Optimizes train schedules and maintenance using CP and QA.
problem Optimizing train schedules and maintenance considering constraints.
method Used Constraint Programming and Quantum Annealing to model and solve the problem.
result Both CP and QA approaches produce comparable results on real quantum computers.
New geometric approach controls motion of a spinning sphere on a plane.
problem Controlling the motion of a spinning sphere on a straight path.
method Geometric-based planning approach using Darboux frame kinematics.
result Iterative algorithm tunes inputs for desired configurations.
New kinematic model for a spin-rolling sphere using Darboux frame.
problem Control and planning of an underactuated sphere on a plane.
method Darboux frame transformation to fully-actuated model.
result Underactuated sphere model transformed into fully-actuated model.
Pairs trading strategy improved using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
problem Improving pairs trading strategy effectiveness.
method Used Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to model stock price spreads.
result OU model captures signals and trends effectively but underperforms compared to naive model.
Improved stock return prediction model handles noise and non-stationarity.
problem Predicting stock returns with robustness to noise and non-stationarity.
method Extended AROW algorithm to handle synchronous mini-batch updates and applied it to stock return prediction.
result The new model outperforms classical approaches in backtesting on S\&P500 stocks.
Paper proposes deep learning model for dynamic stock repurchase forecasting.
problem Complex temporal dependencies in corporate financial conditions.
method Hybrid Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and Attention-based LSTM.
result Model significantly outperforms static baselines in stock repurchase forecasting.
Paper forecasts stock correlations using a hybrid model combining graph neural networks and transformers.
problem Improving stock correlation forecasts for better portfolio management.
method Hybrid model combining Transformer and graph attention networks for forecasting residual deviations from historical data.
result The hybrid model reduces correlation forecasting error compared to rolling-window estimates.
Paper tests for time-varying entropy in stock prices, finding periods of inefficiency.
problem Testing for time-varying entropy in stock price dynamics.
method Unbiased approximation of Shannon entropy variance, optimal rolling window selection, hypothesis testing.
result Existence of periods of market inefficiency for meme stocks.
Study finds no evidence dual-class stocks are effective predictors.
problem Investment efficiency of dual-class stocks.
method In-depth analysis of stock price divergence, innovative LSTM model training set selection.
result No compelling evidence dual-class stocks are effective predictors.
We use principle component analysis (PCA) of cross correlations in European government bonds and European stocks to investigate the systemic risk contained in the European economy. We tackle the task to visualize the evolution of risk, introducing the conditional average rolling sum (CARS). Using this tool we see that …
A machine learning approach for dynamic stock recommendation outperforms traditional strategies.
problem Lack of time for analysts to check all S&P 500 stocks and the need for a reliable stock selection strategy.
method Selecting representative stock indicators, using five machine learning methods, and choosing the model with the lowest Mean Square Error to rank stocks.
result The proposed scheme outperforms the long-only strategy on the S&P 500 index in terms of Sharpe ratio and cumulative returns.
We generalize the classic Shiller cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio (CAPE) used for prediction of future total returns of the stock market. We treat earnings growth as exogenous. The difference between log wealth and log earnings is modeled as an autoregression of order 1 with linear trend 4.6% and Gaussian inno…
LLM trading agents show risk feedback can improve alignment without fine-tuning.
problem Aligning LLM trading agents with financial risk.
method TradeArena testbed, risk reports, execution simulation, memory replay.
result Risk feedback can improve alignment without fine-tuning, but not universally.
We study stock market instability by using cross-correlations constructed from the return time series of 366 stocks traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from January 5, 1998 to December 30, 2013. To investigate the dynamical evolution of the cross-correlations, cross-correlation matrices are calculated with a rolling win…
Improved stock volume prediction using Kalman Filters with various hidden states.
problem Improving accuracy of intraday trading volume prediction.
method Extended Kalman Filter with various hidden states for different stocks, using cross-validation to determine optimal state number.
result Demonstrated improved accuracy through comparison experiments and numerical analysis.
