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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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181361542722 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for robust mean-variance analysis

The paper solves TIC LQ control problems using stochastic differential games.

problem Time-inconsistent linear-quadratic stochastic control problems.
method Stochastic differential games, spike variation approach.
result Achieves Nash equilibrium for TIC problems, demonstrating impact of ambiguity aversion.

Two approaches integrate qualitative views into portfolio optimization, showing aggregation methods outperform robust optimization.

problem Incorporating qualitative views into portfolio optimization models.
method Robust optimization and order aggregation methods.
result Aggregation methods outperform robust optimization in portfolio performance analysis.

Proposes a robust equilibrium strategy for mean-variance portfolio selection.

problem Time-inconsistency in mean-variance portfolio selection.
method Introduces a novel definition of robust equilibrium strategy and solves the corresponding PDE system.
result A classical solution to the PDE system implies a robust equilibrium strategy.

In this paper we study mean-variance hedging under the G-expectation framework. Our analysis is carried out by exploiting the G-martingale representation theorem and the related probabilistic tools, in a contin- uous financial market with two assets, where the discounted risky one is modeled as a symmetric G-martingale…

2016-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance sense the contingent claim in incomplete financial market with arbitrary informatio…

2008-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Regularization helps resolve ambiguity in mean-variance models, improving predictive uncertainty quantification.

problem Signal-to-noise ambiguity in overparameterized mean-variance models.
method Statistical field theory framework to explain phase transition.
result Regularization reduces variability and improves predictive uncertainty quantification.

The paper tackles mean-variance analysis in Bayesian optimization under uncertainty.

problem Optimizing decisions in uncertain environments considering trade-offs between average and variance of risk.
method Developed bounds for mean and variance risk measures in Gaussian Process models and proposed AL algorithms for multi-task, multi-objective, and constrained optimization scenarios.
result Proposed AL algorithms effectively address the mean-variance trade-off in uncertain optimization scenarios.

The paper identifies the minimum mean-variance spanning set and its importance in asset evaluation.

problem Estimating the minimum subset of assets that span the efficient frontier.
method Established identification conditions and developed a novel procedure for MSS estimation and inference.
result The MSS estimator accurately covers the true MSS and converges to it at any desired confidence level.

We use the 2014 market history of two high-returning biotechnology exchange-traded funds to illustrate how ex post mean-variance analysis should not be done. Unfortunately, the way it should not be done is the way it generally is done -- to our knowledge.

2018-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates robust multi-period portfolios using entropy.

problem Lack of general agreement on building robust multi-period portfolios.
method Detrended cluster entropy approach to estimate portfolio weights.
result Portfolio weights are estimated reliably from real-world data at varying time horizons.

Investigates portfolio optimization with and without gearing constraints.

problem Improving portfolio weights for better alignment with expected returns.
method Extends the alpha-weight angle bound to include gearing constraints and uses theoretical arguments and simulations.
result Equally weighted portfolios are not preferable to mean-variance portfolios even with poor forecast ability and a badly conditioned covariance matrix.

The paper analyzes optimal investment strategies for life insurance contracts using mean-variance optimization.

problem Optimal portfolio choice for equity holders in life insurance contracts.
method Mean-variance optimization, explicit formulas, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, numerical analysis.
result Equity holders increase investment in risky assets during economic downturns.

Bayesian investor learns unknown asset drift, trades mean-variance optimal portfolio, but policy is robust to observation model distortion.

problem Bayesian portfolio selection with observation model distortion
method Robust Bayesian portfolio selection
result Robust policy and its price are closed form, with price of robustness half the variance of the non-robust investor's loss.

New model optimizes portfolios over multiple periods using predictive control.

problem Optimizing multi-period portfolios with risk and variance objectives.
method Model Predictive Control with Mean-Variance and Risk Parity.
result 30x faster and more robust solutions compared to single period models.

This paper studies insurers' robust strategies in a stochastic game with model uncertainty and volatility risk.

problem Model uncertainty and volatility risk in insurers' surplus processes.
method Formulates robust mean-field games with insurers competing based on mean-variance criterion under worst-case scenario.
result Derives semi-closed forms of equilibrium strategies for insurers and mean-field equilibrium, ensuring existence and uniqueness.

Considering mean-variance portfolio problems with uncertain model parameters, we contrast the classical absolute robust optimization approach with the relative robust approach based on a maximum regret function. Although the latter problems are NP-hard in general, we show that tractable inner and outer approximations e…

2013-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New results on financial equilibria in markets with general semimartingales.

problem Existence and uniqueness of mean-variance equilibria in semimartingale markets.
method Analysis of dynamic mean-variance hedging and fixed-point problems.
result First results allowing for general semimartingales and both discrete and continuous time.

The study compares parametric and nonparametric models for estimating mean-variance mixtures and finds that nonparametric models perform better.

problem Estimating the distribution of a normal mean-variance mixture under uncertainty.
method Comparison of six parametric mixing laws with a grid nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator, using a paired block bootstrap for score comparison.
result Nonparametric models outperform parametric models in estimating the distribution of a normal mean-variance mixture.

Study improves portfolio optimization for Indonesian banks using robust methods.

problem Uncertainty in historical return and risk estimates leads to suboptimal portfolios.
method Robust optimization with moving-window and bootstrapping methods.
result Moving-window method with smaller risk-aversion parameter provides better risk-return trade-off.

