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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · Nov 199319922001200920172026
48 results for set-based representations

A test assesses the calibration of set-based epistemic uncertainty representations.

problem Evaluating the accuracy of set-based representations of epistemic uncertainty in machine learning.
method Proposes a novel statistical test to determine if a convex combination of predictions is calibrated, allowing instance-level variability.
result Demonstrates the benefits of capturing instance-level variability on synthetic and real-world experiments.

Paper proposes S-BOMM for optimization with multiple models, focusing on consistency.

problem Optimization challenges with multiple models of varying fidelity and accuracy.
method Set-Based Optimization with Multiple Models (S-BOMM) focusing on model consistency.
result Empirical results show S-BOMM's effectiveness in identifying good solutions across multiple models.

Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.

problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.

Wind farm layout optimisation tackles space constraints with Bayesian multi-objective approach.

problem Optimizing wind farm layout due to limited space and conflicting objectives.
method Set-based multi-objective Bayesian optimisation using Gaussian process.
result Demonstrates potential of set-based Bayesian multi-objective optimisation for wind farm layout.

Transformers show better in-context learning resilience under distribution shifts than simple MLPs.

problem Understanding in-context learning under varying distribution shifts.
method Comparing transformers and set-based MLPs on linear regression tasks.
result Transformers better emulate OLS performance and exhibit better resilience to mild distribution shifts.

We present two algorithms for Bayesian optimization in the batch feedback setting, based on Gaussian process upper confidence bound and Thompson sampling approaches, along with frequentist regret guarantees and numerical results.

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study counterfactuals in combinatorial choice using a representative agent model.

problem Analyzing decision-making from aggregated binary polytope data.
method Nonparametric approach based on a representative agent model, solving polynomial and mixed-integer convex programs.
result Developed a method for counterfactual prediction that works even under model misspecification.

A key question for machine learning approaches in particle physics is how to best represent and learn from collider events. As an event is intrinsically a variable-length unordered set of particles, we build upon recent machine learning efforts to learn directly from sets of features or "point clouds". Adapting and spe…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of improving the efficiency of randomized Fourier feature maps to accelerate training and testing speed of kernel methods on large datasets. These approximate feature maps arise as Monte Carlo approximations to integral representations of shift-invariant kernel functions (e.g., Gaussian kernel).…

2014-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Sharp bounds for Dirichlet sums lead to improved Bayesian algorithm analysis.

problem Improving Bayesian algorithm performance through precise deviation bounds.
method Novel integral representation of Dirichlet sum density, Gaussian approximation, complex analysis.
result Significantly sharpened regret bounds for Multinomial Thompson Sampling.

We describe MELEE, a meta-learning algorithm for learning a good exploration policy in the interactive contextual bandit setting. Here, an algorithm must take actions based on contexts, and learn based only on a reward signal from the action taken, thereby generating an exploration/exploitation trade-off. MELEE address…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

PFedRL-Rep learns shared and personalized policies for heterogeneous environments.

problem Poor performance of single policy in heterogeneous environments.
method Develops PFedRL-Rep framework with shared feature representation and personalized weights.
result Proves linear convergence speedup with respect to the number of agents.

New method detects anomalies in computing centers' logs.

problem Anomaly detection in continuously changing log data for predictive maintenance.
method Evolving granular classifiers using Fuzzy-set-Based evolving Modeling and evolving Granular Neural Network.
result Classification model prioritizes maintenance based on anomaly severity.

We propose a method for non-projective dependency parsing by incrementally predicting a set of edges. Since the edges do not have a pre-specified order, we propose a set-based learning method. Our method blends graph, transition, and easy-first parsing, including a prior state of the parser as a special case. The propo…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

MLI is an Application Programming Interface designed to address the challenges of building Machine Learn- ing algorithms in a distributed setting based on data-centric computing. Its primary goal is to simplify the development of high-performance, scalable, distributed algorithms. Our initial results show that, relativ…

2013-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

CLS measures dataset similarity through decision rule performance.

problem Measuring dataset similarity in machine learning, especially for transfer learning and domain adaptation.
method Cross-Learning Score (CLS) measures similarity through bidirectional generalization performance of decision rules, linking to cosine similarity under canonical linear models.
result CLS effectively measures dataset similarity and transferability, validated on synthetic and real-world datasets.

We present a study of generalization for data-dependent hypothesis sets. We give a general learning guarantee for data-dependent hypothesis sets based on a notion of transductive Rademacher complexity. Our main result is a generalization bound for data-dependent hypothesis sets expressed in terms of a notion of hypothe…

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We solve continuous-time reinforcement learning using distributional Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations.

problem Predicting the distribution of returns in continuous-time, stochastic environments.
method We derive a distributional Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation for Itô diffusions and Feller-Dynkin processes, and propose an algorithm based on a JKO scheme.
result We propose an online control algorithm that can be used to approximately solve the distributional HJB equation.

We consider parallel asynchronous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for problems where we can leverage (stochastic) gradients to define continuous dynamics which explore the target distribution. We outline a solution strategy for this setting based on stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling (SGHMC) …

2016-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for interpretable priors and principled quantification of hierarchical uncertainty. W…

2019-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper refines and generalizes worst-case law invariant convex risk measures.

problem Developing robust convex risk measures under uncertainty sets.
method Generalizing closed forms for worst-case law invariant convex risk measures with uncertainty sets based on norms and moment constraints.
result Explicit closed forms for convex risk measures are developed and assessed through numerical simulations.

Online optimization has emerged as powerful tool in large scale optimization. In this paper, we introduce efficient online algorithms based on the alternating directions method (ADM). We introduce a new proof technique for ADM in the batch setting, which yields the O(1/T) convergence rate of ADM and forms the basis of …

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper considers the problem of inferring image labels from images when only a few annotated examples are available at training time. This setup is often referred to as low-shot learning, where a standard approach is to re-train the last few layers of a convolutional neural network learned on separate classes for w…

2017-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods evaluate stock market anomalies for prospect investors.

problem Determining if new securities or investment changes improve prospect investors' opportunities.
method Developed and implemented a new testing procedure for prospect spanning using subsampling and Linear Programming.
result Many well-known anomalies expand prospect investors' opportunity sets, indicating real economic value.

We present CoverNet, a new method for multimodal, probabilistic trajectory prediction for urban driving. Previous work has employed a variety of methods, including multimodal regression, occupancy maps, and 1-step stochastic policies. We instead frame the trajectory prediction problem as classification over a diverse s…

2019-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a vector-valued regression problem whose solution is equivalent to the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embedding of the Bayesian posterior distribution. This equivalence provides a new understanding of kernel Bayesian inference. Moreover, the optimization problem induces a new regularization for the …

2016-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by the Bagging Partial Least Squares (PLS) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) algorithms, we propose a Principal Model Analysis (PMA) method in this paper. In the proposed PMA algorithm, the PCA and the PLS are combined. In the method, multiple PLS models are trained on sub-training sets, derived from the…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A universal framework for constructing confidence sets using sequential likelihood mixing.

problem Constructing reliable confidence sets for realizable likelihood functions.
method Sequential likelihood mixing, integrating Bayesian inference and regret inequalities.
result Establishes fundamental connections and provable coverage guarantees for various inference techniques.