Deep learning predicts market sensitivities for cost-effective index tracking.
problem Costly and impractical replication of index funds.
method Learning to predict market sensitivities using deep learning models.
result Significant reduction in prediction errors compared to historical methods.
New framework improves fairness in machine learning models.
problem Eliminating discrimination in machine learning models for sensitive fields.
method Reformulate data input by removing sensitive features and design adversarial network to minimize dependence.
result Our model achieves better fairness metrics and prediction performance than state-of-the-art methods.
Bayesian sensitivity analysis accounts for model uncertainty.
problem Assessing variable importance in nonlinear models.
method Differentiating Rényi divergence of predictive distribution.
result Accurate and reliable identification of important variables and interactions.
Simplified equation predicts model sensitivity to data.
problem Understanding model sensitivity to training data is challenging and costly.
method Derived using Bayesian principles, the Memory-Perturbation Equation (MPE) unifies and generalizes existing sensitivity measures.
result Empirical results show sensitivity estimates during training can predict generalization on unseen test data.
We derive a novel sensitivity analysis of input variables for predictive epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We use Bayesian neural networks with latent variables as a model class and illustrate the usefulness of our sensitivity analysis on real-world datasets. Our method increases the interpretability of complex blac…
Novel model predicts anticancer compound sensitivity with high accuracy and interpretability.
problem Predicting anticancer compound sensitivity with high accuracy and interpretability.
method Multimodal attention-based convolutional encoder using SMILES, gene expression profiles, and protein-protein interaction networks.
result The model significantly outperforms baseline models and demonstrates high interpretability.
Improved anti-cancer drug sensitivity prediction using REFINED CNN ensemble learning.
problem Challenges in predicting anti-cancer drug sensitivity for individual cell lines.
method Using REFINED CNN, which represents high-dimensional vectors as compact 2D images with spatial correlations, and building ensembles of these models.
result Ensemble approaches significantly improve drug sensitivity prediction performance compared to single models.
Boosting theory extended to handle cost-sensitive and multi-objective losses.
problem Real-world prediction problems with different error costs.
method Developed a comprehensive theory of cost-sensitive and multi-objective boosting.
result Established a dichotomy for binary classification and a more intricate landscape for multiclass settings.
Formulates Markov property for risk-sensitive dynamic optimisation.
problem Risk-sensitive dynamic optimisation problems in discrete time.
method Formulates probabilistic Markov property under dynamic risk framework.
result Property holds for standard risk measures and has multiple equivalent versions.
The paper explores how disentangled representations can improve fairness in prediction tasks.
problem Improving fairness in prediction tasks using disentangled representations.
method Investigates different notions of disentanglement and analyzes representations of state-of-the-art models.
result Disentanglement scores are correlated with increased fairness in prediction tasks.
Global sensitivity analysis improves BNN hyperparameter selection for accurate uncertainty quantification.
problem Difficulties in obtaining accurate uncertainty quantification with Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs).
method Global sensitivity analysis of BNN performance under varying hyperparameter settings.
result Many hyperparameters interact to affect both predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Paper proposes a cost-sensitive conformal training method with provably controllable learning bounds.
problem Uncertainty quantification and learning bounds in conformal prediction.
method Cost-sensitive conformal training algorithm that minimizes the expected size of prediction sets using rank weighting.
result Theoretical analysis shows tightness between weighted objective and expected size of conformal prediction sets.
Proposes a method to estimate drug sensitivity uncertainty using deep regression forests.
problem Lack of confidence intervals in deep learning models for critical tasks.
method Uses Deep Regression Forests to estimate variance and uncertainty for drug sensitivity prediction.
result Improves efficiency and coverage of uncertainty estimates for drug sensitivity predictions.
The paper shows how to use proxy attributes for fairness in machine learning models with missing sensitive group data.
problem Measuring and enforcing fairness in machine learning models with incomplete sensitive group data.
method Using proxy-sensitive attributes to derive upper bounds on multiaccuracy and multicalibration violations and adjust models to satisfy these fairness notions.
result Provable upper bounds on multiaccuracy and multicalibration violations can be derived using proxy-sensitive attributes in the absence of sensitive group data.
This paper explores tradeoffs between invariance and sensitivity in adversarial examples.
problem Understanding the limitations of existing adversarial defenses.
method Study of invariance-based adversarial examples and their impact on model accuracy.
result Adversarial defenses against sensitivity-based attacks can harm invariance-based attacks, necessitating new approaches.
