Study detects concept shift in online data using martingales.
problem Detecting concept shift in online datasets.
method Exchangeable martingales and conformal prediction techniques.
result Decomposes concept shift into detectable components.
Detects domain shifts in datasets using interpretable feature subspaces.
problem Detecting subtle differences in dataset probability distributions.
method Localised density anomaly detection in high-dimensional feature spaces.
result Extracts interpretable feature subspaces for domain shifts.
Paper proposes a framework to detect distribution shifts using embedding space geometry.
problem Detecting distribution shifts in candidate datasets to improve model generalizability.
method Non-parametric framework using embedding space geometry for two tests: robustness boundary and in-distribution/out-of-distribution classification.
result Both tests successfully detect distribution shifts in various scenarios for both synthetic and real-world datasets.
Detects changes in classifier scores to identify shifts in class priors.
problem Label shift changes in classification data.
method Sequential changepoint detection of classifier scores.
result Outperforms other detection procedures in label shift settings.
New method detects novel node categories in graphs with distribution shifts.
problem Detecting novel node categories in graphs with distribution shifts.
method Recall-Constrained Optimization with Selective Link Prediction (RECO-SLIP).
result RECO-SLIP outperforms existing methods in detecting novel node categories.
Enhanced regime shifts detection using unstructured text and financial data.
problem Detecting regime shifts in financial markets is challenging due to noisy and multicollinear data.
method Combines LLM reasoning on unstructured text and statistical validation on financial time series.
result Framework achieves F1 score of 0.82, outperforming pure data-driven methods.
M-FISHER detects and adapts to streaming data shifts with statistical validity and stability.
problem Detecting and adapting to distributional shifts in streaming data.
method Constructs an exponential martingale from non-conformity scores and applies Ville's inequality for detection. Fisher-preconditioned updates for adaptation.
result Establishes M-FISHER as a principled approach for robust, anytime-valid detection and geometrically stable adaptation.
This work uses adversarial learning to detect and correct feature shifts in various datasets.
problem Detecting and correcting feature shifts in real-world datasets.
method Adversarial learning applied to multiple discriminators to detect and correct feature shifts.
result Mainstream classifiers can effectively localize and correct feature shifts, outperforming existing techniques.
A new method detects distribution shifts faster than existing CTMs.
problem Detecting distribution shifts in data streams with contamination issues.
method Uses a fixed reference dataset to compare each new sample, avoiding contamination.
result Detects distribution shifts faster and more reliably than standard CTMs.
Machine learning and data mining techniques have been used extensively in order to detect credit card frauds. However purchase behaviour and fraudster strategies may change over time. This phenomenon is named dataset shift or concept drift in the domain of fraud detection. In this paper, we present a method to quantify…
Detects harmful shifts without labels for model performance.
problem Detecting distribution shifts without access to labels.
method Uses a proxy derived from predictions of an error estimator.
result High power and false alarm control under various shifts.
CSI detects novelty by contrasting shifted instances, outperforming existing methods.
problem Detecting samples from outside the training distribution.
method Contrastive learning with distributionally shifted augmentations.
result CSI outperforms existing methods in various novelty detection scenarios.
Study evaluates AD methods for fraud detection in online credit card payments.
problem Fraud detection in online credit card payments using anomaly detection methods.
method Assessed several recent anomaly detection methods and compared them with standard supervised learning methods.
result LightGBM outperforms other methods but is more sensitive to distribution shifts.
MADOD meta-learns invariant features for OOD detection across unseen domains.
problem Simultaneous covariate and semantic shifts in real-world machine learning applications.
method Meta-learning and G-invariance to learn robust, domain-invariant features.
result Superior performance in semantic OOD detection across unseen domains.
Unified framework for OOD detection and generalization using graph theory.
problem Challenges in out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization and detection in real-world machine learning models.
method Graph-theoretic framework to jointly tackle OOD generalization and detection.
result Empirical validation of theoretical underpinnings with competitive performance.
Faced with distribution shift between training and test set, we wish to detect and quantify the shift, and to correct our classifiers without test set labels. Motivated by medical diagnosis, where diseases (targets) cause symptoms (observations), we focus on label shift, where the label marginal p(y) changes but the …
Detects which features have shifted in data distributions.
problem Identifying which specific features have caused a distribution shift.
method Formalizes the problem as multiple conditional distribution hypothesis tests, proposes non-parametric and parametric statistical tests, and uses a test statistic based on the density model score function.
result Demonstrates methods for identifying when and where a shift occurs in multivariate time-series data.
