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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3517021,0521,403 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for response-time models

The paper enhances preference learning by incorporating response time data.

problem Lack of temporal information in user decision-making for reward model learning.
method Integrates response time alongside binary choice data using the EZ model and Neyman-orthogonal loss functions.
result Response time-augmented approach reduces error rates from exponential to polynomial scaling, improving sample efficiency.

We consider the problem of classifying business process instances based on structural features derived from event logs. The main motivation is to provide machine learning based techniques with quick response times for interactive computer assisted root cause analysis. In particular, we create structural features from p…

2017-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In both mobile and web applications, speeding up user interface response times can often lead to significant improvements in user engagement. A common technique to improve responsiveness is to precompute data ahead of time for specific activities. However, simply precomputing data for all user and activity combinations…

2019-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified analytic account of correlation emergence and Epps effect in coupled limit order books

problem Correlation emergence and Epps effect in coupled limit order books
method Discrete random-walk description of order flow with creation, cancellation, and diffusion, coupled reaction-diffusion equations with moving reaction boundary
result Realized correlations as a function of aggregation time

We propose a neural superstatistics method to estimate dynamic cognitive models from time series data.

problem Memoryless cognitive models ignore parameter fluctuations, leading to inaccurate predictions.
method Developed a simulation-based deep learning method for Bayesian inference of superstatistical models.
result Deep learning method efficiently recovers time-varying and time-invariant parameters.

Efficient index structures for fast approximate nearest neighbor queries are required in many applications such as recommendation systems. In high-dimensional spaces, many conventional methods suffer from excessive usage of memory and slow response times. We propose a method where multiple random projection trees are c…

2015-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Building a good predictive model requires an array of activities such as data imputation, feature transformations, estimator selection, hyper-parameter search and ensemble construction. Given the large, complex and heterogenous space of options, off-the-shelf optimization methods are infeasible for realistic response t…

2019-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Matrix factorization is a popular approach to solving matrix estimation problems based on partial observations. Existing matrix factorization is based on least squares and aims to yield a low-rank matrix to interpret the conditional sample means given the observations. However, in many real applications with skewed and…

2016-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Discrete Encoders (DDEs) tackle interpretable generative models for rich data with discrete latent layers.

problem Overparametrized, non-identifiable, and uninterpretable deep generative models in high-stakes applications.
method Directed graphical model with multiple binary latent layers, transparent identifiability conditions, scalable estimation pipeline.
result Transparent identifiability conditions and scalable estimation pipeline for interpretable DDEs.

e-Yantra Robotics Competition (eYRC) is a unique Robotics Competition hosted by IIT Bombay that is actually an Embedded Systems and Robotics MOOC. Registrations have been growing exponentially in each year from 4500 in 2012 to over 34000 in 2019. In this 5-month long competition students learn complex skills under seve…

2019-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Recognizing an object's material can inform a robot on the object's fragility or appropriate use. To estimate an object's material during manipulation, many prior works have explored the use of haptic sensing. In this paper, we explore a technique for robots to estimate the materials of objects using spectroscopy. We d…

2018-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A new SNN model explains decision-making with learning and spiking neurons.

problem Lack of learning mechanism in existing models for decision-making.
method Proposes a Spiking Neural Network (SNN) model that incorporates a learning mechanism and uses multivariate Hawkes processes.
result Shows a coupling between DDM and Poisson counter models and derives a DDM from a Hawkes network of spiking neurons.

CausalLongPFN predicts counterfactual outcomes from time-series data.

problem Predicting future outcomes under varying treatments in time-series data with confounding and heterogeneity.
method Prior-fitted network pretrained on synthetic episodes of temporal structural causal models.
result CausalLongPFN outperforms domain-trained models on factual and counterfactual prediction tasks.

Proposes β4β^{4}-IRT, a new IRT model with enhanced discrimination estimation.

problem Symmetry problem in β3β^3-IRT causing incorrect discrimination values.
method Gradient descent method, link functions, and new parameters for discrimination.
result Improved parameter recovery in experiments compared to β3β^3-IRT.

News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.

problem Understanding the temporal dynamics of U.S. economic news sentiment over time.
method Daily economic news sentiment index from 1980-2025, analyzed using sentiment indexes.
result News sentiment states have become more persistent, with longer residence times in optimistic or pessimistic regimes.

The step of expert taxa recognition currently slows down the response time of many bioassessments. Shifting to quicker and cheaper state-of-the-art machine learning approaches is still met with expert scepticism towards the ability and logic of machines. In our study, we investigate both the differences in accuracy and…

2017-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In urban environments, supply resources have to be constantly matched to the "right" locations (where customer demand is present) so as to improve quality of life. For instance, ambulances have to be matched to base stations regularly so as to reduce response time for emergency incidents in EMS (Emergency Management Sy…

2018-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a real-time signal plan recommendation system for traffic incidents.

problem Limited effectiveness of traffic incident management due to late response and workload.
method Decomposes recommendation task into real-time traffic prediction and plan association, learning from historical data and metric learning.
result Precision score of 96.75% and recall of 87.5% on testing plan, with 22.5 minutes lead time ahead of Waze alerts.

The kk-Nearest Neighbor Search (kk-NNS) is the backbone of several cloud-based services such as recommender systems, face recognition, and database search on text and images. In these services, the client sends the query to the cloud server and receives the response in which case the query and response are revealed t…

2019-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Society's drive toward ever faster socio-technical systems, means that there is an urgent need to understand the threat from 'black swan' extreme events that might emerge. On 6 May 2010, it took just five minutes for a spontaneous mix of human and machine interactions in the global trading cyberspace to generate an unp…

2012-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses causal estimation for text data with apparent overlap violations.

problem Estimating causal effects from text data with unknown confounders and apparent overlap.
method Uses supervised representation learning to create a representation that preserves confounding information while eliminating predictive information, satisfying overlap assumptions.
result Shows how to obtain robust causal estimation in the presence of apparent overlap violations.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

The paper uses model-based trees to create interpretable surrogate models for complex machine learning models.

problem Interpreting complex machine learning models.
method Using model-based trees to partition feature space and create interpretable models.
result Model-based trees generate optimal surrogate models that balance interpretability and performance.