The study examines how alternative resource adequacy contract designs affect market participants' risk profiles and resource mix.
problem The tension between promoting reliability and competition in liberalized electricity markets.
method Constructs a stochastic equilibrium model of a competitive market with incomplete risk trading and computes investment equilibria under different contracting regimes.
result Alternative contracting regimes can induce different risk profiles and resource mixes, affecting market outcomes.
Using computer calculations and working with representatives of pretzel tangles we established general adequacy criteria for different classes of knots and links. Based on adequate graphs obtained from all Kauffman states of an alternating link we defined a new numerical invariant: adequacy number, and computed adequac…
This paper explores Khovanov adequacy in knot theory.
problem Understanding Khovanov homology and its adequacy.
method Using independence complexes and homotopy type calculations.
result Khovanov adequacy is explored within the context of independence complexes and homotopy type of extreme spectra.
Study analyzes factors affecting capital adequacy in Bangladesh's banks.
problem Factors influencing capital adequacy in commercial banks in Bangladesh.
method Fixed Effect, Random Effect, and Pooled Ordinary Least Square (POLS) methods.
result Several independent variables significantly affect capital adequacy, with specific relationships between leverage, liquidity risk, and other factors.
Any solvency regime for financial institutions should be aligned with the fundamental objectives of regulation: protecting liability holders and securing the stability of the financial system. The first objective leads to consider surplus-invariant capital adequacy tests, i.e. tests that do not depend on the surplus of…
We consider the risk sharing problem for capital requirements induced by capital adequacy tests and security markets. The agents involved in the sharing procedure may be heterogeneous in that they apply varying capital adequacy tests and have access to different security markets. We discuss conditions under which there…
The paper explores arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under specific conditions.
problem Arbitrage opportunities in derivative markets under different conditions.
method Analyzes the relationship between pricing kernel monotonicity and stochastic arbitrage opportunities.
result Pricing kernel nonmonotonicity is equivalent to stochastic arbitrage opportunities under adequacy.
Develops a statistical framework for coherent risk estimation.
problem Constructing coherent risk estimators with sound financial and statistical properties.
method Inspired by axiomatic risk measure theory, defines coherent risk estimators through robust representations linked to L-estimators. result Demonstrates that coherence of a risk measure does not necessarily carry over to its estimators and shows alternative weight structures can lead to different outcomes.
Investigates optimal pension policies in PAYG systems with forward utility and ageing population.
problem Optimal investment and pension policies in PAYG systems with sustainability and adequacy constraints.
method Non-zero volatility forward CRRA utilities, closed-form optimal policies, detailed numerical analysis.
result Characterization of optimal policies and detailed impact analysis under various scenarios.
Study finds relevance of exchange and inflation rates to economic factors.
problem Determining the relevance of exchange and inflation rates to economic factors.
method Introduced concept of adequacy, established positive relation between exchange and inflation rates and other economic factors.
result Close positive relation found between exchange and inflation rates and other economic factors.
The theory of acceptance sets and their associated risk measures plays a key role in the design of capital adequacy tests. The objective of this paper is to investigate, in the context of bounded financial positions, the class of surplus-invariant acceptance sets. These are characterized by the fact that acceptability …
Study examines financial performance determinants of Kenyan microfinance banks.
problem Competition from commercial banks threatens microfinance banks' financial performance.
method Descriptive research design with secondary data analysis.
result Operational efficiency, capital adequacy, and firm size positively correlate with financial performance.
Within the context of capital adequacy, we study comonotonicity of risk measures in terms of the primitives of the theory: acceptance sets and eligible, or reference, assets. We show that comonotonicity cannot be characterized by the properties of the acceptance set alone and heavily depends on the choice of the eligib…
In a capital adequacy framework, risk measures are used to determine the minimal amount of capital that a financial institution has to raise and invest in a portfolio of pre-specified eligible assets in order to pass a given capital adequacy test. From a capital efficiency perspective, it is important to identify the s…
The paper models SaaS products as insurance, offering new pricing tools.
problem Modeling capped-usage SaaS products with insurance principles.
method Frequency-severity decomposition, premium calculation, Monte Carlo simulations.
result SaaS pricing can be analyzed using insurance actuarial methods.
