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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for risk screening

This paper addresses the identification of insurance models with multidimensional screening where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes a random damage and the possibility of several claims. Screening of insurees relies on their certainty equivalence. The paper then in…

2015-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Research proposes a risk-free machine learning model for COVID screening from routine blood tests.

problem Rapid antigen tests have low sensitivity and are not suitable for widespread screening.
method Stacked Ensemble Machine Learning model using routine blood tests.
result 100% accuracy, precision, recall and F1-score in identifying COVID patients.

Optimal insurance contracts are designed to screen risk preferences and risk types under asymmetric information.

problem Designing optimal insurance contracts under asymmetric information and risk types.
method Constructing a menu of contracts that maximizes mean-variance utilities, subject to truth-telling constraints.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit nonlinear pricing with decreasing risk loadings, inducing self-selection.

DRSS method identifies unnecessary samples and features in DR covariate shift.

problem Identifying unnecessary samples and features in DR covariate shift.
method Combines DR learning and safe screening techniques.
result DRSS method provides reliable identification of unnecessary samples and features under specified distribution uncertainty.

CAT framework improves AI medical screening fairness and reliability.

problem Imbalanced data, varying performance across cohorts, and patient-level inconsistencies in traditional metrics.
method CAT framework introduces patient-level assessment, entropy-based distribution weighting, and cohort-weighted sensitivity and specificity.
result Enhanced predictive reliability, fairness, and interpretability of AI-driven medical screening models.

Machine learning improves CHD screening accuracy from 70% to 87.7%.

problem Predicting coronary heart disease using echocardiography and clinical features.
method Ensemble machine learning approach with model stacking and two-step stacking.
result Improved CHD classification accuracy from 70% to 87.7%.

The study improves compound selection in in silico screening by focusing on model's ability to predict desirable outcomes.

problem Improving compound selection in in silico screening to reduce errors and enhance generalization.
method Extending learning theory, the study analyzes the impact of selection policies on generalization and proposes a method to mitigate challenges.
result Generalization can be enhanced by considering a model's ability to predict the fraction of desired outcomes in a batch.

Statistical depth metrics help identify risky power grid scenarios.

problem Identifying extreme scenarios for risk mitigation in power grid planning.
method Functional depth metrics for sub-selecting outlying scenarios.
result The proposed approach effectively identifies risky scenarios for operational risk mitigation.

Paper develops NN models for diabetes screening using NHANES data.

problem Developing accurate predictive models for diabetes in diverse populations.
method Proposes a neural network framework with survey weights, uncertainty quantification.
result Robust risk score models for diabetes in US population.

The paper examines how calibration affects the interpretability of ML models in diabetes screening.

problem Interpreting complex ML models in healthcare, especially in diabetes screening.
method Examined the impact of model calibration on interpretability using three visualization techniques.
result Calibrated models provide clearer cause-effect relationships in ML predictions.

In high dimensions we propose and analyze an aggregation estimator of the precision matrix for Gaussian graphical models. This estimator, called graphical Exponential Screening (gES), linearly combines a suitable set of individual estimators with different underlying graphs, and balances the estimation error and sparsi…

2015-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a method to predict molecule properties from diverse data sources.

problem Limited ability to accommodate scarce or fragmented training data.
method Adaptive Invariance using invariant risk minimization to generalize beyond heterogeneous data.
result Predictor outperforms state-of-the-art transfer learning methods by significant margin.

Develops a continuous compliance index for Islamic equity screening.

problem Binary rulebooks lead to inconsistent compliance assessment of firms.
method Integrates six leading financial and business activity standards into a single continuous index.
result Firms with the same pass/fail label can differ significantly in compliance strength.

We decompose the squared price-of-risk premium into three components: intervention-stable premium, confounding wedge, and information loss.

problem Decomposing the squared price-of-risk premium into its components
method Identifying an order-three obstruction to aggregation across portfolios
result The decomposition is estimable and detectable with a permutation-calibrated screen

PyDTS analyzes survival data with discrete intervals and competing risks.

problem Discrete-time survival analysis with competing risks and optional penalization.
method Regularized estimation methods, model evaluation metrics, variable screening tools, and simulation module.
result Supports research and development in discrete-time survival analysis.

