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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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69137206274 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for resilience rate

Measures financial resilience using BSDEs and their properties.

problem Measuring financial resilience in dynamic risk environments.
method Developed stochastic calculus for BSDEs with jumps, revealing resilience rate as expectation of generator.
result Resilience rate can be represented as expectation of BSDE generator, revealing properties of dynamic risk measures.

Paper introduces a new index to measure financial and workplace resilience of firms.

problem Corporate resilience and its types in turbulent markets.
method Quantitative analysis of earnings expectations and implied discount rates.
result Evidence of workplace resilience amplification by financial status in the COVID-19 era.

Enhances resilience evaluation by using dynamic convex risk measures.

problem Capturing the full risk profile of financial positions under adverse conditions.
method Introduces a new resilience evaluation method using dynamic convex risk measures.
result Shows that the resilience evaluation can distinguish between positions with the same expected recovery but different conditional risk profiles.

There has been a surge of interest in using machine learning (ML) to automatically detect malware through their dynamic behaviors. These approaches have achieved significant improvement in detection rates and lower false positive rates at large scale compared with traditional malware analysis methods. ML in threat dete…

2018-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

COMRADE is a communication-efficient, Byzantine-resilient second-order optimization algorithm.

problem Byzantine failures in distributed optimization.
method COMRADE is a communication-efficient, second-order optimization algorithm that uses a simple norm-based thresholding rule to filter out Byzantine workers.
result COMRADE achieves linear-quadratic convergence and is robust against Byzantine workers.

Modeling house prices in Australia reveals supply limitations as the primary driver of extreme trends.

problem Understanding the resilience of Australia's housing prices despite changes in mortgage rates.
method Developed a differential equation model and used modern extreme value techniques on real-world data.
result Without supply increases, a 11% mortgage rate hike is needed to moderate extreme housing costs.

Two algorithms improve federated learning efficiency and resilience.

problem Scalability issues in federated learning due to communication, privacy, and Byzantine attacks.
method Proposes two algorithms, Ada-StoSign and ββ-StoSign, that compress gradients into bit vectors to reduce communication.
result Ada-StoSign converges with a rate of O(logT/T+1/M)O(\log T/\sqrt{T} + 1/\sqrt{M}) and outperforms existing methods.

Robust statistics traditionally focuses on outliers, or perturbations in total variation distance. However, a dataset could be corrupted in many other ways, such as systematic measurement errors and missing covariates. We generalize the robust statistics approach to consider perturbations under any Wasserstein distance…

2019-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The study shows that limited liability can make banks more stable by choosing less risky assets.

problem How limited liability affects bank stability and risk management.
method Dynamic portfolio approach with continuous time models, including and excluding limited liability, and using the KMV model to measure resiliency.
result Inclusion of limited liability leads to a bank choosing less risky assets, increasing its resilience.

This paper measures financial market resilience in China and identifies key uncertainties.

problem Measuring financial market resilience in China.
method Quantitative analysis of total financial market and sub-markets, Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness approach.
result Financial market resilience in China is event-driven and influenced by geopolitical risks, economic and trade policy uncertainty, and U.S.-China tensions.

The resilience of low-degree Rademacher chaos is studied, providing probabilistic lower bounds.

problem Understanding how much a Rademacher chaos can withstand adversarial sign-flips without significant probability changes.
method Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree.
result Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree, especially meaningful for constant degree.

This study shows ESG ratings reduce equity crash risk during market downturns.

problem Decoupling of alpha from tail risk resilience in traditional models.
method Double Machine Learning for structural deconfounding, state-dependent analysis.
result High ESG ratings reduce crash incidence during systemic drawdowns.

Proposes resilience metrics for large blackout costs with logarithmic resilience.

problem Large variations in blackout costs make estimating risk impractical.
method Uses mean of log of large blackout costs, tail slope index, and frequency.
result Solves problems of heavy tail and large variations in blackout costs.

Stocks of more resilient firms outperformed during the pandemic, reflecting disaster risk.

problem The impact of social distancing on firms' operations and stock performance.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firms' resilience and stock performance, controlling for risk factors.
result Stocks of more resilient firms are expected to yield significantly lower returns than less resilient ones, reflecting disaster risk.

