Most recent work on interpretability of complex machine learning models has focused on estimating a posteriori explanations for previously trained models around specific predictions. Self-explaining models where interpretability plays a key role already during learning have received much less atte…
Self-explaining models are models that reveal decision making parameters in an interpretable manner so that the model reasoning process can be directly understood by human beings. General Linear Models (GLMs) are self-explaining because the model weights directly show how each feature contributes to the output value. H…
CoxSE combines deep learning with self-explaining neural networks for survival analysis.
problem Improving predictive power of Cox Proportional Hazards model while maintaining explainability.
method Proposes CoxSE, a locally explainable Cox proportional hazards model using SENN, and CoxSENAM, a hybrid model with NAM.
result CoxSE provides more stable and consistent explanations while maintaining predictive power.
Improves transparency and incorporates prior knowledge in Gaussian Process models.
problem Challenges in understanding and expressing prior assumptions in complex Bayesian models.
method Introduces self-explaining variational posterior distributions for Gaussian Processes.
result Allows incorporation of both general and feature-specific prior knowledge.
Pantypes improve prototypical models by capturing diverse input distributions.
problem Prototypical models lack sufficient data representation in low density regions.
method Introducing pantypes, a sparse set of diverse objects to represent the full diversity of input distribution.
result Pantypes empower prototypical models to foster high diversity, interpretability, and fairness.
DiSeNE generates interpretable node embeddings without supervision.
problem Lack of interpretability in unsupervised node embeddings.
method Disentangled representation learning with novel objective functions and metrics.
result DiSeNE produces interpretable node embeddings aligned with graph structure.
Recently, interpretable models called self-explaining models (SEMs) have been proposed with the goal of providing interpretability robustness. We evaluate the interpretability robustness of SEMs and show that explanations provided by SEMs as currently proposed are not robust to adversarial inputs. Specifically, we succ…
Novel S-MF-DFA detects structured multifractality in crypto markets.
problem Analyzing scaling regularity of cryptocurrencies.
method Structural detrended multifractal fluctuation analysis (S-MF-DFA) with change-points detection.
result Main cryptocurrencies exhibit structured multifractality, with decreasing multifractality after 2018.
ProtoX-AD: A self-explainable time series anomaly detection framework
problem Lack of explainability in self-supervised time series anomaly detection
method Learning transformation-aware latent representations and interpretable prototypes
result Achieves detection performance comparable to black-box methods while offering more consistent and semantically meaningful explanations
The ability to explain decisions made by AI systems is highly sought after, especially in domains where human lives are at stake such as medicine or autonomous vehicles. While it is often possible to approximate the input-output relations of deep neural networks with a few human-understandable rules, the discovery of t…
Sparse text alignments learned via optimal transport improve model explainability.
problem Building self-explaining models by selecting relevant text pieces.
method Employing optimal transport to find minimal cost alignments, introducing constrained variants for sparsity.
result Sparse and interpretable alignments achieved, preserving prediction accuracy.
Post-hoc explanations improve CNNs by replacing final linear layer with k-means classifier.
problem CNNs lack accurate data representation in their built-in prototypes.
method Introduces k-means-based post-hoc explanations for CNNs, leveraging spatial consistency of convolutional receptive fields.
result Using shallower, less compressed feature activations improves semantic fidelity at the cost of slight predictive performance.
Interpretable model for Granger causality using neural networks.
problem Inferring Granger causality in complex dynamical systems.
method Extension of self-explaining neural networks for multivariate Granger causality.
result Framework performs on par with baseline methods and better at inferring interaction signs.
SX-GeoTree improves spatially coherent explanations in geospatial regression trees.
problem Capturing spatial dependence and producing robust explanations in tabular prediction models.
method Integrates three objectives: impurity reduction, spatial residual control, and explanation robustness via modularity maximization on a consensus similarity network.
result Improves residual spatial evenness and doubles attribution consensus (modularity: Fujian 0.19 vs 0.09; Seattle 0.10 vs 0.05).
