A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Enhances early risk assessments for pediatric outcomes using contrastive learning.
Horseshoe priors improve small area estimation by borrowing strength globally but locally.
In high-dimensional data, structured noise caused by observed and unobserved factors affecting multiple target variables simultaneously, imposes a serious challenge for modeling, by masking the often weak signal. Therefore, (1) explaining away the structured noise in multiple-output regression is of paramount importanc…
We propose a greedy variational method for decomposing a non-negative multivariate signal as a weighted sum of Gaussians, which, borrowing the terminology from statistics, we refer to as a Gaussian mixture model. Notably, our method has the following features: (1) It accepts multivariate signals, i.e. sampled multivari…
Online Peer to Peer Lending (P2PL) systems connect lenders and borrowers directly, thereby making it convenient to borrow and lend money without intermediaries such as banks. Many recommendation systems have been developed for lenders to achieve higher interest rates and avoid defaulting loans. However, there has not b…
Models with many signals, high-dimensional models, often impose structures on the signal strengths. The common assumption is that only a few signals are strong and most of the signals are zero or close (collectively) to zero. However, such a requirement might not be valid in many real-life applications. In this article…
Study identifies two borrowing patterns in UK payday loan users.
Proposes dynamic borrowing method for historical data in clinical trials.
Shared Keyboard design improves phase I clinical trials by borrowing information across doses.
We propose a novel adaptive kernel based regression method for complex-valued signals: the generalized complex-valued kernel least-mean-square (gCKLMS). We borrow from the new results on widely linear reproducing kernel Hilbert space (WL-RKHS) for nonlinear regression and complex-valued signals, recently proposed by th…
Compressed sensing (CS) provides an elegant framework for recovering sparse signals from compressed measurements. For example, CS can exploit the structure of natural images and recover an image from only a few random measurements. CS is flexible and data efficient, but its application has been restricted by the strong…
This work examines the effects of allowing borrowing in betting-based hypothesis testing.
A new iterative low complexity algorithm has been presented for computing the Walsh-Hadamard transform (WHT) of an dimensional signal with a -sparse WHT, where is a power of two and , scales sub-linearly in for some . Assuming a random support model for the non-zero transform domain…
Study on optimal portfolio selection with varying borrowing and saving rates in continuous-time markets.
This paper studies the properties of the optimal portfolio-consumption strategies in a {finite horizon} robust utility maximization framework with different borrowing and lending rates. In particular, we allow for constraints on both investment and consumption strategies, and model uncertainty on both drift and volatil…
This paper provides a framework for modeling financial contagion in a network subject to fire sales and price impacts, but allowing for firms to borrow to cover their shortfall as well. We consider both uncollateralized and collateralized loans. The main results of this work are providing sufficient conditions for exis…
New algorithm borrows future randomness to stabilize model-free control.
Through a short sale, a person borrows a share of stock from a lender, sells the borrowed share to a third person at the current price, and purchases an identical share in the market at a future date and at a future price to replace the borrowed share of stock. This only makes sense if the short seller anticipates a do…
A new method boosts graph neural networks by preventing over-smoothing and over-squashing.
Method estimates multiple related Gaussian distributions using Laplacian regularization.
This research investigated the potential for improving Peer-to-Peer (P2P) credit scoring by using "private information" about communications and travels of borrowers. We found that P2P borrowers' ego networks exhibit scale-free behavior driven by underlying preferential attachment mechanisms that connect borrowers in a…
We propose a simple model of inter-bank borrowing and lending where the evolution of the log-monetary reserves of banks is described by a system of diffusion processes coupled through their drifts in such a way that stability of the system depends on the rate of inter-bank borrowing and lending. Systemic risk is ch…
The paper examines smoothness of value function in consumption-investment models with borrowing constraints.
DeFi lending protocols faced challenges during Ethereum's merge, but avoided major liquidations.
Paper uses BERT to assess P2P borrowers' credit risk from loan descriptions.
Study optimal consumption and portfolio strategies with no-borrowing constraint in financial markets.
The study calculates securities lending haircuts and indemnification costs.
We propose an in-depth study of lending behaviors in Kiva using a mix of quantitative and large-scale data mining techniques. Kiva is a non-profit organization that offers an online platform to connect lenders with borrowers. Their site, kiva.org, allows citizens to microlend small amounts of money to entrepreneurs (bo…
This article aims to explore an empirical approach to analyze the macroeconomicsdeterminants of default of borrowers. For this purpose, we have measured the impact of the adverse economic conditions on the degradation of the credit portfolio quality.In our paper, we have shed more light on the question of the aggravati…
Study quantifies information borrowing in hierarchical Bayesian models.
We develop a deep learning model of multi-period mortgage risk and use it to analyze an unprecedented dataset of origination and monthly performance records for over 120 million mortgages originated across the US between 1995 and 2014. Our estimators of term structures of conditional probabilities of prepayment, forecl…
In "Unlabeled Sensing", one observes a set of linear measurements of an underlying signal with incomplete or missing information about their ordering, which can be modeled in terms of an unknown permutation. Previous work on the case of a single noisy measurement vector has exposed two main challenges: 1) a high requir…
We determine the optimal investment strategy of an individual who targets a given rate of consumption and who seeks to minimize the probability of going bankrupt before she dies, also known as {\it lifetime ruin}. We impose two types of borrowing constraints: First, we do not allow the individual to borrow money to inv…
Zero-Liquidation loans protect ETH borrowers from liquidation risks.
Interbank markets are fundamental for bank liquidity management. In this paper, we introduce a model of interbank trading with memory. Our model reproduces features of preferential trading patterns in the e-MID market recently empirically observed through the method of statistically validated networks. The memory mecha…
This study measures liquidity risks in Aave, a blockchain lending protocol.
While the prevalence of Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is increasing, research continues in an effort to identify common etiological and pathophysiological bases. In this regard, modern machine learning and network science pave the way for a better understanding of the neuropathology and the development of diagnosis ai…
In this paper, we consider three problems related to survival, growth, and goal reaching maximization of an investment portfolio with proportional net cash flow. We solve the problems in a market constrained due to borrowing prohibition. To solve the problems, we first construct an auxiliary market and then apply the d…
We study the frictions in the patterns of trades in the Euro money market. We characterize the structure of lending relations during the period of recent financial turmoil. We use network-topology method on data from overnight transactions in the Electronic Market for Interbank Deposits (e-Mid) to investigate on two ma…
We propose a model of inter-bank lending and borrowing which takes into account clearing debt obligations. The evolution of log-monetary reserves of banks is described by coupled diffusions driven by controls with delay in their drifts. Banks are minimizing their finite-horizon objective functions which take into a…
The paper tackles noisy functional data by exploring a multivariate perspective.
Credit risk analysis improved with a joint model for spatial and temporal effects.
We show that different rates should be used for borrowing and discount rates, and that the risk-free rate should be used for discounting when assessing and comparing the cost of energy accross diffferent producers and technologies, on the example of photovoltaics. Recent quantitative models using the same rate for borr…
Study uses FEM for HJB in option pricing with borrowing fees, improving accuracy and efficiency.
New DR-IC estimator reduces bias and variance in OPE.
Model predicts loan default risk using dynamic multilayer graph neural networks.
The study improves credit evaluation in peer-to-peer lending using machine learning.
The manipulation of LIBOR by a group of banks became one of the major blows to the remaining confidence in financial industry. Yet, despite an enormous amount of popular literature on the subject, rigorous time-series studies are few. In my paper, I discuss the following hypothesis. Namely, if we should assume for a st…