features.
result GFT-Sig model achieves superior performance in VWAP loss metrics.
The paper develops a deep signature approach for option pricing under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models.
problem Pricing options under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models is challenging due to the dependence on historical paths.
method Reformulate the asset dynamics as a rough stochastic differential equation and represent rough paths via signatures. Apply standard analytical tools to solve the transformed equation.
result The deep signature approach provides a theoretically grounded and computationally efficient framework for option pricing.
We introduce signature payoffs, a family of path-dependent derivatives that are given in terms of the signature of the price path of the underlying asset. We show that these derivatives are dense in the space of continuous payoffs, a result that is exploited to quickly price arbitrary continuous payoffs. This approach …
Estimates path-valued data using signature metrics and local kernels.
problem Nonparametric regression and classification for path-valued data.
method Combines signature transform and local kernel regression.
result Establishes convergence bounds and demonstrates competitive accuracy.
New method uses path signatures for efficient likelihood estimation in time-series data.
problem Intractable likelihood functions in complex dynamic models.
method Kernel classifier based on path signatures for sequential data.
result Path signatures yield highly performant classifiers, even with low sample numbers.
We provide the optimal linear bound for the signature of positive four-braids in terms of the three-genus of their closures. As a consequence, we improve previously known linear bounds for the signature in terms of the first Betti number for all positive braid links. We obtain our results by combining bounds for positi…
Kodaira fibrations are surfaces of general type with a non-isotrivial fibration, which are differentiable fibre bundles. They are known to have positive signature divisible by 4. Examples are known only with signature 16 and more. We review approaches to construct examples of low signature which admit two independent…
Predicts next actions in soccer possessions using path signatures.
problem Predicting next actions in soccer possessions with high accuracy.
method Leveraging path signatures to encode spatio-temporal structure of recent possessions, avoiding manual feature engineering.
result Our approach outperforms transformer-based benchmarks across various loss metrics and reduces computational cost.
We use geometric algebra techniques to give a synthetic and computationally efficient approach to Fierz identities in arbitrary dimensions and signatures, thus generalizing previous work. Our approach leads to a formulation which displays the underlying real, complex or quaternionic structure in an explicit and concept…
Transformer model improves asset allocation by unifying forecasting and optimization.
problem Separation of forecasting and optimization leads to suboptimal portfolios.
method Signature Informed Transformer using path signatures and specialized attention.
result Direct minimization of Conditional Value at Risk improves performance.
Path signatures adapted for Lie groups improve action recognition in computer vision.
problem Improving action recognition in computer vision with geometric constraints.
method Lifting path signatures to Lie groups and proving universality and characteristic property.
result Path signatures on Lie groups provide comparable performance to shallow learning approaches in action recognition.
New method uses probabilistic independence to discover disease signatures from medical records.
problem Insufficiently precise diagnosis of clinical disease leading to treatment failures.
method Unsupervised machine learning using probabilistic independence to disentangle disease patterns.
result Inferred 2000 clinical disease signatures from medical records, improving cancer prediction.
New method solves optimal stopping problems using rough path signatures.
problem Optimal stopping problems in finance and other fields.
method Using rough path signatures and deep neural networks.
result Solves optimal stopping problems efficiently under minimal assumptions.
We develop a Bayesian approach to learning from sequential data by using Gaussian processes (GPs) with so-called signature kernels as covariance functions. This allows to make sequences of different length comparable and to rely on strong theoretical results from stochastic analysis. Signatures capture sequential struc…
The model uses signatures to accurately calibrate SPX and VIX options without jumps or rough volatility.
problem Joint calibration of SPX and VIX options without jumps or rough volatility.
method The approach uses a stochastic volatility model with signatures of polynomial diffusions to price and calibrate SPX and VIX options.
result Highly accurate calibration results for SPX and VIX options without adding jumps or rough volatility.
In this paper we prove a variety of results about the signature operator on Witt spaces. First, we give a parametrix construction for the signature operator on any compact, oriented, stratified pseudomanifold X which satisfies the Witt condition. This construction, which is inductive over the `depth' of the singularity…
Offline Signature Verification (OSV) is a challenging pattern recognition task, especially when it is expected to generalize well on the skilled forgeries that are not available during the training. Its challenges also include small training sample and large intra-class variations. Considering the limitations, we sugge…
Generative model for TPPs using signatures and distributional discrepancies.
problem Limitations of signature methods for TPPs and lack of global sequence-level loss in neural models.
method Introduce interarrival embedding to lift jump paths to continuous paths of bounded variation, enabling signature methods for discrete event sequences. Develop sigTPP, a signature-based generative model trained on path-level loss.
result sigTPP achieves the best average rank across multiple metrics and outperforms or is within a standard error of the strongest baseline in 64% of dataset-metric pairs.