MAGDiff detects data shifts in neural networks without retraining.
problem Neural networks' sensitivity to data distribution shifts.
method Extracts MAGDiff representations from neural networks to detect shifts.
result MAGDiff representations improve data set shift detection.
Adaptive monitoring for AI systems detects and diagnoses shifts in data distribution.
problem Continuous monitoring of AI systems to detect and address unsafe behavior.
method Weighted-conformal martingales (WCTMs) for online monitoring of AI systems.
result Improved performance over state-of-the-art baselines on real-world datasets.
Bayesian method adapts to unknown distribution shifts in online learning.
problem Online learning with unknown and irregular distribution shifts.
method Bayesian inference with change-point detection and beam search.
result Improves adaptation to new data distributions over state-of-the-art methods.
Online monitoring system for safety classifiers with shift detection and conformal adaptation
problem Detecting and adapting to distributional shifts in deployed safety classifiers
method Calibrated sequential statistics for online monitoring, conformal abstention for adaptation
result 86.6% valid detection with mean latency of 39.5 steps
Detects harmful distribution shifts in deployed models without false alarms.
problem Detecting harmful distribution shifts in deployed models without false alarms.
method Sequential tools for testing if the difference between source and target distributions leads to a significant increase in a risk function.
result Demonstrated the efficacy of the proposed framework through extensive empirical studies.
Bayesian algorithm detects changes in fluctuating baselines.
problem Detecting change points in time series with a shifting baseline.
method Extended Bayesian online change point detection (BOCPD) algorithm.
result The extended algorithm can detect changes in fluctuating baselines.
A new approach for test-time adaptation detects and reacts to distribution shifts.
problem Improving test-time accuracy under distribution shifts.
method Online self-training with a detection tool based on entropy values and betting martingales.
result The classifier's entropy values match those of the source domain, building invariance to distribution shifts.
DCASE 2022 Task 2 tackles domain shifts in ASD for machine condition monitoring.
problem Domain shifts change acoustic characteristics, affecting ASD performance.
method Domain generalization techniques to detect anomalies across unknown domains.
result Two types of domain generalization techniques were identified and analyzed.
This research examines how model explanations change under distribution shifts in tabular data.
problem Detecting distribution shifts in tabular data affecting model performance and explanations.
method Investigates the relationship between model performance and explanation characteristics under distribution shifts.
result Explanation shifts are a better indicator for detecting predictive performance changes than traditional distribution shift techniques.
Paper proposes MMD-Sense-Analysis for detecting word sense shifts.
problem Detecting and interpreting shifts in word meanings over time.
method Leverages Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) to identify and explain word sense changes.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of MMD-Sense-Analysis through empirical results.
New dataset for industrial machine malfunction detection with domain shifts.
problem Challenges in detecting anomalies due to domain shifts in industrial sounds.
method Created a dataset with domain shifts for five types of industrial machines.
result Significant performance differences between source and target domains.
DCASE 2021 ASD task tackles domain-shifted anomalous sound detection.
problem Detecting unknown anomalous sounds under domain-shifted conditions.
method Ensemble of outlier exposure and inlier modeling detectors, feature learning from machine identification.
result Two types of remarkable approaches were adopted by top teams.
Proposes real-time risk monitoring for machine learning systems under unknown shifts.
problem Dynamic distribution shifts challenge real-world machine learning systems' risk assurances.
method Sequential hypothesis testing with 'testing by betting' to detect risk violations.
result Effective real-time risk monitoring under various unknown shifts.
Framework detects shape shifts in functional profiles using Fréchet mean and shape invariant model.
problem Detecting shape shifts in functional profiles.
method Combining Fréchet mean and shape invariant model for interpretable parameterization of profile deviations.
result Potential shifts in shape deformation process distinguished by significant shifts in amplitude and/or phase.
Improved OOD detection across various shifts using multi-encoder fusion of RDMs.
problem Out-of-distribution detection across multiple types of distribution shifts.
method Statistical identification of encoder sensitivity, EncMin2L fusion, and Tippett minimum combination.
result Achieves AUROC ≥ 0.94 across four shift types, outperforming state-of-the-art detectors.