We report an empirical study of the Ibovespa index of the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange in which we detect the existence of long-range correlations. To analyze our data we introduce a rescaled variant of the usual Detrended Fluctuation Analysis that allows us to obtain the Hurst exponent through a one-parameter fitting. We …
This paper develops a two-step estimation methodology, which allows us to apply catastrophe theory to stock market returns with time-varying volatility and model stock market crashes. Utilizing high frequency data, we estimate the daily realized volatility from the returns in the first step and use stochastic cusp cata…
Recently, there has been a surge of interest in the use of machine learning to help aid in the accurate predictions of financial markets. Despite the exciting advances in this cross-section of finance and AI, many of the current approaches are limited to using technical analysis to capture historical trends of each sto…
Proposes balancing revenue and environmental impact in assortment planning.
problem Maximizing revenue while considering environmental impact in retail assortment planning.
method Multi-objective optimization using Higg Material Sustainability Index.
result Shows it's possible to have lower environmental impact without significant revenue loss.
The paper tackles model misspecification in reinforcement learning through a bootstrapped neural network and error correction.
problem Model misspecification in reinforcement learning environments.
method Proposes a bootstrapped multi-headed neural network to learn model distributions and a global error correction filter.
result Demonstrates increased performance and stability in model accuracy and planning algorithm use.
Study on time-varying APT validity in Japanese stock market.
problem Validity of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) in Japanese stock market over time.
method Rolling window method applied to Fama and MacBeth's two-step regression and Kamstra and Shi's generalized GRS test.
result APT validity is unstable over time in Japanese stock market, influenced by monetary policy and business cycle.
Explains rolling of symmetric spaces on flat spaces.
problem Clarifying the difference between two types of rolling.
method Detailed explanation and illustrative examples.
result Theoretical results complemented with examples.
Structuring a viable pension plan is a problem that arises in the study of financial contracts pricing and bears special importance these days. Deterministic pension models often rely on projections that are based on several assumptions concerning the "average" long-time behavior of the stock market. Our aim here is to…
Study on rolling Stiefel manifolds with specific metrics.
problem Intrinsic and extrinsic rolling of Stiefel manifolds with α-metrics. method Investigation of intrinsic rolling of normal naturally reductive homogeneous spaces, derivation of ODEs for rolling, and explicit solutions.
result Explicit solutions for intrinsic and extrinsic rolling of Stiefel manifolds.
To act and plan in complex environments, we posit that agents should have a mental simulator of the world with three characteristics: (a) it should build an abstract state representing the condition of the world; (b) it should form a belief which represents uncertainty on the world; (c) it should go beyond simple step-…
A continuous-time Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection problem is studied in a market with one stock, one bond, and proportional transaction costs. This is a singular stochastic control problem,inherently in a finite time horizon. With a series of transformations, the problem is turned into a so-called double …
IndexGAN predicts stock trends using GAN with expert knowledge and news context.
problem Inaccurate stock prediction due to market complexity and limitations of existing GANs.
method Wasserstein GAN framework for multi-step prediction, incorporating news context and market sentiment.
result Superior performance on real-world broad-based indices compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
This paper tackles belief-state selection in simulators with latent states.
problem Selecting among approximate belief-state samplers for simulators with latent variables.
method Reduces belief-state selection to conditional distribution selection, develops algorithms and analyses.
result Different formulations of belief-state selection have varying guarantees under different roll-out methods.
A new model for curves on manifolds using rolling operations.
problem Modeling curves on manifolds without explicit parametrization.
method Using rolling operations to construct Gaussian processes on manifolds.
result Conditions for the rolling of mean to equal Fréchet mean and estimators of parameters.
Study on rolling of 2D and 3D manifolds, identifying orbit dimensions.
problem Understanding rolling dynamics of 2D and 3D manifolds with constraints.
method Modeling rolling as a control affine system on a fibered space Q, analyzing reachable sets.
result Identified possible dimensions of non-open rolling orbits: 2, 5, 6, 7.
The Blaschke rolling disk theorem is extended to non-convex domains.
problem Classical inclusion principle for non-convex domains.
method Geometric conditions based on curvature, algorithm for decomposition.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for rolling disks in non-convex domains.
Novel approach to learning models based on subjective timescales for better exploration and decision-making.
problem Learning models over multi-step timescales in environments with intermediate states.
method Developed a subjective-timescale model (STM) based on episodic memories, enabling systematic variation of temporal extent of predictions.
result STM produces more informative action-conditioned roll-outs, leading to better decision-making and exploration.