The paper revisits expected signatures in semimartingale models, providing new formulae and simplifying complexity.
problem Computing expected signatures in semimartingale models.
method Revisits and provides new formulae for computing expected signatures in a general semimartingale setting.
result Log-transform of expected signatures simplifies complexity, leading to signature cumulants.
Quantum modularity proved for SU(2) TQFT signature on genus 2 surfaces.
problem Proving quantum modularity of SU(2) TQFT signature for genus 2 surfaces.
method Using quantum modularity of generalized Dedekind sums associated with modular forms and trigonometric sum expressions.
result Quantum modularity of SU(2) TQFT signature on genus 2 surfaces proved.
Average signature of 2-bridge knots approximates sqrt(2c/π).
problem Estimating the average signature and 4-genus of 2-bridge knots.
method Developed a model for 2-bridge knot diagrams indexed by crossing number, and used it to derive upper bounds for the average 4-genus.
result Upper bound for the average 4-genus of a 2-bridge knot is 9.75c/log c.
Background: Predictive, stable and interpretable gene signatures are generally seen as an important step towards a better personalized medicine. During the last decade various methods have been proposed for that purpose. However, one important obstacle for making gene signatures a standard tool in clinics is the typica…
The paper proposes using path signatures for better inference in time series data.
problem Simulation models with time series data often lack tractable likelihood functions.
method Approximate Bayesian Computation with path signatures to handle sequential data.
result Theoretical guarantees on the resultant posteriors for Bayesian parameter inference.
Unified and simplified signature method for multivariate time series.
problem Challenging application of signature method due to its flexibility.
method Generalised signature method unifying various techniques.
result Competitive performance against benchmarks for multivariate time series classification.
New method uses path signatures for causal discovery in time series data.
problem Challenges in understanding causal structure from observational time series data.
method Path signatures and signed areas for model-free causal discovery.
result Confidence sequence regions help identify lag/lead causal relationships.
We present an approach to solvable pseudo-Riemannian symmetric spaces based on papers of M.Cahen, M.Parker and N.Wallach. Thereby we reproduce the classification of solvable symmetric triples of Lorentzian signature (1,n−1) and complete the case of signature (2,n−2). Moreover we discuss the topology of non-simply-c…
Study explores embedding signature-changing manifolds into higher-dimensional spaces.
problem Smooth metric signature changes in spacetimes.
method Global isometric embeddings into higher-dimensional pseudo-Euclidean spaces.
result Explicit constructions of global embeddings into Minkowski and Misner spaces.
Sig-Splines model uses signatures and splines for time series data, achieving universality and convexity.
problem Creating a generative model for multivariate time series data.
method Combines linear transformations and signature transforms into a neural spline flow.
result Achieves universality and introduces convexity in model parameters.
It is well known that the classification of the Weyl tensor in Lorentzian manifolds of dimension four, the so called Petrov classification, was a great tool to the development of general relativity. Using the bivector approach it is shown in this article a classification for the Weyl tensor in all four-dimensional mani…
We prove the Novikov conjecture on oriented Cheeger spaces whose fundamental group satisfies the strong Novikov conjecture. A Cheeger space is a stratified pseudomanifold admitting, through a choice of ideal boundary conditions, an L2-de Rham cohomology theory satisfying Poincare duality. We prove that this cohomology …
Defines knot signature invariant using G-signature theorem.
problem No specific problem stated; focuses on knot theory.
method Uses G-signature theorem to define knot invariant.
result Defines an invariant for strongly invertible knots.
As advances in signature recognition have reached a new plateau of performance at around 2% error rate, it is interesting to investigate alternative approaches. The approach detailed in this paper looks at using Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) to learn a latent space representation of genuine signatures. This is then …
Validates economic scenarios using statistical tests on stochastic processes.
problem Ensuring the accuracy of real-world economic scenario models.
method Applies Chevyrev and Oberhauser's (2022) signature and maximum mean distance test to various stochastic processes.
result Demonstrates the test's effectiveness across different path properties relevant to financial modeling.
Paper uses algebraic signatures to identify probabilistic structures in empirical data.
problem Identifying probabilistic structure from observed binomials in empirical probability tensors.
method Treating vanishing binomials as algebraic signatures, matching signatures to identify models without parameter estimation.
result The method successfully identified rank-one structures in real language data, revealing interpretable sets of words.
Deep signature/log-signature FBSDE algorithm improves accuracy and training time.
problem Solving FBSDEs with state and path dependent features.
method Incorporates deep signature/log-signature transformation into RNN model.
result Improves accuracy and training time compared to existing methods.
A well-known property of the signature of closed oriented 4n-dimensional manifolds is Novikov additivity, which states that if a manifold is split into two manifolds with boundary along an oriented smooth hypersurface, then the signature of the original manifold equals the sum of the signatures of the resulting manifol…