PDBAL targets experiments for probabilistic models to maximize insights.

problem Designing experiments to yield valuable insights efficiently.
method Combines user-specified risk function with probabilistic model to adaptively choose designs.
result PDBAL consistently outperforms standard approaches in simulations and real-world drug screen data.

This paper treats the problem of screening for variables with high correlations in high dimensional data in which there can be many fewer samples than variables. We focus on threshold-based correlation screening methods for three related applications: screening for variables with large correlations within a single trea…

2011-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This study predicts ovarian cancer from cysts using TVUS and machine learning.

problem Early detection of ovarian cancer from cysts using TVUS screening.
method Employed Random Forest, KNN, and XGBoost machine learning techniques on PLCO dataset.
result Achieved high accuracy, recall, f1 score, and precision in predicting ovarian cancer.

New AI platform screens portfolios for desirable firms and news.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection with AI.
method Two LLM agents screen for firm fundamentals and news sentiment. Agents deliberate to generate buy/sell signals. High-dimensional estimation determines optimal weights.
result Screened portfolio's Sharpe ratio consistently estimates target, superior to baseline and conventional approaches.

A new screening method for high-dimensional data reduces computational cost.

problem Challenges in variable selection for ultrahigh-dimensional linear regression.
method Ordering absolute sample ridge partial correlations to screen variables.
result The method provides sure screening property without strong assumptions.

The paper introduces risk consistency properties for credit ratings.

problem Promoting prudent investment decisions in credit ratings.
method Introducing and studying risk consistency properties in the framework of Choquet rating criteria.
result Characterization of Choquet risk measures and rating criteria satisfying risk consistency properties.

We study safe screening for metric learning. Distance metric learning can optimize a metric over a set of triplets, each one of which is defined by a pair of same class instances and an instance in a different class. However, the number of possible triplets is quite huge even for a small dataset. Our safe triplet scree…

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we develop the notion of screen isoparametric hypersurface for null hypersurfaces of Robertson-Walker spacetimes. Using this formalism we derive Cartan identities for the screen principal curvatures of null screen hypersurfaces in Lorentzian space forms and provide a local characterization of such hypersu…

2017-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Recently, to solve large-scale lasso and group lasso problems, screening rules have been developed, the goal of which is to reduce the problem size by efficiently discarding zero coefficients using simple rules independently of the others. However, screening for overlapping group lasso remains an open challenge because…

2014-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning detects NASH patients from medical claims data.

problem Detecting undiagnosed NASH patients for screening and management.
method Gradient-boosted decision trees trained on administrative medical claims data.
result Model precision for NASH detection is significantly higher than NASH incidence.

Efficiently allocate budgets for LLM-assisted virtual screening to reduce costs.

problem Reducing the cost of evaluating alternatives in large-scale screening tasks.
method Propose a top-mm greedy evaluation mechanism and the EFG-mm algorithm for efficient budget allocation.
result Prove that EFG-mm is both sample-optimal and consistent in large-scale virtual screening.

AutoQuant addresses cryptocurrency backtesting fragility by modeling execution costs and improving strategy selection.

problem Fragile backtests of cryptocurrency perpetual futures ignoring microstructure frictions and execution costs.
method Execution-centric framework with Bayesian optimization, double screening, and strict T+1 semantics.
result Fee-only and zero-cost backtests overestimate returns, highlighting the importance of modeling execution costs.

A new method reduces feature screening cost from O(np)O(np) to O(np)O(\sqrt{n}p).

problem Eliminating non-informative features in ultrahigh-dimensional datasets.
method Adaptive subsampling method based on multi-armed bandit problem.
result The proposed method retains sure screening property and comparable performance to SIS.

To find efficient screening methods for high dimensional linear regression models, this paper studies the relationship between model fitting and screening performance. Under a sparsity assumption, we show that a subset that includes the true submodel always yields smaller residual sum of squares (i.e., has better model…

2012-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