Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

128257385513 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for runtime prediction

Model predicts counterfactuals under domain shift and inaccessible variables.

problem Runtime domain corruption impairs counterfactual prediction.
method Subsumes counterfactual prediction under domain adaptation, uses adversarial domain adaptation to reduce distribution disparity.
result VEGAN outperforms baselines in individual-level treatment effect estimation.

Bayesian method predicts runtime metrics for fog manufacturing.

problem Accurate prediction of runtime performance metrics in fog manufacturing.
method Bayesian sparse regression for multivariate mixed responses.
result Enhanced prediction and statistical inferences of runtime metrics.

Separating the short jobs from the long is a known technique to improve scheduling performance. In this paper we describe a method we developed for accurately predicting the runtimes classes of the jobs to enable this separation. Our method uses the fact that the runtimes can be represented as a mixture of overlapping …

2016-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for valid prediction intervals in counterfactual outcomes with runtime confounding.

problem Valid prediction intervals for counterfactual outcomes under runtime confounding.
method Debiased machine learning framework grounded in semiparametric efficiency theory.
result Prediction intervals achieve desired coverage rates with faster convergence compared to standard methods.

Perhaps surprisingly, it is possible to predict how long an algorithm will take to run on a previously unseen input, using machine learning techniques to build a model of the algorithm's runtime as a function of problem-specific instance features. Such models have important applications to algorithm analysis, portfolio…

2012-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Vecchia approximations provide the best accuracy-runtime trade-off for Gaussian process approximations.

problem High computational cost of Gaussian processes for large data sets.
method Systematic comparison of different Gaussian process approximations.
result Vecchia approximations consistently provide the best accuracy-runtime trade-off.

Predicting the runtime complexity of a programming code is an arduous task. In fact, even for humans, it requires a subtle analysis and comprehensive knowledge of algorithms to predict time complexity with high fidelity, given any code. As per Turing's Halting problem proof, estimating code complexity is mathematically…

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic momentum methods trade compute efficiency for serial runtime.

problem Stochastic momentum methods trade compute efficiency for serial runtime.
method Stochastic HB and ASGD for consistent linear regression with Gaussian covariates.
result HB preserves SGD-level CE over a larger batch-size window, allowing larger batches to reduce serial runtime until HB reaches its deterministic accelerated scale.

Paper accelerates conformal prediction by using approximate leave-one-out estimators.

problem Limited computational cost for conformal prediction.
method Incorporates approximate leave-one-out estimators to accelerate conformal prediction.
result ALO-based methods achieve comparable coverage and efficiency to exact methods but with significantly reduced runtime.

Research on nearest-neighbor methods tends to focus somewhat dichotomously either on the statistical or the computational aspects -- either on, say, Bayes consistency and rates of convergence or on techniques for speeding up the proximity search. This paper aims at bridging these realms: to reap the advantages of fast …

2019-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Run2Survive uses survival analysis for algorithm selection, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Handling censored runtime data in algorithm selection.
method Decision-theoretic approach leveraging survival analysis for censored data.
result Run2Survive outperforms state-of-the-art AS approaches in experiments.

ACE models allow flexible conditioning and prediction of latent variables.

problem Lack of flexibility in conditioning and prediction of latent variables in probabilistic models.
method Introduces Amortized Conditioning Engine (ACE) that explicitly represents latent variables and allows runtime conditioning and prediction.
result ACE models outperform existing methods in diverse tasks like image completion, classification, Bayesian optimization, and simulation-based inference.

Bayesian rating system for large competitions improves prediction and efficiency.

problem Rating systems for large, competitive events like online programming contests.
method Developed a Bayesian rating system for many participants, proving robustness and runtime.
result The system outperforms existing systems in accuracy and computation speed.

Efficiently solves large portfolio optimization problems by reducing and sparsifying covariance matrices.

problem Large and dense covariance matrices limit efficient portfolio optimization.
method Dimension reduction and increased sparsity based on machine learning predictions.
result Improved portfolio performance and reduced runtime compared to full dense covariance matrices.

New algorithm scales NDPP learning and inference to large item collections.

problem Memory and runtime limitations in existing NDPP learning and inference algorithms.
method Introduced a new NDPP kernel decomposition for learning and a linear-complexity MAP inference algorithm.
result Our algorithms scale linearly in MM, matching prior work's predictive performance.