A new approach to rationalization identifies true rationales by considering causal relationships.
problem Existing rationalization methods struggle with spuriousness, where snippets with similar contributions are hard to distinguish.
method The method leverages causal inference to identify non-spurious rationales, defining probabilities of causation based on a structural causal model.
result The proposed causal rationalization outperforms existing methods on real-world datasets.
Selection of input features such as relevant pieces of text has become a common technique of highlighting how complex neural predictors operate. The selection can be optimized post-hoc for trained models or incorporated directly into the method itself (self-explaining). However, an overall selection does not properly c…
Paper introduces GAMs for interpretable learning-to-rank models.
problem Need for transparent ranking models in legal or policy scenarios.
method Developed generalized additive models (GAMs) for ranking tasks using neural networks.
result Neural ranking GAMs achieve better performance than traditional GAMs while maintaining interpretability.
GraphHull models networks with clear multi-scale explanations of community structure.
problem Lack of self-explainable models in graph machine learning.
method Two-level convex hulls with global archetypes and local prototypes.
result GraphHull models networks with clear multi-scale explanations.
Among interpretable machine learning methods, the class of Generalised Additive Neural Networks (GANNs) is referred to as Self-Explaining Neural Networks (SENN) because of the linear dependence on explicit functions of the inputs. In binary classification this shows the precise weight that each input contributes toward…
The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.
problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.
The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.
problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.
Gauge Flow Models use a learnable Gauge Field in Generative Flow Models.
problem Improving generative model performance.
method Integrates a learnable Gauge Field into Flow ODEs.
result Gauge Flow Models outperform traditional Flow Models in Flow Matching experiments.
The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.
problem Model predictions may not be robust under model extensions, limiting their applicability.
method The study uses causal ordering to assess robustness of qualitative model predictions and characterizes model extensions that preserve predictions.
result Conditions and techniques are provided to assess robustness of model predictions under model extensions.
Revises Bayesian model averaging for foundation models.
problem Ensemble pre-trained and lightly-finetuned foundation models for improved classification performance.
method Introduces trainable linear classifiers and computationally cheaper model averaging scheme (OMA).
result Ensembled models can better predict on various datasets.
Paper introduces symmetric divergence link models for probability distributions.
problem Symmetric divergence measures for probability distributions.
method Two general classes of link models: one for survival functions and another for cumulative probability distribution functions.
result Advantages of symmetric divergence measures over asymmetric measures for model averaging and feature assessment.
New method to handle credit portfolio model uncertainties.
problem Model risk in credit portfolio models.
method Demonstrates comprehensive yet easy-to-implement approach to uncertainty in model parameters.
result Comprehensive method to deal with model uncertainties.
The paper tests stock return models and uses LSTM to predict stock returns.
problem Validating stock return models and predicting stock returns.
method Used Fama-French three-factor, four-factor, and five-factor models; also used LSTM model.
result Fama-French five-factor model shows better validity for stock returns.
Researchers review challenges in interpreting additive models, especially neural additive models.
problem Challenges in interpreting additive models, particularly neural additive models.
method Review of generalized additive models and discussion of nonidentifiability.
result Challenges in claiming interpretability or suitability for safety-critical applications of additive models.
Novel hybrid modeling combines ML and physics for real-time diagnosis.
problem Real-time diagnosis of complex systems.
method Combines machine learning and physics-based models to create reduced-order models.
result Generated models are two orders of magnitude simpler, improving efficiency.
CRS model improves ranking data modeling with theoretical guarantees.
problem Lack of rich, multimodal models for ranking data.
method Contextual Repeated Selection (CRS) model for multimodal ranking data.
result CRS model significantly outperforms existing methods in various ranking contexts.
Sigma models linked to Gross-Neveu models via quiver varieties.
problem Understanding the relationship between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models.
method Exploring the mathematical correspondence between sigma models and Gross-Neveu models, including their geometric and trigonometric/elliptic deformations.
result Sigma models are mathematically equivalent to Gross-Neveu models under certain conditions.
