The paper introduces tools for designing responsible scoring mechanisms using unbiased function sampling.
problem Ensuring fairness and responsibility in scoring mechanisms used by data-driven systems.
method Unbiased function sampling and perturbation in the function space for designing responsible scoring mechanisms.
result A novel algorithm for approximating the construction of hyperplane arrangements, which is linear in the number of samples and hyperplanes.
Enhances traditional MV model for socially responsible investors.
problem Traditional MV models ignore ESG scores relevant to socially responsible investors.
method Implemented an amended MV model considering ESG scores.
result SR investors can achieve competitive SR portfolios with a trade-off between Sharpe Ratio and ESG scores.
Automated scoring engines are increasingly being used to score the free-form text responses that students give to questions. Such engines are not designed to appropriately deal with responses that a human reader would find alarming such as those that indicate an intention to self-harm or harm others, responses that all…
Training models to prefer certain responses can unintentionally shift probability to harmful ones.
problem Likelihood displacement in DPO models, leading to unintended unalignment.
method Characterized and mitigated likelihood displacement using CHES score.
result Training models to prefer certain responses can unintentionally shift probability mass to harmful responses.
Framework predicts nonlinear system responses using GFDT and generative models.
problem Predicting higher-order moments of nonlinear stochastic systems to small perturbations.
method Combining GFDT with generative modeling to estimate score function directly from data.
result Accurately captures nonlinear and non-Gaussian features of system responses.
Paper uses NLP and IRT to score ESG factors from news articles.
problem Lack of precise ESG metrics in finance.
method Combines NLP and IRT models on ESG-related news data.
result Method offers more precise ESG metrics with temporal dynamics.
Proposes mCS for multivariate selection with FDR control.
problem Selecting high-quality candidates from multivariate datasets.
method Introduces regional monotonicity and multivariate nonconformity scores.
result Significantly improves selection power with FDR control.
Most binary classifiers work by processing the input to produce a scalar response and comparing it to a threshold value. The various measures of classifier performance assume, explicitly or implicitly, probability distributions Ps and Pn of the response belonging to either class, probability distributions for the…
E-scores assess LLM outputs for correctness, addressing p-hacking issues.
problem Limited principled mechanisms to assess generative model correctness.
method Use e-values to complement LLM outputs with e-scores, providing flexibility in tolerance levels.
result Achieves guarantees of correctness assessment and upper bounds size distortion.
Proposes a new method to explain model predictions for consumer recourse.
problem Current explanation methods fail to provide meaningful recourse to decision subjects.
method Develops feature responsiveness scores to highlight actionable features.
result Standard practices can undermine decision subjects by highlighting unresponsive features.
New method decomposes local projections to reveal historical drivers of estimates.
problem Uncertainty in interpreting local projections due to black-box nature.
method Decomposes LP estimates into contributions of historical events, interpreting weights as shocks and proximity scores.
result Dominant historical events drive impulse response estimates, revealing underlying mechanisms.
Framework assesses autograders' reliability and biases.
problem Mixed reliability and biases in autograders for LLM evaluation.
method Bayesian GLMs to model evaluation outcomes.
result Explicit quantification of scoring differences and biases.
ChatGPT scores corporate investment plans, predicting future spending and returns.
problem Measuring and predicting corporate investment plans.
method Created a firm-level ChatGPT investment score based on conference calls.
result The investment score predicts future capital expenditures and returns.
Scorio.jl ranks systems from repeated tasks using various methods.
problem Evaluating and ranking systems from repeated responses to shared tasks.
method Common tensor-based interface for multiple ranking methods.
result Pilot experiments show stability and runtime scaling.
Deployment-complete benchmarking assesses if evidence leads to consistent deployment actions.
problem Lack of clear evidence leading to consistent deployment actions.
method Introduces deployment-complete benchmarking to test if benchmark evidence determines deployment actions.
result Benchmark evidence must be complete for a claim to lead to a consistent deployment action.
New approach speeds up DNA sequence alignment.
problem Efficiently estimating alignment scores for large sets of reads.
method Rank-one crowdsourcing models and multi-armed bandit algorithm.
result Adaptive algorithm identifies pairs with large alignment scores.
