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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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6481,2961,9442,592 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for security of supply

Study on price formation in a market with a major player and minor firms.

problem Equilibrium price formation in a market with a major financial firm and many minor firms.
method Analyzes the equilibrium price process in both finite and mean field models, considering idiosyncratic and common noises.
result Derives the functional form of price impact for the major firm in both market sizes.

We propose a class of discrete-time stochastic models for the pricing of inflation-linked assets. The paper begins with an axiomatic scheme for asset pricing and interest rate theory in a discrete-time setting. The first axiom introduces a "risk-free" asset, and the second axiom determines the intertemporal pricing rel…

2007-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops security model and pricing for stable digital currency in quantum blockchain network.

problem Securing and pricing stable digital currency in a quantum blockchain network.
method Developed a block-based quantum channel networking technology and a FinTech platform model with dynamic pricing.
result Established a generalized IoB security model using quantum channel networking and QKD.

Optimal annuitization strategy depends on age, labor income, and mortality risk.

problem Maximizing utility from consumption and labor income under age-dependent mortality.
method Dynamic programming approach to derive closed-form solutions.
result Post-retirement labor income acts as a substitute for annuitization.

Staking and on-chain lending can reduce PoS network security if rewards are not calibrated properly.

problem Rational actors can reduce PoS network security if block rewards are not calibrated appropriately above on-chain lending yields.
method Simple stochastic model and agent-based simulations to validate the phase transition between staking and lending.
result Rational actors can reduce PoS network security if block rewards are not calibrated appropriately above on-chain lending yields.

Research creates a taxonomy to bridge AI security and regulatory gaps.

problem Disciplinary disconnect between technical and legal teams in AI risk assessment.
method Developed an AI System Threat Vector Taxonomy with 9 domains and 53 sub-threats.
result Empirically validated and aligned with ISO/IEC 42001 controls and NIST AI RMF functions.

In this paper we introduce a class of information-based models for the pricing of fixed-income securities. We consider a set of continuous- time information processes that describe the flow of information about market factors in a monetary economy. The nominal pricing kernel is at any given time assumed to be given by …

2009-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Analysis of the 2007-8 credit crisis has concentrated on issues of relaxed lending standards, and the perception of irrational behaviour by speculative investors in real estate and other assets. Asset backed securities have been extensively criticised for creating a moral hazard in loan issuance and an associated incre…

2009-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Supply uncertainty leads to inefficient supply chain network formation.

problem How supply uncertainty affects supply chain network structure.
method Modeling a supply chain network with uncertain yield, where retailers and suppliers must form relationships and compete.
result Retailers tend to link to too few suppliers, leading to insufficient diversification of the supply base.

Cash collateral is perfect in that it provides simultaneous counterparty credit risk protection and derivatives funding. Securities are imperfect collateral, because of collateral segregation or differences in CSA haircuts and repo haircuts. Moreover, the collateral rate term structure is not observable in the repo mar…

2017-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling business cycles via collective risk fluctuations in economic agents' risk space.

problem Understanding and predicting business cycles through economic agents' risk dynamics.
method Continuous numerical risk grades for economic agents, modeling collective economic variables and flows as functions of risk coordinates, deriving equations for their evolution.
result Business and credit cycles are explained as fluctuations of collective economic variables and their mean risks in the risk space of economic agents.

Asset liquidity in modern financial markets is a key but elusive concept. A market is often said to be liquid when the prevailing structure of transactions provides a prompt and secure link between the demand and supply of assets, thus delivering low costs of transaction. Providing a rigorous and empirically relevant d…

2011-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops price dynamics equations with symmetric supply/demand functions, affecting tail behavior of price distributions.

problem Understanding the tail behavior of price distributions based on supply and demand functions.
method Created price dynamics equations using a symmetric function of demand/supply, analyzing linear and nonlinear cases.
result The exponent of the tail behavior of price distributions depends on the function of supply and demand, with exponents approaching -1 for large exponents in the function.

Supply chain resilience depends on balancing competition and self-interest.

problem Maintaining resilience in decentralized supply chains under uncertainty and competition.
method Modeling competitive suppliers and retailers with yield uncertainty and congestion, analyzing network formation.
result Decentralized supply chains can form resilient networks through competition and self-interest, contrary to intuition.

GNNs improve supply chain analytics with real-world benchmarks.

problem Limited research on applying GNNs to supply chain management.
method Conceptual discussions, detailed formulations, examples, mathematical definitions, and task guidelines.
result GNN-based models outperform other methods by 10-40% in various supply chain tasks.

Study forecasts vegetable prices in Nepal using a novel index and ensemble model.

problem High volatility and cultural influences on agricultural commodity prices.
method Developed KVPI, created features, evaluated multiple models, introduced Momentum-Corrected Online Stacking Ensemble.
result Achieved RMSE of 1.771, MAPE of 0.68%, and R-squared of 0.845 at 90-day horizon.

