TSCD is an algorithm for causal discovery using second-order statistics.
problem Causal discovery
method Tensor-based Second-order Causal Discovery (TSCD)
result Identifiable causal order and parameters from logarithmic number of interventions
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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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48 results for “second-order statistics”
Improved computational complexity in statistical models using second-order information.
problem Polynomial convergence of gradient descent in singular statistical models.
method Normalized Gradient Descent (NormGD) algorithm with second-order information.
result NormGD reaches final statistical radius in logarithmic iterations of .
Study reveals geometric context of second-order superintegrable systems.
problem Understanding second-order superintegrable systems and their Weylian geometry.
method Re-examined second-order maximally conformally superintegrable Hamiltonian systems, revealing their Weyl structure.
result Extended conformal superintegrability to Weyl structures, interpreting systems as semi-Weyl structures.
This article develops a statistical test for the null hypothesis of strict stationarity of a discrete time stochastic process in the frequency domain. When the null hypothesis is true, the second order cumulant spectrum is zero at all the discrete Fourier frequency pairs in the principal domain. The test uses a window …
A new method for faster optimization on statistical manifolds.
problem Slow convergence of first-order methods in manifold optimization.
method Dual Riemannian Newton method on manifolds with dual connections.
result Local quadratic convergence of the dual Riemannian Newton method.
New theory allows ICA without assuming non-Gaussian sources.
problem Traditional ICA struggles with Gaussian sources.
method Developed identifiability theory based on second-order statistics and sparsity.
result Identifiability theory and estimation methods validated experimentally.
The paper classifies second-order superintegrable systems with torsion and semi-degeneracy.
problem Classifying second-order superintegrable systems with torsion and semi-degeneracy.
method Information-geometric structure and geometric conditions for non-degeneracy.
result A -parameter potential is non-degenerate if a certain trace-free tensor field vanishes.
Natural gradient descent, which preconditions a gradient descent update with the Fisher information matrix of the underlying statistical model, is a way to capture partial second-order information. Several highly visible works have advocated an approximation known as the empirical Fisher, drawing connections between ap…
Deep neural networks are usually trained with stochastic gradient descent (SGD), which minimizes objective function using very rough approximations of gradient, only averaging to the real gradient. Standard approaches like momentum or ADAM only consider a single direction, and do not try to model distance from extremum…
New quantum states capture more information, enabling advanced processing tasks.
problem Quantum information processing challenges with limited statistical information.
method Introducing Random-Coefficient Pure States (RCPS) and exploiting their higher-order statistics.
result RCPS provide richer information than density operators, enabling new quantum tasks.
Two new algorithms improve federated optimization under second-order similarity.
problem Federated learning under communication constraints and second-order similarity.
method SVRP and Catalyzed SVRP algorithms combining proximal point evaluations, client sampling, and variance reduction.
result Achieves superior performance and uniformly improves upon existing algorithms for federated optimization under second-order similarity and strong convexity.
COMRADE is a communication-efficient, Byzantine-resilient second-order optimization algorithm.
problem Byzantine failures in distributed optimization.
method COMRADE is a communication-efficient, second-order optimization algorithm that uses a simple norm-based thresholding rule to filter out Byzantine workers.
result COMRADE achieves linear-quadratic convergence and is robust against Byzantine workers.
Advanced optimization algorithms such as Newton method and AdaGrad benefit from second order derivative or second order statistics to achieve better descent directions and faster convergence rates. At their heart, such algorithms need to compute the inverse or inverse square root of a matrix whose size is quadratic of …
We develop a statistical framework to benchmark and select large language models based on their risks.
problem Benchmarking and selecting large language models based on their associated risks.
method A distributional framework using first and second order stochastic dominance, linked to mean-risk models in finance.
result Formalizes a risk-aware approach for model selection, balancing risk and utility.
Optimization in machine learning, both theoretical and applied, is presently dominated by first-order gradient methods such as stochastic gradient descent. Second-order optimization methods, that involve second derivatives and/or second order statistics of the data, are far less prevalent despite strong theoretical pro…
Introduces a new price measure and a second-order economic theory for volatility forecasting.
problem Forecasting price volatility in financial markets.
method Develops a new price measure and a second-order economic theory to model price volatility.
result Shows that second-order economic theory improves forecasting of price volatility.
