Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

275480107 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for sentiment signals

Research integrates sentiment analysis with reinforcement learning for better trading strategies.

problem Improving trading performance by integrating sentiment data.
method Developed a sentiment-driven trading system using a large language model and reinforcement learning.
result Sentiment signals from FinGPT improve trading performance when combined with technical indicators.

Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.

problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.

Study uses LLMs to categorize financial tweets, revealing useful sentiment signals.

problem Discovering meaningful sentiment signals from unstructured financial social media data.
method Leveraged LLMs to automatically label financial tweets with event categories and aligned with returns.
result Certain event labels consistently yield negative alpha, with statistically significant Sharpe ratios and information coefficients.

FinSMART uses reinforcement learning to analyze financial sentiment, outperforming existing methods.

problem Limited adaptability of financial sentiment analysis to evolving market conditions.
method Market-aligned reinforcement learning framework that optimizes sentiment signals using realized market outcomes.
result Significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in profitability and sentiment signal quality.

Improved crypto market forecasting using historical price reactions to tweets.

problem Challenges in inferring market impact from human sentiment labels.
method Market-derived labeling approach to assign tweet sentiment labels based on historical price trends. Fine-tuned language model with context-aware prompt-tuning.
result 89.6% accuracy on Bitcoin news events, outperforming traditional fusion models.

This paper optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios by integrating sentiment analysis with technical indicators.

problem Effective portfolio management in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic portfolio strategy using technical indicators and sentiment analysis.
result The integrated approach outperforms traditional benchmarks and achieves stronger risk-adjusted returns.

Bayesian classifier uses stock price as ground truth for profitable trading signals.

problem Using sentiment analysis to predict stock prices based on social media data.
method Bayesian classifier trained on stock-specific dictionaries generated from tweets labeled as Buy or Sell based on stock price movement.
result 5.18% return rate over 1 month, annualizing to 83% per annum.

Sentiment analysis from LLMs improves financial trading performance.

problem Improving dynamic strategy optimization in financial markets.
method Integration of sentiment analysis from LLMs into RL frameworks.
result Sentiment-enhanced RL models outperform traditional RL models in net worth and cumulative profit.

Study uses sentiment analysis to predict cryptocurrency token returns in virtual reality.

problem Predicting cryptocurrency token returns in virtual reality economies.
method Used BERT for sentiment analysis and developed LSTM models integrating multi-modal features.
result Multi-modal model significantly outperforms price-only baseline in prediction accuracy.

Social media signals are most informative about financial volatility when sentiment is high.

problem Understanding when social media can predict financial market volatility.
method Cluster analysis of social and financial variables using information theory.
result Social media is most informative about financial volatility when the ratio of bullish to bearish sentiment is high.

Paper uses JIVE to decompose word embeddings, improving sentiment analysis performance.

problem Improving sentiment analysis performance on word embeddings.
method Joint and individual variance explained (JIVE) method for decomposition.
result Mapping word embeddings into joint components improves sentiment analysis performance.

Paper presents a hybrid framework combining sentiment analysis and market indicators for financial portfolio optimization.

problem Improving financial portfolio optimization through better integration of sentiment and market data.
method A three-tier hierarchical RL framework integrating LLMs, DRL, and market data.
result Achieved a 26% annualized return and Sharpe ratio of 1.2, outperforming benchmarks.

Anonymization reduces economic signal extraction from financial texts.

problem Reducing meaningful economic signals from financial texts due to anonymization.
method Analyzed the impact of anonymization on textual understanding and economic signal extraction.
result Information loss due to anonymization is severe and pervasive, outweighing its benefits in certain financial applications.

A novel framework combines LLMs and RL for financial portfolio optimization.

problem Optimizing financial portfolios using sentiment analysis and market indicators.
method Hierarchical RL structure with base, meta, and super-agents.
result Achieved a 26% annualized return and Sharpe ratio of 1.2.

Hybrid engine analyzes news sentiment for markets in real-time.

problem Real-time market analysis of news sentiment.
method Three-way ensemble learning combining financial lexicon, adaptive TF-IDF clustering, and auto-calibrated weighting.
result Adaptive statistical clustering learner improves adaptability to market changes.

Study uses topic modeling and sentiment analysis to uncover hedge fund performance insights.

problem Hedge fund opacity and limited disclosure make them hard to analyze.
method Applied topic modeling and sentiment analysis to hedge fund documents using DistilBERT and Top2Vec.
result Automated topic modeling and sentiment analysis can predict hedge fund performance.

The study improves sentiment analysis of 10-K filings, revealing aggregation effects on accuracy and correlation with market outcomes.

problem Lack of sentiment analysis for 10-K filings, particularly for risk disclosures.
method Supervised lexicon-learning approach applied to 10-K filings and Item 1A risk-factor sections, trained against return and volatility labels at different levels of aggregation.
result Sentiment analysis of Item 1A sections performs better at the individual-firm level, while full-filing text is more accurate at sector and portfolio levels.