Study finds equivalence between MMV and MV preferences with conic constraints.

problem Monotone mean-variance portfolio selection under conic constraints.
method Closed-form solutions for optimal strategies under MMV and MV preferences.
result Optimal strategies coincide with and without the conic constraint.

Risk management in dynamic decision problems is a primary concern in many fields, including financial investment, autonomous driving, and healthcare. The mean-variance function is one of the most widely used objective functions in risk management due to its simplicity and interpretability. Existing algorithms for mean-…

2018-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces dynamic strategies for multi-period investment models.

problem Optimizing investment strategies over multiple periods with risk and return considerations.
method Developed a Bellman principle for discrete time multi-period mean-variance models, leading to dynamic optimal strategies and efficient frontiers.
result Dynamic optimal strategies can achieve higher returns with lower risk compared to the 1/n strategy.

The paper proposes a new portfolio optimization model that includes VaR risk measure.

problem Computational hardness of portfolio optimization models with VaR as a risk measure.
method Formulated as a Mixed-Integer Quadratic Programming (MIQP) problem, the model minimizes variance with constraints on expected return and VaR.
result The proposed Mean-Variance-VaR portfolios outperform traditional Mean-Variance and Mean-VaR portfolios in out-of-sample performance.

This paper considers the mean variance portfolio management problem. We examine portfolios which contain both primary and derivative securities. The challenge in this context is due to portfolio's nonlinearities. The delta-gamma approximation is employed to overcome it. Thus, the optimization problem is reduced to a we…

2011-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces isotropy as a regularizer to enhance portfolio stability.

problem Model uncertainty and estimation errors in diversification strategies.
method Integrates isotropy as a geometric regularizer into mean-variance optimization.
result Isotropy constraint systematically induces negative average-signal exposure, providing a robust crash hedge.

Study reduces emissions in portfolios with error-prone emissions data.

problem Portfolio optimization with firm-level emissions intensities measured inaccurately.
method Introduced a scope-specific penalty operator to rescale asset payoffs based on revenue-normalized emissions intensity.
result Reduces average Scope~1 emissions intensity by roughly 92% while maintaining similar Sharpe ratios.

Robust optimization improves portfolio selection by accounting for deep uncertainties.

problem Managing deep uncertainties in future asset returns for successful portfolio selection.
method Robust optimization (RO) models incorporating general assumptions on uncertain risk parameters.
result RO models outperform traditional models in comprehensive empirical assessments.

Investigates portfolio selection among competitive agents with mean-variance preferences.

problem Optimizing portfolios with multi-agent competition and relative wealth comparison.
method Reformulated as a constrained, non-homogeneous stochastic linear-quadratic control problem; derived optimal feedback strategies; used decoupling techniques and fixed-point theory to solve nonlinear BSDEs.
result Characterized three scenarios based on market and competition parameters: unique Nash equilibrium, no Nash equilibrium, or infinitely many Nash equilibria.

This paper optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios by integrating sentiment analysis with technical indicators.

problem Effective portfolio management in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic portfolio strategy using technical indicators and sentiment analysis.
result The integrated approach outperforms traditional benchmarks and achieves stronger risk-adjusted returns.

This study compares three portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.

problem Comparing portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
method Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning approaches.
result Reinforcement Learning outperformed other methods in terms of Sharpe ratio.

The paper tackles risk-averse multi-armed bandit with linear payoffs.

problem Risk-averse contextual multi-armed bandit problem with linear payoffs.
method Apply Thompson Sampling algorithm for disjoint model and provide comprehensive regret analysis.
result Proved an O((1+ρ+1ρ)dlnTlnKδdKT1+2εlnKδ1ε)O((1+ρ+\frac{1}ρ) d\ln T \ln \frac{K}δ\sqrt{d K T^{1+2ε} \ln \frac{K}δ \frac{1}ε}) regret bound for mean-variance criterion.

This paper analyzes and compares different Automated Market Maker mechanisms.

problem Impermanent loss in Constant Function Market Makers.
method Mean-Variance analysis of liquidity providers' profit and loss, comparison of different mechanisms.
result Optimized oracle-based mechanisms outperform Constant Function Market Makers.

This paper analyzes a game between insurer and reinsurer under ambiguity and risk aversion, optimizing reinsurance and investment strategies.

problem Optimizing reinsurance and investment strategies in a game between insurer and reinsurer under ambiguity and risk aversion.
method Stackelberg game, α\alpha-maxmin mean-variance criterion, Heston's stochastic volatility, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, Riccati differential equations.
result Excess-of-loss reinsurance is optimal for the insurer, and the equilibrium strategies are determined by specific equations.

RL approach for continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection with empirical validation.

problem Continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection in unknown market coefficients.
method Reinforcement learning for diffusion processes, sublinear regret bound derivation.
result RL strategy consistently outperforms model-based counterparts, especially in volatile markets.

The discrete-time mean-variance portfolio selection formulation, a representative of general dynamic mean-risk portfolio selection problems, does not satisfy time consistency in efficiency (TCIE) in general, i.e., a truncated pre-committed efficient policy may become inefficient when considering the corresponding trunc…

2014-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The Mean-Variance Criterion is equivalent to Second-order Stochastic Dominance under symmetric Elliptical distributions.

problem Determining the equivalence of Mean-Variance Criterion and Stochastic Dominance Criteria.
method Analyzing under symmetric and Skew-Elliptical distributions using Monte Carlo simulations.
result The Mean-Variance Criterion does not coincide with Second-order Stochastic Dominance for some types of risk-averse investors.