We show that some specific market risk measures implied by current international capital regulation (the Basel Accords and the Capital Adequacy Directive of the European Union) violate the obvious requirement of convexity in some regions in the space of portfolio weights.
This study assesses risk concentration in MDB portfolios using Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Risk concentration in MDB portfolios of a few borrowers.
method Realistic MDB portfolio simulations and Monte Carlo analysis.
result Current risk adjustments may be overly conservative.
This work considers the problem of modified portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of FARIMA models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent (i.e. weak FARIMA). We first study the joint distribution of the least squares estimator and the noise empirical autocovariances. …
Despite the wide use of machine learning in adversarial settings including computer security, recent studies have demonstrated vulnerabilities to evasion attacks---carefully crafted adversarial samples that closely resemble legitimate instances, but cause misclassification. In this paper, we examine the adequacy of the…
Any discrete differential manifold M (finite set endowed with an algebraic differential calculus) can be represented by appropriate polyhedron P(M). This representation demonstrates the adequacy of the calculus of discrete differential manifolds and links this approach with that based on finitary substitutes…
The increasing use of machine-learning (ML) enabled systems in critical tasks fuels the quest for novel verification and validation techniques yet grounded in accepted system assurance principles. In traditional system development, model-based techniques have been widely adopted, where the central premise is that abstr…
Unified comparison of gradient boosting algorithms for insurance claims.
problem Improving predictive accuracy and computational efficiency in insurance claim prediction.
method Unified notation and comprehensive numerical study comparing 12 gradient boosting algorithms on 5 datasets.
result No trade-off between model adequacy and predictive accuracy.
Proposes FARM model combining latent factor and sparse regression.
problem Testing adequacy of latent factor and sparse regression models.
method Factor Augmented sparse linear Regression Model (FARM) with FabTest and ANOVA type tests.
result Model robustness and effectiveness validated through experiments.
Testing Deep Neural Network (DNN) models has become more important than ever with the increasing usage of DNN models in safety-critical domains such as autonomous cars. The traditional approach of testing DNNs is to create a test set, which is a random subset of the dataset about the problem of interest. This kind of a…
Deep learning (DL) defines a new data-driven programming paradigm that constructs the internal system logic of a crafted neuron network through a set of training data. We have seen wide adoption of DL in many safety-critical scenarios. However, a plethora of studies have shown that the state-of-the-art DL systems suffe…
The paper develops a theory of skein adequate links in thickened surfaces and proves Tait conjectures.
problem Establishing Tait conjectures for adequate links in thickened surfaces.
method Applying Kauffman bracket skein algebras to develop a theory of skein adequate links and proving Tait conjectures.
result The crossing number is additive under connected sum for adequate links in thickened surfaces.
This monograph derives direct and concrete relations between colored Jones polynomials and the topology of incompressible spanning surfaces in knot and link complements. Under mild diagrammatic hypotheses that arise naturally in the study of knot polynomial invariants (A- or B-adequacy), we prove that the growth of the…
A Deep Zero-Inflated Model for Detecting North Atlantic Right Whale Presence
problem Balancing marine conservation and blue economy management
method Deep Zero-Inflated Bernoulli model
result Improved model adequacy and predictive performance
In this work we establish the tightest lower bound up-to-date for the minimal crossing number of a satellite knot based on the minimal crossing number of the companion used to build the satellite. If M is the wrapping number of the pattern knot, we essentially show that c(Sat(P,C))>2M2c(C). The existence …
The study compares VaR and ES models for tail risk of electricity futures, finding AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) with Student-t distribution best.
problem Modeling tail risk of electricity futures contracts in various markets.
method Comparison of VaR and ES models using AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) with Student-t distribution, historical simulation, and quantile regression.
result AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) with Student-t distribution is the best-performing model for tail risk estimation.
