arXiv research

The paper defines and analyzes set-valued stochastic integrals for Lévy processes.

Scalar dynamic risk measures for univariate positions in continuous time are commonly represented as backward stochastic differential equations. In the multivariate setting, dynamic risk measures have been defined and studied as families of set-valued functionals in the recent literature. There are two possible extensi…

Investigates set-valued risk measures for processes and vectors, proving equivalence and providing new dual representations.

Revisits superhedging under proportional costs in continuous time markets.

The paper concerns primal and dual representations as well as time consistency of set-valued dynamic risk measures. Set-valued risk measures appear naturally when markets with transaction costs are considered and capital requirements can be made in a basket of currencies or assets. Time consistency of scalar risk measu…

The equivalence between multiportfolio time consistency of a dynamic multivariate risk measure and a supermartingale property is proven. Furthermore, the dual variables under which this set-valued supermartingale is a martingale are characterized as the worst-case dual variables in the dual representation of the risk m…

Generative model for set-valued data using permutation invariant flows.

New set-valued star-shaped risk measures introduced for better risk assessment.

Identification and scoring functions are statistical tools to assess the calibration and the relative performance of risk measure estimates, e.g., in backtesting. A risk measures is called identifiable (elicitable) it it admits a strict identification function (strictly consistent scoring function). We consider measure…

New risk measures for financial networks avoid external capital, reducing systemic risk.

This work establishes properties on diffeological structures for set-valued maps and measures.

The average shadowing property is considered for set-valued dynamical systems, generated by parameterized IFS, which are uniformly contracting, or conjugacy, or products of such ones. We also prove that if a continuous surjective IFS F on a compact metric space X has the aver- age shadowing property, then every point x…

Study vector-valued robust control under uncertainty.

Set-valued risk measures on $L^p_d$ with $0 \leq p \leq \infty$ for conical market models are defined, primal and dual representation results are given. The collection of initial endowments which allow to super-hedge a multivariate claim are shown to form the values of a set-valued sublinear (coherent) risk measure. Sc…

The paper tackles fair set-valued classification under demographic parity constraints.

Paper improves conformal prediction for imprecise training data.

Unified framework for set-valued classification tackles ambiguous multi-class datasets.

New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any market model whereas the second version, called the market extension, takes trading …

The logcosh loss function helps neural networks learn set-valued functions better.

Researchers develop multi-utility representations for incomplete preferences linked to risk measures.

A method for calculating multi-portfolio time consistent multivariate risk measures in discrete time is presented. Market models for $d$ assets with transaction costs or illiquidity and possible trading constraints are considered on a finite probability space. The set of capital requirements at each time and state is c…

Since risky positions in multivariate portfolios can be offset by various choices of capital requirements that depend on the exchange rules and related transaction costs, it is natural to assume that the risk measures of random vectors are set-valued. Furthermore, it is reasonable to include the exchange rules in the a…

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on $L^p(Ω,\mathcal F, P; R^d)$ with image space in the power set of $L^p(Ω,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d)$. In the convex case, multiportfolio time consistency is equivalent to a cocycle condition on…

Study online learning with set-valued feedback, showing differences between deterministic and randomized approaches.

New approach shows continuity and compactness of martingale measures.

Sublinear functionals of random variables are known as sublinear expectations; they are convex homogeneous functionals on infinite-dimensional linear spaces. We extend this concept for set-valued functionals defined on measurable set-valued functions (which form a nonlinear space), equivalently, on random closed sets. …

Paper relaxes set-valued prediction in hierarchical classification by considering representation complexity.

Paper proposes set-valued prediction for historical POS tagging.

This paper solves optimal consumption-investment problems with time-varying preferences.

We extend the classical risk minimization model with scalar risk measures to the general case of set-valued risk measures. The problem we obtain is a set-valued optimization model and we propose a goal programming-based approach with satisfaction function to obtain a solution which represents the best compromise betwee…

Paper presents a new approach to a strategic insider equilibrium problem in continuous time.

The paper shows vector-valued risk measures ignore dependence structures.

In this paper we present results on dynamic multivariate scalar risk measures, which arise in markets with transaction costs and systemic risk. Dual representations of such risk measures are presented. These are then used to obtain the main results of this paper on time consistency; namely, an equivalent recursive form…

The paper models and prices cyber insurance risks, distinguishing idiosyncratic, systematic, and systemic risks.

In most classification tasks there are observations that are ambiguous and therefore difficult to correctly label. Set-valued classifiers output sets of plausible labels rather than a single label, thereby giving a more appropriate and informative treatment to the labeling of ambiguous instances. We introduce a framewo…

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set minimization problems. The dual relationship between these two classes of multivariate ris…

We describe an approximate dynamic programming (ADP) approach to compute approximations of the optimal strategies and of the minimal losses that can be guaranteed in discounted repeated games with vector-valued losses. Such games prominently arise in the analysis of regret in repeated decision-making in adversarial env…

The study uses neural networks to classify and predict coronavirus data.

The time value of money is a critical factor not only in risk analysis, but also in insurance and financial applications. In this paper, we consider a special class of set-valued risk statistics by introducing the time value of money. In fact, the risk statistics established by this method is closer to financial realit…

Introduces epistemic deep learning for better uncertainty estimation in neural networks.

A new RL approach learns near-equivalent actions for healthcare decisions.

Proposes a method to estimate acceptance regions for many classes, including new ones.

The asymptotic pseudo-trajectory approach to stochastic approximation of Benaim, Hofbauer and Sorin is extended for asynchronous stochastic approximations with a set-valued mean field. The asynchronicity of the process is incorporated into the mean field to produce convergence results which remain similar to those of a…

Systemic risk is concerned with the instability of a financial system whose members are interdependent in the sense that the failure of a few institutions may trigger a chain of defaults throughout the system. Recently, several systemic risk measures have been proposed in the literature that are used to determine capit…

The paper studies the convergence of SAA for systemic risk measures.

ICP improves text infilling and POS tagging with valid confidence sets.

A homological selection theorem for C-spaces, as well as, a finite-dimensional homological selection theorem is established. We apply the finite-dimensional homological selection theorem to obtain fixed-point theorems for usco homologically UV^n set-valued maps.

Develops a framework for modeling set-valued data in continuous-time.