Improved sentiment analysis in Korean finance using masked PLMs.

problem Fine-grained sentiment analysis in non-English finance literature is lacking due to limited annotated data.
method Developed KorFinASC dataset and applied TGT-Masking to PLMs to remove non-stationary knowledge.
result Improved classification accuracy by 22.63% on KorFinASC.

Study forecasts sub-city real estate prices weekly using radar and news sentiment.

problem Limited availability of reliable real estate price indicators at neighborhood and long horizons.
method Combining satellite radar signals and news sentiment to forecast sub-city real estate prices.
result The multimodal model reduces mean absolute error by 35% at long horizons (26-34 weeks).

Quantitative model predicts Sri Lankan stock market using NLP, clustering, and time-series forecasting.

problem Predicting economic regimes and market signals in Sri Lankan stock indices.
method Integrates NLP, clustering, and time-series forecasting; uses FinBERT for sentiment analysis, UMAP/HDBSCAN for clustering, and GRU/LSTM for forecasting.
result GRU model achieves 80.1% R-squared for daily closing price forecasts.

Quantformer uses transformer to predict stock returns, outperforming traditional strategies.

problem Predicting stock returns in a dynamic financial market.
method Transfer learning from sentiment analysis to build investment factors using a transformer-based neural network.
result Quantformer outperforms other 100-factor-based quantitative strategies in predicting stock trends.

Deep learning model optimizes portfolios by integrating news sentiment, stock relationships, and price data.

problem Optimizing portfolio weights using traditional methods introduces instability.
method Combines LSTM, GAT, and sentiment analysis in a unified pipeline.
result Delivers higher cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios compared to benchmarks.

Hybrid AI system combines technical, sentiment analysis for adaptive equity trading.

problem Traditional trading strategies fail during high volatility and regime shifts.
method Combines trend-following, mean-reversion, sentiment analysis, machine learning, and market regime filtering.
result Hybrid model achieved 135.49% return on investment over 24 months.

Anonymizing company names in financial news improves trading performance, contrary to initial expectations.

problem Look-ahead and distraction biases in sentiment analysis of financial news.
method Investigated trading strategies based on original and anonymized headlines, comparing performance.
result Anonymized headlines outperform original in-sample, suggesting distraction effect is stronger.

Study improves U.S. monetary policy forecasting by integrating text and data.

problem Forecasting central bank policy decisions, especially the Fed's rate changes.
method Multi-modal approach combining structured data and unstructured text from Fed communications.
result Hybrid models outperform unimodal baselines, achieving a test AUC of 0.83.

FinBERT model identifies key speakers in earnings calls, boosting stock returns.

problem Unequal impact of all speakers in earnings call transcripts on stock returns.
method Utilized FinBERT, a domain-specific transformer model, to parse transcripts and weight speakers' sentiment.
result FinBERT section-weighted sentiment generates significant long-short alpha of 2.03%.

FinRLlama wins FinRL Challenge 2024 by fine-tuning LLMs with market data.

problem Lack of contextual alignment for financial market applications in traditional LLMs.
method Fine-tuning LLaMA-3.2-3B-Instruct model with custom RLMF prompt design integrating historical data and reward feedback.
result RLMF-tuned FinRLlama framework outperforms baseline methods in signal consistency and trading outcomes.

Study finds investor sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.

problem Investor sentiment and stock returns relationship in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
method Used indirect measures of investor sentiment (SENT and ARMS) and Granger causality tests.
result Sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns, but not the other way around.

News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.

problem Understanding the temporal dynamics of U.S. economic news sentiment over time.
method Daily economic news sentiment index from 1980-2025, analyzed using sentiment indexes.
result News sentiment states have become more persistent, with longer residence times in optimistic or pessimistic regimes.

Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.

problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.

Can textual data be compressed intelligently without losing accuracy in evaluating sentiment? In this study, we propose a novel evolutionary compression algorithm, PARSEC (PARts-of-Speech for sEntiment Compression), which makes use of Parts-of-Speech tags to compress text in a way that sacrifices minimal classification…

2017-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper constructs financial sentiment factors using NLP for the Chinese market.

problem Evaluating sentiment in the Chinese financial market.
method Crawling news and comments, applying NLP techniques, building a finance-specific lexicon, and adjusting the sentiment factor.
result The adjusted sentimental factor has a strong correlation with the Chinese market, especially during crises.

Investor sentiment improves model accuracy but complexity doesn't always boost predictive power.

problem Determining the optimal complexity of investor sentiment measures in asset pricing models.
method Comprehensive review of 71 papers from 2000-2021, analyzing various sentiment measures and models.
result Higher complexity of sentiment measures does not necessarily improve predictive power.

The ability to identify sentiment in text, referred to as sentiment analysis, is one which is natural to adult humans. This task is, however, not one which a computer can perform by default. Identifying sentiments in an automated, algorithmic manner will be a useful capability for business and research in their search …

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