We describe the concept of logical scaffolds, which can be used to improve the quality of software that relies on AI components. We explain how some of the existing ideas on runtime monitors for perception systems can be seen as a specific instance of logical scaffolds. Furthermore, we describe how logical scaffolds ma…

2019-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop an online learning method for prediction, which is important in problems with large and/or streaming data sets. We formulate the learning approach using a covariance-fitting methodology, and show that the resulting predictor has desirable computational and distribution-free properties: It is implemented onli…

2017-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This work speeds up DFT simulations using approximate Gaussian processes.

problem Slow DFT simulations due to large data sets.
method Approximate Gaussian processes (sparse variational GP, stochastic variational GP, deep kernel learned GP) to speed up DFT model predictions.
result Calibrated DFT models can predict properties of experimentally unobserved nuclides.

Predicting human fixations from images has recently seen large improvements by leveraging deep representations which were pretrained for object recognition. However, as we show in this paper, these networks are highly overparameterized for the task of fixation prediction. We first present a simple yet principled greedy…

2018-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

FastMuyGPs speeds up GP predictions for large datasets.

problem High cost of Gaussian process predictions for large data.
method Combines cross-validation, batching, nearest neighbors sparsification, and precomputation.
result Superior accuracy and competitive runtime compared to other methods.

For well over a quarter century, detection systems have been driven by models learned from input features collected from real or simulated environments. An artifact (e.g., network event, potential malware sample, suspicious email) is deemed malicious or non-malicious based on its similarity to the learned model at runt…

2016-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

In many recent applications, data is plentiful. By now, we have a rather clear understanding of how more data can be used to improve the accuracy of learning algorithms. Recently, there has been a growing interest in understanding how more data can be leveraged to reduce the required training runtime. In this paper, we…

2011-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

GNMR controls runtime stability in low-precision language model training.

problem Efficient low-precision training faces numerical risks at specific operators.
method GNMR compares gradient norms to historical means, applying bounded recovery actions.
result GNMR preserves high-fidelity quality with sparse, budgeted recovery.

Quantum machine learning can't achieve polylogarithmic runtimes, even with quantum data access.

problem Bounding the minimum number of samples required for supervised quantum learning.
method Statistical learning theory and quantum machine learning algorithms.
result Quantum machine learning algorithms for supervised learning have at most polynomial speedups over classical algorithms.

Boosting algorithms improve delivery time prediction in postal services.

problem Challenges in long-term travel time prediction for postal services.
method Investigated linear regression models, tree-based ensembles (random forest, bagging, boosting), and compared their performance.
result Boosting algorithms, especially light gradient boosting and catboost, outperform other methods in accuracy and runtime efficiency.

A new runtime for AI agents calculates risks in real-time.

problem Managing risks and liabilities in autonomous AI actions.
method A time-consistent counterfactual actuarial layer with explicit underwriting boundaries.
result Establishes a well-defined toll and guarantees executed-action budgets.

Proposes RBGP framework for efficient block sparse neural networks.

problem Efficiently exploit structured sparsity patterns for sparse neural networks on GPU.
method Uses Ramanujan Bipartite Graph Product to generate structured multi-level block sparse neural networks.
result Achieves 5-9x and 2-5x runtime gains over unstructured and block sparsity patterns respectively, while maintaining accuracy.

MC-CP combines adaptive MC dropout with conformal prediction for robust uncertainty quantification.

problem Deploying deep learning models in safety-critical applications requires reliable confidence estimates.
method MC-CP integrates adaptive Monte Carlo dropout with conformal prediction to improve model performance.
result MC-CP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art UQ methods in both classification and regression tasks.

In cases of uncertainty, a multi-class classifier preferably returns a set of candidate classes instead of predicting a single class label with little guarantee. More precisely, the classifier should strive for an optimal balance between the correctness (the true class is among the candidates) and the precision (the ca…

2019-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We present any-precision deep neural networks (DNNs), which are trained with a new method that allows the learned DNNs to be flexible in numerical precision during inference. The same model in runtime can be flexibly and directly set to different bit-widths, by truncating the least significant bits, to support dynamic …

2019-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New method attributes feature uncertainty in ML models using cooperative game theory.

problem Lack of feature-level uncertainty attribution in explainable AI.
method Proposes a novel, model-agnostic uncertainty attribution method using cooperative game theory and conformal prediction.
result Demonstrates improved runtime efficiency and practical utility in real-world applications.

New methods prune unpromising rules from KGs, improving scalability and runtime.

problem Scalability issues in walk-based rule learning from KGs.
method Rule Hierarchy Framework (RHF) and Hierarchical Pruning (HPMs).
result Significant reductions in runtime and number of learned rules without compromising predictive performance.