Motivation: Human genomic datasets often contain sensitive information that limits use and sharing of the data. In particular, simple anonymisation strategies fail to provide sufficient level of protection for genomic data, because the data are inherently identifiable. Differentially private machine learning can help b…
The paper develops a method to achieve fairness in predictions using Wasserstein barycenters.
problem Learning a fair real-valued function independent of sensitive attributes.
method Establishing a connection between fair regression and optimal transport theory, deriving a close form expression for the optimal fair predictor as the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups.
result The optimal fair predictor's distribution is the Wasserstein barycenter of sensitive groups' distributions, offering an intuitive interpretation and a simple post-processing algorithm.
New method optimizes fairness in predictive models for continuous sensitive attributes.
problem Enforcing full statistical independence on continuous sensitive attributes is too restrictive.
method Functional bilevel optimization (FBO) and ITD algorithms.
result Achieves lowest or near-lowest fairness-accuracy regret on synthetic and real datasets.
Global Sensitivity Analysis improves feature importance ranking in Random Forests.
problem Improving feature importance ranking in Random Forests.
method Applying Global Sensitivity Analysis to Random Forests for feature ranking.
result Our method provides a novel way to rank features based on their importance.
Adjoint SA speeds up bioprocess parameter learning.
problem Challenges in digital twin development for biomanufacturing.
method Adjoint sensitivity analysis on multi-scale enzymatic reaction networks.
result Resilient sensitivities reveal bioprocess regulatory mechanisms.
New method explains sensitivity of test data uncertainty in Bayesian inference.
problem Widespread belief that test data similarity reduces epistemic uncertainty.
method Information-theoretic decomposition of predictive uncertainty.
result Defines sensitivity using information-theoretic quantities.
Paper removes sensitive data from IoT and Big Data for privacy.
problem Privacy concerns in IoT and Big Data.
method Develops new supervised and adversarial learning methods to remove sensitive data.
result Models maintain predictive model utility while making sensitive predictions ineffective.
Model predicts treatment initiation from clinical data using patient-clinician relations.
problem Predicting treatment initiation from clinical time series data considering patient-clinician relations.
method Graph-Augmented Time-Sensitive Model using top eigenvectors of graph Laplacian.
result Relational similarity improves prediction over baselines, e.g., 5% improvement in AUPRC.
We present the Network-based Biased Tree Ensembles (NetBiTE) method for drug sensitivity prediction and drug sensitivity biomarker identification in cancer using a combination of prior knowledge and gene expression data. Our devised method consists of a biased tree ensemble that is built according to a probabilistic bi…
tDB removes unfairness from black-box models using probability theory.
problem Mitigating unfairness in predictions from black-box models.
method towerDebias (tDB) method based on the Tower Property.
result tDB improves prediction fairness without retraining the original model.
The study sets lower bounds on MMSE for inferring sensitive features from noisy data.
problem Estimating sensitive features from noisy observations of correlated features.
method Adversarial evaluation framework based on MMSE estimation with theoretical lower bounds.
result Derives closed-form bounds for linear models, showing optimality in noise variance.
New algorithms improve privacy-preserving data release using external predictions.
problem Privacy-preserving data release with improved utility using external information.
method Learning-augmented algorithms for multiple quantile release.
result Error guarantees scale with prediction quality, almost recovering state-of-the-art guarantees.
In predictive maintenance, model performance is usually assessed by means of precision, recall, and F1-score. However, employing the model with best performance, e.g. highest F1-score, does not necessarily result in minimum maintenance cost, but can instead lead to additional expenses. Thus, we propose to perform model…
Paper proposes a new FRL algorithm for continuous sensitive attributes using EIPM.
problem Existing FRL algorithms cannot handle continuous sensitive attributes.
method Introduces EIPM to assess fairness in representation space for continuous attributes and proposes FREM algorithm.
result FREM outperforms other methods in fairness evaluation for continuous sensitive attributes.
Study adversarial attacks on cost-sensitive classifiers.
problem Safety-critical classification problems with cost-sensitive predictions.
method Used state-of-the-art adversarially-resistant neural networks and analyzed as a two-player zero-sum game.
result Introduced a new cost-sensitive attack that performs better than targeted attacks in some cases.
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
Caus-Modens uses deep ensembles to better predict causal outcomes in hidden confounding scenarios.
problem Predicting causal outcomes in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Caus-Modens employs a modulated ensemble approach to improve prediction intervals for causal outcomes using sensitivity models.
result Caus-Modens provides tighter prediction intervals for causal outcomes compared to existing methods.
QSAR models struggle to predict activity cliffs, but graph isomorphism features improve AC-sensitivity.
problem QSAR models struggle to predict activity cliffs (ACs).
method Nine distinct QSAR models combining molecular representation methods and regression techniques.
result Graph isomorphism features improve AC-sensitivity.
