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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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128257385513 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for road traffic prediction

Study improves traffic prediction intervals for minor roads.

problem Uncertainty in traffic data for underrepresented minor roads.
method Quantile Random Forest with PCA for interval prediction.
result Achieved 88.22% interval coverage and Winkler Score of 7,468.47.

Develops a deep clustering framework for large-scale road traffic prediction.

problem Challenges in modeling diverse traffic patterns and handling high-dimensional time series with low latency.
method Combines deep clustering with CNNs and RNNs to predict road traffic at large-scale networks.
result The DeepCluster framework effectively clusters road segments and improves prediction performance.

3D-TGCN learns road graphs from time series similarity for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting.

problem Challenging spatio-temporal prediction in traffic networks due to dependency and dynamics.
method Proposes 3D-TGCN with novel components: spatial information-free road graph and 3D graph convolution.
result 3D-TGCN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.

Model predicts road traffic using high-dimensional time-series with L1-penalization.

problem Predicting high-dimensional road traffic data with limited observations.
method Vector autoregressive model with L1-penalization for high-dimensional regression.
result The approach identifies the most important road sections and is competitive in prediction.

Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.

problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.

Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.

problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.

Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.

problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the traffic data reconstruction problem. Suppose we have the traffic data of an entire city that are incomplete because some road data are unobserved. The problem is to reconstruct the unobserved parts of the data. In this paper, we propose a new method to reconstruct incomplete traffic data collected from …

2013-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Model traffic congestion events using multi-modal data and attention-based neural networks.

problem Capture non-homogeneous temporal and directional spatial dependencies in traffic congestion events.
method Attention-based neural networks for point processes, adapted tail-up model for spatial statistics.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real data.

IG-RL learns adaptive traffic signals for any network, outperforming existing methods.

problem Adaptive traffic signal control for large networks with combinatorial state and action spaces.
method Graph-Convolutional Networks for decentralized, flexible control.
result IG-RL generalizes to new networks and traffic conditions without additional training.

A3T-GCN improves traffic forecasting by capturing spatial and temporal dependencies.

problem Accurate real-time traffic forecasting in complex road networks.
method Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (A3T-GCN) integrating recurrent units and graph convolutional network.
result Improved prediction accuracy through attention mechanism and global temporal information.

Model predicts traffic incident duration and identifies key features.

problem Predict traffic incident duration and identify critical features.
method Multi-task learning framework with sparsity optimization and ADMM algorithm.
result Model predicts incident duration and identifies key features effectively.

Study proposes GRU-D networks for missing value handling in road surface friction prediction.

problem Missing values in road surface friction data affect prediction accuracy.
method Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) network with decay mechanism.
result GRU-D networks outperform baseline models in road surface friction prediction.

Predicts morning traffic congestion using social media data from the previous evening.

problem Challenges in predicting early morning traffic dynamics.
method Mining Twitter messages to understand evening/midnight work and rest patterns.
result People's tweeting patterns before the morning commute are associated with traffic congestion.

Deep learning predicts road GHG emissions with speed, density, and past ERs.

problem Predicting GHG emissions from road networks to mitigate environmental impact.
method Developed a deep learning framework using LSTM networks with exogenous variables.
result LSTM with speed, density, GHG ER, and in-links speed from previous minutes performs best.

Appropriate traffic regulations, e.g. planned road closure, are important in congested events. Crowd simulators have been used to find appropriate regulations by simulating multiple scenarios with different regulations. However, this approach requires multiple simulation runs, which are time-consuming. In this paper, w…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural networks improve traffic flow predictions by considering lane interactions.

problem Improving traffic flow predictions at the lane level.
method Applying neural attention to deep neural networks for modeling spatiotemporal traffic dynamics.
result Attentional neural network models can use information from nearby lanes to improve predictions.

Model predicts severity of traffic accidents using spatial and temporal features.

problem Estimating severity of traffic accidents in aggregated and disaggregated data.
method Gradient Boosting models and Gaussian Processes for inference and feature importance.
result Complexity of road networks and other situational features significantly impact accident severity.

MuJAM learns traffic signal control policies that generalize to unseen intersections and traffic conditions.

problem Lack of transferability in reinforcement learning methods for traffic signal control.
method Model-based graph reinforcement learning with explicit coordination and generalization to both cyclic and acyclic constraints.
result MuJAM outperforms existing methods in zero-shot and larger transfer settings.

Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.

problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.

MRA-BGCN improves traffic forecasting accuracy through complex graph interactions.

problem Challenging traffic forecasting due to spatial-temporal dependency and uncertainty.
method Proposes MRA-BGCN, a deep learning model that uses bicomponent graph convolution and multi-range attention.
result MRA-BGCN achieves state-of-the-art results on real-world traffic datasets.

Proposes a novel framework for citywide traffic volume inference using GPS and camera data.

problem Inaccurate traffic volume inference due to sparse GPS data and dynamic traffic conditions.
method Combines GPS and camera data, uses a simulator and reinforcement learning to recover missing data, constructs spatiotemporal graphs for inference.
result Effective citywide traffic volume inference validated by experiments.

H-STGCN predicts traffic using navigation data and improves accuracy.

problem Limited accuracy in traffic forecasting due to lack of contextual information.
method Proposes H-STGCN, a hybrid spatio-temporal graph convolutional network.
result H-STGCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, especially for non-recurring congestion.

Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.

problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.

PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.

problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.

In a given scenario, simultaneously and accurately predicting every possible interaction of traffic participants is an important capability for autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches focused on the prediction of an single entity without incorporating the environment information. Although some approache…

2018-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates traffic congestion delays using statistical causality.

problem Accurate estimation of traffic congestion delays during accidents.
method Proposes a novel time delay estimation method using lag-specific transfer entropy (TE) and Markov bootstrap techniques.
result Validated the method's efficacy using simulated and real data.

Automated road infrastructure mapping using connected vehicle data and deep learning.

problem Manual identification of intersections is laborious and time-consuming.
method Geohashing, YOLOv5 algorithm for classification of road segments and intersections.
result Overall classification accuracy of 95%, with high F1 scores for straight roads and intersections.

QCOMBO optimizes traffic signals across large networks using a combination of independent and centralized RL.

problem Optimizing global traffic conditions over large road networks using single-agent reinforcement learning is challenging.
method QCOMBO integrates independent and centralized learning to optimize traffic signals, using a consistency regularization loss to ensure scalability.
result QCOMBO outperforms state-of-the-art MARL algorithms in diverse road topologies and traffic flow conditions.

A new model predicts dynamic O-D matrices using graph neural networks and Kalman filters.

problem Predicting dynamic O-D demand matrices from traffic flow data.
method Combines graph neural networks and Kalman filters to recognize spatial and temporal patterns.
result The proposed model outperforms other methods in various prediction scenarios.

We provide a model to understand how adverse weather conditions modify traffic flow dynamic. We first prove that the microscopic Free Flow Speed of the vehicles is changed and then provide a rule to model this change. For this, we consider a thresholded linear model, corresponding to an application of a MARS model to r…

2012-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.

problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.