Faster, more accurate IRT model for large datasets.
problem Speed and accuracy challenges in fitting IRT models to large datasets.
method Variational Bayesian inference for IRT models.
result Higher log likelihoods and improved missing data imputation.
Identity-link IRT improves TVD-MI scores without curvature violations.
problem Preserving additivity in TVD-MI scores for efficient LLM evaluation.
method Derives clipped-linear model from Gini entropy maximization, using identity link.
result Identity-link yields lower curvature violations (median curl 0.080-0.150) compared to probit/logit.
New methods protect privacy while providing accurate prediction sets.
problem Privacy-preserving conformal prediction for untrusted aggregators.
method Two LDP approaches: k-ary randomized response and binary search response.
result Finite-sample coverage guarantees and robust coverage under randomization.
Paper introduces SDM for detecting LLM hallucinations, improving on entropy tests.
problem Challenges of Large Language Models (LLMs) with non-factual, nonsensical responses.
method Joint clustering on sentence embeddings to measure semantic divergence between prompts and responses.
result SDM framework detects deeper form of arbitrariness in LLM responses.
Paper discusses extending Gini score for tied rankings and case weights.
problem Extending Gini score for tied rankings and case weights.
method Discuss and adapt Gini score for ties and case weights.
result Gini score can be used for tied rankings and case weights.
Resting-state brain networks represent the intrinsic state of the brain during the majority of cognitive and sensorimotor tasks. However, no study has yet presented concise predictors of task-induced vigilance variability from spectrospatial features of the pre-task, resting-state electroencephalograms (EEG). We asked …
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
Enhanced conformal methods improve validity of LLM outputs.
problem Lack of conditional validity and high false rejection rates in LLM validity guarantees.
method Adaptive conditional conformal procedure and improved scoring function differentiation.
result Demonstrated improved validity and utility on real datasets.
The paper is aware of the importance of certain figures that are essential to an understanding of Credit Scoring models in credit acceptance process optimization, namely if the power of discrimination measured by Gini value is increased by 5% then the profit of the process can be increased monthly by about 1 500 kPLN (…
We propose a new IRT model that directly factors test items without factor analysis.
problem Existing multidimensional IRT methods require factorization, which is posthoc and linear.
method We use a sparsity-promoting horseshoe prior to factorize items directly within the IRT model.
result Our model performs factorization directly and consistently selects the correct number of factors.
Cost-effective method detects language model hallucinations.
problem Detecting unreliable outputs from LLMs.
method Pipeline including confidence score, input attributes calibration, and thresholding.
result Multi-scoring framework outperforms individual methods and reduces computational cost.
Softmax is a standard final layer used in Neural Nets (NNs) to summarize information encoded in the trained NN and return a prediction. However, Softmax leverages only a subset of the class-specific structure encoded in the trained model and ignores potentially valuable information: During training, models encode an ar…
Paper introduces OCRR Score for quantifying DeFi wallet credit risk.
problem Inability to assess credit risk in decentralized finance.
method Probabilistic measure based on historical and predictive on-chain activity.
result Dynamic adjustment of LTV and LT based on wallet risk profile.
Develops conformalized prediction intervals for bounded continuous outcomes.
problem Predicting continuous outcomes within bounded ranges, especially when models are misspecified.
method Conformal prediction intervals based on transformation regression models, accounting for heteroscedasticity and asymmetry.
result Valid finite-sample coverage confirmed in simulations and real data applications.
Null-Calibrated Conformal Selection via Target-Membership Scores
problem Identifying test candidates whose unknown responses fall in a target region while controlling the false discovery rate
method Membership-score-based conformal selection
result Finite-sample valid null p-values
Method detects errors in numerical data using regression models.
problem Noise and errors in numerical datasets.
method Introduced veracity scores and a filtering procedure for error detection.
result Method outperforms other approaches in identifying incorrect values.
The study tests and optimizes fairness in credit scoring models.
problem Discrimination in credit scoring models based on protected attributes.
method Formal testing and variable identification to optimize fairness and performance.
result Guidance on monitoring and improving algorithmic fairness in credit scoring.
