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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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2555107641,019 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for set systems

Guaranteed reachable set for unknown nonlinear systems on manifolds.

problem Determining reachable set for unknown nonlinear systems on manifolds.
method Underapproximations of reachable set using local dynamics and bounds on dynamics rate of change.
result Guaranteed set of reachable states for systems on complete Riemannian manifolds.

Recent research has considered the stochastic thermodynamics of multiple interacting systems, representing the overall system as a Bayes net. I derive fluctuation theorems governing the entropy production (EP)of arbitrary sets of the systems in such a Bayes net. I also derive ``conditional'' fluctuation theorems, gover…

2019-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper sets sample complexity bounds for identifying LTI systems from a finite set.

problem Identifying an LTI system from a finite set of possible systems using trajectory data.
method Maximum likelihood estimator and information theory tools.
result Upper and lower bounds for sample complexity are derived, independent of stability assumption.

New decision support systems use prediction sets to help experts update their predictions, improving performance.

problem Challenges in explaining and updating predictions from decision support systems.
method Developed a methodology leveraging nested structure of prediction sets and counterfactual monotonicity to improve performance.
result Limiting experts' agency leads to better performance in decision support systems based on prediction sets.

System uses conformal prediction to help experts make accurate decisions without understanding when to trust it.

problem Helping experts make accurate decisions in multiclass classification tasks.
method Develops an automated decision support system using conformal prediction to provide precise prediction sets and an efficient search method.
result System improves expert predictions by providing precise prediction sets and forcing experts to predict from these sets.

New method improves predictive systems with better theoretical guarantees.

problem Constructing predictive systems with out-of-sample calibration guarantees.
method Residual Distribution Predictive Systems (RDPs) that nest conformal predictive systems and offer flexibility.
result Empirically, RDPs perform competitively with conformal predictive systems and can be implemented with various regression methods.

Paper revisits set membership estimation for linear systems with relaxed disturbance bounds.

problem Set membership estimation for linear systems with disturbances bounded by convex sets.
method Adopted block-martingale small-ball condition and random perturbed control policies to establish convergence rates.
result Established convergence rates for disturbances bounded by general convex sets.

This paper uses multivariate probability models to assess financial system risks.

problem Assessing systemic risk in financial systems.
method Computes multivariate conditional probability distributions for elliptical distributions, focusing on Student-t and Normal models.
result Proposes measures of stress impact and systemic risk.

The paper studies random dynamical systems of polynomial automorphisms on C^2 and finds mean stability.

problem Random dynamical systems of polynomial automorphisms on C^2.
method Generic random dynamical systems of polynomial automorphisms are shown to have mean stability.
result A generic random dynamical system of polynomial automorphisms on C^2 has mean stability.

We find the complete set of fundamental invariants for systems of ordinary differential equations of order 4\ge 4 under the group of point transformations generalizing similar results for contact invariants of a single ODE and point invariants of systems of the second and the third order. It turns out that starting fr…

2013-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid systems are characterized by having an interaction between continuous dynamics and discrete events. The contribution of this paper is to provide hybrid systems with a novel geometric formulation so that controls can be added. Using this framework we describe some new global controllability tests for hybrid contr…

2019-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The two main theorems of this paper provide a characterization of hyperbolic affine iterated function systems defined on Rm. Atsushi Kameyama (Distances on Topological Self-Similar Sets, Proceedings of Symposia in Pure Mathematics, Volume 72.1, 2004) asked the following fundamental question: given a topological self-si…

2009-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study connects bank default models using dynamic contagion.

problem Understanding default contagion in heterogeneous interbank systems.
method Proposes a dynamic default contagion model with endogenous early defaults for a finite set of banks, reformulating as a stochastic particle system.
result Existence of clearing systems and continuity of the system response for the mean-field problem.

The paper extends static Systemic Risk Measures to a conditional setting.

problem Investigating how static Systemic Risk Measures can be adapted to a conditional framework.
method Providing a general dual representation result, analyzing Conditional Shortfall Systemic Risk Measures, and providing explicit formulas for exponential preferences.
result Explicit formulas for Conditional Shortfall Systemic Risk Measures and a time consistency property.

We show that the adjacency matrices of the intersection graphs of chord diagrams satisfy the 2-term relations of Bar-Natan and Garoufalides [bg], and hence give rise to weight systems. Among these weight systems are those associated with the Conway and HOMFLYPT polynomials. We extend these ideas to looking at a space o…

2000-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves data-driven reachability estimation for complex systems.

problem Estimating reachable states in complex dynamical systems with unknown parameters.
method Uses Christoffel functions and conformal prediction to improve sample efficiency and robustness.
result Guaranteed convergence to the true reach set with improved sample efficiency and robustness.