NN-Turb generates turbulent velocity statistics using neural networks.
problem Creating a 1D field with turbulent velocity statistics.
method Fully-convolutional neural network (NN-Turb) to generate the field.
result NN-Turb generates a 1D field that satisfies Kolmogorov's 2/3 and 4/5 laws, exhibiting intermittency.
Local approach learns causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.
problem Learning causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.
method First learns the skeleton and then orients edges of the polytree using second order statistics and low-dimensional marginal distributions.
result Consistent and scalable approach that handles problems with thousands of nodes.
Paper proposes an online covariance estimator for sketched Newton methods.
problem Estimating the limiting covariance matrix of sketched Newton methods.
method Proposes a fully online covariance matrix estimator from Newton iterates.
result Establishes the consistency and convergence rate of the proposed estimator.
New method learns BN structures from data efficiently.
problem Learning sparse DAG structure of BN from continuous data.
method Consistent second-order conic integer programming with early stopping criterion.
result Near-optimal solutions to medium-size problems within reasonable time.
New method for estimating high-dimensional binary time series coefficients.
problem Statistical inference for high-dimensional binary time series.
method Post-selection estimator and second-order wild bootstrap algorithm.
result Good finite-sample performance of the proposed method.
New ICA method for sources with mixed spectra.
problem Inaccurate separation of sources with temporal autocorrelations and mixed spectra.
method Estimates spectral density functions and line spectra using cubic splines and indicator functions, then maximizes the Whittle likelihood function.
result Outperforms existing ICA methods in simulations and EEG data applications.
Flexible approach for normal approximations in geometric and topological statistics.
problem Normal approximation for complex statistics not expressible as sums of score functions.
method Flexible add-one cost operator combined with strong stabilization theory.
result Established normal approximation results for geometric and topological statistics.
Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on combining local estimators defined by pseudo-likelihood components, encompassing a num…
Introduces intrinsic Riemannian cross-covariance for manifold-valued random objects.
problem Covariance estimation for random objects on Riemannian manifolds.
method Defines covariance and correlation via parallel transport.
result Proposed covariance is independent of coordinate choices.
Single-site Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a variant of MCMC in which a single coordinate in the state space is modified in each step. Structured relational models are a good candidate for this style of inference. In the single-site context, second order methods become feasible because the typical cubic costs assoc…
In the recent years, we have witnessed the development of multi-label classification methods which utilize the structure of the label space in a divide and conquer approach to improve classification performance and allow large data sets to be classified efficiently. Yet most of the available data sets have been provide…
We present a novel statistical inference framework for convex empirical risk minimization, using approximate stochastic Newton steps. The proposed algorithm is based on the notion of finite differences and allows the approximation of a Hessian-vector product from first-order information. In theory, our method efficient…
We consider large scale empirical risk minimization (ERM) problems, where both the problem dimension and variable size is large. In these cases, most second order methods are infeasible due to the high cost in both computing the Hessian over all samples and computing its inverse in high dimensions. In this paper, we pr…
Correntropy is a second order statistical measure in kernel space, which has been successfully applied in robust learning and signal processing. In this paper, we define a nonsecond order statistical measure in kernel space, called the kernel mean-p power error (KMPE), including the correntropic loss (CLoss) as a speci…
Second-order economic theory considers new variables to improve price volatility predictions.
problem Current economic models focus on first-order variables, missing second-order variables that affect price volatility.
method Introduces second-order economic theory with new variables composed of sums of squares of agents' transactions.
result Second-order economic theory complements first-order variables and introduces new macroeconomic variables.
Second-order optimizers retain residual information after data deletion, affecting machine unlearning.
problem Residual information in second-order optimizers after data deletion.
method Comparison of first-order and second-order learners, eigendecomposition analysis.
result Second-order optimizers retain residual information, not detectable by first-order analysis.
Exact second-order optimization for deep learning reduces computational cost and improves performance.
problem Inadequate use of second-order optimization methods in deep learning due to high computational cost and non-convexity.
method Developed an exact stochastic second-order Newton method that addresses the non-convexity issue and provides an expression for the stochastic Hessian.
result Exact second-order Newton direction formula and its application in deep learning datasets.
