New model shows negative resilience can improve trading efficiency.
problem Optimal trade execution in limit order books with negative resilience.
method Stochastic order book model with negative resilience.
result Negative resilience can lead to more efficient trading.
Paper introduces a new index to measure financial and workplace resilience of firms.
problem Corporate resilience and its types in turbulent markets.
method Quantitative analysis of earnings expectations and implied discount rates.
result Evidence of workplace resilience amplification by financial status in the COVID-19 era.
We provide a methodology, resilient feature engineering, for creating adversarially resilient classifiers. According to existing work, adversarial attacks identify weakly correlated or non-predictive features learned by the classifier during training and design the adversarial noise to utilize these features. Therefore…
Measures financial resilience using BSDEs and their properties.
problem Measuring financial resilience in dynamic risk environments.
method Developed stochastic calculus for BSDEs with jumps, revealing resilience rate as expectation of generator.
result Resilience rate can be represented as expectation of BSDE generator, revealing properties of dynamic risk measures.
Paper tackles Byzantine resilience in distributed multi-task learning.
problem Resilience of distributed algorithms in the presence of Byzantine agents.
method Online weight assignment rule based on accumulated loss and filtering.
result Aggregation with proposed weight assignment rule improves expected regret.
Financial markets can be seen as complex systems that are constantly evolving and sensitive to external disturbance, such as systemic risks and economic instabilities. Analysis of resilient market performance, therefore, becomes useful for investors. From a systems perspective, this paper proposes a novel function-base…
ResiliNet improves distributed neural network inference resilience.
problem Physical node failures in distributed neural networks cause performance drops.
method Skip hyperconnection and failout technique.
result ResiliNet provides inference resiliency for distributed neural networks.
Python tool assesses European agricultural production resilience.
problem Estimating resilience of European agricultural production systems.
method Python software to compute annual production resilience indicator.
result Demonstrates resilience of European agricultural production.
This paper measures financial market resilience in China and identifies key uncertainties.
problem Measuring financial market resilience in China.
method Quantitative analysis of total financial market and sub-markets, Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness approach.
result Financial market resilience in China is event-driven and influenced by geopolitical risks, economic and trade policy uncertainty, and U.S.-China tensions.
The resilience of low-degree Rademacher chaos is studied, providing probabilistic lower bounds.
problem Understanding how much a Rademacher chaos can withstand adversarial sign-flips without significant probability changes.
method Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree.
result Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree, especially meaningful for constant degree.
New method quantifies resilience of electric distribution systems from historical data.
problem Large blackouts caused by extreme winds have significant costs and impacts.
method Formulate large event risk from utility outage data, quantify resilience improvements through investments.
result Investments in wind hardening and faster restoration can reduce the probability of large cost events.
We show that wealth processes in the block-shaped order book model of Obizhaeva/Wang converge to their counterparts in the reduced-form model proposed by Almgren/Chriss, as the resilience of the order book tends to infinity. As an application of this limit theorem, we explain how to reduce portfolio choice in highly-re…
Proposes resilience metrics for large blackout costs with logarithmic resilience.
problem Large variations in blackout costs make estimating risk impractical.
method Uses mean of log of large blackout costs, tail slope index, and frequency.
result Solves problems of heavy tail and large variations in blackout costs.
This paper defines resilience in knowledge graph embeddings and surveys existing works.
problem Challenges in knowledge graph embedding models, including noise, missing information, distribution shift, and adversarial attacks.
method Unified definition of resilience, formalization in the context of knowledge graphs, systematic survey of existing works.
result Most existing works focus on robustness, leaving other aspects of resilience unexplored.
CyBeR-0 optimizes federated learning with Byzantine resilience and reduced communication costs.
problem Byzantine attacks and communication inefficiency in federated learning.
method Transformed robust aggregation for zero-order optimization under client heterogeneity.
result CyBeR-0 achieves stable performance with minimal communication costs and reduced memory usage.