Deep-Gap predicts crowdsourcing supply-demand gaps using deep learning.

problem Balancing supply and demand in mobile crowdsourcing.
method Residual learning-based deep neural networks trained on time series data and external factors.
result Deep-Gap achieves lowest forecasting errors compared to state-of-the-art methods.

The paper analyzes Reliability Options in electricity markets, deriving pricing formulas and simulating real market scenarios.

problem Determining the value of Reliability Options in electricity markets under various price regimes.
method The paper derives closed-form pricing formulae and simulates real market scenarios using data from the Italian power market. Sensitivity analyses are performed to highlight the impact of different parameters.
result The value of Reliability Options is influenced by the level and volatility of power and strike prices, mean reversion speeds, and correlation coefficients.

Blockchain and AI improve invoice financing for supply chains.

problem Challenges in invoice financing for upstream suppliers in complex supply chains.
method Combining blockchain and AI technologies to solve financing issues.
result Atomic crosschain functionality enables informed decisions under uncertainty.

Over the past decade, the stellar growth of Indian economy has been challenged by persistently high levels of inflation, particularly in food prices. The primary reason behind this stubborn food inflation is mismatch in supply-demand, as domestic agricultural production has failed to keep up with rising demand owing to…

2017-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explores balancing market dynamics and interpretable forecasting models for energy prices.

problem Tackles the challenge of accurately predicting mFRR price and understanding market dynamics.
method Compares XGBoost and EBM for forecasting mFRR activation price in the balancing market.
result EBM provides comparable forecasting accuracy to XGBoost but with higher interpretability.

This paper applies reactor theory to supply chain management.

problem Maintaining optimal item delivery and collection ratios in supply chains.
method Translating neutron transport and diffusion theory to supply chain management, introducing analogy factors and interactors.
result A deterministic model for supply chain optimization.

This study explores factors and enablers of compliance risk in Vietnamese seafood supply chain.

problem Compliance risk in Vietnamese seafood supply chain.
method Comprehensive literature review and expert interviews.
result Three main critical factor groups influencing compliance risk identified.

This paper develops a stochastic learning-optimization model for resilient automotive supply chains.

problem Supply chain disruptions and volatile demand pose challenges to the UK automotive industry.
method Integrates Bayesian inference with inventory optimization for a two-echelon system subject to stochastic demand and disruptions.
result The integrated approach achieves significant cost reductions and improved resilience during disruptions.

Examines how randomness in supply and demand affects asset price volatility and extrema.

problem Understanding the cause of randomness in asset prices and its impact on volatility and extrema.
method Uses a fundamental economics model of supply and demand to analyze randomness in a very general setting.
result Volatility has an extremum that precedes the price extremum, arising from randomness in supply and demand.

Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.

problem Understanding correlations in firm growth rates and their supply chain relationships.
method Investigated correlation structure of firm growth rates and used Gaussian Markov Models to reconstruct supply chain networks.
result Supply chain-linked firms exhibit stronger correlation in growth rates than non-linked firms.

Deep neural networks optimize inventory decisions in complex supply chains.

problem Optimizing inventory decisions in stochastic multi-echelon supply chains.
method Pairwise modeling and DNN agents for order-up-to levels.
result The method performs better than alternate methods in general supply chain networks.

Study examines how COVID-19 intensified demand variability in U.S. supply chains.

problem The amplification of demand variability (Bullwhip Effect) in supply chains during the pandemic.
method Extensive industry-level data analysis using traditional and advanced empirical techniques.
result COVID-19 significantly amplified the Bullwhip Effect across different U.S. industries.

Approach for assessing supply chain cyber risks using expert judgment and forecasting.

problem Supply chain managers face challenges in assessing cyber risks affecting business factors.
method Structured expert judgment and forecasting models to assess various attack techniques and impacts.
result Facilitates implementation of risk management activities and decision-making processes.

Improved taxi demand-supply forecasts using graph-based LSTM.

problem Accurate taxi demand-supply forecasting with complex spatial and temporal patterns.
method Investigated impact of spatial partitioning techniques (Voronoi vs. Geohash) on LSTM network performance.
result GraphLSTM offers competitive performance against ConvLSTM, at lower complexity, across real-world data sets.

Unified theory explains market impact using a simplified supply-demand parameter.

problem Understanding the market impact of metaorders and excess volatility.
method Coarse-grained approach with a single parameter ρ to model supply-demand equilibrium and market impact.
result Establishes a connection between excess volatility and order-driven markets through the square-root law.

We have studied here the self-organising features of the dynamics of a model market, where the agents `trade' for a single commodity with their money. The model market consists of fixed numbers of economic agents, money supply and commodity. We demonstrate that the model, apart from showing a self-organising behaviour,…

2000-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