Study dual representations for quasiconvex systemic risk measures.

problem Finding dual representations for quasiconvex systemic risk measures.
method Abstract infinite-dimensional setting, explicit formula for penalty function, nonstandard minimax inequality.
result Explicit formula for the penalty function of quasiconvex compositions.

Optimizes long-term social welfare in recommender systems by matching users to providers.

problem Realistic recommender systems dynamics affect all agents, not just users.
method Formulated as an optimal constrained matching problem, solved using dynamical system equilibrium selection.
result Ensures maximal social welfare with diverse viable providers, improving over myopic matching.

In a previous paper on coupled gravitational and electromagnetic perturbations of Reissner-Nordström spacetime in a polarized setting, we derived a system of wave equations for two independent quantities, one related to the Weyl curvature and one related to the Ricci curvature of the perturbed spacetime. We analyze her…

2018-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Is it possible to generally construct a dynamical system to simulate a black system without recovering the equations of motion of the latter? Here we show that this goal can be approached by a learning machine. Trained by a set of input-output responses or a segment of time series of a black system, a learning machine …

2017-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The policy objective of safeguarding financial stability has stimulated a wave of research on systemic risk analytics, yet it still faces challenges in measurability. This paper models systemic risk by tapping into expert knowledge of financial supervisors. We decompose systemic risk into a number of interconnected seg…

2014-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The VC-dimension of a set system is a way to capture its complexity and has been a key parameter studied extensively in machine learning and geometry communities. In this paper, we resolve two longstanding open problems on bounding the VC-dimension of two fundamental set systems: kk-fold unions/intersections of half-s…

2018-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on learning to predict dynamical systems without assuming their structure.

problem Learning to predict the next state of a dynamical system with unknown evolution function.
method Defined new combinatorial measures to quantify mistake and regret bounds in realizable and agnostic settings.
result In the realizable setting, the number of mistakes can grow arbitrarily with time.

In this paper we introduce the concept of Hamiltonian system in the canonical and Poisson settings. We will discuss the quantization of the Hamiltonian systems in the Poisson context, using formal deformation quantization and quantum group theories.

2015-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper defines invariants for elliptic Weyl groups and connects them to Frobenius structures.

problem Defining invariants for elliptic Weyl groups.
method Defines a set of good basic invariants and shows their connection to Frobenius structures.
result Good basic invariants give flat invariants and structure constants of Frobenius structures.

The study describes metrics geodesically compatible with Nijenhuis operators and their applications to integrable systems.

problem Geodesically compatible metrics and their applications to integrable systems.
method Describes metrics geodesically compatible with a gl-regular Nijenhuis operator and shows how these metrics relate to integrable PDE systems.
result Every metric geodesically compatible with a Nijenhuis operator gives a finite-dimensional reduction of an integrable PDE system.

Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient macroprudential regulation of financial institutions. The current paper proposes a…

2015-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The financial crisis has dramatically demonstrated that the traditional approach to apply univariate monetary risk measures to single institutions does not capture sufficiently the perilous systemic risk that is generated by the interconnectedness of the system entities and the corresponding contagion effects. This has…

2015-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

RoyalFlush system improves multi-speaker ASR in M2MeT challenge.

problem Improving multi-speaker automatic speech recognition in noisy environments.
method Front-end processing with WPE and beamforming, data augmentation, and fusion of two ASR models.
result 12.22% absolute CER reduction on validation set and 12.11% on test set compared to baseline.

Paper reduces sample complexity for bilinear systems identification to nearly constant.

problem Identifying discrete-time bilinear systems under bounded disturbances.
method Uses trajectory-dependent regressors and polynomial mean-square state growth analysis.
result Proves sample complexity of O~(1/ε)\widetilde{\mathcal O}(1/ε) for estimation error εε.

The paper characterizes potential functions whose level sets are orbits in mechanical systems.

problem Characterizing smooth potential energy functions on the plane with specific level set properties.
method Analyzing inverse curvature flow and properties of level sets.
result Analytic or functions with totally path-disconnected critical sets must be radial, while every compact convex set is a critical set of a Levi potential.

In this article, we define an independence system for a classical knot diagram and prove that the independence system is a knot invariant for alternating knots. We also discuss the exchange property for minimal unknotting sets. Finally, we show that there are knot diagrams where the independence system is a matroid and…

2017-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Decision-calibrated prediction sets improve power system operations by reducing unnecessary costs.

problem Balancing operating costs and reliability in power systems with renewable uncertainty.
method Learn conditional prediction sets as sub-level sets of norm-based score functions, calibrate uncertainty sets based on reliability of downstream decisions.
result Decision-calibrated sets lead to more efficient operations with smaller uncertainty sets and lower costs compared to standard coverage-based calibration.