A new algorithm splits Gaussian processes for efficient streaming data.
problem Poor scaling of Gaussian processes in streaming data.
method Sequential partitioning of input space and localized Gaussian process fitting.
result The algorithm achieves linear memory complexity and superior time and space complexity.
Sparse Gaussian process quantile regression tackles computational challenges in Bayesian quantile regression.
problem Nonconjugacy and computational cost in Gaussian process quantile regression.
method Sparse Gaussian process framework with Laplace approximation, adaptive inducing-input placement, and sequential data acquisition.
result Accuracy of Laplace approximation and effectiveness of adaptive mechanisms in reducing predictive uncertainty.
New method to assess uncertainty in Bayesian optimization.
problem Uncertainty quantification in Bayesian optimization.
method Constructing confidence regions of the maximum point or value of the objective function.
result Unified uncertainty quantification framework for various sampling policies and stopping criteria.
VAR-GPs solve continual learning by updating posteriors sequentially.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in sequential learning tasks.
method Sparse inducing point approximations and auto-regressive variational distribution.
result VAR-GPs prevent catastrophic forgetting and outperform baselines.
The paper develops a state-space approach to deep Gaussian processes for efficient state estimation.
problem Efficient regression and state estimation for deep Gaussian processes.
method Hierarchical transformed Gaussian process priors, state-space representation, linear stochastic differential equations, sequential methods.
result The state-space approach enables efficient state estimation and regression for deep Gaussian processes.
Active learning improves GP regression on complex, high-dimensional data.
problem Improving Gaussian Process regression in high-dimensional spaces with discontinuous functions.
method Combines manifold learning with active learning to optimize data selection and reduce dimensionality.
result Superior performance over random learning in synthetic data experiments.
Gaussian processes help in modeling complex, nonlinear relationships in signal processing.
problem Modeling complex, nonlinear relationships in signal processing.
method Sequential inference for Gaussian processes.
result Gaussian processes enable efficient and accurate modeling of complex relationships.
Adaptive batching improves Gaussian process surrogates for noisy level set estimation.
problem Learning the level set of noisy simulator responses.
method Developed four novel adaptive batching schemes for Gaussian process metamodels.
result Adaptive batching brings significant computational speed-ups with minimal loss of modeling fidelity.
New model predicts multiple outputs with missing labels.
problem Missing group labels in multi-output regression.
method Weakly-supervised multi-output model using correlated Gaussian processes.
result Model excels in multi-output settings with missing labels.
Warm-start strategies speed up GP inference by 19x.
problem Efficient sequential inference in Gaussian processes.
method Three warm-start strategies exploiting smaller linear systems.
result Warm-starting achieves up to 19x speed-up in convergence.
Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and can be difficult to tune. This work provides a method for numerical marginalizat…
Adaptive Bayesian learning aggregates experts to improve performance.
problem Bayesian online learning's performance depends on inferential choices.
method Treat Bayesian update rules as experts and aggregate them based on sequential predictive losses.
result The aggregate competes with the best expert in hindsight at a low aggregation cost.
In this paper, we introduce the use of a personalized Gaussian Process model (pGP) to predict the key metrics of Alzheimer's Disease progression (MMSE, ADAS-Cog13, CDRSB and CS) based on each patient's previous visits. We start by learning a population-level model using multi-modal data from previously seen patients us…
Many machine learning problems can be framed in the context of estimating functions, and often these are time-dependent functions that are estimated in real-time as observations arrive. Gaussian processes (GPs) are an attractive choice for modeling real-valued nonlinear functions due to their flexibility and uncertaint…
Study improves self-normalized bounds for vector-valued processes beyond sub-Gaussianity.
problem Limited understanding of self-normalized concentration for vector-valued processes outside sub-Gaussian frameworks.
method Developed concentration inequalities for self-normalized processes with light tails (e.g., Bennett, Bernstein bounds) for vector-valued data.
result Provided new insights and bounds for self-normalized processes with non-sub-Gaussian distributions.
