New method reconstructs stable sentiment signals from sparse news data.
problem Transforming raw news sentiment outputs into reliable temporal series.
method Modular three-stage pipeline: aggregation, gap filling, and smoothing.
result Three-week lead-lag pattern between reconstructed sentiment and stock prices.
In this paper we continue the study of the simulated stock market framework defined by the driving sentiment processes. We focus on the market environment driven by the buy/sell trading sentiment process of the Markov chain type. We apply the methodology of the Hidden Markov Models and the Recurrent Neural Networks to …
This paper presents a non-trivial reconstruction of a previous joint topic-sentiment-preference review model TSPRA with stick-breaking representation under the framework of variational inference (VI) and stochastic variational inference (SVI). TSPRA is a Gibbs Sampling based model that solves topics, word sentiments an…
Price dynamics is analyzed in terms of a model which includes the possibility of effective forces due to trend followers or trend adverse strategies. The method is tested on the data of a minority-majority model and indeed it is capable of reconstructing the prevailing traders' strategies in a given time interval. Then…
Study finds investor sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
problem Investor sentiment and stock returns relationship in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
method Used indirect measures of investor sentiment (SENT and ARMS) and Granger causality tests.
result Sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns, but not the other way around.
News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.
problem Understanding the temporal dynamics of U.S. economic news sentiment over time.
method Daily economic news sentiment index from 1980-2025, analyzed using sentiment indexes.
result News sentiment states have become more persistent, with longer residence times in optimistic or pessimistic regimes.
LLMs improve financial sentiment analysis in finance.
problem Defining and measuring financial sentiment.
method Investigation of sentiment measurement methods and LLMs.
result LLMs enhance financial sentiment analysis.
Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.
problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.
Can textual data be compressed intelligently without losing accuracy in evaluating sentiment? In this study, we propose a novel evolutionary compression algorithm, PARSEC (PARts-of-Speech for sEntiment Compression), which makes use of Parts-of-Speech tags to compress text in a way that sacrifices minimal classification…
Investor sentiment improves model accuracy but complexity doesn't always boost predictive power.
problem Determining the optimal complexity of investor sentiment measures in asset pricing models.
method Comprehensive review of 71 papers from 2000-2021, analyzing various sentiment measures and models.
result Higher complexity of sentiment measures does not necessarily improve predictive power.
The ability to identify sentiment in text, referred to as sentiment analysis, is one which is natural to adult humans. This task is, however, not one which a computer can perform by default. Identifying sentiments in an automated, algorithmic manner will be a useful capability for business and research in their search …
Enhanced portfolio selection using sentiment data and LSTM.
problem Improving portfolio selection through sentiment analysis and price prediction.
method Semantic Attention Model for sentiment prediction, LSTM for price prediction, mean-variance strategy for portfolio optimization.
result Sentiment-aware portfolio strategies outperform non-sentiment aware models on average.
Sentiment analysis of DAX40 stocks improves performance by 5.38% annually.
problem Creating a more responsive stock market index using sentiment analysis.
method Extract sentiment from news articles, adjust index weights based on sentiment, compare performance to existing indices.
result Sentiment index outperforms DAX40 by 7.51% annually, adjusted for costs.
Study enhances cryptocurrency sentiment analysis using TikTok and Twitter data.
problem Lack of comprehensive sentiment analysis in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multimodal analysis of TikTok and Twitter data using large language models.
result TikTok's video sentiment influences speculative assets and short-term trends.
