A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
WRAAC uses Wasserstein distance for robust reinforcement learning.
problem Lack of quantified robustness to system dynamics in existing reinforcement learning algorithms.
method Leverages Wasserstein distance to connect state disturbance to transition kernel disturbance, reducing infinite-dimensional optimization to a finite-dimensional problem.
result Designs a novel algorithm, WRAAC, that achieves robust reinforcement learning.
This paper investigates the resilience and robustness of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) policies to adversarial perturbations in the state space. We first present an approach for the disentanglement of vulnerabilities caused by representation learning of DRL agents from those that stem from the sensitivity of the DR…
In this paper we study how to learn stochastic, multimodal transition dynamics in reinforcement learning (RL) tasks. We focus on evaluating transition function estimation, while we defer planning over this model to future work. Stochasticity is a fundamental property of many task environments. However, discriminative f…
The interaction between transitivity and sparsity, two common features in empirical networks, implies that there are local regions of large sparse networks that are dense. We call this the blessing of transitivity and it has consequences for both modeling and inference. Extant research suggests that statistical inferen…
Novel framework for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with robustness against uncertainty.
problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with uncertainty in transition dynamics.
method Developed a risk-sensitive robust Markov decision process (RSRMDP), derived its Bellman equation, and proposed a Bayesian Dynamic Programming (Bayesian DP) algorithm.
result Demonstrated convergence to near-optimal policies and analyzed sample and computational complexities.
Persistent entropy detects phase transitions in complex systems.
problem Detecting phase transitions in complex systems.
method Established a general theorem for persistent entropy to reliably detect phase transitions, introduced operational framework for finite-time computations.
result Persistent entropy exhibits an asymptotically non-vanishing gap across phases, robust numerical signatures across experiments.
We present a novel kernel-based machine learning algorithm for identifying the low-dimensional geometry of the effective dynamics of high-dimensional multiscale stochastic systems. Recently, the authors developed a mathematical framework for the computation of optimal reaction coordinates of such systems that is based …
The stability of money value is an important requisite for a functioning economy, yet it critically depends on the actions of participants in the market themselves. Here we model the value of money as a dynamical variable that results from trading between agents. The basic trading scenario can be recast into an Ising t…
We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP) models. GPs are gaining increasing importance in signal processing, machine learning,…
Robust reinforcement learning aims to produce policies that have strong guarantees even in the face of environments/transition models whose parameters have strong uncertainty. Existing work uses value-based methods and the usual primitive action setting. In this paper, we propose robust methods for learning temporally …
A Robust Markov Decision Process (RMDP) is a sequential decision making model that accounts for uncertainty in the parameters of dynamic systems. This uncertainty introduces difficulties in learning an optimal policy, especially for environments with large state spaces. We propose two algorithms, RTD-DQN and Deep-RoK, …
Robust Markov Decision Processes (RMDPs) intend to ensure robustness with respect to changing or adversarial system behavior. In this framework, transitions are modeled as arbitrary elements of a known and properly structured uncertainty set and a robust optimal policy can be derived under the worst-case scenario. In t…
It is important to learn various types of classifiers given training data with noisy labels. Noisy labels, in the most popular noise model hitherto, are corrupted from ground-truth labels by an unknown noise transition matrix. Thus, by estimating this matrix, classifiers can escape from overfitting those noisy labels. …
We provide a framework for incorporating robustness -- to perturbations in the transition dynamics which we refer to as model misspecification -- into continuous control Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms. We specifically focus on incorporating robustness into a state-of-the-art continuous control RL algorithm call…
Robust MDPs (RMDPs) can be used to compute policies with provable worst-case guarantees in reinforcement learning. The quality and robustness of an RMDP solution are determined by the ambiguity set---the set of plausible transition probabilities---which is usually constructed as a multi-dimensional confidence region. E…
The paper uses machine learning and Lie groups to improve rating transitions and XVA calculations.
problem Improving rating transitions and XVA calculations using machine learning and Lie groups.
method Modeling rating transitions as SDEs on Lie groups, calibrating to historical and market data, applying Girsanov theorem, and using Deep Learning.
result Improves rating transitions and XVA calculations, making the model more robust.
A new method stabilizes deep reinforcement learning by using QGraphs to retain replay memory information.
problem Stabilizing model-free off-policy deep reinforcement learning with soft divergence.
method Representing past experiences as a QGraph, selecting a subgraph with favorable structure, and using lower bounds for temporal difference learning.
result QG-DDPG method is less prone to soft divergence and more robust to hyperparameters.