Graph-based semi-supervised learning is one of the most popular methods in machine learning. Some of its theoretical properties such as bounds for the generalization error and the convergence of the graph Laplacian regularizer have been studied in computer science and statistics literatures. However, a fundamental stat…
Study presents MMC model for better fitting multiple choice data.
problem Improving accuracy of latent trait estimates in IRT models.
method Fit autoencoders to MMC model, demonstrating better fit than nominal response model.
result MMC model outperforms traditional IRT models in fit.
Trimming helps in conformal prediction when it separates anomaly scores.
problem Effectiveness of trimming in conformal prediction under contamination.
method Analyse fixed-threshold trimming as a replacement of the contaminated calibration law with a retained law.
result Trimming helps when it separates anomaly scores, reducing clean-target coverage to a one-dimensional score-CDF transfer problem.
E-valuator converts verifier scores into reliable decision rules.
problem Ensuring the correctness of agent trajectories based on heuristic scores.
method Sequential hypothesis testing framework for online monitoring of agent trajectories.
result E-valuator provides better false alarm rate control and statistical power than other strategies.
VLM judges rank well but score poorly; task difficulty and annotation quality affect interval width.
problem VLMs as judges lack reliability indicators in multimodal evaluations.
method Conformal prediction using score-token log-probabilities.
result Evaluation uncertainty is task-dependent, affecting interval width and reliability.
Non-Negative Matrix Factorization, NMF, attempts to find a number of archetypal response profiles, or parts, such that any sample profile in the dataset can be approximated by a close profile among these archetypes or a linear combination of these profiles. The non-negativity constraint is imposed while estimating arch…
New method reveals true causal functions in nonlinear time series, not just scores.
problem Causal discovery in nonlinear time series often uses scalar edge scores, which hide true function-valued causal influence.
method Formalized function-valued causal influence for additive, contribution-decomposable architectures. Introduced a practical framework based on ICE for estimating causal response functions directly from trained models.
result Edges with indistinguishable scalar scores can exhibit qualitatively different functional behaviors.
The study proposes a framework to accept OOD data based on competence scores.
problem Silent failures in Domain Generalization where models reject OOD data without proper justification.
method A learning to reject framework using proxy incompetence scores to predict trustworthiness.
result Increasing incompetence scores are predictive of reduced accuracy, but not always favorable for accuracy/rejection trade-off.
IRTCI uses IRT for categorical imputation, outperforming other methods in various datasets.
problem Missing data in datasets limits model testing and statistical inference.
method Item Response Theory for Categorical Imputation (IRTCI) based on IRT.
result IRTCI outperformed kNN, MICE, and Datawig in various datasets.
A framework monitors and diagnoses concept drift in supervised learning models.
problem Changes in predictive relationships over time render models suboptimal.
method Score vector monitoring using exponentially weighted moving average.
result Score-based approach detects concept drift more effectively than error-based methods.
Bayesian optimization for function-valued responses, addressing worst case deviations.
problem Optimizing expensive functions with functional responses, focusing on worst case performance.
method Min-Max Functional Bayesian Optimization (MM-FBO) using Gaussian process surrogates and functional principal component analysis.
result MM-FBO consistently outperforms existing methods in synthetic and real-world applications.
DistPred provides a fast, distribution-free method for regression and forecasting.
problem Deterministic point estimates in regression and prediction tasks.
method Transforming proper scoring rules into a differentiable form and using it as a loss function.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance and significantly improved computational efficiency.
Unified framework for ESG-inclusive portfolio optimization and pricing.
problem Incorporating ESG ratings into dynamic asset pricing theory.
method Introducing ESG-valued return as a linear transformation of financial and ESG scores, preserving traditional risk aversion with an ESG affinity parameter.
result Developed a more complex portfolio optimization problem in a space governed by reward, risk, and ESG score.
Framework uses diffusion models to infer material properties from noisy mechanical measurements.
problem Inference of spatially varying material properties from noisy mechanical responses.
method Conditional score-based diffusion models approximating the score function of a conditional distribution.
result Framework can efficiently solve large-scale physics-based inverse problems.
We consider estimating the parametric components of semi-parametric multiple index models in a high-dimensional and non-Gaussian setting. Such models form a rich class of non-linear models with applications to signal processing, machine learning and statistics. Our estimators leverage the score function based first and…