Stocks of more resilient firms outperformed during the pandemic, reflecting disaster risk.
problem The impact of social distancing on firms' operations and stock performance.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firms' resilience and stock performance, controlling for risk factors.
result Stocks of more resilient firms are expected to yield significantly lower returns than less resilient ones, reflecting disaster risk.
One of the most defining features of the global financial network is its inherent complex and intertwined structure. From the perspective of systemic risk it is important to understand the influence of this network structure on default contagion. Using sparse random graphs to model the financial network, asymptotic met…
Secure federated learning framework resists adversarial users.
problem Resilience against adversarial (Byzantine) users in federated learning.
method Integrated stochastic quantization, verifiable outlier detection, and secure model aggregation.
result First single-server Byzantine-resilient secure aggregation framework (BREA) for secure federated learning.
New framework for resilient bi-criteria optimization under noisy feedback.
problem Bi-criteria combinatorial optimization with noisy function evaluations.
method Introducing (α,β,δ,extttN)-resilience and developing a black-box framework. result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation for bi-criteria bandit problems.
Outlier detection is a fundamental task in data mining and has many applications including detecting errors in databases. While there has been extensive prior work on methods for outlier detection, modern datasets often have sizes that are beyond the ability of commonly used methods to process the data within a reasona…
Study finds ESG investments more resilient than traditional equity indices during market turmoil.
problem Resilience of ESG investments during financial instability.
method Daily returns analysis using MGND and EGARCH-in-mean models.
result ESG investments show higher resilience compared to traditional equity indices during crises.
Recent advances in Capsule Networks (CapsNets) have shown their superior learning capability, compared to the traditional Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). However, the extremely high complexity of CapsNets limits their fast deployment in real-world applications. Moreover, while the resilience of CNNs have been ext…
Proposes a deep learning method for modeling dynamic individual-level latent trajectories with changing parameters.
problem Modeling longitudinal data with changing individual-level dynamics parameters.
method Combines deep learning for dimensionality reduction and differential equations for dynamic modeling, allowing different parameters for sub-periods.
result Successfully identifies dynamic parameters and predictors of resilience.
This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.
problem Supply chain resilience analysis of multi-modal logistics networks.
method Robust optimization with budget-of-uncertainty.
result Interactive effects of network size, disruption scale, and degree on resilience.
Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.
problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.
Machine learning has begun to play a central role in many applications. A multitude of these applications typically also involve datasets that are distributed across multiple computing devices/machines due to either design constraints (e.g., multiagent systems) or computational/privacy reasons (e.g., learning on smartp…
Improved deep neural network generalization through noise resilience.
problem Understanding and predicting generalization error of deep neural networks.
method Noise resilience measures to predict generalization error.
result Secured 5th position in the PGDL competition at NeurIPS 2020.
Introduces an artificial cyber lab to test and identify cyber resilience measures.
problem Systemic cyber risks and their control methods.
method Classical contagion models and artificial cyber lab simulations.
result Identified two classes of measures: security- and topology-based interventions.
Firms' collaboration networks can decline but remain resilient.
problem Resilience of firms' collaboration networks during decline.
method Analysis of 21,500 R&D collaborations over 25 years, simulating drop-out cascades.
result Firms' collaboration networks can adapt to mitigate decline and recover.
In complex systems like financial market, risk tolerance of individuals is crucial for system resilience.The single-security price limit, designed as risk tolerance to protect investors by avoiding sharp price fluctuation, is blamed for feeding market panic in times of crash.The relationship between the critical market…
We consider optimal execution strategies for block market orders placed in a limit order book (LOB). We build on the resilience model proposed by Obizhaeva and Wang (2005) but allow for a general shape of the LOB defined via a given density function. Thus, we can allow for empirically observed LOB shapes and obtain a n…
This paper investigates the resilience and robustness of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) policies to adversarial perturbations in the state space. We first present an approach for the disentanglement of vulnerabilities caused by representation learning of DRL agents from those that stem from the sensitivity of the DR…
We present a large-scale study of commonality in liquidity and resilience across assets in an ultra high-frequency (millisecond-timestamped) Limit Order Book (LOB) dataset from a pan-European electronic equity trading facility. We first show that extant work in quantifying liquidity commonality through the degree of ex…
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.
