arXiv research

Deep unfolding accelerates MCMC-based COP solvers.

We present an embedding of stochastic optimal control problems, of the so called path integral form, into reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Using consistent, sample based estimates of the embedding leads to a model free, non-parametric approach for calculation of an approximate solution to the control problem. This fo…

Low-rank matrix approximations are often used to help scale standard machine learning algorithms to large-scale problems. Recently, matrix coherence has been used to characterize the ability to extract global information from a subset of matrix entries in the context of these low-rank approximations and other sampling-…

Paper proposes robust methods for estimating optimal treatment rules with censored survival data.

We propose a relaxation-based approximate inference algorithm that samples near-MAP configurations of a binary pairwise Markov random field. We experiment on MAP inference tasks in several restricted Boltzmann machines. We also use our underlying sampler to estimate the log-partition function of restricted Boltzmann ma…

New method for efficient marginalization of discrete latent variables in neural networks.

This work compares and evaluates various sampling methods for neural language models.

DACE estimates covariance from compressed data, improving accuracy.

Neural solver computes Wasserstein geodesics and velocity fields efficiently.

Neural Architecture Search (NAS) has shown great potentials in finding better neural network designs. Sample-based NAS is the most reliable approach which aims at exploring the search space and evaluating the most promising architectures. However, it is computationally very costly. As a remedy, the one-shot approach ha…

Domain adaptation has become a prominent problem setting in machine learning and related fields. This review asks the question: how can a classifier learn from a source domain and generalize to a target domain? We present a categorization of approaches, divided into, what we refer to as, sample-based, feature-based and…

The study proves sampling-based GNNs can approximate training on full graphs with small subgraphs.

MIRA scores assess conditional distribution accuracy using joint samples.

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating a behaviour policy for use in Off-Policy Policy Evaluation (OPE) when the true behaviour policy is unknown. Via a series of empirical studies, we demonstrate how accurate OPE is strongly dependent on the calibration of estimated behaviour policy models: how precisely …

New method for Bayesian neural networks reduces inference difficulty.

New approaches estimate recommendation metrics using sampling.

The study examines methods to correct measurement error in nutritional epidemiology studies.

We consider a model-based approach to perform batch off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning. Our method takes a mixture-of-experts approach to combine parametric and non-parametric models of the environment such that the final value estimate has the least expected error. We do so by first estimating the local a…

New sampling methods improve classifier performance estimation.

This paper presents sampling-based speech parameter generation using moment-matching networks for Deep Neural Network (DNN)-based speech synthesis. Although people never produce exactly the same speech even if we try to express the same linguistic and para-linguistic information, typical statistical speech synthesis pr…

Posterior sampling-based EI achieves sublinear regret bounds for expensive function optimization.

OSIRIS reduces variance in off-policy evaluation by omitting irrelevant states.

Method quantifies sensitivity of reliability analysis to uncertainty sources.

The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…

Given a data matrix $X \in R^{n\times d}$ and a response vector $y \in R^{n}$, suppose $n>d$, it costs $O(n d^2)$ time and $O(n d)$ space to solve the least squares regression (LSR) problem. When $n$ and $d$ are both large, exactly solving the LSR problem is very expensive. When $n \gg d$, one feasible approach to spee…

LLMs generate answers under incomplete context, and their uncertainty should scale with missing information.

DGFS improves sampling from complex densities by optimizing partial trajectories.

SUMO provides unbiased log marginal likelihood estimation for latent variable models.

We demonstrate that a number of sociology models for social network dynamics can be viewed as continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs). A sampling-based approximate inference method for CTBNs can be used as the basis of an expectation-maximization procedure that achieves better accuracy in estimating the parameters of…

In several real-world applications involving decision making under uncertainty, the traditional expected value objective may not be suitable, as it may be necessary to control losses in the case of a rare but extreme event. Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a popular risk measure for modeling the aforementioned objec…

Improves generative models for cost-sensitive decisions.

Importance sampling is often used in machine learning when training and testing data come from different distributions. In this paper we propose a new variant of importance sampling that can reduce the variance of importance sampling-based estimates by orders of magnitude when the supports of the training and testing d…

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used extensively in various domains. We develop a new formula for the gradient of the CVaR in the form of a conditional expectation. Based on this formula, we propose a novel sampling-based estimator for the CVaR gradient, in the spirit of the l…

Estimates set overlap and similarity using random samples.

New Monte Carlo method outperforms existing strategy for estimating Sobol' indices.

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have been used to model the underlying probability distribution of sample based datasets. GANs are notoriuos for training difficulties and their dependence on arbitrary hyperparameters. One recent improvement in GAN literature is to use the Wasserstein distance as loss function le…

Quantum algorithm improves portfolio construction accuracy.

We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents how much one can trust predictions on new data. Recently promising works were pr…

Paper quantifies uncertainty in probabilistic models using Gaussian Processes.

Two formulae estimate sensitivity of random vectors to distributional parameters.

Likelihood-free inference refers to inference when a likelihood function cannot be explicitly evaluated, which is often the case for models based on simulators. Most of the literature is based on sample-based `Approximate Bayesian Computation' methods, but recent work suggests that approaches based on deep neural condi…

Modern instance-based model-agnostic explanation methods (LIME, SHAP, L2X) are of great use in data-heavy industries for model diagnostics, and for end-user explanations. These methods generally return either a weighting or subset of input features as an explanation of the classification of an instance. An alternative …

There has recently been a concerted effort to derive mechanisms in vision and machine learning systems to offer uncertainty estimates of the predictions they make. Clearly, there are enormous benefits to a system that is not only accurate but also has a sense for when it is not sure. Existing proposals center around Ba…

A scalable method for Bayesian inference in large linear models.

Neural networks simplify uncertainty quantification of locally nonlinear systems.

We study primal-dual type stochastic optimization algorithms with non-uniform sampling. Our main theoretical contribution in this paper is to present a convergence analysis of Stochastic Primal Dual Coordinate (SPDC) Method with arbitrary sampling. Based on this theoretical framework, we propose Optimality Violation-ba…

Improves generalization with few samples using a new regularization method.

The objective in statistical Optimal Transport (OT) is to consistently estimate the optimal transport plan/map solely using samples from the given source and target marginal distributions. This work takes the novel approach of posing statistical OT as that of learning the transport plan's kernel mean embedding from sam…