New algorithms approximate Rashomon set for sparse models, aiding expert interaction.
problem Lack of interaction between models and domain experts in classical machine learning.
method Approximate Rashomon set of sparse, generalized additive models using ellipsoids.
result Efficiently approximated Rashomon set facilitates model selection and exploration.
Generative model learns to autoencode and generate sets of images.
problem Learning to represent and generate sets of images with unknown number of sets.
method Set Distribution Networks (SDNs) learn set encoder, discriminator, generator, and prior.
result SDNs can reconstruct and generate sets of images with preserved attributes.
COMA combines prediction sets from multiple models for online, adaptive prediction.
problem Combining multiple prediction models with uncertainty guarantees.
method Online model aggregation using weighted voting of conformal prediction sets.
result COMA retains coverage guarantees under negative correlation assumptions.
Characterizes higher rank model geometries using antipodal sets.
problem Identifying higher rank model geometries among Hadamard spaces.
method Using antipodal sets at infinity to characterize model geometries.
result Characterizes Riemannian symmetric spaces, Euclidean buildings, and products as higher rank model geometries.
ExNODE uses ODE to model sets with permutation equivariance.
problem Capturing intra-set dependencies in unordered sets.
method Exchangeable Neural ODE (ExNODE) using ODE.
result ExNODE achieves permutation equivariance for set modeling.
Improves model classification accuracy in black-box settings.
problem Difficulty in inferring model properties due to limited query access.
method Introduces discriminative factorization to distinguish high-quality queries.
result Probability of chance-level classification decreases exponentially with query budget.
Current approaches for predicting sets from feature vectors ignore the unordered nature of sets and suffer from discontinuity issues as a result. We propose a general model for predicting sets that properly respects the structure of sets and avoids this problem. With a single feature vector as input, we show that our m…
New causal models perform poorly when evaluated on biased training sets.
problem Sample selection bias affects the evaluation of causal models' prediction performance.
method Re-evaluated prediction performance of causal models on a genetic perturbation data set, proposing a less-biased evaluation set.
result Causal models have similar or worse performance when evaluated on a less-biased set compared to standard association-based estimators.
The paper develops methods to create reliable prediction sets for complex mixture models in high-dimensional data.
problem Building accurate prediction sets for high-dimensional mixture models with feature-dependent weights.
method The authors introduce a debiasing procedure and a novel interval combination strategy to construct valid prediction sets.
result The proposed method provides reliable coverage guarantees for prediction sets in high-dimensional mixture models.
Improves DRO with Bayesian Ambiguity Sets for model misspecification.
problem Overly conservative decisions due to misspecified models in DRO.
method Introduces DRO-RoBAS with robust posterior predictive distribution.
result Outperforms other Bayesian and empirical DRO approaches in out-of-sample performance.
SCHA-VAE generates novel data from limited examples using hierarchical context aggregation.
problem Generating data from a novel distribution with limited examples.
method Hierarchical context aggregation with attention-based point to set-level aggregation.
result Hierarchical approach better captures intrinsic variability in small data.
Machine learning model predicts DFT total energy to complete basis set limit.
problem Finding a model to extrapolate DFT calculations to complete basis set limit.
method Quantile-random-forest model trained on binary solids data.
result Random-forest model achieves <25% symmetric MAPE for both DFT codes.
Machine-learned diagnosis models have shown promise as medical aides but are trained under a closed-set assumption, i.e. that models will only encounter conditions on which they have been trained. However, it is practically infeasible to obtain sufficient training data for every human condition, and once deployed such …
Paper explores Rashomon set models for more trustworthy medical conclusions.
problem Lack of comprehensive analysis of models in Rashomon set leads to misleading conclusions.
method Introduces Rashomon_DETECT algorithm and Profile Disparity Index (PDI).
result Combining differently behaving models in Rashomon set provides more trustworthy conclusions.
Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models by letting them either output a prediction set or abstain when the uncertainty is…
We propose a probabilistic model for inferring the multivariate function from multiple areal data sets with various granularities. Here, the areal data are observed not at location points but at regions. Existing regression-based models can only utilize the sufficiently fine-grained auxiliary data sets on the same doma…
We improve prediction set coverage by assigning weights to individual sets.
problem Aggregating multiple prediction sets weakens overall coverage guarantee.
method Propose a framework for weighted aggregation of prediction sets.
result Achieve tighter coverage bounds that interpolate between 1−2α and 1−α guarantees. Representations of sets are challenging to learn because operations on sets should be permutation-invariant. To this end, we propose a Permutation-Optimisation module that learns how to permute a set end-to-end. The permuted set can be further processed to learn a permutation-invariant representation of that set, avoid…
AXE evaluates explanations to avoid misleading Rashomon set model selection.
problem Evaluating explanations for Rashomon set models to avoid false selection.
method Proposed AXE method to evaluate explanation quality.
result AXE detects adversarial fairwashing with 100% success rate.
We propose a probabilistic model for refining coarse-grained spatial data by utilizing auxiliary spatial data sets. Existing methods require that the spatial granularities of the auxiliary data sets are the same as the desired granularity of target data. The proposed model can effectively make use of auxiliary data set…
It is almost always easier to find an accurate-but-complex model than an accurate-yet-simple model. Finding optimal, sparse, accurate models of various forms (linear models with integer coefficients, decision sets, rule lists, decision trees) is generally NP-hard. We often do not know whether the search for a simpler m…
Develops a framework for modeling set-valued data in continuous-time.
problem Handling sequences where each event is associated with a set of items.
method General framework for modeling set-valued data, developed inference methods, and importance sampling techniques.
result Orders-of-magnitude improvements in efficiency for probabilistic queries over direct sampling.
Conformal prediction sets improve human decision making by quantifying model uncertainty.
problem Humans signal uncertainty and offer alternatives when unsure, but machine learning models often lack this feature.
method Conducted a randomized controlled trial with human subjects given conformal prediction sets.
result Human accuracy improves when given conformal prediction sets compared to fixed-size prediction sets.
Camera model identification refers to the problem of linking a picture to the camera model used to shoot it. As this might be an enabling factor in different forensic applications to single out possible suspects (e.g., detecting the author of child abuse or terrorist propaganda material), many accurate camera model att…
Proposes a method to learn stable invariant sets in dynamical systems.
problem Learning stable invariant sets in general dynamical systems.
method Generalizes Manek and Kolter's approach by introducing projection onto latent space shapes and using invertible neural networks.
result Validates the method and shows its usefulness for long-term prediction.
Paper proposes S-BOMM for optimization with multiple models, focusing on consistency.
problem Optimization challenges with multiple models of varying fidelity and accuracy.
method Set-Based Optimization with Multiple Models (S-BOMM) focusing on model consistency.
result Empirical results show S-BOMM's effectiveness in identifying good solutions across multiple models.
Study on federated learning with private label sets, showing privacy benefits without significant accuracy loss.
problem Effects of label set heterogeneity and privacy constraints in federated learning.
method Apply classical classifier combination methods and adapt FL methods for private label sets, compare public and private settings.
result Reducing labels harms model performance, but centralized tuning can help.
A new method decouples set representation learning from posterior modeling for efficient amortized inference.
problem Efficient inference for large sets of observations with shared factors.
method Train a mean-pool Deep Set on sets of size at most two, then finetune the inference head on pre-aggregated embeddings.
result Matches or outperforms standard baselines at a fraction of the compute cost for large N.
Paper proposes an alternative to set losses for predicting unordered variables without imposing structure.
problem Learning unordered variables with unknown interrelations without imposing structure.
method Viewing set prediction as conditional density estimation and using deep energy-based models with gradient-guided sampling.
result Empirically demonstrates capability to learn multi-modal densities and produce different plausible predictions.
MPS selects models for nonstationary time series in real-time.
problem Model selection under nonstationary time series.
method Combines conformal inference with model confidence sets.
result Reliably identifies optimal models under nonstationarity.