DetectShift framework detects and quantifies dataset shifts in various data types.
problem Frequent dataset shifts decrease supervised learning performance.
method DetectShift framework quantifies and tests for multiple dataset shifts in various data types.
result DetectShift framework effectively detects dataset shifts even in higher dimensions.
A new control chart detects shifts in binary data streams quickly and reliably.
problem Early detection of small shifts in multiple binary data streams.
method Cumulative Standardized Binomial EWMA (CSB-EWMA) chart with exact variance derivation.
result Adaptive control limits ensure robust detection across different data distributions.
Method distinguishes between failures and domain shifts in industrial data streams.
problem Confusing domain shifts with failures in industrial data.
method Modified Page-Hinkley changepoint detector and supervised domain-adaptation-based anomaly detection.
result Allows differentiation between failures and domain shifts.
We might hope that when faced with unexpected inputs, well-designed software systems would fire off warnings. Machine learning (ML) systems, however, which depend strongly on properties of their inputs (e.g. the i.i.d. assumption), tend to fail silently. This paper explores the problem of building ML systems that fail …
FSL-Net detects and localizes feature shifts in large, high-dimensional datasets.
problem Feature shifts between data sources lead to erroneous features in various applications.
method FSL-Net is a neural network trained on multiple datasets to localize feature shifts.
result FSL-Net accurately localizes feature shifts from unseen datasets without re-training.
Study evaluates predictive uncertainty in malware detection.
problem Detecting dataset shift and adversarial examples in malware detection.
method Re-designed and built 24 Android malware detectors, quantified their uncertainties with nine metrics.
result Predictive uncertainty helps reliable malware detection but not adversarial evasion attacks.
Online monitor detects classifier drift and adapts predictions.
problem Silent degradation of classifier accuracy under distributional shift.
method Sliding-window KS statistic with calibrated alarm thresholds.
result 86.6% valid detection across various shift conditions.
Machine learning detects tipping points in complex systems.
problem Detecting abrupt shifts in complex dynamical systems.
method Equilibrium-informed neural networks (EINNs) trained on candidate equilibrium states.
result EINNs can identify critical thresholds in nonlinear systems.
In this paper, we study how the mean shift algorithm can be used to denoise a dataset. We introduce a new framework to analyze the mean shift algorithm as a denoising approach by viewing the algorithm as an operator on a distribution function. We investigate how the mean shift algorithm changes the distribution and sho…
Unified framework detects shifts in climate boundaries using GP regression and MAD test.
problem Challenges in quantifying and testing for temporal shifts in spatial boundaries from noisy data.
method Combines heteroskedastic GP regression with scaled MAD GET.
result No significant decade-scale changes in arid and semi-arid interfaces, but localized shifts during extreme droughts identified.
Bird sounds possess distinctive spectral structure which may exhibit small shifts in spectrum depending on the bird species and environmental conditions. In this paper, we propose using convolutional recurrent neural networks on the task of automated bird audio detection in real-life environments. In the proposed metho…
In this paper, we investigate the multi-variate sequence classification problem from a multi-instance learning perspective. Real-world sequential data commonly show discriminative patterns only at specific time periods. For instance, we can identify a cropland during its growing season, but it looks similar to a barren…
A new framework detects adverse dataset shifts using outlier scores.
problem False alarms in dataset shift tests.
method Outlier scores to compare contamination rates at varying thresholds.
result Reduces the sensitivity to minor differences in predictive performance.
Improved anomaly detection for incipient faults using ensemble learning.
problem Difficulty in detecting milder anomalies due to similarity to normal conditions.
method Utilize uncertainty information from ensemble learning to identify misclassified incipient anomalies.
result Ensemble learning improves performance on incipient anomaly detection.
Universal approach combines OOD detection scores for robustness.
problem Combining diverse OOD detection scores for robustness.
method Quantile normalization to p-values, meta-analysis, probabilistic interpretation.
result Significantly improved robustness and performance across diverse OOD detection scenarios.
This work addresses the problem of segmentation in time series data with respect to a statistical parameter of interest in Bayesian models. It is common to assume that the parameters are distinct within each segment. As such, many Bayesian change point detection models do not exploit the segment parameter patterns, whi…