Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,738 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

316292123 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for robustly reliable learners

F-PACOH improves meta-learners' reliability in uncertain regions.

problem Overconfident uncertainty estimates in meta-learning.
method Meta-learning priors as stochastic processes in function space, directly steering predictions towards high epistemic uncertainty.
result Significantly outperforms other meta-learners in Bayesian Optimization.

Proposes a method to integrate learner models robustly against misspecifications.

problem Misspecifications in learner models and parameter sharing patterns degrade prediction accuracy.
method Sequentially incorporates additional learners based on user-specified parameter sharing patterns.
result Data-adaptively selects the most suitable way of parameter sharing to enhance predictive performance.

Computational limitations require more model parameters for robust learning.

problem Computational constraints affect the number of parameters needed for robust learning.
method Analyzes computational limitations and their impact on model size for robust learning.
result Computational bounded learners need significantly more parameters for robust learning.

Meta-learner estimates heterogeneous DiD effects robustly.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data with DiD.
method Doubly robust meta-learner for CATT, using convex risk minimization and auxiliary models.
result Superior performance over existing methods in empirical tests.

We consider the problem of learning causal relationships from relational data. Existing approaches rely on queries to a relational conditional independence (RCI) oracle to establish and orient causal relations in such a setting. In practice, queries to a RCI oracle have to be replaced by reliable tests for RCI against …

2019-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Debiased learners estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounders.
method Debiased Front-Door (FD) learners, FD-DR-Learner and FD-R-Learner, under specific assumptions.
result Debiased learners satisfy error bounds and stage-error decompositions, delivering reliable HTE estimates.

In unsupervised ensemble learning, one obtains predictions from multiple sources or classifiers, yet without knowing the reliability and expertise of each source, and with no labeled data to assess it. The task is to combine these possibly conflicting predictions into an accurate meta-learner. Most works to date assume…

2015-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a meta-learning algorithm utilizing a linear transformer that carries out null-space projection of neural network outputs. The main idea is to construct an alternative classification space such that the error signals during few-shot learning are quickly zero-forced on that space so that reliable classificati…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

SLEM uses machine learning to improve causal inference from observational data.

problem Improving causal inference from observational data using non-linear relationships.
method Super Learner Equation Modeling integrating machine learning ensembles.
result SLEM provides consistent and unbiased estimates of causal effects.

End-to-end autonomous driving models get better uncertainty estimates.

problem Uncertainty quantification for end-to-end autonomous driving models.
method Approximate inference for implicit copula neural linear model.
result Densities for steering angle are marginally calibrated.

New algorithms learn from comparisons to classify data robustly to noise.

problem Learning robust classifiers from noisy data efficiently.
method Introducing comparison queries to active learning, providing noise-tolerant classifiers.
result First time and query efficient algorithms for robust learning under bounded noise.

PowRL uses RL to manage power grids robustly, reducing overloads and maintaining power reliability.

problem Managing transient stability and preventing blackouts in power networks with uncertain generation and load demands.
method PowRL leverages a novel heuristic for overload management and RL-guided topology selection to ensure safe and reliable operation.
result PowRL outperforms other agents in L2RPN challenges, demonstrating robust performance in various scenarios.

Novel method to quantify aleatoric uncertainty of treatment effects from observational data.

problem Understanding randomness in treatment effects for medical treatments.
method Partial identification and Neyman-orthogonality to quantify aleatoric uncertainty.
result Developed a novel orthogonal learner (AU-learner) for quantifying aleatoric uncertainty.

New model predicts links in community-based networks robustly.

problem Link prediction in community-based networks with local clustering errors.
method Markov Stochastic Block Model (MSBM) with Hidden Markov Model (HMM) predictions.
result Misclassification error decays exponentially with relevant signal-to-noise ratio (SNR).

SFS-DA method statistically tests FS reliability under domain adaptation.

problem Feature selection reliability under domain adaptation with limited target data.
method Selective Inference framework to control false positive rate and enhance true positive rate.
result SFS-DA method controls FPR below a pre-specified level αα (e.g., 0.05) while maximizing true positive rate.

We study the question of learning an adversarially robust predictor. We show that any hypothesis class H\mathcal{H} with finite VC dimension is robustly PAC learnable with an improper learning rule. The requirement of being improper is necessary as we exhibit examples of hypothesis classes H\mathcal{H} with finite VC…

2019-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose and investigate new complementary methodologies for estimating predictive variance networks in regression neural networks. We derive a locally aware mini-batching scheme that result in sparse robust gradients, and show how to make unbiased weight updates to a variance network. Further, we formulate a heurist…

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently learns Single-Index Models with constant factor approximation.

problem Learning Single-Index Models under L22L_2^2 loss with unknown link functions.
method An efficient algorithm using alignment sharpness for optimization.
result Achieves constant factor approximation to optimal loss for various distributions and link functions.

FOCaL meta-learner estimates functional treatment effects robustly.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from functional outcomes.
method Doubly robust meta-learner FOCaL integrating functional regression.
result Direct and robust estimation of F-CATE.

BCCP uses bandit feedback to provide reliable predictions with limited labeled data.

problem Limited labeled data and bandit feedback challenge online set-valued classification.
method BCCP uses stochastic gradient descent to train model and make set-valued inferences with unbiased estimation of true label.
result BCCP offers coverage guarantees on a class-specific granularity.

New approach for open ad hoc teamwork using graph-based policy learning.

problem Designing autonomous agents to collaborate with changing teams without prior coordination.
method Graph-based policy learning to adapt to dynamic team compositions.
result Successfully models the effects of other agents, leading to robust adaptation and superior performance.

Algorithm estimates mixtures of arbitrary Gaussians robustly in presence of corruptions.

problem Estimating mixtures of arbitrary Gaussians in the presence of a constant fraction of arbitrary corruptions.
method Polynomial-time algorithm using partial clustering and tensor decomposition.
result Resolves the main open problem in several previous works on algorithmic robust statistics.

Nowadays model uncertainty has become one of the most important problems in both academia and industry. In this paper, we mainly consider the scenario in which we have a common model set used for model averaging instead of selecting a single final model via a model selection procedure to account for this model's uncert…

2019-12-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows resampling labels improves classifier performance in noisy data.

problem Balancing sample size vs label reliability in noisy data.
method Comparing different validation strategies and analyzing MNIST database with varying noise levels.
result Classifier performance declines with high incorrect labels, highlighting the importance of resampling.

Sum-product networks (SPNs) are flexible density estimators and have received significant attention due to their attractive inference properties. While parameter learning in SPNs is well developed, structure learning leaves something to be desired: Even though there is a plethora of SPN structure learners, most of them…

2019-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate high-dimensional prediction performance.

problem Estimating test performance in high-dimensional data settings is challenging.
method Learn2Evaluate uses learning curves to estimate test performance at the total sample size.
result Learn2Evaluate provides a lower confidence bound for performance estimation.

Statsformer validates and adapts LLM-derived semantic priors for improved supervised learning.

problem Unreliable semantic priors from LLMs can degrade supervised learning performance.
method Adapts LLM-derived feature scores into a family of learner-specific prior-injection mechanisms, calibrating their influence using out-of-fold validation.
result Improves prediction performance by adaptively downweighting unreliable LLM priors, ensuring a guardrailed statistical learning system.

We study a novel machine learning (ML) problem setting of sequentially allocating small subsets of training data amongst a large set of classifiers. The goal is to select a classifier that will give near-optimal accuracy when trained on all data, while also minimizing the cost of misallocated samples. This is motivated…

2015-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