We quantify the benefit of collectivised investment funds, in which the assets of members who die are shared among the survivors. For our model, with realistic parameter choices, an annuity or individual fund requires approximately 20\% more initial capital to provide as good an outcome as a collectivised investment fu…
It is now widely accepted that, to model the dynamics of daily financial returns, volatility models have to incorporate the so-called leverage effect. We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the squared residuals autocovariances for the class of asymmetric power GARCH model when the power is unknown and is jointly estima…
This paper aims to review the methodology behind the generalized linear models which are used in analyzing the actuarial situations instead of the ordinary multiple linear regression. We introduce how to assess the adequacy of the model which includes comparing nested models using the deviance and the scaled deviance. …
This paper extends the work in [Suzuki, 1996] and presents an efficient depth-first branch-and-bound algorithm for learning Bayesian network structures, based on the minimum description length (MDL) principle, for a given (consistent) variable ordering. The algorithm exhaustively searches through all network structures…
Paper proposes a new GPR-HS framework for accurate VCV estimation in global equity indices.
problem Accurate forecasting of Volatility-Covariance Matrix (VCV) for regulatory processes.
method Hybrid Gaussian Process Regression-Historical Simulation (GPR-HS) framework.
result GPR-HS framework achieves regulatory compliance and outperforms static VaR benchmarks.
In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the standard independence assumption on the error term in order to extend the range …
This paper proposes a decentralized reinforcement learning method for multi-agent resource allocation.
problem Allocating heterogeneous resources among multiple agents in a decentralized manner.
method Liquid-Graph-Time Clustering-IPPO, integrating dynamic cluster consensus.
result LGTC-IPPO achieves more stable rewards, better coordination, and robust performance.
Unified score and distance-based GoF tests for model adequacy.
problem Difficulty in extending score-based GoF tests to nonparametric alternatives.
method Introducing semiparametric kernelized Stein discrepancy (SKSD) test.
result SKSD test is computationally efficient and universally consistent.
New models improve morpheme segmentation in low-resource languages.
problem Improving morpheme segmentation in low-resource languages.
method Two new models: LSTM pointer-generator and sequence-to-sequence with hard monotonic attention.
result Novel models outperform existing ones by up to 11.4% accuracy in low-resource settings.
A new algorithm for resource-aware multi-armed bandits minimizes regret.
problem Optimizing resource usage in a multi-armed bandit problem with censored observations.
method UCB-inspired online learning algorithm with theoretical regret analysis.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms standard multi-armed bandit algorithms in simulations.
Optimal resource allocation in censored semi-bandits with unknown thresholds.
problem Sequential resource allocation with unknown thresholds and hidden parameters.
method Established equivalence to MP-MAB and Combinatorial Semi-Bandits, derived optimal algorithms.
result Validated performance of proposed algorithms on synthetic data.
PePR scores assess DL model performance per resource unit, promoting smaller, more efficient models.
problem Limited access to large-scale resources hinders medical image analysis research.
method Introduced PePR score to measure DL model performance per resource unit.
result Small-scale, specialized models outperform large-scale models in resource-constrained settings.
Method learns software resource usage from snapshots.
problem Challenges in learning time-varying, correlated resource usage.
method Graph structured Schrödinger bridge problem for nonparametric learning.
result Predicts most-likely resource distributions.
Proposes a new framework for resource-limited recommendation.
problem Resource constraints affect user choices in recommendation tasks.
method Interest-behavior multiplicative network with MRRNNs and resource-limited branch.
result Framework effectively predicts user interactions considering resource limitations.
We propose and investigate two model classes for forward power price dynamics, based on continuous branching processes with immigration, and on Hawkes processes with exponential kernel, respectively. The models proposed exhibit jumps clustering features. Models of this kind have been already proposed for the spot price…
Paper tackles pandemic resource allocation challenges.
problem Shortages of medical resources during pandemics.
method Risk management approach, focusing on spatio-temporal competitions.
result New strategies for optimal stockpiling and allocation balancing resource competition.
A density ratio is defined by the ratio of two probability densities. We study the inference problem of density ratios and apply a semi-parametric density-ratio estimator to the two-sample homogeneity test. In the proposed test procedure, the f-divergence between two probability densities is estimated using a density-r…
PASHA optimizes model tuning for large datasets with limited resources.
problem Expensive HPO and NAS for large datasets.
method Dynamic resource allocation approach.
result Significantly reduces computational resources while maintaining performance.