Interpretable machine learning has become a strong competitor for traditional black-box models. However, the possible loss of the predictive performance for gaining interpretability is often inevitable, putting practitioners in a dilemma of choosing between high accuracy (black-box models) and interpretability (interpr…
Simple models are preferred over complex models, but over-simplistic models could lead to erroneous interpretations. The classical approach is to start with a simple model, whose shortcomings are assessed in residual-based model diagnostics. Eventually, one increases the complexity of this initial overly simple model a…
Matryoshka hides secret models in a carrier model, achieving high capacity and robustness.
problem Stealing functionality of private ML data by hiding models in a carrier model.
method Parameter sharing approach exploiting the learning capacity of the carrier model.
result Hides a 26x larger secret model or 8 secret models in the carrier model.
Seq2Seq models speed up epidemic model predictions.
problem Complex epidemic models are computationally expensive.
method Used deep seq2seq models as surrogates for complex models.
result Surrogates predict scenarios up to several thousand times faster.
This work develops scalable model selection methods with fast update and selection.
problem Efficient model selection for large pools of candidate models.
method Isolated model embedding, which supports asymptotically fast update and selection.
result Standardized Embedder achieves competitive model selection performances.
Paper proposes BMPO to optimize policies using bidirectional models.
problem Model-based reinforcement learning's reliance on forward model accuracy.
method Develops BMPO using both forward and backward models for policy optimization.
result BMPO outperforms state-of-the-art methods in sample efficiency and asymptotic performance.
Copulas outperform marginal models in multivariate risk forecasting, reducing model risk by narrowing down the set of models.
problem Model risk in multivariate risk forecasting, especially during crises.
method Comprehensive empirical study comparing Copula-GARCH models with fixed marginals, copulas, or neither.
result Model risk is almost entirely due to copula choice, not marginal models.
BayesBlend blends multiple models' predictions for better insurance loss predictions.
problem Improving insurance loss predictions by combining multiple models.
method Pseudo-Bayesian model averaging, stacking, and hierarchical stacking.
result BayesBlend provides a user-friendly way to blend model predictions and estimate weights.
The paper identifies when larger models improve predictions and proposes a switcher model.
problem Understanding when larger models benefit from added complexity.
method Numerical studies on T5 architecture to analyze predictive uncertainty and model performance.
result Large models improve on examples where small models are uncertain, but not on certain examples.
Improved diffusion model generation speed with speculative sampling.
problem Generating samples from computationally expensive diffusion models.
method Extending speculative sampling to diffusion models, using fast draft models for candidate token generation.
result Significant speedup in generation, halving the number of function evaluations.
We propose a generalization of neural network sequence models. Instead of predicting one symbol at a time, our multi-scale model makes predictions over multiple, potentially overlapping multi-symbol tokens. A variation of the byte-pair encoding (BPE) compression algorithm is used to learn the dictionary of tokens that …
The paper extends statistical inference methods for black-box generative models.
problem Understanding and validating black-box generative models without access to their internal data.
method Develops model-level statistical inference tasks using generative model representations.
result Model-level representations are effective for multiple inference tasks.
PMM uses Bayesian inference to generate data from noisy approximations.
problem Creating flexible generative models for various data types.
method Bayesian inference and conjugate pairs of distributions.
result PMM achieves performance competitive with existing generative models.
Unified model improves sampling speed and quality.
problem Difficult to balance sampling speed and quality.
method Multistep Consistency Models combining consistency and diffusion models.
result Improved sampling quality with reduced steps.
In science and especially in economics, agent-based modeling has become a widely used modeling approach. These models are often formulated as a large system of difference equations. In this study, we discuss two aspects, numerical modeling and the probabilistic description for two agent-based computational economic mar…
Driven by an increasing need for model interpretability, interpretable models have become strong competitors for black-box models in many real applications. In this paper, we propose a novel type of model where interpretable models compete and collaborate with black-box models. We present the Model-Agnostic Linear Comp…
Combining models in appropriate ways to achieve high performance is commonly seen in machine learning fields today. Although a large amount of combinatorial models have been created, little attention is drawn to the commons in different models and their connections. A general modelling technique is thus worth studying …