The number of methods available for classification of multi-label data has increased rapidly over recent years, yet relatively few links have been made with the related task of classification of sequential data. If labels indices are considered as time indices, the problems can often be seen as equivalent. In this pape…
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48 results for “sequential competition”
Paper tackles uncertainty prediction for deep sequential regression.
problem Challenges in generating accurate uncertainty estimates for deep recurrent networks.
method Flexible method that generates symmetric and asymmetric uncertainty estimates without stationarity assumptions.
result Outperforms competitive baselines on both drift and non-drift scenarios.
Sequential screening and dynamic regret in multi-armed bandits with arriving arms
problem Sequential experimentation with expanding arm set
method UCB-AA with preliminary screening
result Regret bounds depend on arrival process
Competition aims to develop sample-efficient reinforcement learning methods.
problem Limited access to samples in reinforcement learning.
method Develops algorithms leveraging human demonstrations in Minecraft.
result Fosters innovation in sample-efficient reinforcement learning.
Dynamic pricing policy converges to Nash equilibrium with low regret.
problem Sequential price competition among sellers over multiple periods.
method Semi-parametric least-squares estimation of s-concave demand functions.
result Prices converge to Nash equilibrium with rate and sellers incur regret .
In this paper, we study a certain class of online optimization problems, where the goal is to maximize a function that is not necessarily concave and satisfies the Diminishing Returns (DR) property under budget constraints. We analyze a primal-dual algorithm, called the Generalized Sequential algorithm, and we obtain t…
Tensor-based Sequential Learning via Hankel Matrix Representation for Next Item Recommendationscs.LG
New model mimics neural next item recommendation using Hankel matrices.
problem Next item recommendation efficiency and structural knowledge capture.
method Tensor factorization with Hankel matrix representation.
result Model performs competitively with neural networks but is simpler.
IFH models graph generation with adjustable sequentiality.
problem Designing flexible graph generation models between one-shot and sequential approaches.
method Based on DDPM, IFH uses a node removal process to generate graphs with adjustable sequentiality.
result IFH models improve graph generation quality and efficiency compared to current methods.
New methods for skill rating in sports using state-space models.
problem Improving skill rating in competitive sports.
method State-space models, sequential Monte Carlo, discrete hidden Markov models.
result Advantages of state-space models for time-varying player skills.
New reinforcement learning bound improves generalization for sequential data.
problem Challenges in obtaining generalization guarantees for reinforcement learning due to sequential data.
method PAC-Bayesian reinforcement learning with consideration of Markov dependencies and mixing time.
result Demonstrated practical utility through PB-SAC, providing meaningful confidence certificates.
VAR-GPs solve continual learning by updating posteriors sequentially.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in sequential learning tasks.
method Sparse inducing point approximations and auto-regressive variational distribution.
result VAR-GPs prevent catastrophic forgetting and outperform baselines.
SNPLA uses normalizing flows for efficient inference in implicit models.
problem Efficient inference in implicit models with complex likelihood and posterior learning.
method Sequential Neural Posterior and Likelihood Approximation (SNPLA) algorithm using normalizing flows.
result SNPLA achieves competitive performance with faster posterior draws compared to MCMC methods.
Adaptive learning rate improves FTRL's performance in online learning.
problem Optimizing FTRL's learning rate for competitive regret in online learning.
method Formulated as a sequential decision-making problem, introduced competitive analysis framework, and proposed stability-penalty matching update rules.
result Achieved a constant competitive ratio under specific conditions, enabling Best-Of-Both-Worlds algorithms.
New algorithm minimizes expert selection regret in partial bandit feedback.
problem Minimizing expert selection regret in partial bandit feedback.
method Develops a sequential minimax optimal algorithm for a generalized partial monitoring setting.
result Second order regret bounds against a general expert selection sequence.
Paper proposes a new method for efficient hyperparameter optimization.
problem Challenging task of optimizing hyperparameters in machine learning.
method Sequential Uniform Design (SeqUD) strategy for adaptive and efficient exploration of hyperparameter space.
result The proposed SeqUD strategy outperforms existing methods in hyperparameter optimization.