Gaussian process regression is a machine learning approach which has been shown its power for estimation of unknown functions. However, Gaussian processes suffer from high computational complexity, as in a basic form they scale cubically with the number of observations. Several approaches based on inducing points were …
Novel Hilbert space Gaussian process improves sequential design accuracy and efficiency.
problem Efficiently implementing Gaussian process acquisition functions for expensive simulations.
method Proposed a truncated eigenbasis representation for closed-form evaluation of IMSE acquisition function.
result Significantly lower prediction error and reduced computation time compared to benchmarks.
Combines Bézier curves with Gaussian processes for better sequential data modeling.
problem Limited expressiveness of MDNs in probabilistic modeling of sequential data.
method Integrates Gaussian processes with probabilistic Bézier curves for full Bayesian inference.
result Improves expressiveness of MDNs by enabling full Bayesian inference.
A scalable algorithm for GP regression selects relevant covariates efficiently.
problem Scalable variable selection in large GP regression models.
method VGPR algorithm using Vecchia approximation for sparse precision matrix, mini-batch subsampling.
result Improved scalability and accuracy in selecting relevant covariates.
Neural Processes combine the strengths of neural networks and Gaussian processes to achieve both flexible learning and fast prediction in stochastic processes. However, a large class of problems comprises underlying temporal dependency structures in a sequence of stochastic processes that Neural Processes (NP) do not e…
Warm starts improve Gaussian process regression by up to 16x.
problem Optimizing hyperparameters for Gaussian processes.
method Iterative Gaussian processes with warm start optimization.
result Warm starts achieve the same results as conventional methods but significantly speed up computations.
Stochastic gradient descent approximates Gaussian process posteriors efficiently.
problem Efficiently sampling from Gaussian process posteriors with limited computational resources.
method Developed stochastic gradient optimization objectives for sampling from Gaussian process posteriors.
result Stochastic gradient descent produces accurate predictive distributions, even in non-convergent cases.
Robust GP model detects and corrects sparse outliers.
problem Non-Gaussian noise in real-world data.
method Relevance pursuit for data-point-specific noise levels.
result Strong concavity and approximation guarantees for subset selection.
The chapter compares Gaussian process models for stochastic simulators with varying noise.
problem Modeling stochastic simulators with varying noise.
method Various Gaussian process models are compared, including input varying noise variance, non-Gaussian noise, and quantile modeling.
result Sequential design procedures are adapted for these models.
SigGPDE scales sparse Gaussian processes for sequential data.
problem Predicting and quantifying uncertainty in sequential data.
method Sparse variational inference framework for Gaussian Processes, leveraging GP signature kernel gradients as PDE solutions.
result Significant computational gains and state-of-the-art performance on large sequential datasets.
The paper extends consistency results for sequential design strategies to vector-valued Gaussian processes.
problem Estimating excursion sets of vector-valued Gaussian processes.
method Clarifying the connection between continuous Gaussian processes and Gaussian measures in Banach spaces, extending concepts and properties from scalar-valued settings to vector-valued settings.
result Consistency results for sequential design strategies can be applied to vector-valued Gaussian processes.
Kernel interpolation speeds up online Gaussian process updates.
problem Efficiently updating Gaussian process posteriors with new data.
method Structured kernel interpolation for constant-time updates.
result Exact inference maintained with constant-time updates.
Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful kernelized methods for non-parameteric regression used in many applications. However, their use is limited to a few thousand of training samples due to their cubic time complexity. In order to scale GPs to larger datasets, several sparse approximations based on so-called inducing p…
In their standard form Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful non-parametric framework for regression and classificaton tasks. Their one limiting property is their O(N3) scaling where N is the number of training data points. In this paper we present a framework for GP training with sequential sele…
A method to improve sequential learning by keeping past data errors in check.
problem Challenges in sequential learning with Gaussian processes due to accumulating errors.
method Memory-based dual sparse variational Gaussian processes.
result Improves accuracy in inference and learning for various applications.
Gaussian processes struggle with compositional functions, but deep Gaussian processes can outperform.
problem Gaussian process regression struggles with compositional functions.
method We study information-theoretic lower bounds for posterior contraction rates in Gaussian process regression for a continuous regression model.
result Posterior based on any mean-zero Gaussian process can only recover the truth at a rate strictly slower than the minimax rate for generalized additive functions.
