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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for robust geometric inference

Geometric methods solve sampling, optimisation, inference, and adaptive decision-making.

problem Efficient solutions for sampling, optimisation, inference, and adaptive decision-making.
method Derive algorithms exploiting geometric structures of Hamiltonian systems, Hilbertian subspaces, and information geometry.
result Wide range of geometric theories emerge in these fields, enabling efficient solutions.

This paper improves causal inference using deep neural networks for low-dimensional covariates.

problem Improving causal inference with deep learning for high-dimensional covariates.
method Doubly robust off-policy learning with deep neural networks on low-dimensional manifolds.
result Nonasymptotic regret bounds for finite- and continuous-action scenarios, converging at a fast rate depending on intrinsic manifold dimension.

Bayesian models for networks are often misspecified, leading to overconfident inference.

problem Real-world networks violate assumptions of geometry and link function in latent space models.
method Proposes a generalized posterior framework for random geometric graphs, using Link-Sequential R-SafeBayes to adaptively tune posterior regularization.
result Improved calibration and better link prediction performance demonstrated on synthetic and real-world networks.

Effective and accurate model selection is an important problem in modern data analysis. One of the major challenges is the computational burden required to handle large data sets that cannot be stored or processed on one machine. Another challenge one may encounter is the presence of outliers and contaminations that da…

2016-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

NN methods perform well in anomaly detection, especially in high dimensions.

problem Improving anomaly detection methods for high-dimensional data.
method Extensive simulations and theoretical analysis of NN methods for anomaly detection.
result NN methods outperform other state-of-the-art algorithms in anomaly detection.

Estimates convex hulls of smooth function images with error bounds.

problem Estimating the convex hull of the image of a smooth boundary set.
method Using submersion properties and sampling inputs, derive bounds on Hausdorff distance.
result New tighter and more general error bounds for geometric inference.

Extends geometric approach to model non-stationary extremal dependence.

problem Capturing evolving extremal dependence in multivariate data.
method Geometric framework for non-stationary multivariate extreme value modelling.
result Framework can capture various dependence forms and is robust to different model formulations.

Paper introduces geometry-aware normalizing flows for improved causal inference.

problem Disparity between sample and population distributions in causal inference.
method Integrates continuous normalizing flows with parametric submodels, employing Wasserstein gradient flows and optimal transport.
result Significantly reduces parameter estimation bias and variance in finite-sample settings.

Paper develops robust Bayesian models for linear regression under adversarial perturbations.

problem Ensuring reliable machine learning models under data perturbations.
method Formulates adversarial Bregman divergence loss, computes adversarial perturbation, introduces adversarially robust posteriors, derives generalization certificates.
result Derives first rigorous generalization certificates for adversarially robust Bayesian linear regression.

Bayesian method improves Federated Learning robustness against corrupted updates.

problem Adversarial attacks on Federated Learning models with unknown number of compromised clients.
method Adaptive Bayesian aggregation based on likelihood of clients being honest.
result Consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance across various attack types.

Enhances robustness in experimental design through Generalised Bayesian inference.

problem Poor inference and estimates of information gain when statistical model is incorrectly specified.
method Generalised Bayesian (Gibbs) inference framework applied to experimental design.
result GBOED enhances robustness to outliers and incorrect assumptions about noise distribution.

Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference is studied, showing it can be improved.

problem Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference.
method Simulation-based estimation, regularization scheme based on Fisher information.
result Adversarial robustness can be improved with a regularization scheme.

Proposes two-stage robust and sparse distributed inference for large-scale data.

problem Statistical inference in large-scale, high-dimensional, and outlier-contaminated data.
method Two-stage approach: model selection with robust Lasso, fusion of local selections, and bootstrap methods for inference.
result Robust and computationally efficient inference procedures for variable selection, confidence intervals, and standard deviation approximations.

Hölder-Bayes robustly infers model parameters and contamination levels.

problem Robustness to data contamination in Bayesian inference.
method Introduces Hölder-Bayes framework for joint inference of model parameters and contamination proportion using Hölder divergence.
result Hölder-Bayes framework provides robust parameter inference, contamination-level recovery, and uncertainty-aware outlier detection.

Improved diffusion sampling for inverse problems with faster and more robust inference.

problem High computational cost and lack of robustness in diffusion posterior sampling.
method Amortized variational inference with explicit likelihood guidance.
result Improved trade-off between inference speed and robustness to unseen degradations.