SOLBP extends efficient inference to uncertain Bayesian networks.
problem Inference in uncertain Bayesian networks with second-order probabilities.
method Extends Loopy Belief Propagation to second-order Bayesian networks.
result Generates inferences consistent with sum-product networks, more efficient and scalable.
Developed a theory of local convexity for second order differential equations on Lie algebroids.
problem Analyzing convexity in differential equations on Lie algebroids.
method Theory development for local convexity of SODEs on Lie algebroids.
result Extensive discussion of homogeneous quadratic SODEs on Lie algebroids.
New statistical inference method for high-dimensional Hawkes processes.
problem Uncertainty evaluation of network estimates in high-dimensional point process data.
method Develops a new statistical inference procedure using concentration inequalities and martingale central limit theory.
result Characterizes the convergence rate of test statistics for high-dimensional Hawkes processes.
Extracting the underlying trend signal is a crucial step to facilitate time series analysis like forecasting and anomaly detection. Besides noise signal, time series can contain not only outliers but also abrupt trend changes in real-world scenarios. To deal with these challenges, we propose a robust trend filtering al…
Paper examines risk measure expansions under FGM dependence, improving accuracy at extreme levels.
problem Capturing higher-order tail behavior and dependence effects in risk measures.
method Second-order asymptotic expansions using extreme value theory and regular variation theory.
result Second-order approximations reduce approximation errors, especially at extreme confidence levels.
Negative step sizes improve second-order methods for neural networks.
problem Second-order methods discard negative curvature, limiting their effectiveness.
method Introduce negative step sizes in second-order methods combined with Wolfe line search.
result Negative step sizes lead to global convergence and improved performance.
Bringing errors into focusmath.PR
This lecture presents recent advances in the theory of errors propagation. We first explain in which cases the propagation of errors may be performed with a first order differential calculus or needs a second order differential calculus. Then we point out the link between error propagation and the concept of second ord…
Simplified argument for second order estimate in quaternionic Calabi-Yau problem.
problem Second order estimates for quaternionic Calabi-Yau problem on hyperkähler manifolds.
method Simplified argument to derive the estimate.
result Simplified derivation of second order estimate.
Paper studies second order tail probabilities in risk models.
problem Analyzing tail probabilities in risk models with constant interest force.
method Asymptotic expansion and weighted Kesten-type inequality for second order subexponential random variables.
result Second order asymptotic formulae for continuous-time renewal risk models are derived.
The geometry of systems of third order differential equations induced by second order Lagrangiansmath.DG
A dynamical system on the total space of the fibre bundle of second order accelerations, , is defined as a third order vector field on , called semispray, which is mapped by the second order tangent structure into one of the Liouville vector field. For a regular Lagrangian of second order we prove that …
Paper studies second order symmetric parallel tensors in generalized f.pk-space forms.
problem Exploring properties of second order symmetric parallel tensors in generalized f.pk-space forms.
method Analyzes the properties of second order symmetric parallel tensors and deduces the existence or non-existence of certain tensors and hypersurfaces.
result There does not exist second order skew-symmetric parallel tensor in f.pk-space form. There is no parallel hypersurface in a generalized f.pk-space form but there is semi-parallel hypersurface.
In this paper, we study the Edgeworth expansion for a pre-averaging estimator of quadratic variation in the framework of continuous diffusion models observed with noise. More specifically, we obtain a second order expansion for the joint density of the estimators of quadratic variation and its asymptotic variance. Our …
We consider estimating the parametric components of semi-parametric multiple index models in a high-dimensional and non-Gaussian setting. Such models form a rich class of non-linear models with applications to signal processing, machine learning and statistics. Our estimators leverage the score function based first and…
Paper generalizes connections between Lie groups and affine connections.
problem Exploring properties of infinitesimal groups and affine connections.
method Introducing second-order infinitesimal groups and using them to define Lie brackets and connections.
result Generalized correspondence between symmetric and non-symmetric affine connections.
RandNLA uses randomness for matrix problems in machine learning.
problem Matrix problems in machine learning.
method Randomized Numerical Linear Algebra.
result New challenges in RandNLA due to hardware trends and advances in ML.