We trained three Binarized Convolutional Neural Network architectures (LeNet-4, Network-In-Network, AlexNet) on a variety of datasets (MNIST, CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, extended SVHN, ImageNet) using error-prone activations and tested them without errors to study the resilience of the training process. With the exception of …

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Asynchronous distributed machine learning solutions have proven very effective so far, but always assuming perfectly functioning workers. In practice, some of the workers can however exhibit Byzantine behavior, caused by hardware failures, software bugs, corrupt data, or even malicious attacks. We introduce \emph{Karda…

2018-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method quantifies resilience of electric distribution systems from historical data.

problem Large blackouts caused by extreme winds have significant costs and impacts.
method Formulate large event risk from utility outage data, quantify resilience improvements through investments.
result Investments in wind hardening and faster restoration can reduce the probability of large cost events.

New framework for resilient bi-criteria optimization under noisy feedback.

problem Bi-criteria combinatorial optimization with noisy function evaluations.
method Introducing (α,β,δ,extttN)(α,β,δ, exttt{N})-resilience and developing a black-box framework.
result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation for bi-criteria bandit problems.

Graph neural networks optimize radio resource management policies for wireless networks.

problem Optimizing user selection and power control in wireless networks with fairness constraints.
method Formulated as a Lagrangian dual problem, RRM policies are parameterized by a GNN architecture trained on channel conditions.
result The method achieves superior tradeoff between average and 5th percentile rates, demonstrating fairness.

This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.

problem Supply chain resilience analysis of multi-modal logistics networks.
method Robust optimization with budget-of-uncertainty.
result Interactive effects of network size, disruption scale, and degree on resilience.

Paper builds ML classifier to detect crypto-ransomware.

problem Detecting crypto-ransomware with high accuracy and low false positives.
method Behavior-based detection using input/output activities and file-content entropy. Deep-learning classifier with adversarial research and Integrated Gradient method for explanation.
result Deep-learning classifier achieves high accuracy and low false positive rate in detecting crypto-ransomware.

CyBeR-0 optimizes federated learning with Byzantine resilience and reduced communication costs.

problem Byzantine attacks and communication inefficiency in federated learning.
method Transformed robust aggregation for zero-order optimization under client heterogeneity.
result CyBeR-0 achieves stable performance with minimal communication costs and reduced memory usage.

We present a large-scale study of commonality in liquidity and resilience across assets in an ultra high-frequency (millisecond-timestamped) Limit Order Book (LOB) dataset from a pan-European electronic equity trading facility. We first show that extant work in quantifying liquidity commonality through the degree of ex…

2014-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.

problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.

New framework boosts neural network performance and resilience.

problem Susceptibility of compact neural network implementations to system disturbances.
method Realistic crossbar simulations and Mosaics framework to re-use synaptic connections.
result Compact neural networks are noise-immune and perform well under disturbances.

Research proposes a decentralized invoice discounting system using Kelly criterion.

problem Persistent funding gap for SMEs and inefficiencies in traditional factoring.
method Automated Market Maker (AMM) with Kelly criterion for premium calculation.
result Resilient decentralized system with optimal profit distribution policies.

We show that wealth processes in the block-shaped order book model of Obizhaeva/Wang converge to their counterparts in the reduced-form model proposed by Almgren/Chriss, as the resilience of the order book tends to infinity. As an application of this limit theorem, we explain how to reduce portfolio choice in highly-re…

2014-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Outlier detection is a fundamental task in data mining and has many applications including detecting errors in databases. While there has been extensive prior work on methods for outlier detection, modern datasets often have sizes that are beyond the ability of commonly used methods to process the data within a reasona…

2019-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper defines resilience in knowledge graph embeddings and surveys existing works.

problem Challenges in knowledge graph embedding models, including noise, missing information, distribution shift, and adversarial attacks.
method Unified definition of resilience, formalization in the context of knowledge graphs, systematic survey of existing works.
result Most existing works focus on robustness, leaving other aspects of resilience unexplored.

The paper analyzes how machine learning models perform under covariate shift, especially when the feature shift in xx is larger than that in yy.

problem Performance of machine learning models under covariate shift with heterogeneous feature changes.
method Empirical risk minimization (ERM) over functions f+gf+g, fit on a training distribution, evaluated on a test distribution with covariate shift.
result ERM is more resilient to heterogeneous covariate shifts when the class FF is simpler than GG.

Study finds ESG investments more resilient than traditional equity indices during market turmoil.

problem Resilience of ESG investments during financial instability.
method Daily returns analysis using MGND and EGARCH-in-mean models.
result ESG investments show higher resilience compared to traditional equity indices during crises.

TensorFI injects faults in TensorFlow programs to assess their reliability.

problem Ensuring reliability of machine learning systems in safety-critical domains.
method TensorFI is a flexible fault injection framework for TensorFlow applications.
result TensorFI evaluates the resilience of 12 ML programs, including autonomous vehicle DNNs.

Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.

problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.