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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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82165247329 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for scaling rule

Study compares different scoring rules for machine-learned weather forecasts, finding scale-awareness improves forecast realism.

problem Improving the accuracy of machine-learned probabilistic weather forecasts.
method Comparison of scoring rules (CRPS, fair global energy score, graph energy score) and analysis of their impact on forecast field spectra.
result Scale-awareness improves forecast realism, particularly in the tropics.

We introduce a new weight-decay scaling rule to maintain sublayer gains across different widths in modern scale-invariant architectures.

problem In modern scale-invariant architectures, training quickly enters a steady state where normalization layers create backward scale sensitivity, degrading learning-rate transfer.
method We introduce a weight-decay scaling rule for AdamW that preserves sublayer gain across widths by equalizing the effective learning rate.
result Our empirical weight-decay scaling rule λ2dλ_2\propto \sqrt{d} approximately keeps sublayer gains width invariant, enabling zero-shot transfer of learning rate and weight decay.

Unified theory for neural scaling laws in hierarchically compositional data.

problem Understanding neural scaling laws in hierarchically compositional data.
method Probabilistic context-free grammars and power-law distributed production rules.
result Unified learning curve behavior for classification and next-token prediction tasks.

Unified quadrature framework for large-scale kernel machines.

problem Efficiently approximating kernel functions for large-scale machine learning.
method Deterministic and randomized interpolatory rules for numerical integration of kernel functions.
result The proposed method reduces the number of nodes needed for accurate kernel approximation.

This thesis examines the accuracy of scaling VaR estimates for longer holding periods.

problem The accuracy of VaR estimates for longer holding periods using the square root of time rule.
method Examined VaR scaling for longer holding periods using empirical analysis.
result Scaling can provide good estimates of VaR but may lead to significant losses over time.

This work provides a scaling rule for model EMA optimization across batch sizes.

problem Training dynamics and performance differences across batch sizes when using model EMA.
method Developed a scaling rule for model EMA optimization, demonstrating its validity across various architectures and data modalities.
result Enabled SSL methods like BYOL to train at larger batch sizes without performance degradation.

New methods prune unpromising rules from KGs, improving scalability and runtime.

problem Scalability issues in walk-based rule learning from KGs.
method Rule Hierarchy Framework (RHF) and Hierarchical Pruning (HPMs).
result Significant reductions in runtime and number of learned rules without compromising predictive performance.

New Fourier features improve high-precision approximation in large-scale problems.

problem Designing scalable, high-precision Fourier features for large-scale kernel methods.
method Introducing a new family of quadrature rules that accurately approximate the Gaussian measure in higher dimensions.
result Improved approximation bounds with new Fourier features.

Lasso is a widely used regression technique to find sparse representations. When the dimension of the feature space and the number of samples are extremely large, solving the Lasso problem remains challenging. To improve the efficiency of solving large-scale Lasso problems, El Ghaoui and his colleagues have proposed th…

2012-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New tuning rules for Metropolis algorithms derived from Bayesian large-sample asymptotics.

problem Optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms under realistic assumptions.
method Large-sample asymptotics to derive weak convergence results and tuning guidelines.
result Tuning guidelines consistent with previous ones when target density is product form, accounting for correlation structure.

Recently, to solve large-scale lasso and group lasso problems, screening rules have been developed, the goal of which is to reduce the problem size by efficiently discarding zero coefficients using simple rules independently of the others. However, screening for overlapping group lasso remains an open challenge because…

2014-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Abstraction and realization are bilateral processes that are key in deriving intelligence and creativity. In many domains, the two processes are approached through rules: high-level principles that reveal invariances within similar yet diverse examples. Under a probabilistic setting for discrete input spaces, we focus …

2017-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Model selection for time series forecasting can be biased by the distribution of scores.

problem Model selection for probabilistic forecasting on time series data.
method Using proper scoring rules to aggregate scores across multiple time series.
result The mean score is immune to the skewness of the score distribution.

Generative models learn rules at different timescales, revealing a 'innovation window'.

problem Generative models' convergence to empirical training distribution rather than population distribution.
method Rule-valid synthetic tasks, analyzing τruleτ_{\mathrm{rule}} and τmemτ_{\mathrm{mem}} across training timescales.
result The 'innovation window' widens with increasing dataset size and narrows with rule complexity.

Coordinate descent methods employ random partial updates of decision variables in order to solve huge-scale convex optimization problems. In this work, we introduce new adaptive rules for the random selection of their updates. By adaptive, we mean that our selection rules are based on the dual residual or the primal-du…

2017-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Diffusion models learn hierarchical composition rules from data.

problem How many samples do generative models need to learn hierarchical composition rules?
method Theoretical and empirical investigation of diffusion models on probabilistic context-free grammars.
result Diffusion models learn hierarchical composition rules with sample complexity scaling polynomially with context size.

ASTRA uses unlabeled data and weak rules to train deep models effectively.

problem Learning with weak supervision rules is challenging due to their heuristic and noisy nature.
method ASTRA framework that considers contextualized representations and pseudo-labels for unlabeled data, and a rule attention network to aggregate labels.
result Significant improvements over state-of-the-art baselines on text classification benchmarks.

