A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Automatically finds effective security strategies through reinforcement learning and self-play.
Social Security and other public policies can be viewed as a series of cash in and outflows that depend on parameters such as the age distribution of the population and the retirement age. Given forecasts of these parameters, policies can be designed to be financially stable, i.e., to terminate with a zero balance. If …
New model values equity-linked securities with guaranteed return.
Deep learning identifies unknown IoT devices in network traffic.
Paper develops security model and pricing for stable digital currency in quantum blockchain network.
Most of the existing solutions to enterprise threat management are preventive approaches prescribing means to prevent policy violations with varying degrees of success. In this paper we consider the complementary scenario where a number of security violations have already occurred, or security threats, or vulnerabiliti…
Estimates funding impact from an algorithmic relief rule, finding little effect on hospital activities.
Discriminatory trade liberalization policies are becoming more popular among world economies. Countries are motivated to enter for regional trade agreements to capture faster economic growth for alleviating poverty. In developing economies like most of the member countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations…
Attackers can poison environments to force RL agents to follow target policies.
Italian banks use swaps to hedge against rising interest rates, offsetting losses on debt securities.
We study a security threat to batch reinforcement learning and control where the attacker aims to poison the learned policy. The victim is a reinforcement learner / controller which first estimates the dynamics and the rewards from a batch data set, and then solves for the optimal policy with respect to the estimates. …
Optimizes COVID-19 testing policy using a Multi-Armed Bandit approach.
Recent changes to greenhouse gas emission policies are catalyzing the electric vehicle (EV) market making it readily accessible to consumers. While there are challenges that arise with dense deployment of EVs, one of the major future concerns is cyber security threat. In this paper, cyber security threats in the form o…
This paper studies poisoning attacks in episodic RL and discovers their effectiveness depends on reward bounds.
New approach detects adversarial samples with certifiable guarantees.
It is customary that when security prices fully reflect all available information, the markets for those securities are said to be efficient. And if markets are inefficient, investors can use available information ignored by the market to earn abnormally high returns on their investments. In this context this paper tri…
This paper investigates a class of attacks targeting the confidentiality aspect of security in Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) policies. Recent research have established the vulnerability of supervised machine learning models (e.g., classifiers) to model extraction attacks. Such attacks leverage the loosely-restricte…
We utilize a fundamentally different model of trading costs to look at the effect of the opening of the Hong Kong Shanghai Connect that links the stock exchanges in the two cities, arguably the biggest event in international business and finance since Christopher Columbus set sail for India. We design a novel methodolo…
Several proposals for the reform of the euro area advocate the creation of a market in synthetic securities backed by portfolios of sovereign bonds. Most debated are the so-called European Safe Bonds or ESBies proposed by Brunnermeier, Langfield, Pagano,Reis, Van Nieuwerburgh and Vayanos (2017). The potential benefits …
Reinforcement learning (RL) has advanced greatly in the past few years with the employment of effective deep neural networks (DNNs) on the policy networks. With the great effectiveness came serious vulnerability issues with DNNs that small adversarial perturbations on the input can change the output of the network. Sev…
Energy policy in Europe has been driven by the three goals of security of supply, economic competitiveness and environmental sustainability, referred to as the energy trilemma. Although there are clear conflicts within the trilemma, member countries have acted to facilitate a fully integrated European electricity marke…
Tensor factorization models offer an effective approach to convert massive electronic health records into meaningful clinical concepts (phenotypes) for data analysis. These models need a large amount of diverse samples to avoid population bias. An open challenge is how to derive phenotypes jointly across multiple hospi…
Survey of technologies for trustworthy machine learning systems.
In the last two years, more than 200 papers have been written on how machine learning (ML) systems can fail because of adversarial attacks on the algorithms and data; this number balloons if we were to incorporate papers covering non-adversarial failure modes. The spate of papers has made it difficult for ML practition…
Regulating crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic advancement.
Optimizes a portfolio for an investor preferring accepted securities over a reference security.
This paper examines the dividend and investment policies of a cash constrained firm that has access to costly external funding. We depart from the literature by allowing the firm to issue collateralized debt to increase its investment in productive assets resulting in a performance sensitive interest rate on debt. We f…
Study shows Bitcoin security tied to mining rewards and prices.
AgensFlow learns multi-agent coordination policies from experience.
Paper uses GNNs to automatically detect botnets from network data.
A pair of points in a riemannian manifold makes a secure configuration if the totality of geodesics connecting them can be blocked by a finite set. The manifold is secure if every configuration is secure. We investigate the security of compact, locally symmetric spaces.
Study efficient resource allocation for detecting extreme values.
Study shows Lula's Zero Hunger program reduced income inequality in Brazil.
We say that a pair of points x and y is secure if there exist a finite set of blocking points such that any geodesic between x and y passes through one of the blocking points. The main point of this paper is to exhibit new examples of blocking phenomena both in the manifold and the billiard table setting. As an approac…
We consider a model in which a trader aims to maximize expected risk-adjusted profit while trading a single security. In our model, each price change is a linear combination of observed factors, impact resulting from the trader's current and prior activity, and unpredictable random effects. The trader must learn coeffi…
Industry lacks tools to secure ML systems, study finds.
Sparse oblique decision tree improves security rules for renewable power systems.
RL models improve target control in SSGs for security applications.
The exponential increase in dependencies between the cyber and physical world leads to an enormous amount of data which must be efficiently processed and stored. Therefore, computing paradigms are evolving towards machine learning (ML)-based systems because of their ability to efficiently and accurately process the eno…
A riemannian manifold is secure if the geodesics between any pair of points in the manifold can be blocked by a finite number of point obstacles. Compact, flat manifolds are secure. A standing conjecture says that these are the only secure, compact riemannian manifolds. The conjecture claims, in particular, that a riem…
Securely trains regression models with secret sharing for data collaboration.
Blockchain aims to improve trust in AI systems, but lacks systematic studies.
Paper proposes a secure protocol for federated learning.
This paper considers the problem of optimal liquidation of a position in a risky security in a financial market, where price evolution are risky and trades have an impact on price as well as uncertainty in the filling orders. The problem is formulated as a continuous time stochastic optimal control problem aiming at ma…
Proposes a secure communication method independent of eavesdropper's decoder.
Explores security challenges of machine learning in real-world systems.
Deep learning is increasingly used as a building block of security systems. Unfortunately, neural networks are hard to interpret and typically opaque to the practitioner. The machine learning community has started to address this problem by developing methods for explaining the predictions of neural networks. While sev…
In this paper are presented methods of impact analysis on informatics system security accidents, qualitative and quantitative methods, starting with risk and informational system security definitions. It is presented the relationship between the risks of exploiting vulnerabilities of security system, security level of …