\emph{Sentiment Quantification} (i.e., the task of estimating the relative frequency of sentiment-related classes -- such as \textsf{Positive} and \textsf{Negative} -- in a set of unlabelled documents) is an important topic in sentiment analysis, as the study of sentiment-related quantities and trends across a populati…
In this paper, we design an integrated algorithm to evaluate the sentiment of Chinese market. Firstly, with the help of the web browser automation, we crawl a lot of news and comments from several influential financial websites automatically. Secondly, we use techniques of Natural Language Processing(NLP) under Chinese…
Study uses sentiment analysis to predict implied volatility surface, improving prediction accuracy.
problem Improving prediction accuracy of implied volatility surface.
method Constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data, used VAR method, deep learning (BERT, LSTM), FFT, EMD for sentiment decomposition.
result High-frequency sentiment correlates with ATM options' implied volatility, low-frequency with DOTM options.
We propose how to quantify high-frequency market sentiment using high-frequency news from NASDAQ news platform and support vector machine classifiers. News arrive at markets randomly and the resulting news sentiment behaves like a stochastic process. To characterize the joint evolution of sentiment, price, and volatili…
MANA-Net improves market predictions by dynamically weighting news sentiments.
problem Aggregated Sentiment Homogenization in financial news data.
method Dynamic market-news attention mechanism to aggregate sentiments.
result MANA-Net outperforms recent market prediction methods by 1.1% Profit & Loss and 0.252 daily Sharpe ratio.
Python models predict stock sentiment for market-beating returns.
problem Predicting public sentiment for stock trading.
method Crowd-sourced labeled data, trained and evaluated various models.
result Best models predict market-beating returns from public sentiment.
Sentiment analysis from news and social media predicts forex market movements.
problem Forecasting forex market movements using sentiment analysis.
method Lexicon-based analysis and Naive Bayes machine learning.
result Sentiment analysis is effective in predicting forex market movements.
This paper proposes a new HDP based online review rating regression model named Topic-Sentiment-Preference Regression Analysis (TSPRA). TSPRA combines topics (i.e. product aspects), word sentiment and user preference as regression factors, and is able to perform topic clustering, review rating prediction, sentiment ana…
R package sentometrics analyzes text sentiment for predictions.
problem Unlocking value from textual data using sentiment analysis.
method Optimized textual sentiment indexation with R package sentometrics.
result Forecasted CBOE Volatility Index using text sentiment data.
Transformer models improve financial sentiment measurement.
problem Capturing nuanced sentiment from financial news articles.
method Transformer-based language models for sentiment classification and aggregation.
result Transformer models outperform traditional dictionary-based methods in sentiment classification.
Study evaluates if LLMs have company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
problem Evaluating if large language models exhibit company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
method Comparing sentiment scores with and without company names, constructing economic models, and empirical analysis.
result LLMs show company-specific biases in sentiment analysis, impacting investor behavior and stock prices.
Study shows investor sentiment boosts intraday trading in Chinese markets.
problem Impact of investor sentiment on intraday overtrading in Chinese A-share markets.
method High-frequency sentiment indices from social media analyzed for intraday overtrading in CSI 300 and CSI 500 constituents.
result Investor sentiment significantly increases intraday overtrading, especially among institutional investors.
FinEAS models financial sentiment using BERT embeddings.
problem Financial sentiment analysis in markets.
method Supervised fine-tuning of BERT embeddings for financial texts.
result FinEAS outperforms vanilla BERT, LSTM, and FinBERT.
The paper analyzes how news sentiment of companies can affect market movements.
problem Understanding how news sentiment impacts market performance and volatility.
method Applied NLP techniques to analyze news sentiment of 87 companies over 7 years.
result Strong media sentiment towards one company can indicate significant changes in sentiment towards related companies.
Study combines sentiment analysis with traditional models for better S&P 500 trading.
problem Improving trading performance in volatile markets.
method Sentiment analysis from financial news, GPT-2, FinBERT, combined with technical indicators and time-series models.
result Combining sentiment-driven insights with traditional models improves trading performance.
Research integrates sentiment analysis with reinforcement learning for better trading strategies.
problem Improving trading performance by integrating sentiment data.
method Developed a sentiment-driven trading system using a large language model and reinforcement learning.
result Sentiment signals from FinGPT improve trading performance when combined with technical indicators.
