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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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65131196261 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for root-n consistency

Kernel ridge regression imputation with consistent variance estimation for handling missing data.

problem Handling missing data in statistical analysis.
method Kernel ridge regression imputation combined with entropy method for variance estimation.
result Root-n consistency of the imputation estimator in a Sobolev space setting.

This paper provides estimation and inference methods for an identified set's boundary (i.e., support function) where the selection among a very large number of covariates is based on modern regularized tools. I characterize the boundary using a semiparametric moment equation. Combining Neyman-orthogonality and sample s…

2017-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops a new estimator for dynamic treatment effects in high-dimensional settings.

problem Time-varying confounding and model misspecification in estimating dynamic treatment effects.
method Sequential model doubly robust estimator with moment-targeting estimates.
result Root-N inference achieved under model misspecification, even with high-dimensional covariates.

Kernel ridge regression for causal inference with missing data.

problem Estimating treatment effects with missing data in selected samples.
method Kernel ridge regression estimators for nonparametric dose response curves and semiparametric treatment effects.
result Uniform consistency and finite sample rates for continuous treatment, root-n consistency for discrete treatment.

Parameters defined via general estimating equations (GEE) can be estimated by maximizing the empirical likelihood (EL). Newey and Smith [Econometrica 72 (2004) 219--255] have recently shown that this EL estimator exhibits desirable higher-order asymptotic properties, namely, that its O(n1)O(n^{-1}) bias is small and that …

2007-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a novel network-based neighborhood regression for biological systems.

problem Lack of comprehensive analysis on biological modules using both global and local network data.
method Develops a community-wise least square optimization approach to analyze gene modules and their regulatory strength.
result Achieves exact minimax optimality and linear consistency in identifying gene module associations.

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of parameters are precisely non-zero. This excludes models where linear formulations…

2019-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops PGMM framework for debiased inference on nonparametric IV estimators.

problem Automatic debiased inference on nonparametric IV functionals.
method Penalized GMM (PGMM) framework for functionals of IV estimators.
result PGMM-based debiased estimator performs well, achieving near-nominal coverage.

Unified framework improves option pricing accuracy and stability.

problem Combining structured knowledge with data for better financial modeling.
method Structured-Knowledge-Informed Neural Networks (SKINNs) that embed theoretical insights into neural networks.
result SKINNs improve out-of-sample valuation and hedging performance in financial applications.

The paper uses neural networks to estimate treatment effects even with many confounders.

problem Estimating treatment effects with a growing number of confounders.
method General optimization framework using neural networks to approximate nuisance functions.
result Neural networks can handle a diverging number of confounders and alleviate the curse of dimensionality.

New Riemannian radial distributions help estimate parameters on symmetric spaces.

problem Challenges in manifold data analysis due to lack of parametric distributions.
method Introduced Riemannian radial distributions on symmetric spaces, utilized symmetry, and developed M-estimators.
result MLE achieves root-n convergence rate up to logarithmic terms, demonstrating optimality.

Estimates long-term effects of new treatments using historical and short-term data.

problem Estimating long-term effects of novel treatments with limited historical data.
method Surrogate indices, dynamic treatment effect estimation, and double machine learning combined in a unified pipeline.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimates of long-term effects under Markovian assumption.

The paper develops methods to handle missing data using regularized M-estimation in reproducing kernel Hilbert space.

problem Handling missing data in statistical analysis.
method Kernel ridge regression for imputation and maximum entropy method for propensity score estimation.
result The proposed methods achieve statistical consistency and asymptotic equivalence.

Tests whether a treatment's effect is fully mediated by observed outcomes and identifies causal mechanisms.

problem Understanding how a treatment affects an outcome through intermediate variables.
method Proposes a test to evaluate full mediation and causal mechanism identification, extending to non-randomly assigned treatments.
result A conditionally random treatment is conditionally independent of the outcome given mediators and covariates if full mediation and causal mechanism identification hold.

New method calibrates asynchronous, error-prone covariates for longitudinal data.

problem Estimation biases and slow convergence in analyzing time-varying covariates with measurement error.
method Functional calibration approach based on functional principal component analysis.
result Asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimators for time-invariant coefficients; optimal convergence rate for time-varying coefficients.

New matching estimators correct bias in multivariate settings without smoothing parameters.

problem Bias in nearest-neighbor and matching estimators in multiple dimensions.
method Polynomial least squares fits on Voronoi tessellations.
result Novel estimators converge at n\sqrt{n} rate under mild smoothness assumptions.