New framework boosts neural network performance and resilience.
problem Susceptibility of compact neural network implementations to system disturbances.
method Realistic crossbar simulations and Mosaics framework to re-use synaptic connections.
result Compact neural networks are noise-immune and perform well under disturbances.
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are widely being adopted for safety-critical applications, e.g., healthcare and autonomous driving. Inherently, they are considered to be highly error-tolerant. However, recent studies have shown that hardware faults that impact the parameters of a DNN (e.g., weights) can have drastic impact…
Study optimal stock purchases under fluctuating market resilience.
problem Optimal stock purchases over time with varying market resilience.
method Model market resilience and liquidity variations, solve optimization problem.
result Unique optimal execution strategy found.
There has been a surge of interest in using machine learning (ML) to automatically detect malware through their dynamic behaviors. These approaches have achieved significant improvement in detection rates and lower false positive rates at large scale compared with traditional malware analysis methods. ML in threat dete…
This paper develops a stochastic learning-optimization model for resilient automotive supply chains.
problem Supply chain disruptions and volatile demand pose challenges to the UK automotive industry.
method Integrates Bayesian inference with inventory optimization for a two-echelon system subject to stochastic demand and disruptions.
result The integrated approach achieves significant cost reductions and improved resilience during disruptions.
We propose a novel robust aggregation rule for distributed synchronous Stochastic Gradient Descent~(SGD) under a general Byzantine failure model. The attackers can arbitrarily manipulate the data transferred between the servers and the workers in the parameter server~(PS) architecture. We prove the Byzantine resilience…
TensorFI injects faults in TensorFlow programs to assess their reliability.
problem Ensuring reliability of machine learning systems in safety-critical domains.
method TensorFI is a flexible fault injection framework for TensorFlow applications.
result TensorFI evaluates the resilience of 12 ML programs, including autonomous vehicle DNNs.
Ranger improves DNNs' fault resilience without re-computation.
problem Transient faults in DNNs cause errors, reducing reliability.
method Range restriction to transform critical faults to benign faults.
result Significant improvement in error resilience (3x to 50x) with no accuracy loss.
Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.
problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.
The study shows that limited liability can make banks more stable by choosing less risky assets.
problem How limited liability affects bank stability and risk management.
method Dynamic portfolio approach with continuous time models, including and excluding limited liability, and using the KMV model to measure resiliency.
result Inclusion of limited liability leads to a bank choosing less risky assets, increasing its resilience.
Supply chains are the backbone of the global economy. Disruptions to them can be costly. Centrally managed supply chains invest in ensuring their resilience. Decentralized supply chains, however, must rely upon the self-interest of their individual components to maintain the resilience of the entire chain. We examine t…
Predictive Q-learning algorithm for IoT networks with human operators.
problem Resilient and predictive actions for IoT networks with faulty components.
method Predictive and resilient Q-learning algorithm considering historical data and human operator feedback.
result Optimal scheduling policies avoiding attacked locations and faults.
Cryptos remained resilient after SVB's collapse, contrary to expectations.
problem Impact of SVB collapse on crypto markets.
method Factual summary, sentiment analysis, and market performance examination.
result Cryptocurrencies showed resilience after SVB's collapse.
In order-driven markets, limit-order book (LOB) resiliency is an important microscopic indicator of market quality when the order book is hit by a liquidity shock and plays an essential role in the design of optimal submission strategies of large orders. However, the evolutionary behavior of LOB resilience around liqui…