Two local learning rules are investigated to avoid weight transport in neural networks.

problem Local learning rules that avoid weight transport are unstable and require tuning.
method Investigated two non-local learning rules and a more robust local rule.
result Non-local learning rules match state-of-the-art performance and operate effectively in noisy updates.

New decision-theoretic characterization separates belief and decision posteriors.

problem Understanding the conditions under which loss-based updating coincides with Bayesian updating.
method Decision-theoretic approach to distinguish belief and decision posteriors.
result Generalized Bayes coincides with ordinary Bayesian updating only if the loss is proportional to negative log-likelihood.

Proposes a neural network for efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting.

problem Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting in industrial energy trading systems.
method Market-rule-informed neural network framework.
result The proposed model achieves competitive forecasting performance with fewer parameters and shorter training time.

FinReflectKG builds a comprehensive financial knowledge graph from SEC filings, improving extraction quality.

problem Lack of large-scale, open-source financial knowledge graph datasets.
method Intelligent document parsing, table-aware chunking, schema-guided iterative extraction, reflection-driven feedback loop.
result Reflection-agent-based mode achieves best balance of efficiency, accuracy, and reliability.

Boosting is a learning scheme that combines weak prediction rules to produce a strong composite estimator, with the underlying intuition that one can obtain accurate prediction rules by combining "rough" ones. Although boosting is proved to be consistent and overfitting-resistant, its numerical convergence rate is rela…

2015-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Identifies learning rules from neural network observables.

problem Determine the underlying plasticity rules governing learning in biological systems.
method Simulated idealized neuroscience experiments with artificial neural networks to generate a dataset of learning trajectories. Used linear and non-linear classifiers to identify learning rules from aggregate statistics of weights, activations, and activity changes.
result Different classes of learning rules can be separated solely on the basis of aggregate statistics of the weights, activations, or instantaneous layer-wise activity changes.

Learning an efficient update rule from data that promotes rapid learning of new tasks from the same distribution remains an open problem in meta-learning. Typically, previous works have approached this issue either by attempting to train a neural network that directly produces updates or by attempting to learn better i…

2019-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies scaling laws for associative memory mechanisms.

problem Understanding and optimizing learning and memorization processes.
method High-dimensional matrices of outer products of embeddings, relating to transformer models. Derived scaling laws with sample and parameter sizes. Extensive numerical experiments.
result Precise scaling laws and statistical efficiency of estimators.

Approximate dynamic programming (ADP) has proven itself in a wide range of applications spanning large-scale transportation problems, health care, revenue management, and energy systems. The design of effective ADP algorithms has many dimensions, but one crucial factor is the stepsize rule used to update a value functi…

2014-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops deep jump learning for continuous treatment OPE.

problem Estimating mean outcomes under new treatment rules using historical data from different rules.
method Adaptive deep discretization of continuous treatment space using deep learning and multi-scale change point detection.
result Validated method through theoretical results, simulations, and real application to Warfarin Dosing.

New research shows shrinkage methods re-scale portfolio efficient frontiers under distributional misspecification.

problem Poor performance of mean-variance portfolio decisions under distributional assumptions.
method Investigation of shrinkage methods under different distributional assumptions (auto-correlation, skewness, excess kurtosis).
result Shrinkage methods re-scale the sample efficient frontier, implying standard comparison methods are flawed.

We empirically test predictability on asset price by using stock selection rules based on maximum drawdown and its consecutive recovery. In various equity markets, monthly momentum- and weekly contrarian-style portfolios constructed from these alternative selection criteria are superior not only in forecasting directio…

2014-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

With a growing interest in using non-representative samples to train prediction models for numerous outcomes it is necessary to account for the sampling design that gives rise to the data in order to assess the generalized predictive utility of a proposed prediction rule. After learning a prediction rule based on a non…

2017-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Robust support vector machine (RSVM) has been shown to perform remarkably well to improve the generalization performance of support vector machine under the noisy environment. Unfortunately, in order to handle the non-convexity induced by ramp loss in RSVM, existing RSVM solvers often adopt the DC programming framework…

2019-12-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks are shown to be minimax and admissible under certain conditions.

problem Optimality of Bayesian neural networks in deep learning models.
method Analysis of decision rules induced by BNNs in the normal location model under quadratic loss.
result A hyperprior on the effective output variance yields a minimax and admissible decision rule.

In this paper, several modifications are introduced to the functional approximation method iterLap to reduce the approximation error, including stopping rule adjustment, proposal of new residual function, starting point selection for numerical optimisation, scaling of Hessian matrix. Illustrative examples are also prov…

2015-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

What makes a task relatively more or less difficult for a machine compared to a human? Much AI/ML research has focused on expanding the range of tasks that machines can do, with a focus on whether machines can beat humans. Allowing for differences in scale, we can seek interesting (anomalous) pairs of tasks T, T'. We d…

2019-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