Sentiment analysis is a highly subjective and challenging task. Its complexity further increases when applied to the Arabic language, mainly because of the large variety of dialects that are unstandardized and widely used in the Web, especially in social media. While many datasets have been released to train sentiment …
New formula classifies product reviews into higher and lower ratings based on sentiment analysis.
problem Lack of research on using sentiment analysis for classifying text into ratings.
method Redefined sentiment proportions as a triangle structure to derive variables for classifying text into higher and lower ratings.
result Proved a dependence exists between sentiments and ratings.
BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.
problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.
This study improves stock price forecasting by analyzing daily news sentiment.
problem Improving stock price forecasting accuracy using news sentiment.
method Data collection, preprocessing, and sentiment analysis of NITY50 stocks' news.
result LSTM models with sentiment scores outperform without them in forecasting stock prices.
SentARL uses sentiment features to improve trading profits.
problem Improving profit stability in single-asset trading.
method Sentiment-Aware Reinforcement Learning (SentARL) system.
result SentARL consistently outperforms baselines across multiple assets and conditions.
Social media is increasingly used by humans to express their feelings and opinions in the form of short text messages. Detecting sentiments in the text has a wide range of applications including identifying anxiety or depression of individuals and measuring well-being or mood of a community. Sentiments can be expressed…
This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.
problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.
Improved financial sentiment analysis using simple instruction tuning of LLMs.
problem Lack of accurate financial sentiment analysis by large language models.
method Instruction tuning of general-purpose LLMs with a small portion of financial sentiment data.
result Significant improvement in financial sentiment analysis, especially in complex scenarios.
We study the relationship between the sentiment levels of Twitter users and the evolving network structure that the users created by @-mentioning each other. We use a large dataset of tweets to which we apply three sentiment scoring algorithms, including the open source SentiStrength program. Specifically we make three…
This paper analyzes financial sentiment using LLMs and FinBERT, improving accuracy with few-shot examples.
problem Financial sentiment analysis for market evaluation.
method Application of large language models and FinBERT, with focus on prompt engineering and few-shot learning.
result GPT-4o achieves similar sentiment classification accuracy to FinBERT with fewer examples.
How to generate human like response is one of the most challenging tasks for artificial intelligence. In a real application, after reading the same post different people might write responses with positive or negative sentiment according to their own experiences and attitudes. To simulate this procedure, we propose a s…
This paper optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios by integrating sentiment analysis with technical indicators.
problem Effective portfolio management in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic portfolio strategy using technical indicators and sentiment analysis.
result The integrated approach outperforms traditional benchmarks and achieves stronger risk-adjusted returns.
Financial market prediction on the basis of online sentiment tracking has drawn a lot of attention recently. However, most results in this emerging domain rely on a unique, particular combination of data sets and sentiment tracking tools. This makes it difficult to disambiguate measurement and instrument effects from f…
In online social networks people often express attitudes towards others, which forms massive sentiment links among users. Predicting the sign of sentiment links is a fundamental task in many areas such as personal advertising and public opinion analysis. Previous works mainly focus on textual sentiment classification, …
Study examines how social media sentiment impacts biotech stocks.
problem Understanding the impact of social media on biotech stock prices.
method VADER sentiment analysis, ARIMA, and VAR models were used to forecast stock market performance.
result Complex interplay between tweet sentiment and stock market performance was identified.
A new Twitter sentiment model predicts stock market trends with high accuracy.
problem Real-time prediction of future stock market prices.
method Baseline correlation approach using polynomial regression, classification, and lexicon-based sentiment analysis.
result Predicts stock market trends with 67.22% accuracy, up to 15 time samples in advance.
Images have become one of the most popular types of media through which users convey their emotions within online social networks. Although vast amount of research is devoted to sentiment analysis of textual data, there has been very limited work that focuses on analyzing sentiment of image data. In this work, we propo…
Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.
problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.