CAG method predicts nonlinear solid mechanics responses in real-time with high accuracy and efficiency.
problem Real-time prediction of nonlinear solid mechanics responses.
method Clustering adaptive Gaussian process regression (CAG) method.
result Offers predictions within a second with high precision using only 20 samples.
Develops a new method for functional regression that works with non-Gaussian data.
problem Limited models for regression in function spaces with Gaussian process priors.
method Introduces Neural Operator Flows (OpFlow) for non-Gaussian function spaces.
result OpFlow enables robust and accurate uncertainty quantification for functional regression.
Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point to try out. This recommendation is usually selected by optimizing a given acquis…
A new algorithm uses concavity in Gaussian processes to optimize decisions in bandit problems.
problem Optimizing decisions in sequential problems with context-dependent rewards.
method Proposes a UCB algorithm using a shape-constrained reward function estimator based on a Gaussian Process model with concavity constraints.
result Derives regret bounds for the proposed UCB algorithm.
Optimizes functions on manifolds using Gaussian processes and graph models.
problem Optimizing functions on unknown manifolds with limited data.
method Graph Gaussian process surrogate model for sequential optimization.
result Established regret bounds for the proposed algorithm.
We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling with limited applicability to large data sets. W…
Develops intrinsic Gaussian process regression for manifold-valued data.
problem Lack of intrinsic Gaussian process methods for manifold-valued response variables.
method Proposes an intrinsic covariance structure and a novel intrinsic Gaussian process regression model.
result Establishes asymptotic properties and shows posterior consistency.
This paper speeds up Gaussian process regression for autocorrelated data.
problem Temporal overfitting in Gaussian process models for autocorrelated data.
method Modifying existing Gaussian process approximations to handle blocked, de-correlated data.
result Proposed methods accelerate Gaussian process regression on autocorrelated data without sacrificing performance.
Proposes GPLFR for predicting high-dimensional outputs with few data.
problem Predicting high-dimensional outputs from limited data.
method GPLFR combines Gaussian process and linear-Gaussian decoding for high-dimensional prediction.
result GPLFR outperforms existing methods in predicting high-dimensional outputs.
A novel online GP model captures long-term memory in sequential data.
problem Capturing long-term memory in sequential data online.
method Integrates HiPPO framework into interdomain GP, leveraging time-varying orthogonal projections as inducing variables.
result OHSVGP outperforms existing online GP methods in predictive performance, long-term memory preservation, and computational efficiency.
Improves Gaussian process regression without bias.
problem Bias in Gaussian process regression estimates.
method Adaptive computation selection to minimize bias.
result Guaranteed small bias in log marginal likelihood estimates.
New sparse Gaussian process method tackles unconstrained regression problems.
problem Dealing with physical systems that satisfy inequality constraints.
method Extends constrained Gaussian process by redefining hat basis functions.
result Reduces computational complexity from O(n3) to O(nm2). This paper speeds up iterative GP inference with warm starting.
problem Improving scalability of Gaussian process inference.
method Warm starting sequential posteriors using known solutions.
result Significant speed-ups and improved Bayesian optimisation performance.
Paper introduces robust Gaussian process regression without sacrificing computational efficiency.
problem Violation of independent and identically distributed Gaussian observation noise assumption in Gaussian process regression.
method Proves robust and conjugate Gaussian process regression (RCGP) at no additional cost using generalised Bayesian inference.
result RCGP enables exact conjugate closed form updates in all settings where standard GPs admit them.
New method optimizes Gaussian process allocation for BO.
problem Existing methods for inducing point allocation in BO hinder performance.
method Proposes a new allocation strategy using quality-diversity decomposition.
result Demonstrates improved BO performance through local high-fidelity modeling.
The paper examines how kernel approximations affect Gaussian process regression in large data applications.
problem Effect of kernel approximations on Gaussian process regression in large data applications.
method Unified framework to analyze Gaussian process regression under computational and epistemic misspecification.
result Theoretical analysis of Gaussian process regression under various misspecifications.
New framework improves robust inference in HMMs under model misspecification.
problem Inference in general state-space HMMs under likelihood misspecification.
method Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI) and Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods.
result Improved performance in object tracking and Gaussian process regression.