Local equivalence found between maximally symmetric rolling and flat Cartan distributions.
problem Establishing local equivalence between maximally symmetric rolling and flat Cartan distributions.
method Using complex parametrisation of su(2), a change of coordinates maps the maximally symmetric rolling (2,3,5)-distribution to the flat Cartan distribution. result Local equivalence between maximally symmetric rolling and flat Cartan distributions established.
Generalized Blaschke rolling theorem for curved spaces.
problem Extending classical theorem to curved spaces.
method Generalization to Riemannian manifolds with bounded curvature.
result Sharp results in arbitrary dimensions, new even in constant curvature spaces.
This paper derives a portfolio decomposition formula when the agent maximizes utility of her wealth at some finite planning horizon. The financial market is complete and consists of multiple risky assets (stocks) plus a risk free asset. The stocks are modelled as exponential Brownian motions with drift and volatility b…
Because of the prominent position of urban rail in reducing urban transport-related problems, such as congestion and air pollution, insights into the costs of possible new urban rail projects is very relevant for those involved with cost estimations, policy makers, cost-benefit analysts, and other target groups. Knowle…
In this article, the long-term behavior of the stock market index of the New York Stock Exchange is studied, for the period 1950 to 2013. Specifically, the CRSP Value-Weighted and CRSP Equal-Weighted index are analyzed in terms of market efficiency, using the standard ratio variance test, considering over 1600 one week…
Rolling two hyperboloid surfaces is described using a Monge normal form.
problem Describing the rolling motion of hyperboloid surfaces.
method Parametrization of sl2 using unimodular fractional linear transformations. result Found a Monge normal form for the rolling of hyperboloid surfaces.
The paper analyzes Nordic stock markets' correlation structures and regime shifts.
problem Understanding and exploiting regime shifts in Nordic stock markets.
method Examined two decades of daily data for OMXS30, OMXC20, and OMXH25 universes; proposed an adaptive portfolio allocation framework.
result Documented pronounced regime dependence in rolling correlation matrices; proposed an adaptive portfolio allocation framework.
Shapes can roll downhill following any curve, but often return to initial orientation after crossing multiple copies.
problem How to design shapes that roll downhill along a given curve and its translations.
method Analyzing the geometric properties and motion of shapes on inclined planes.
result Most curves allow shapes to roll downhill following them and their translations, but some require crossing multiple copies.
In the present work we define the rolling of one pseudo-Riemannian manifold over another without slipping and twisting. We compare the definition of the rolling without slipping and twisting of two manifolds isometrically embedded into a pseudo-Euclidean space with the rolling defined only by the intrinsic data, namely…
The study uses stock market indicators to forecast COVID-19 cases.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 for resource allocation.
method Reinterpreting daily cases as candlesticks and applying stock market indicators.
result The stock market indicators show statistical significance in predicting COVID-19 cases.
Rollings of reductive homogeneous spaces are studied using intrinsic curves.
problem Investigate rollings of reductive homogeneous spaces without slip and twist.
method An intrinsic point of view, considering rollings as curves in the configuration space Q tangent to a certain distribution. result Explicit solutions for rollings of m over G/H are obtained for specific cases. New method for rolling bodies on inclined planes, with applications to rescue operations.
problem Constructing solid bodies rolling along curves on inclined planes.
method Rigorous existence theorems and connections to maritime rescue operations.
result Comprehensive existence theorems for rolling bodies on inclined planes.
In the present paper, we study the infinitesimal symmetries of the model of two Riemannian manifolds (M,g) and (M^,g^) rolling without twisting or slipping. We show that, under certain genericity hypotheses, the natural bundle projection from the state space Q of the rolling model onto M is a principal …
Quantformer uses transformer to predict stock returns, outperforming traditional strategies.
problem Predicting stock returns in a dynamic financial market.
method Transfer learning from sentiment analysis to build investment factors using a transformer-based neural network.
result Quantformer outperforms other 100-factor-based quantitative strategies in predicting stock trends.
Study reveals risk transmission channels among Chinese sectors.
problem Understanding risk transmission within Chinese economic sectors.
method Volatility spillovers analysis using VAR model and rolling window approach.
result 17 sectors are risk transmitters and 11 are risk takers.
Study rolling control of Lorentzian manifolds on flat space.
problem Complete controllability of rolling Lorentzian manifolds.
method Examining the holonomy group of the distribution encoding rolling constraints.
result Rolling problem is completely controllable if and only if the holonomy group equals SO0(n,1).