A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Second-order economic theory considers new variables to improve price volatility predictions.
Introduces a new price measure and a second-order economic theory for volatility forecasting.
We provide an exact analytical solution of the Nash equilibrium for - price auctions. We also introduce a new type of auction and demonstrate that it has fair solutions other than the second price auctions, therefore paving the way for replacing second price auctions.
Proposes second-order Esscher transform for Lévy models in financial markets.
Risk management in financial derivative markets requires inevitably the calculation of the different price sensitivities. The literature contains an abundant amount of research works that have studied the computation of these important values. Most of these works consider the well-known Black and Scholes model where th…
Two new methods for option pricing without or with a riskless asset.
Optimizes bidding strategy for Maker Protocol auctions.
In this paper we derive a second order approximation for an infinite dimensional limit order book model, in which the dynamics of the incoming order flow is allowed to depend on the current market price as well as on a volume indicator (e.g.~the volume standing at the top of the book). We study the fluctuations of the …
We extend the classical Cox-Ross-Rubinstein binomial model in two ways. We first develop a binomial model with time-dependent parameters that equate all moments of the pricing tree increments with the corresponding moments of the increments of the limiting Itô price process. Second, we introduce a new trinomial model i…
The paper extends asset pricing theory by considering conditional markets.
Paper optimizes trading strategies by creating shadow prices for markets with transaction costs.
Study shows how macroeconomic news affects intraday price and order flow dynamics.
A new method for pricing options with stochastic volatility and jumps.
Study non-stationary online auctions with semi-bandit feedback.
Many online companies sell advertisement space in second-price auctions with reserve. In this paper, we develop a probabilistic method to learn a profitable strategy to set the reserve price. We use historical auction data with features to fit a predictor of the best reserve price. This problem is delicate - the struct…
We derive high-order compact finite difference schemes for option pricing in stochastic volatility models on non-uniform grids. The schemes are fourth-order accurate in space and second-order accurate in time for vanishing correlation. In our numerical study we obtain high-order numerical convergence also for non-zero …
Study compares two factor models for electricity spot prices across different periods.
We study revenue optimization learning algorithms for repeated second-price auctions with reserve where a seller interacts with multiple strategic bidders each of which holds a fixed private valuation for a good and seeks to maximize his expected future cumulative discounted surplus. We propose a novel algorithm that h…
We develop a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing for discrete-time markets with proportional transaction costs and model uncertainty. A robust notion of no-arbitrage of the second kind is defined and shown to be equivalent to the existence of a collection of strictly consistent price systems.
Study near-maturity convergence rates of American put prices in Lévy models.
Investigates optimal execution under time-varying liquidity, preventing price manipulation.
Recent progress in the development of efficient computational algorithms to price financial derivatives is summarized. A first algorithm is based on a path integral approach to option pricing, while a second algorithm makes use of a neural network parameterization of option prices. The accuracy of the two methods is es…
Paper introduces second-order Esscher densities for continuous-time models.
We present high-order compact schemes for a linear second-order parabolic partial differential equation (PDE) with mixed second-order derivative terms in two spatial dimensions. The schemes are applied to option pricing PDE for a family of stochastic volatility models. We use a non-uniform grid with more grid-points ar…
In two previous papers the author developed a second-order price adjustment (tâtonnement) process. This paper extends the approach to include both quantity and price adjustments. We demonstrate three results: a analogue to physical energy, called "activity" arises naturally in the model, and is not conserved in general…
The paper explores arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under specific conditions.
Efficient algorithms for second-price auctions with action-dependent censoring.
Deep network optimizes ad bidding for first-price auctions.
A new RL approach optimizes reserve prices in multi-phase auctions, reducing revenue regret.
This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically tractable and directly formulated in terms of the calendar time and price impact curve. …
This paper presents a new asymptotic expansion method for pricing continuously monitoring barrier options. In particular, we develops a semi-group expansion scheme for the Cauchy-Dirichlet problem in the second-order parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) arising in barrier option pricing. As an application, w…
PriceAggregator optimizes hotel price fetching to increase Agoda's bookings.
The notion that economies should normally be in equilibrium is by now well-established; equally well-established is that economies are almost never precisely in equilibrium. Using a very general formulation, we show that under dynamics that are second-order in time a price system can remain away from equilibrium with p…
The short-time asymptotic behavior of option prices for a variety of models with jumps has received much attention in recent years. In the present work, a novel second-order approximation for ATM option prices under the CGMY Lévy model is derived, and then extended to a model with an additional independent Brownian com…
Paper presents new expansions for option pricing with cash dividends.
In this paper we propose a closed-form approximation for the price of basket options under a multivariate Black-Scholes model, based on Taylor expansions and the calculation of mixed exponential-power moments of a Gaussian distribution. Our numerical results show that a second order expansion provides accurate prices o…
We derive a new high-order compact finite difference scheme for option pricing in stochastic volatility jump models, e.g. in Bates model. In such models the option price is determined as the solution of a partial integro-differential equation. The scheme is fourth order accurate in space and second order accurate in ti…
We present a sparse grid high-order alternating direction implicit (ADI) scheme for option pricing in stochastic volatility models. The scheme is second-order in time and fourth-order in space. Numerical experiments confirm the computational efficiency gains achieved by the sparse grid combination technique.
We provide an asymptotic expansion of the value function of a multidimensional utility maximization problem from consumption with small non-linear price impact. In our model cross-impacts between assets are allowed. In the limit for small price impact, we determine the asymptotic expansion of the value function around …
This article presents a proof of the existence of Bertrand-Nash equilibrium prices with multi-product firms and under the Logit model of demand that does not rely on restrictive assumptions on product characteristics, firm homogeneity or symmetry, product costs, or linearity of the utility function. The proof is based …
Assuming that price of the underlying stock is moving in range bound, the Black-Scholes formula for options pricing supports a separation of variables. The resulting time-independent equation is solved employing different behavior of the option price function and three significant results are deduced. The first is the …
Trading strategy advantage based on information asymmetry.
Multiscale stochastic volatility models have been developed as an efficient way to capture the principle effects on derivative pricing and portfolio optimization of randomly varying volatility. The recent book Fouque, Papanicolaou, Sircar and Sølna (2011, CUP) analyzes models in which the volatility of the underlying i…
The paper proposes a new method to forecast winning prices in real-time bidding.
The paper introduces ESG valuation in option pricing using binomial trees.
Study learns optimal bidding strategy in auctions with dynamic values and aggregated feedback.
We derive a new high-order compact finite difference scheme for option pricing in stochastic volatility models. The scheme is fourth-order accurate in space and second-order accurate in time. Under some restrictions, theoretical results like unconditional stability in the sense of von Neumann are presented. Where the a…
We investigate qualitative and quantitative behavior of a solution of the mathematical model for pricing American style of perpetual put options. We assume the option price is a solution to the stationary generalized Black-Scholes equation in which the volatility function may depend on the second derivative of the opti…