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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3527031,0551,406 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for set-based models

Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.

problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.

Paper proposes S-BOMM for optimization with multiple models, focusing on consistency.

problem Optimization challenges with multiple models of varying fidelity and accuracy.
method Set-Based Optimization with Multiple Models (S-BOMM) focusing on model consistency.
result Empirical results show S-BOMM's effectiveness in identifying good solutions across multiple models.

Wind farm layout optimisation tackles space constraints with Bayesian multi-objective approach.

problem Optimizing wind farm layout due to limited space and conflicting objectives.
method Set-based multi-objective Bayesian optimisation using Gaussian process.
result Demonstrates potential of set-based Bayesian multi-objective optimisation for wind farm layout.

Transformers show better in-context learning resilience under distribution shifts than simple MLPs.

problem Understanding in-context learning under varying distribution shifts.
method Comparing transformers and set-based MLPs on linear regression tasks.
result Transformers better emulate OLS performance and exhibit better resilience to mild distribution shifts.

We present two algorithms for Bayesian optimization in the batch feedback setting, based on Gaussian process upper confidence bound and Thompson sampling approaches, along with frequentist regret guarantees and numerical results.

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A test assesses the calibration of set-based epistemic uncertainty representations.

problem Evaluating the accuracy of set-based representations of epistemic uncertainty in machine learning.
method Proposes a novel statistical test to determine if a convex combination of predictions is calibrated, allowing instance-level variability.
result Demonstrates the benefits of capturing instance-level variability on synthetic and real-world experiments.

New method detects anomalies in computing centers' logs.

problem Anomaly detection in continuously changing log data for predictive maintenance.
method Evolving granular classifiers using Fuzzy-set-Based evolving Modeling and evolving Granular Neural Network.
result Classification model prioritizes maintenance based on anomaly severity.

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for interpretable priors and principled quantification of hierarchical uncertainty. W…

2019-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a method for non-projective dependency parsing by incrementally predicting a set of edges. Since the edges do not have a pre-specified order, we propose a set-based learning method. Our method blends graph, transition, and easy-first parsing, including a prior state of the parser as a special case. The propo…

2019-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

MLI is an Application Programming Interface designed to address the challenges of building Machine Learn- ing algorithms in a distributed setting based on data-centric computing. Its primary goal is to simplify the development of high-performance, scalable, distributed algorithms. Our initial results show that, relativ…

2013-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a study of generalization for data-dependent hypothesis sets. We give a general learning guarantee for data-dependent hypothesis sets based on a notion of transductive Rademacher complexity. Our main result is a generalization bound for data-dependent hypothesis sets expressed in terms of a notion of hypothe…

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by the Bagging Partial Least Squares (PLS) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) algorithms, we propose a Principal Model Analysis (PMA) method in this paper. In the proposed PMA algorithm, the PCA and the PLS are combined. In the method, multiple PLS models are trained on sub-training sets, derived from the…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes train schedules and maintenance using CP and QA.

problem Optimizing train schedules and maintenance considering constraints.
method Used Constraint Programming and Quantum Annealing to model and solve the problem.
result Both CP and QA approaches produce comparable results on real quantum computers.

A universal framework for constructing confidence sets using sequential likelihood mixing.

problem Constructing reliable confidence sets for realizable likelihood functions.
method Sequential likelihood mixing, integrating Bayesian inference and regret inequalities.
result Establishes fundamental connections and provable coverage guarantees for various inference techniques.

We consider parallel asynchronous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for problems where we can leverage (stochastic) gradients to define continuous dynamics which explore the target distribution. We outline a solution strategy for this setting based on stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling (SGHMC) …

2016-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A method uses neural networks to approximate sampling distributions of test statistics.

problem Accurate modeling of p-value functions or cdfs for correct confidence set coverage.
method Uses neural networks to model the cdf of test statistics, approximating sampling distributions.
result Neural network approximations of sampling distributions are effective and simple.

Proposes a new gauge theory for fuzzy geometries using finite-dimensional algebras.

problem Modeling fuzzy geometries in noncommutative geometry.
method Introduces a Yang-Mills-Higgs matrix model based on gauge matrix spectral triples.
result States Yang-Mills-Higgs theory as an explicit random multimatrix model.

The paper refines and generalizes worst-case law invariant convex risk measures.

problem Developing robust convex risk measures under uncertainty sets.
method Generalizing closed forms for worst-case law invariant convex risk measures with uncertainty sets based on norms and moment constraints.
result Explicit closed forms for convex risk measures are developed and assessed through numerical simulations.

Online optimization has emerged as powerful tool in large scale optimization. In this paper, we introduce efficient online algorithms based on the alternating directions method (ADM). We introduce a new proof technique for ADM in the batch setting, which yields the O(1/T) convergence rate of ADM and forms the basis of …

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes linking energy and force uncertainty in deep learning potentials.

problem Uncertainty in predicted energies and forces in machine learning models.
method Introduces a spatially correlated noise process to link energy and force uncertainty.
result Demonstrates the approach on molecular datasets, linking energy and force uncertainties.

This paper considers the problem of inferring image labels from images when only a few annotated examples are available at training time. This setup is often referred to as low-shot learning, where a standard approach is to re-train the last few layers of a convolutional neural network learned on separate classes for w…

2017-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study counterfactuals in combinatorial choice using a representative agent model.

problem Analyzing decision-making from aggregated binary polytope data.
method Nonparametric approach based on a representative agent model, solving polynomial and mixed-integer convex programs.
result Developed a method for counterfactual prediction that works even under model misspecification.

Reinforcement learning algorithms such as the deep deterministic policy gradient algorithm (DDPG) has been widely used in continuous control tasks. However, the model-free DDPG algorithm suffers from high sample complexity. In this paper we consider the deterministic value gradients to improve the sample efficiency of …

2019-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods evaluate stock market anomalies for prospect investors.

problem Determining if new securities or investment changes improve prospect investors' opportunities.
method Developed and implemented a new testing procedure for prospect spanning using subsampling and Linear Programming.
result Many well-known anomalies expand prospect investors' opportunity sets, indicating real economic value.

Learning a Bayesian network structure from data is an NP-hard problem and thus exact algorithms are feasible only for small data sets. Therefore, network structures for larger networks are usually learned with various heuristics. Another approach to scaling up the structure learning is local learning. In local learning…

2012-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