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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for score statistic

The statistical leverage scores of a complex matrix ACn×dA\in\mathbb{C}^{n\times d} record the degree of alignment between col(A)(A) and the coordinate axes in Cn\mathbb{C}^n. These score are used in random sampling algorithms for solving certain numerical linear algebra problems. In this paper we present a max-plus algebr…

2016-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently approximates statistical leverage scores for faster KRR.

problem Accurately estimating statistical leverage scores for fast KRR.
method Analytic formula for statistical leverage scores, leveraging kernel spectral density.
result Linear time approximation with theoretical guarantees, significantly faster than existing methods.

The article reviews scoring rules for estimating and evaluating forecasts.

problem Evaluating probabilistic forecasts and estimating probability distributions.
method Mathematical foundations and characterization of scoring rules.
result Important families of scoring rules and their applications in statistics and machine learning.

Score matching efficiency tied to distribution isoperimetric properties.

problem Understanding when score matching is as efficient as maximum likelihood.
method Connecting score matching efficiency to isoperimetric constants of distributions.
result Score matching is statistically efficient when the distribution has a small isoperimetric constant.

In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution. However, no finite sample statistical guarantees and no computationally efficient o…

2015-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

In many real-world machine learning applications, unlabeled data are abundant whereas class labels are expensive and scarce. An active learner aims to obtain a model of high accuracy with as few labeled instances as possible by effectively selecting useful examples for labeling. We propose a new selection criterion tha…

2018-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

DDSME outperforms SME in estimating multimodal distributions.

problem Efficiency of score matching in multimodal distributions.
method Diffusion-based denoising score matching (DDSME) compared to vanilla score matching (SME).
result DDSME avoids the error bound deterioration of SME with increasing mode separation.

Active learning aims to obtain a classifier of high accuracy by using fewer label requests in comparison to passive learning by selecting effective queries. Many active learning methods have been developed in the past two decades, which sample queries based on informativeness or representativeness of unlabeled data poi…

2015-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe algorithms for learning Bayesian networks from a combination of user knowledge and statistical data. The algorithms have two components: a scoring metric and a search procedure. The scoring metric takes a network structure, statistical data, and a user's prior knowledge, and returns a score proportional to …

2013-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Post-calibration improves the accuracy of causal effect estimation.

problem Improperly calibrated propensity scores lead to inaccurate causal effect estimation.
method Performed a simulation study to assess the impact of post-calibration on causal effect estimation.
result Post-calibration reduces the error in estimating the average treatment effect, especially for expressive uncalibrated statistical estimators.

Simple methods combine statistical tests for out-of-distribution detection.

problem Detecting data points not following the training distribution.
method Combining classical parametric tests (Rao's score test) and a typicality test.
result Combining Fisher's method of test statistics improves out-of-distribution detection accuracy.

This work extends diffusion models to handle heavy-tailed targets, improving score estimation and sampling guarantees.

problem Score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets in diffusion models.
method Kernel density estimation and minimax rates analysis for score estimation and sampling guarantees.
result Sharp minimax rates for score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets, revealing qualitative differences between exponential and polynomial tails.

Big data from phone calls improves credit scoring models and profits.

problem Improving credit scoring models to enhance financial inclusion.
method Combining call-detail records and traditional data to build scorecards using social network analytics.
result Combining call-detail records with traditional data significantly increases model performance and profit.

The paper establishes bounds for score-matching in causal discovery and generative modeling.

problem Estimating causal relationships from data.
method Training a deep neural network to estimate the score function and applying it to causal discovery.
result Bounds on the error rate of causal discovery methods using score-matching.

This work introduces a new data-driven estimator for the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound using score matching.

problem Benchmarking the performance of statistical estimators and providing a principled metric for system design and optimization.
method Score matching technique to estimate the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound from training data.
result Developed novel non-asymptotic bounds on the score matching error and the Bayesian CRB estimator.

The paper explores fairness in credit scoring using machine learning.

problem The lack of research on fair machine learning in credit scoring.
method Revisits statistical fairness criteria, catalogs algorithmic options, and empirically compares fairness processors.
result Multiple fairness criteria can be approximately satisfied at once, and fair processors deliver a good balance between profit and fairness.

The study improves the assessment of fairness in face recognition using ROC curves and statistical guarantees.

problem Improving the assessment of fairness in face recognition systems.
method Proves asymptotic guarantees for empirical ROC curves and fairness metrics, and introduces a recentering technique to avoid bootstrap pitfalls.
result Demonstrates the practical relevance of the methods for assessing fairness in face recognition systems.

The paper proves concentration inequalities for two-sample rank processes and applies them to ranking performance criteria.

problem Measuring the performance of ranking statistics between two populations.
method Proves concentration inequalities for two-sample rank processes indexed by VC classes of scoring functions.
result Generalization capacity of empirical maximizers of ranking performance criteria is investigated.

GT-Score reduces overfitting in trading strategies by integrating multiple criteria.

problem Overfitting in data-driven financial models leads to unreliable out-of-sample performance.
method Integrates performance, statistical significance, consistency, and downside risk into a composite objective function.
result Improves generalization ratio by 98% compared to baseline objective functions in walk-forward validation.

Improves reliability diagrams for probabilistic forecasts.

problem Lack of stability in reliability diagrams hampered their use.
method CORP approach using non-parametric isotonic regression and PAV algorithm.
result Improved reliability diagrams with statistical consistency and reproducibility.

New inequalities for unbounded functions improve denoising score matching.

problem Statistical error bounds for denoising score matching with unbounded objective functions.
method Derive new concentration inequalities using McDiarmid's inequality and Rademacher complexity bounds.
result Improved statistical error bounds for denoising score matching.

Paper proposes a scoring function for detecting anomalies in large datasets.

problem Detecting outliers in large, feature-rich datasets.
method Binary classification problem with a two-sample linear rank statistic.
result Empirical results show the effectiveness of the proposed scoring function.

The paper develops a method for self-normalized inference in adaptive experiments.

problem Adaptive experiments require a fixed horizon for ATE estimation, but propensities can change.
method The method uses self-normalized martingale limit theory to estimate ATE.
result The Studentized statistic is asymptotically N(0,1) at the prespecified horizon.

Leverage score sampling provides an appealing way to perform approximate computations for large matrices. Indeed, it allows to derive faithful approximations with a complexity adapted to the problem at hand. Yet, performing leverage scores sampling is a challenge in its own right requiring further approximations. In th…

2018-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes SD-KDE for density estimation using debiased kernel density with score-based adjustments.

problem Density estimation with bias in kernel density estimation.
method Adjusts data points by taking a step along the estimated score function, then applies standard KDE with modified bandwidth.
result Significantly reduces mean integrated squared error compared to standard Silverman KDE, especially with noisy score function estimates.