Method differentiates diffusion model training to predict sample sensitivity.
problem Predict how diffusion model samples change with small perturbations.
method Closed-form procedure for computing directional derivatives of the map.
result Estimates sensitivity of diffusion model samples to additive perturbations.
This paper proposes a cost-sensitive feature acquisition method.
problem Choosing features for prediction with low cost and high accuracy.
method Adaptive feature selection using feature relevance and costs.
result Our approach achieves high accuracy with lower cost than state-of-the-art.
A central goal of algorithmic fairness is to reduce bias in automated decision making. An unavoidable tension exists between accuracy gains obtained by using sensitive information (e.g., gender or ethnic group) as part of a statistical model, and any commitment to protect these characteristics. Often, due to biases pre…
Selecting the right drugs for the right patients is a primary goal of precision medicine. In this manuscript, we consider the problem of cancer drug selection in a learning-to-rank framework. We have formulated the cancer drug selection problem as to accurately predicting 1). the ranking positions of sensitive drugs an…
Framework for fair predictive models using resampled sensitive attributes.
problem Achieving fair predictions in machine learning models.
method Introducing a discrepancy functional and resampling sensitive attributes.
result Improved performance and equitable uncertainty quantification.
TaCo prevents non-linear classifiers from detecting sensitive attributes.
problem Ensuring fairness in NLP models by preventing sensitive attribute detection.
method Targeted Concept Erasure (TaCo) removes sensitive information from final latent representations, even against non-linear classifiers.
result TaCo outperforms state-of-the-art methods in reducing sensitive attribute prediction accuracy while preserving overall task performance.
Optimizes portfolios by identifying causal drivers of diversification.
problem Achieving efficient portfolio optimization based on asset and diversification dynamics.
method Commonality Principle, Reichenbach Common Cause Principle, conformal maps, Bayesian networks, correlation-based algorithms, neural networks, SDEs.
result Optimal portfolio diversification achieved through causal methodologies and sensitivity forecasting.
The insurance industry uses predictions based on customer characteristics, but this can lead to discrimination. We propose using Wasserstein barycenters to mitigate biases.
problem Discrimination in insurance predictions based on sensitive features like gender or race.
method Propose using Wasserstein barycenters instead of simple scaling to mitigate biases in insurance predictions.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of Wasserstein barycenters in mitigating biases in insurance predictions.
GOAT learns multiple node representations from graph structure alone.
problem Context-free graph representation learning limits model performance.
method Inspired by gossip and mutual attention, GOAT learns multiple node representations.
result GOAT outperforms 12 SOTA baselines on link prediction and clustering tasks.
Proposes a method to achieve quantile fairness in predictions.
problem Lack of research on quantile fairness in socially sensitive domains.
method Introduces a framework to learn a real-valued quantile function under Demographic Parity fairness.
result Demonstrates superior empirical performance and uncovering fairness-accuracy trade-offs.
EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables for counterfactual fairness in machine learning.
problem Balancing fairness and predictive accuracy in models with sensitive attributes.
method EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables to define an auxiliary node and a control node for counterfactual fairness.
result EXOC framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in achieving counterfactual fairness.
This work provides efficient algorithms for approximating ℓ_p sensitivities and related statistics.
problem Estimating the importance of datapoints in high-dimensional datasets.
method Efficient algorithms for computing α-approximation of ℓ_1 sensitivities and total sensitivity using importance sampling and sensitivity computations.
result Real-world datasets have significantly lower intrinsic effective dimensionality than theoretical predictions.
The paper analyzes binary option markets with exogenous information and price sensitivity.
problem Analyzing binary option markets with exogenous information and price sensitivity.
method Derive and analyze a continuous model of binary option markets with exogenous information, using Filippov surfaces and general assumptions on purchasing rules.
result Price always converges when exogenous information is constant, and price sensitivity affects price lag vs. information.
Transformers for binary decisions are sensitive to evidence order, leading to unreliable outcomes.
problem Order sensitivity in Transformers for binary decisions leads to unreliable outcomes.
method Formalized an expectation-realization gap and developed QMV and EDFL bounds.
result Uniform permutation mixtures reduce dispersion and improve reliability.
Paper creates fair synthetic data ensuring equal predictions across sensitive attributes.
problem Ensuring fair predictions across sensitive attributes in synthetic data.
method Equalizing target probability distributions across sensitive attributes in synthetic data generation.
result Synthetic data provides strong fair predictions, equal across all thresholds.