New methods estimate causal effects using front-door criterion in presence of unmeasured confounders.

problem Estimating causal effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounders.
method Developed novel one-step and targeted minimum loss-based estimators for front-door assumptions.
result Established conditions for root-n consistency and asymptotic linearity.

Develops NPMC method for noisy labels, improving multiclass classification accuracy.

problem Asymmetric misclassification costs and label noise in multiclass classification.
method Empirical likelihood approach using exponential tilting density ratio model.
result Root n consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for clean labels and noise mechanism.

The paper develops methods to estimate treatment effects in sample selection models.

problem Evaluation of treatments when outcomes are only observed for a subpopulation due to sample selection or attrition.
method Combines selection-on-observables and instrumental variable assumptions with double machine learning for treatment evaluation.
result Proposed estimators are asymptotically normal and root-n consistent.

Develops robust and efficient SS estimators for treatment effects.

problem Estimating treatment effects in semi-supervised settings with limited labeled data.
method A family of SS estimators using labeled and unlabeled data, ensuring robustness and efficiency.
result Root-n consistency and asymptotic normality of SS estimators under correct specification of propensity score and nuisance functions.

Algorithms for bandit convex optimization and online learning often rely on constructing noisy gradient estimates, which are then used in appropriately adjusted first-order algorithms, replacing actual gradients. Depending on the properties of the function to be optimized and the nature of ``noise'' in the bandit feedb…

2016-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New estimators for causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables, addressing computational and statistical challenges.

problem Estimating causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables beyond traditional criteria.
method Introduces novel one-step corrected plug-in and targeted minimum loss-based estimators for causal effects in DAGs with hidden variables.
result Root-n consistent causal effect estimates with desirable statistical properties.

New method resolves causal heterogeneity by defining a resolution profile.

problem Causal subgroup analyses often oversimplify heterogeneity into a small number of groups.
method Introduces a resolution profile as a functional of the causal feature law, using Bayesian-bootstrap inference.
result Shows that the resolution profile is a continuous path with discontinuities at knots, providing integer-valued subgroup numbers.

Proposes debiasing strategy for ill-posed regression problems.

problem Estimating functions with conditional moment restrictions, especially when estimators are sensitive to misspecification.
method Debiased estimation using influence function of modified mean squared error.
result Demonstrates finite-sample convergence rate and robustness to misspecification.

The study assesses external validity by evaluating worst-case treatment effects across subpopulations.

problem Underrepresentation of marginalized groups and limited study populations.
method Develops a semiparametrically efficient estimator for worst-case treatment effects (WTE) and uses cross-fitting to guard against brittle findings.
result The proposed framework guards against invalid findings due to unanticipated population shifts.

Many statistical estimators for high-dimensional linear regression are M-estimators, formed through minimizing a data-dependent square loss function plus a regularizer. This work considers a new class of estimators implicitly defined through a discretized gradient dynamic system under overparameterization. We show that…

2019-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes CIV estimator for categorical instruments in small sample settings.

problem Estimation with categorical instruments in settings with few observations per category.
method CIV estimator leveraging regularization assumption for latent categorical variable.
result CIV estimator is asymptotically normal, efficient, and semiparametrically efficient under homoskedasticity.

New estimator handles covariate shift with closed-form solution and super-efficiency.

problem Handling covariate shift in missing data and causal inference problems.
method Minimum Wasserstein distance estimation framework.
result Closed-form expression and super-efficiency relative to semiparametric efficient estimator.

Improved quantile estimation using semi-supervised data.

problem Quantile estimation in high-dimensional settings with limited labeled data.
method Proposes semi-supervised estimators using a flexible imputation strategy and debiasing step.
result Improved estimation accuracy compared to supervised methods, robust to misspecification.

Foundation models improve wage gap decomposition by capturing omitted career history factors.

problem Estimating wage disparities using incomplete career history data.
method Fine-tuning foundation models to mitigate omitted variable bias and estimate wage gaps.
result Foundation models can decompose gender wage gaps more accurately than traditional econometric methods.

Quantum method speeds up risk estimation for insurance tail risks.

problem Sample-sparsity in classical Monte Carlo methods for tail risk pricing.
method Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) with Grover amplification.
result Quantum method achieves convergence approaching order reciprocal N, enabling high-resolution tail estimation within practical budgets.

Proposes a new estimator for causal mediation with continuous treatments.

problem Estimation of direct and indirect effects with continuous treatments.
method Kernel smoothing approach with cross-fitting for non-parametric estimation.
result Multiply robust and asymptotically normal estimator for continuous treatments.