New theory uses probability sets for data variability, improving machine learning.
problem Variability in data distribution causes learning issues.
method Uses convex sets of probabilities (credal sets) to model data variability.
result Derives bounds for risk of models learned from multiple training sets.
Estimates set overlap and similarity using random samples.
problem Estimating set overlap and similarity with limited data.
method Binomial model for predicting set overlap, comparing to previous methods.
result Binomial model provides better estimates with small sample sizes.
Building a large image dataset with high-quality object masks for semantic segmentation is costly and time consuming. In this paper, we introduce a principled semi-supervised framework that only uses a small set of fully supervised images (having semantic segmentation labels and box labels) and a set of images with onl…
Many machine learning tasks such as multiple instance learning, 3D shape recognition, and few-shot image classification are defined on sets of instances. Since solutions to such problems do not depend on the order of elements of the set, models used to address them should be permutation invariant. We present an attenti…
We introduce a factor analysis model that summarizes the dependencies between observed variable groups, instead of dependencies between individual variables as standard factor analysis does. A group may correspond to one view of the same set of objects, one of many data sets tied by co-occurrence, or a set of alternati…
Big data sets must be carefully partitioned into statistically similar data subsets that can be used as representative samples for big data analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose the random sample partition (RSP) data model to represent a big data set as a set of non-overlapping data subsets, called RSP data blocks,…
Generative model learns conditional distributions on collective variable levels.
problem Modeling conditional probability distributions on collective variable levels.
method General and efficient learning approach, data enrichment strategy.
result Effective generative models on different level-sets of collective variables.
Procedure verifies if machine learning models assign fixed predictions that preclude access.
problem Models assign fixed predictions that preclude access to credit and employment.
method Model-agnostic recourse verification with reachable sets.
result Models can inadvertently preclude access by assigning fixed predictions.
New methods improve confidence set calibration in complex models.
problem Challenges in maintaining confidence set coverage in complex models.
method TRUST and TRUST++ methods using simulated data for calibration.
result Methods achieve distribution-free conditional coverage and robust inference.
FAIRIF improves fairness in deep learning models without changing the model architecture.
problem Improving fairness in deep learning models trained on sensitive data.
method Two-stage training algorithm that minimizes loss over a reweighted data set, balancing model performance across demographic groups.
result FAIRIF reduces disparity among different groups in classification settings, improving fairness-utility trade-offs.
Modeling 3D continua with singular points using Yin sets.
problem Treat singular points as central subjects in 3D continuum topology.
method Model 3D continua as Yin sets, regular open semianalytic sets with bounded boundary.
result Characterize local and global topology of Yin sets.
Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.
problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.
Framework for assessing fairness across similar predictive models.
problem Fairness in predictive models across different groups.
method Develops a framework for characterizing fairness over the set of good models under selective labels.
result Framework can replace or audit models for better fairness properties.
Framework uses dropout to efficiently explore Rashomon set for multiplicity estimation.
problem Efficiently measuring and mitigating conflicting model outputs in classification tasks.
method Dropout-based exploration of Rashomon set for multiplicity estimation.
result Framework outperforms baselines in multiplicity metric estimation with significant runtime speedup.
Develops deep neural network techniques for sets as input and output.
problem Bottlenecks in set representation and discontinuity issues in set prediction.
method Techniques for set representation and prediction, addressing unordered nature and relations.
result Improvements in set prediction and representation across various experiments.
MAGIC method optimally estimates model predictions changes.
problem Estimating how training data affects model predictions in large-scale settings.
method Combines classical methods and recent advances in metadifferentiation.
result MAGIC method nearly optimally estimates model predictions changes.
A novel transformer model improves classification of partially ordered sequences.
problem Classification of partially ordered sequences with uncertainty in timestamps.
method Developed a transformer-based model for partially ordered sequences, benchmarked against set models.
result Transformer-based model outperforms set models on three datasets.
A new criterion selects models in overparameterized settings.
problem Model selection for overparameterized models with more parameters than data.
method Establishes Bayesian duality and introduces the Interpolating Information Criterion.
result The Interpolating Information Criterion selects models in overparameterized settings.