Unified framework improves robust causal inference, overcoming Gaussian barriers and optimization issues.

problem Improving robust causal inference in non-Gaussian settings.
method Combines gamma-Divergence, GNC, and Gatekeeper mechanism.
result Enhanced robustness and global optimization in causal effect estimation.

New framework improves robust inference in HMMs under model misspecification.

problem Inference in general state-space HMMs under likelihood misspecification.
method Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI) and Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods.
result Improved performance in object tracking and Gaussian process regression.

Paper proposes a new method for selective inference in robust regression.

problem Statistical inference after removing outliers identified by robust methods.
method Conditional SI using piecewise-linear homotopy continuation.
result Proposed method is applicable to a wide class of robust regression and outlier detection methods.

Unified framework for robust causal directionality in quantum systems under MNAR observation.

problem Determining causal directionality in quantum systems under MNAR observation.
method Integrates CVAE-based latent constraints, MNAR-aware selection models, GEE-stabilized regression, penalized empirical likelihood, and Bayesian optimization.
result Achieves lower bias and variance, near-nominal coverage, and superior quantum-specific diagnostics.

Stacked Capsule Autoencoders reconstruct objects from images using part relationships.

problem Reconstructing objects from images with robustness to viewpoint changes.
method Two-stage unsupervised capsule autoencoder that predicts part templates and object capsules.
result State-of-the-art results for unsupervised classification on SVHN and MNIST.

Paper tackles SBI under model misspecification, presenting robust strategies.

problem Challenges in SBI under model misspecification.
method Three key strategies: robust summary statistics, generalised Bayesian inference, and error modelling.
result Empirical results show vulnerabilities of SBI and effectiveness of misspecification-robust alternatives.

Paper improves statistical efficiency of median-of-means estimator for Byzantine robust distributed inference.

problem Byzantine robustness in distributed learning systems.
method Variance reduced median-of-means (VRMOM) estimator for Byzantine robust distributed inference.
result Achieves a fast convergence rate with only a constant number of rounds of communications.

New method uses constrained transport metric for robust Bayesian inference.

problem Flexible Bayesian models with many uninterpretable parameters.
method Exponentially tilted empirical likelihood with a novel Wasserstein metric, combined with a prior.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art robust Bayesian inference methods.

New method improves active statistical inference by reducing noise.

problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimates in active sampling lead to noisy results.
method Robust sampling strategies that interpolate between uniform and active sampling based on uncertainty scores.
result The robust sampling ensures that the estimator is never worse than uniform sampling and usually outperforms active inference.

Geometric approach improves probabilistic robustness in neural networks.

problem Widespread lack of robustness in deep neural networks to adversarial examples.
method Geometric view on Probabilistically Robust Learning (PRL) and introduction of new perimeters.
result Existence of solutions and properties of modified PRL models.

GeoPhy uses geometric gradients to efficiently infer phylogenetic trees from molecular data.

problem Challenges in accurately inferring species relationships from molecular data due to combinatorially vast tree topologies.
method Introduces a novel, fully differentiable formulation of phylogenetic inference using geometric spaces and variational Bayesian methods.
result Significantly outperforms other approximate Bayesian methods in inferring phylogenetic trees.

FedGVI improves FL robustness to model misspecification.

problem Limited robustness in FL approaches to model misspecification.
method Probabilistic Federated Learning framework that generalizes previous methods.
result FedGVI provides robust and calibrated predictions under model misspecification.

Robust Bayesian inference improves model performance on discrete data.

problem Misspecification of discrete-valued models leads to poor inference and prediction.
method Total Variation Distance (TVD) for discrepancy, efficient estimator and inference method.
result Our approach significantly improves predictive performance on various data.

Paper develops robust methods for panel data with latent groups, improving inference under group separation violations.

problem Inference in latent group panel models under group separation violations.
method Selective conditional inference approach to derive conditional distribution of coefficients given estimated group structure.
result Valid inference under violations of group separation, superior to traditional asymptotic methods.

DM framework improves robustness and efficiency in latent-mixture models.

problem Efficient and robust inference in latent-mixture models.
method Divergence-minimization framework with monotonic convergence and robustness guarantees.
result DM yields consistent and asymptotically normal estimators under correct specification.