Introduces recency bias to improve time-series forecasting.
problem Lack of recency bias in standard Transformer attention for time-series data.
method Reweights attention scores with a smooth heavy-tailed decay to emphasize nearby observations.
result Recency-biased attention consistently improves sequential modeling and achieves competitive performance on time-series forecasting benchmarks.
Unified deep sequential and state-space models for robust option pricing with uncertainty.
problem Combining robustness to noise and uncertainty measurement in option pricing models.
method Unscattered reservoir smoother (URS) integrating deep sequential and state-space models.
result URS achieves competitive forecasting accuracy and uncertainty measurement in noisy datasets.
New algorithms for fast online decision making using neural networks and martingale posteriors.
problem Online sequential decision making under uncertainty.
method Martingale posterior neural networks for fast online learning and decision making.
result Achieves competitive performance-speed trade-offs in non-stationary contextual bandits and Bayesian optimization.
Labeling of sequential data is a prevalent meta-problem for a wide range of real world applications. While the first-order Hidden Markov Models (HMM) provides a fundamental approach for unsupervised sequential labeling, the basic model does not show satisfying performance when it is directly applied to real world probl…
System detects financial misinformation and generates clear explanations.
problem Identifying and explaining fraudulent financial content.
method Combined large language models, pre-processing, and sequential learning.
result Achieved F1-score of 0.8283 for classification and ROUGE-1 of 0.7253 for explanations.
LatentTrack generates model parameters online for nonstationary data.
problem Online probabilistic prediction under nonstationary dynamics.
method Sequential neural architecture with latent filtering and amortized inference.
result Consistently lower negative log-likelihood and mean squared error than baselines.
A new differentiable resampling method for Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Improving the efficiency and differentiability of resampling in Monte Carlo simulations.
method Proposes a diffusion model surrogate for resampling, proving consistency and outperforming existing methods.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art differentiable resampling methods on various benchmarks.
Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and can be difficult to tune. This work provides a method for numerical marginalizat…
LSBI approximates likelihood with linear functions for cosmological parameter estimation.
problem Estimating cosmological parameters from complex data.
method Sequential Linear Simulation-based Inference (LSBI) using Gaussian approximations.
result LSBI achieves convergence after 4-5 rounds of simulations, comparable to neural methods.
We propose a new architecture and training methodology for generative adversarial networks. Current approaches attempt to learn the transformation from a noise sample to a generated data sample in one shot. Our proposed generator architecture, called , uses a two-step process. It first attempts to tr…
New SMC method for pBNNs improves scalability and predictive performance.
problem Training pBNNs with high-dimensional stochastic parameters.
method Gradient-based proposals within SMC samplers.
result New method outperforms state-of-the-art in predictive performance and training time.
The paper proposes using path signatures for better inference in time series data.
problem Simulation models with time series data often lack tractable likelihood functions.
method Approximate Bayesian Computation with path signatures to handle sequential data.
result Theoretical guarantees on the resultant posteriors for Bayesian parameter inference.
Meta-KeL learns kernels from offline data to improve sequential decision-making.
problem Adaptive confidence sets for prediction functions in sequential decision-making tasks.
method Meta-KeL: meta-learning a kernel from offline data; structured sparsity estimator for unknown kernel combinations.
result Valid confidence sets that become as tight as those given the true unknown kernel with increasing offline data.
Single-pass method estimates neural network uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty estimation in deep learning requires multiple passes.
method Probabilistic reasoning over neural network depths.
result Single forward pass for uncertainty estimation.
A novel signature method improves sequential data prediction accuracy.
problem Improving prediction accuracy for sequential and temporal data.
method Signature method based on rough path theory, with a specific embedding called lead-lag.
result Lead-lag embedding consistently outperforms other embeddings across various datasets and algorithms.
Framework for online hypothesis testing across various data types.
problem Testing various nonparametric hypotheses in data streams.
method Unified framework using operators on data distributions, leveraging ML models.
result Efficient, adaptive, and error-controlled sequential tests.
Adaptive robust strategy improves online portfolio selection by managing market trends and costs.
problem Optimizing sequential investment decisions in volatile markets.
method Robust optimization with adaptive parameter adjustment.
result Adaptive scheme outperforms existing strategies in cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios.
Standard sequential generation methods assume a pre-specified generation order, such as text generation methods which generate words from left to right. In this work, we propose a framework for training models of text generation that operate in non-monotonic orders; the model directly learns good orders, without any ad…
The usage of deep generative models for image compression has led to impressive performance gains over classical codecs while neural video compression is still in its infancy. Here, we propose an end-to-end, deep generative modeling approach to compress temporal sequences with a focus on video. Our approach builds upon…
New method optimizes portfolios by dynamically integrating ESG constraints.
problem Static ESG scores mismatch sequential portfolio decisions.
method MACF-X, a family of adapters that learns ESG costs from multimodal evidence.
result Reduces tail ESG budget pressure while maintaining financial performance.
In this paper we propose an investing strategy based on neural network models combined with ideas from game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk. Our proposed strategy uses parameter values of a neural network with the best performance until the previous round (trading day) for deciding the investment in the curren…
We study optimal behavior of energy producers under a CO_2 emission abatement program. We focus on a two-player discrete-time model where each producer is sequentially optimizing her emission and production schedules. The game-theoretic aspect is captured through a reduced-form price-impact model for the CO_2 allowance…
Proposes EVE for efficient exploration in reinforcement learning.
problem Efficient exploration in reinforcement learning.
method EVE: a recipe for posterior over parameters, facilitating efficient exploration.
result Competitive performance on benchmarks, efficient exploration confirmed.
Brokers and an informed trader compete for liquidity, affecting trading costs and inventory risk.
problem How brokers and an informed trader manage liquidity and trading costs.
method Sequential Stackelberg game, solving for trading strategies, numerical solutions.
result Equilibrium strategies and liquidity prices determined, not Pareto efficient.
Function Design for Improved Competitive Ratio in Online Resource Allocation with Procurement Costsmath.OC
Improved resource allocation method reduces procurement costs.
problem Online resource allocation with procurement costs.
method Primal-dual algorithm with surrogate function optimization.
result Enhanced competitive ratio through design methods.
Sequential quantile estimation refers to incorporating observations into quantile estimates in an incremental fashion thus furnishing an online estimate of one or more quantiles at any given point in time. Sequential quantile estimation is also known as online quantile estimation. This area is relevant to the analysis …
Greedy algorithm performs well in online matching despite non-i.i.d. connections.
problem Online matching in sparse random graphs with fixed degree distributions.
method Approximating stochastic processes with partial differential equations.
result GREEDY algorithm can outperform RANKING in certain configurations.
ChEES-HMC improves SMC samplers' efficiency and speed.
problem Efficiently sampling from complex posterior distributions.
method Incorporating ChEES-HMC into SMC samplers.
result ChEES-HMC outperforms NUTS in speed and efficiency.
Deep Intrinsic Coregionalization Multi-Output Gaussian Process Surrogate with Active Learningstat.ML
DeepICMGP surrogate models multiple outputs efficiently.
problem Challenges in modeling dependencies between multiple outputs using traditional multi-output GPs.
method Introduces hierarchical coregionalization structures across layers in DGPs.
result Demonstrates competitive performance and active learning strategies.
Study on sequential prediction with log-loss, focusing on well-specified and misspecified cases.
problem Sequential prediction with log-loss under different specification conditions.
method Analysis of cumulative regret in well-specified and misspecified cases for a Gaussian location hypothesis class.
result Cumulative regrets in well-specified and misspecified cases asymptotically coincide for the -dimensional Gaussian location hypothesis class.
New Hermite series estimator for Spearman rank correlation in non-stationary data.
problem Estimating time-varying Spearman rank correlation efficiently.
method Hermite series based sequential estimator for both stationary and non-stationary settings.
result Competitive performance compared to existing algorithms in simulations and real data.
CDM models counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data with improved accuracy.
problem Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data with complex time-dependent confounding.
method Causal Diffusion Model (CDM) using denoising diffusion architecture with relational self-attention.
result CDM outperforms state-of-the-art methods in generating full probabilistic distributions of counterfactual outcomes.
Paper proposes a new method for learning compact representations of sequential data.
problem Learning compact representations of sequential data capturing spatio-temporal cues.
method Contrastive representation learning via adversarial optimal transport on the Grassmann manifold.
result Empirical results show competitive performance in human action recognition.